QuickStep Posted August 30, 2009 Share Posted August 30, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) www.soccerway.com www.sfstats.net www.h2hstats.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted August 30, 2009 Share Posted August 30, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) I hope you won't mind my comment but these results are fantastic, not because the system is "perfect" but because you made lots of profit so far. However, i believe that, after some time you'll lose most of your profit(hope i'm wrong). Some overs you take from overish leagues are not valuable. In other words you have much lower odds on overs from German, Norwegian 2nd, Dutch Eredivisie than they should be on some matches only because of leagues reputation as the overish one. I'm pretty tired atm :zzz, sorry if you don't understand me well, but i was trying one system, also with u/o bets, on some other forum with sample of 100 bets picking the unders from overish leagues/teams and overs from underish, with odds higher than 2 and it brought like 15% yield in the end, and im pretty sure that in larger sample i could keep yield at at least 5-6% without problems with that system. If it's not forbidden i can post the link here. If it is, i can send you on pm if you want to know what is it all about. Btw great month you have, all the best :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonno Posted August 30, 2009 Share Posted August 30, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) but it is profitable,like betting on anything can be if you choose matches carefully,every game isnt going to finish over,thats obvious,but certain teams play certain styles,certain leagues play certain styles,it isnt difficult to find high scoring leagues imo,but picking the right teams can be.i think overs are easier to predict than results,ive made profit again this week,my only incorrect bet being dundee away at airdrie.another good day again jj,well done mate,some interesting games tomorrow to get stuck into,keep it up mate,:ok:ok:ok:beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebel3585 Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Well done man!!! Congrilations... I will follow you.. Ok, you have some of matches for today? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghost_ Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Excellent again Jack 7 out of 10 GREAT...!! Corinthian can you send me you link with pm.......?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froment Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Ghost and Corinthian, it will not work at this moment - you need 50 posts to be able to PM anyone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mkr1986 Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Really awesome picks, made me a happy man when I woke up this morning and saw that internacional did 4-0... $$$$$$$!!! =) Thanks alot man! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavenecadas Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Absolutely fantastic ! I haven't such a winning streak in months ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackJarvis Posted August 31, 2009 Author Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) 01) Jonkopings vs Atvidaberg : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.75 : (FT 2-2) +£37.50 : £537.50 02) Guarani vs Fortaleza : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.73 : (FT 2-1) +£36.50 : £574.00 03) Parana vs Bahia : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.79 : (FT 1-2) +£39.50 : £613.50 04) Caxias vs Campinense : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.56 : (FT 1-4) +£28.00 : £641.50 05) Atletico GO vs America RN : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.60 : (FT 4-1) +£30.00 : £671.50 06) KR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestman : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.65 : (FT 3-0) +32.50 : £704.00 07) Fram vs Grindavik : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.65 : (FT 4-3) +£32.50 : £736.50 08) First Vienna vs Red Bull Juniors Salzburg : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.60 : (FT 1-2) +£30.00 : £766.50 09) FC Fehervar vs Zalaeggerzeg : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.65 : (FT 1-2) +£32.50 : £799.00 10) Mattersburg vs Austria Karn : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.66 : (FT 4-1) +£33.00 : £832.0 11) Campinense vs Brasiliense : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.72 : (FT 1-0) -£50.00 : £782.0 12) SQ Quito vs Manta FC : Under 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.70 : (FT 2-0) +£35.00 : £817.00 13) Valerenga vs Molde : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.57 : (FT 2-1) +£28.50 : £845.50 14) America RN vs Guarani : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.73 : (FT 3-1) +£36.50 : £882.00 15) Haugesund vs Honefoss : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.65 : (FT 3-2) +£32.50 : £914.50 16) Sion vs Bellinzena : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.66 : (FT 3-1) +£33.00 : £947.50 17) Vasalunds vs Norrkoping : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.65 : (FT 4-2) +£32.50 : £980.00 18) Qviding vs Sundsvall : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.62 : (FT 1-1) -£50.00 : £930.00 19) Austria Wien vs Rapid Vienna : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.72 : (FT 1-1) -£50.00 : £880.00 20) Ham Kam vs Stavanger : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.50 : (FT 3-1) +£25.00 : £905.00 21) LASK Linz vs Wiener Neust : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.57 : (FT 4-2) +£28.50 : £933.50 22) Start vs Brann : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.57 : (FT 1-0) -£50.00 : £883.50 23) KR Reykjavik vs Fram : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.55 : (FT 3-1) +£27.50 : £911.00 24) Internacional vs Goias : Over 2.5 Goals : £50 @ 1.60 : (FT 4-0) +£30.00 : £941.00 Bets: 24 Wins: 20 Strike Rate: 83% Yield: 36.75% Starting Bank: £500.00 Current Bank: £941.00 Profit: £441.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackJarvis Posted August 31, 2009 Author Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) I hope you won't mind my comment but these results are fantastic, not because the system is "perfect" but because you made lots of profit so far. However, i believe that, after some time you'll lose most of your profit(hope i'm wrong). Some overs you take from overish leagues are not valuable. In other words you have much lower odds on overs from German, Norwegian 2nd, Dutch Eredivisie than they should be on some matches only because of leagues reputation as the overish one. I'm pretty tired atm :zzz, sorry if you don't understand me well, but i was trying one system, also with u/o bets, on some other forum with sample of 100 bets picking the unders from overish leagues/teams and overs from underish, with odds higher than 2 and it brought like 15% yield in the end, and im pretty sure that in larger sample i could keep yield at at least 5-6% without problems with that system. If it's not forbidden i can post the link here. If it is, i can send you on pm if you want to know what is it all about. Btw great month you have, all the best :hope I am only following the system I have mate and so far its worked pretty well. We will see in the long run how it goes but for the moment, its been very good. Thanks for all the comments aswell guys. :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HampshireIan Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Bet 24) Internacional vs Goias : £50 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 (Expekt) Details: Brazil Serie A. KO: 22:30 Had this one up on another screen (just live scores) while messing with pc. 1-0 up after only a few minutes, 2-0 up after about 20, the away team had a player sent off around half time too and 3-0 after about 60 minutes... Jack, have you actually made a time machine as you couldn't have written the script fo it! Top tipping again mate! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rebel3585 Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) JackJarvis, you have some of matches for today? I m waiting your choses. You are very successful :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackJarvis Posted August 31, 2009 Author Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Yes, currently running the system over todays games. Be up in around 30mins. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackJarvis Posted August 31, 2009 Author Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Again, another very busy day. :loon Bet 25) Alfreton vs Corby : £50 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.69 (Bet365) Details: English Conference North. KO: 15:00 Bet 26) Gloucester vs Telford : £50 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80 (Bet365) Details: English Conference North. KO: 15:00 Bet 27) Ilkeston vs Farsley : £50 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.63 (Bet365) Details: English Conference North. KO: 15:00 Bet 28) Stalybridge vs Vauxhall : £50 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.66 (Bet365) Details: English Conference North. KO: 15:00 Bet 29) Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha : £50 on Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.61 (Bet365) Details: Czech Premier. KO: 16:30 Bet 30) Dynamo Kiev vs Metalur Donetsk : £50 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 (Bet365) Details: Ukraine Premier. KO: 17:00 Bet 31) Stjarnan vs Breidablik : £50 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 (Sportingbet) Details: Iceland Premier. KO: 19:00 Bet 32) Grindavik vs Fylkir : £50 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 (Sportingbet) Details: Iceland Premier. KO: 19:00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mkr1986 Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Thanks, lets see how these turn out -Fingers crossed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
g.r. Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Does anyone know where can i see the livescores for Blue Square North matches? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackJarvis Posted August 31, 2009 Author Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) www.futbol24.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QuickStep Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Does anyone know where can i see the livescores for Blue Square North matches? http://www.flashscore.com/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackJarvis Posted August 31, 2009 Author Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) English lower league games proving dissapointing so far, just 1 up from the 4 and two still 0-0... :unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) not looking good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denon999 Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Be Careful It seems the system may be in decline, 3 wrong 1 right so far today.... would advise caution as need to see if system can recover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackJarvis Posted August 31, 2009 Author Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Wouldn't say it is in decline mate, thats a bad harsh to be saying that so soon. Like everything, there will always be bad days, it's all about profit in the long-term. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) What's the right 1? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denon999 Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) What I mean Jack, is now is not the time to play hard... have been watching closely and it just started over the last 3 days getting them wrong, when I say decline I mean it may be having a downturn, it will come back, but it may be best to watch to see Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) costing me alot of money today :( 4 picks, 4 lost - 3 games under 1.5 :S Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KThom Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Cant see how level stake betting (especially on odds 1.65 and below) can ever have a long term profit. Have you back tested your system over time using odds on football-data? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) but it is profitable' date='like betting on anything can be if you choose matches carefully,[/quote'] Absolutely, i'm just trying to say two things; First one is that its a lot harder to find value in lower odds, Second one is that i.e. odds for over in Austria-Rapid match would definetly be higher if the same two teams under different name and identical circumstances would play in French league 2. Quote from that thread of mine Results were Win rate: 50% (47-47) Stake: 940 Return: 1037.90 Profit: 97.90 Yield: 10.41 % I don't have nohing against this system, every system which brings you profit is the perfect one and everyone picks the one which suits him the most. Some like overs, unders, dogs, favouites... Anyway, GL JJ, hope you will make your point. :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Cant see how level stake betting (especially on odds 1.65 and below) can ever have a long term profit. It can't IMO, and no system can help you with that. I hope someone can show us how to do it, and make our jobs a lot easier. Personally im very sceptic in systems who are based only on stats. Again, GL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) 6 bets, 5 losses, 1 win - won't be betting no more lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froment Posted August 31, 2009 Share Posted August 31, 2009 Re: Over/Under 2.5 Goals System (Take 2) Be Careful It seems the system may be in decline, 3 wrong 1 right so far today.... would advise caution as need to see if system can recover not looking good Cant see how level stake betting (especially on odds 1.65 and below) can ever have a long term profit. Have you back tested your system over time using odds on football-data? Errrm, I really don't understand those negative comments all-at-once! Each system has its own great and poor days... and so far, today doesn't seem to be something especially bad - three out of six bets won (bet 28, 29 and 30 won, 25, 26 and 27 lost), for total loss of about 50 units, with two bets pending, and both of them look very promising, as Iceland is known to have a lot of overs! As JJ said, the aim is not everyday profit, which is impossible, but profit in long run; and he succedeed to turn 500 EUR in 900 EUR in only 30 bets, with strike rate of around 77% at the moment; therefore, this really looks amazing, as many of you stated before... but now, when some of you chosen only some bets to invest money on, and those bets failed, it cannot be fault of this system, but mainly your fault - look at the overall profit, not profit on individual bets! Don't you tell me you expected strike rate to remain 100%! AS I said, I believe both icelandic games to go over, which would turn this "not looking good" system into daily profit again! Good luck! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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