MCLARKE

Patent. 
3.10. Bev. Sir Maxi        5/1
3.20. Ham. Gannon Glory     9/2
4.50. Ham. Time Traveller       7/2
stk 3.50       rtn. 124.63
Good luck all. 

Believe it or not up until Monday my selections in the lucky 15s have been very poor with a level stakes loss of 98 points from 472 selections. However I was not overly concerned because the systems that these selections have been drawn from have been profitable.
So depending on how you look it I have been very lucky or my previous seletions had been unlucky and I was due a change in fortune.

The losing runs can be quite large, between my Aintree win and yesterday's win I lost £67 to £1.50 stakes although this was only £1.52 per day so not too prohibitive.
It is a relatively small outlay for a lot of fun and the occasional big win.
I am surprised I haven't had more restrictions with BET365, I am waiting for the dreaded "account has been reviewed by our trading team" message.
I am not overly concerned as most of my betting is on the exchanges these days and ultimately I expect I will end up with the exchanges as the only option. At least this will simplify my betting and generally the best value is to be found on the exchanges.

Yes, I am on the way to one of my best years as a result of the lucky 15s.
To me the key area is to test my theories before putting my money down, I find the testing often as much fun as the actual betting.
It is also important not to become disillusioned with losing runs, it is a fact of betting life. I was £700 down in the 4 months to December but have made £3,000 since then.
Keep stakes small until you are making a profit and then use your profit to increase stakes.

Another terrific day's tipping, led by @roger2256who moves into 3rd place with 28/1 York winner Doctor Khan Junior

Another placed horse for @Craig bluenose, 18/1 Susie Miller at Limerick, extends his lead at the top



 

I stopped following tipsters a long time ago, I thought it was a short cut to profits but it wasn't.
For the decent tipsters it was almost impossible to get on at the advised prices.

Flat selection
Lingfield 6.10
BALGAIR 

Double yesterday 1st @ 13\8 & 11\8 
Sugar Candie 21.00 Nottingham 1 pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)
Maiden. Off 5 months, respectable fifth of 10 in handicap at Salisbury (14.2f, good to soft, 5/2) 26 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. One to consider. 
Ring O Roses 17.30 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ 4\7 (bog)
Twice-raced maiden. Second of 13 in novice hurdle (6/5) at Downpatrick (18.8f, good to soft) 25 days ago, just failing. Yard in good form. Bold bid expected. 
**Don't usually pick odds - on in this topic but Ring O Roses was my selection last night and with no BOG until this morning and Non Runners, will stick with him.

It was although I need to update my analysis based on the additional results since then

The losing runs can be quite large, between my Aintree win and yesterday's win I lost £67 to £1.50 stakes although this was only £1.52 per day so not too prohibitive.
It is a relatively small outlay for a lot of fun and the occasional big win.
I am surprised I haven't had more restrictions with BET365, I am waiting for the dreaded "account has been reviewed by our trading team" message.
I am not overly concerned as most of my betting is on the exchanges these days and ultimately I expect I will end up with the exchanges as the only option. At least this will simplify my betting and generally the best value is to be found on the exchanges.

He did try today and his horse came second.  Very shrewd ew bet by @bymatrix.  Has anyone ever won the "most winners" comp by backing each way selections before?

Yes.  If achieved, masterful punting by bymatrix.  Correction: being that successful and competitive is masterful, regardless.   👋

Most winners
Still waiting for @Johnrobertsonto make his move !

I check his bets every day ... just to oppose him if possible. His followers make the market for others IMO. Yes, occasionally he has a winner ( I would say virtually impossible to get the price), but in general I find that his strike rate is poor.
TODAYS selections
TACITUS - is 0/16 , has a 5lb claiming jockey on, last ran on the AW in April finishing 7th..... needs a massive turn around and a huge dollop of faith and crossed fingers. No bet in race for me.
SPIRIT OF BREEZE - at least trainer Gary Moore is in some form, but my preference is for the Hughie Morrison runner ASCARI, drops back in trip (sprinters in pedigree), is in a handicap for the 1st time, decent jockey, and trainer is 5 wins from 16 in last 5 years (31%).

I stopped following tipsters a long time ago, I thought it was a short cut to profits but it wasn't.
For the decent tipsters it was almost impossible to get on at the advised prices.

Hughs selections are below.
My reason for posting them are manyfold, firstly I'd like to know if you follow them,
Did you get the listed price?
Secondly I will do my own detailed analysis of one or both of the races closer to the off time. I will try and evaluate the whole of the race(s) and see if value remains with the selection(s) or indeed elsewhere...
Published 9.04 & 9.23 - all selections online
 
SPIRIT OF BREEZE hasn’t been seen to best effect on his two starts so far this season, but he might be worth chancing on the quickest ground he will have encountered to date in the 6f handicap at Lingfield today (8.10).
 
A six-figure purchase on all three occasions that he went through the ring, he showed a fair amount of ability when 6th on his debut at Newbury last June.
 
He hasn’t built on that effort in two subsequent turf runs on slightly easier ground plus an all-weather outing, though after pulling much too hard on his seasonal debut at Kempton, he wasn’t best positioned at Salisbury last time, challenging furthest away from the favoured far rail.
 
He’s been dropped 3lb for that run and, on pedigree, he might be suited by what is likely to be the fastest ground he has encountered to date - he’s by Invincible Spirit and is a half-brother to a number of smart performers, all of whom produced their best efforts on fast ground.
 
He needs to improve here but has only had four runs and might take a step forward with the ground drying out.
 
TACITUS is still a maiden but showed his best form last season on fast ground at Redcar, so he might be worth chancing each-way at decent odds in the 1m handicap there (Redcar 4.55).
 
He hadn’t seemed in much form last year prior to contesting a 7f handicap here in September, but he stormed home into third behind two horses that were chasing hat-tricks, closing them down at the line and shaping as if 1m here would suit him well.
 
He probably needed the run on his reappearance at Wolverhampton and might outrun his odds from a potentially handy draw here, and off a career-low mark, for a small stable that has had winners under both codes recently.
HUGH'S BEST BETS (1-5 POINTS):
4.55 REDCAR
1pt each-way TACITUS (25-1 Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power, 20-1 bet365, Sky Bet, Unibet - all paying 4 places)
 
8.10 LINGFIELD
1pt win SPIRIT OF BREEZE (16-1 general)

The losing runs can be quite large, between my Aintree win and yesterday's win I lost £67 to £1.50 stakes although this was only £1.52 per day so not too prohibitive.
It is a relatively small outlay for a lot of fun and the occasional big win.
I am surprised I haven't had more restrictions with BET365, I am waiting for the dreaded "account has been reviewed by our trading team" message.
I am not overly concerned as most of my betting is on the exchanges these days and ultimately I expect I will end up with the exchanges as the only option. At least this will simplify my betting and generally the best value is to be found on the exchanges.

Out £280.50
In £1,520.27
Profit £1,239.77

Yes, I am on the way to one of my best years as a result of the lucky 15s.
To me the key area is to test my theories before putting my money down, I find the testing often as much fun as the actual betting.
It is also important not to become disillusioned with losing runs, it is a fact of betting life. I was £700 down in the 4 months to December but have made £3,000 since then.
Keep stakes small until you are making a profit and then use your profit to increase stakes.