Wildgarden Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 445 southwell daawy 8.2 Betfair exchange win 515 southwell samovar 6/4 Ladbrokes win The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alancraik Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 todays top rated selections never done NH AW before, will have to see what happens. NEWCASTLE 13:40 Busy Street 10/1 e/w 4 Places LINGFIELD 13:50 Glory And Honour 4/5 win NEWCASTLE 14:10 Monsieur Co 5/1 e/w 3 Places LINGFIELD 14:20 Hasanabad 4/6 win Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 (edited) I was initially pleased when I saw so many non handicap races to choose selections from today. However, when I consider that in the main punters are having to juggle flat form against hurdles and chase form it occurs to me that this is a great opportunity for the bookies to make a lot of money. This being so I have limited myself to possibly two main bets today. I have already backed Snookered in the 2.10 at Newcastle £3.20 at 4/1 (my PL Nap). It looks to have a decent chance of winning this race and has now been backed into 9/4 best price (wouldn't have played at that price) I think I have missed the boat in trying to get £3.20 at 4.2 about Divas Mix in the 11.50 at Lingfield. I will leave the bet open on the Betfair Exchange in the hope that money comes for the Fergal O'Brien trained City Derby. This horse was favourite to win its last race and was brought down. I am not so sure that it would have won had it not fallen so the Henderson horse looks well worth taking a chance on today. I think that it could pay for punters to focus on the traditional stables that do well in bumpers rather than try and speculate on how hurdlers and chasers who are in good form will perform in what is essentially a flat race Good luck to all whatever you do but I strongly suggest keeping stakes to a minimum today. =============================================================================================== Well my price got matched at 4.2 on Divas Mix and of course it got beat and came second. But as I am sure @richard-westwoodwould agree is if one cant 3/1 about a horse when it appears to have only one other main rival is a good deal. Well done to Fergal O'Brien and Paddy Brennan In my other race, the price of Snookered has shortened so much that I felt compelled to trade out of the bet. Even more beneficial to my betting bank I have layed £6.54 at 2.26 which gives me a liability of £8.24 should the horse win. On the other hand I will receive a return of £16 should the horse win with Bet 365. Hence, I get my total outlay of the day back of £6.41 should the horse lose and alternatively win £16 - £8.24 = £7.76 profit should the horse win. A very cosy position to be in @calva decoythough I respect anyone's wishes to let the bet ride Edited January 8, 2021 by The Equaliser I've chickend out, haha Wildgarden and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 5.15 Southwell - Gabrial The Devil at 11/2 I was on Samovar yesterday (won) and he's turning out again today over the same CD in a small field handicap and he is the short priced favourite, currently 6/4 But I think he can opposed today ....... double penalty in a Class 4. The race he won yesterday was a Class 6. Also I think he needs a poor race to win at 6 furlongs ....... he was hanging on for the line yesterday and I think he's better at 5f unless they find him a really easy race at 6f The one I like is decent odds ....... Gabrial The Devil at 11/2, currently 4th in te market out of the five runners Last two wins off todays mark, back down to his winning trip after a couple of runs at 7f which he's never won at, back to Class 4 after a couple of runs in Class 2 and Class 3 Main doubt ..... his record on the AW is not great but then he's not run on it very often and the yard is in good nick Wildgarden and The Equaliser 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 (edited) A few outsiders 12.40 Newcastle areyouwithus 25/1 5 places placed 12.10 Newcastle westy’s super mare 55/1 5 places non runner 13.40 Newcastle jack yeats 12/1 placed 15.40 Newcastle billy bathgate 22/1 4 places placed 13.20 lingfield uncle o 28/1 5 places placed 14.20 lingfield good bye 14/1 4 places placed 15.20 lingfield carole’s Templer 45/1 5 places placed 16.15 Southwell larina grande 7/1 16.45 Southwell kraka 10/1 placed 19.15 Southwell upside down 10/1 winner 15.55 Dundalk that’s not me 12/1 16.30 Dundalk togoville 10/1 16.30 Dundalk haayem 16/1 6 places non runner will do knight of Malta 16/1 17.30 Dundalk eglish 16/1 7 places all bets 50 p e/w some are e w e bet365 ?? Edited January 8, 2021 by LEE-GRAYS vikki37, Wildgarden, calva decoy and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roger2256 Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 (edited) Jan +6 1pt level stakes win only 13.20 Lin Molliana 5/1 Lost * 14.20 Lin Ace Time 40/1 Lost 18.15 Sou Driftwood 11/1 Lost prices as of now b365 * odds on fav -3 Jan +3 Edited January 9, 2021 by roger2256 Result The Equaliser and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 (edited) 9 hours ago, Wildgarden said: 445 southwell daafy 8.2 Betfair exchange win non runner now mason mount 6.8 nowhere 515 southwell samovar 6/4 non runner Ladbrokes win Results and pick change Added iva reflection late... Shortlist below... Edited January 8, 2021 by Wildgarden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ipswich45 Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 (edited) Southwell 1615 - 1 Smart Qibili 9/4 Paddy Power - 2nd place 1645 - 8 Al Batal 5/1 Bet365 - 9th Place 1715 - 4 Oakenshield 5/1 Bet365 - 4th of 4 1745 - 1 Artistic Streak 2/1 William Hill - WON SP: 11/4 1815 - 4 Kevin The Minion 7/4 Paddy Power - 7th Place 1845 - 1 Shine Baby Shine 2/1 Bet365 - 3rd Place 1915 - 1 Professor Galant 13/2 Bet365 - 2nd place Dundalk 1555 - 8 Red Cymbal 9/2 Bet365 - 5th Place 1630 - 2 Comin Through 5/2 Bet365 - 3rd Place 1700 - 6 Just Brilliant 6/1 Bet365 - WON SP: 11/4 1730 - 11 Tyrconnell 13/2 William Hill - 5th place 1800 - 4 Ferrybank 2/1 Bet365 - WON SP: 11/8 1830 - 10 Make The Switch 7/2 Paddy Power - 6th place 1900 - 1 Canning 12/1 Bet365 - 11th place 1930 - 6 Starlight Red 11/4 Bet365 - 3rd place Edited January 8, 2021 by ipswich45 results being added Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 5 hours ago, Trotter said: 5.15 Southwell - Gabrial The Devil at 11/2 I was on Samovar yesterday (won) and he's turning out again today over the same CD in a small field handicap and he is the short priced favourite, currently 6/4 But I think he can opposed today ....... double penalty in a Class 4. The race he won yesterday was a Class 6. Also I think he needs a poor race to win at 6 furlongs ....... he was hanging on for the line yesterday and I think he's better at 5f unless they find him a really easy race at 6f The one I like is decent odds ....... Gabrial The Devil at 11/2, currently 4th in te market out of the five runners Last two wins off todays mark, back down to his winning trip after a couple of runs at 7f which he's never won at, back to Class 4 after a couple of runs in Class 2 and Class 3 Main doubt ..... his record on the AW is not great but then he's not run on it very often and the yard is in good nick Hi Trotter, Just made some money on your selection. Well done. Compensates for me being shafted on Snookered earlier on. I didn't realise that Pull Green was a non runner and got stuffed for a 25p deduction. Glad you were around to save me ? Wildgarden and Trotter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 19 minutes ago, The Equaliser said: Hi Trotter, Just made some money on your selection. Well done. Compensates for me being shafted on Snookered earlier on. I didn't realise that Pull Green was a non runner and got stuffed for a 25p deduction. Glad you were around to save me ? Had 12-1 last night before all the non runners brought it down lol The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augustus Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 7 hours ago, alancraik said: todays top rated selections never done NH AW before, will have to see what happens. NEWCASTLE 13:40 Busy Street 10/1 e/w 4 Places LINGFIELD 13:50 Glory And Honour 4/5 win NEWCASTLE 14:10 Monsieur Co 5/1 e/w 3 Places LINGFIELD 14:20 Hasanabad 4/6 win Hi Alan. I had busy street at 10-1 and it was only paid out at 2.5-1 or thereabouts. Any idea? Thanks for tip Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 4 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: Had 12-1 last night before all the non runners brought it down lol Well done. How much did you suffer in the way of deductions if you don't mind me asking? Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 (edited) 16 minutes ago, The Equaliser said: Well done. How much did you suffer in the way of deductions if you don't mind me asking? 55p in the pound. I thought samovar would win if it raced so only posted that up. My picks where as screen shot. Edited January 8, 2021 by Wildgarden The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 7 hours ago, The Equaliser said: I was initially pleased when I saw so many non handicap races to choose selections from today. However, when I consider that in the main punters are having to juggle flat form against hurdles and chase form it occurs to me that this is a great opportunity for the bookies to make a lot of money. This being so I have limited myself to possibly two main bets today. I have already backed Snookered in the 2.10 at Newcastle £3.20 at 4/1 (my PL Nap). It looks to have a decent chance of winning this race and has now been backed into 9/4 best price (wouldn't have played at that price) I think I have missed the boat in trying to get £3.20 at 4.2 about Divas Mix in the 11.50 at Lingfield. I will leave the bet open on the Betfair Exchange in the hope that money comes for the Fergal O'Brien trained City Derby. This horse was favourite to win its last race and was brought down. I am not so sure that it would have won had it not fallen so the Henderson horse looks well worth taking a chance on today. I think that it could pay for punters to focus on the traditional stables that do well in bumpers rather than try and speculate on how hurdlers and chasers who are in good form will perform in what is essentially a flat race Good luck to all whatever you do but I strongly suggest keeping stakes to a minimum today. =============================================================================================== Well my price got matched at 4.2 on Divas Mix and of course it got beat and came second. But as I am sure @richard-westwoodwould agree is if one cant 3/1 about a horse when it appears to have only one other main rival is a good deal. Well done to Fergal O'Brien and Paddy Brennan In my other race, the price of Snookered has shortened so much that I felt compelled to trade out of the bet. Even more beneficial to my betting bank I have layed £6.54 at 2.26 which gives me a liability of £8.24 should the horse win. On the other hand I will receive a return of £16 should the horse win with Bet 365. Hence, I get my total outlay of the day back of £6.41 should the horse lose and alternatively win £16 - £8.24 = £7.76 profit should the horse win. A very cosy position to be in @calva decoythough I respect anyone's wishes to let the bet ride 9/2 Snookered & 7/2 Hackberry The joy of getting on early The Equaliser ? The Brigadier, The Equaliser and Wildgarden 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 Lovely price for Hackberry too, went into 5/4 favourite ? The Brigadier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 55 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: 55p in the pound. I thought samovar would win if it raced so only posted that up. My picks where as screen shot. Yes. A net price of around 13/2 for a 4/1 winner seems a very good return. Well done The Brigadier and Wildgarden 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted January 8, 2021 Author Share Posted January 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, The Equaliser said: Yes. A net price of around 13/2 for a 4/1 winner seems a very good return. Well done I'll post all mine tomorrow prob lose now lol The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 I've finally bitten the bullet and started to analyse the AW. Only analysed 1 year so far and only 1 race left today, the 7.30 at Dundalk. The selection is FRYERNS. The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted January 8, 2021 Share Posted January 8, 2021 7 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said: A few outsiders 12.40 Newcastle areyouwithus 25/1 5 places placed 12.10 Newcastle westy’s super mare 55/1 5 places non runner 13.40 Newcastle jack yeats 12/1 placed 15.40 Newcastle billy bathgate 22/1 4 places placed 13.20 lingfield uncle o 28/1 5 places placed 14.20 lingfield good bye 14/1 4 places placed 15.20 lingfield carole’s Templer 45/1 5 places placed 16.15 Southwell larina grande 7/1 16.45 Southwell kraka 10/1 placed 19.15 Southwell upside down 10/1 winner 15.55 Dundalk that’s not me 12/1 16.30 Dundalk togoville 10/1 16.30 Dundalk haayem 16/1 6 places non runner will do knight of Malta 16/1 17.30 Dundalk eglish 16/1 7 places all bets 50 p e/w some are e w e bet365 ?? Good day had to wait till last for winner had a couple of big price seconds but did them e w e for a bit of insurance shame about dundalk out £14 in £23.10 ⚒? Trotter, The Equaliser and vikki37 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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