MCLARKE

A nice 10/1 treble today for the PL tips !

How boring would that be though

A nice 10/1 treble today for the PL tips !

I'll stick with my trends analysis as this has worked well the past couple of weeks with the winner coming from the shortlist of 3 in each of the 3 races.
The main stats are :-
89 at forecast odds higher than 10/1, all have lost. This reduces the field to 6.
78 have carried 11st or less and only 2 have won. This reduces the field to 3.
23 have carried 11st 6 lbs or more, all have lost. This reduces the field to 2, KILDISART and COPPERHEAD.
Maybe worth an each way punt on these, especially with bookies paying up to 6 places.
If I had to choose I would probably go with COPPERHEAD as it is a 6 year old although the fact it was pulled up last time is a bit off-putting.

Yes, you're right, my 'system' is for the Flat
I have thought about trying to adapt my system for the jumps but haven't been able to get a handle on it ...... I suppose logically handicap hurdles would be the place to start as most horses start their jumps career over hurdles
Might take another look at that !
What I have found is that there is often a big age range over jumps as some horses start off as juvenile hurdlers, others as novices, others in bumpers, others in point to points ...... it might be worth thinking along the lines of 'number of races run in' rather than just age. Concentrate on the runners who haven't run many times regardless of what age they are

My system relates to NH rather than the flat. I think it may relate to the fact that in NH older horses are perhaps more well known and therefore potentially over-bet.
I have found that this system is not very effective in March and April, perhaps the same logic appears here as in your flat example.
I suppose a horse reaches it's peak at a certain age, I think this is 5 on the flat, not sure what it is for hurdlers and jumpers.

0/5 today -5 total -0.35
tomorrow
12.50 weth funambule sivola
2.25 weth so easy way
3.40 ling saucy encore

1220 southwell phantasmal e/w 9-1 bet365
Changing from Newcastle I can see this one improving today didn't look like jockey got it moving early enough and lost for room last race.

A bit of a losing run at the moment for my young handicappers system but that is the downside with a low strike rate system. 
There is a selection in the 3.41 at Taunton, which is a BET365 feature race. 
MEMPHIS BLEEK 12/1

A bit of a losing run at the moment for my young handicappers system but that is the downside with a low strike rate system. 
There is a selection in the 3.41 at Taunton, which is a BET365 feature race. 
MEMPHIS BLEEK 12/1

I was in a dodgy pub in Sheffield when he scored the "hand of God" goal, all hell broke out after the match, running battles with the boys in blue, the folly of youth !

At this sort of strike rate you are likely at some stage to encounter a losing run of about 40 so at £15 you would need a bank of £600. This is based on 1,000 bets.
 

I suppose it depends how widely known it becomes. The one that seems to defy this is horses returning quickly, I think Ralphie's been running his system successfully for about 18 years !

sorry about that you are only a youngster, not an old b****r like me

I image you are an elderly person like myself, all this new technology, got a I phone recently had to take a blood pressure tablet and a lie down, found a use for it though excellent as a weight for keeping the racing pages open

My picks are either system based or watching how horse ran last several races and ones I follow after some misfortune I pick up on in race like that I'm available today value seems to come from that long term. Heavily backed favourites can also be market manipulation false favourites so hard to judge sometimes ?

Won by half a length

Won

Less favoured are probably the better value... Problem with RPR and time form is everyone had that information... Need information not everyone has or looks at for value.

One Trixie so far today
12.30 Lin Plantadream 85/40
1.40 Her Princess Midnight 2/1 (Hopefully no quarter given, ha ha)
2.00 Lin Nelson Gay 2/1
One £1.50 Trixie = £6 poss return of £83.81
One single bet:
2.25 Weth Joke Dancer £1.20 win at 5/1
Total stakes = £7.20
==========================================================================================
Once again I had no winners in my Trixie so a loss of £6.00.  The balance c/fwd is now £607.69 (£800 Bank).  The second tally is at -£16 c/fwd
The singles bet won by a short head so a £6 profit to pay for the Trixie today.  The balance c/fwd on singles is £150.68 (£400 Bank)
Four meetings tomorrow so lots to look at

Back to my young handicappers tomorrow.
Hereford 1.40 NO QUARTER ASKED 9/2 BET365.
5yo, last ran 29 days ago.

Back to my young handicappers tomorrow.
Hereford 1.40 NO QUARTER ASKED 9/2 BET365.
5yo, last ran 29 days ago.

Back to my young handicappers tomorrow.
Hereford 1.40 NO QUARTER ASKED 9/2 BET365.
5yo, last ran 29 days ago.

Ling. Won.    Returns £43
Bank £532

todays selections


LINGFIELD 12:55 Unforgiving Minute 33/1 e/w 3 Places

SEDGEFIELD 13:16 Nortonthorpelegend 7/4 win

WOLVERHAMPTON 18:00 Venturous 9/4 win

plus e/w trixie