Jump to content

Racing Chat - Wed 6th May


Recommended Posts

Happy Valley and Ascot for me early doors

Will Rogers, Tampa and Fonner Pk later

Early bets at Bet365

724 As: Stella Door 5/6
800 As: Irritable Rodnee 11/10
7/2 Double

835 As: Western King 15/8

215 HV: Island Shine 2/1
245 HV: Sunshine Warrior EW 7/1

 

:ok

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Happy Valley Track Spy, May 6

Video Replay Stars

Race 1 Number 10 FOR FUN’S SAKE

Is at his fourth time of asking and his last start 10th place had plenty of merit to it after copping bad luck in running. Approaching the 550m, he copped a nasty check and lost considerable ground, dropping right back to last where he stood the lead speed 10 1/4 lengths at the 400m but reduced that margin to 3 3/4 lengths across the line.

So, it was a better run that it reads on paper, and he looks capable of finishing in the money this week as an improving type with race experience.

Race 3 Number 4 YEE CHEONG PEGASUS

Racing very well for trainer Tony Millard after joining his stable five starts ago, with one win and four runner-up finishes. Last time out at this track and distance 21 days ago, he was well back in a very slow and inefficient run race — the lead speed -5.5 lengths below average to the 400m — however, he defied the dawdle to flash home into second for an enormous run.

Moreira takes the ride this week, so he won’t be the $4.40 he was last start, but he is the one they all have to beat.

Sectional Time Stars

Race 2 Number 6 PLAY WISE

His last start eighth placing is better than it reads after he stood in the barriers and lost ground, getting well back closing off the second fastest in the race and making up good ground when it mattered. More than capable of winning here with better luck.

Race 4 Number 9 EPTIWINS

Is racing well since in two starts for his new trainer, David Hall, but last time out, he was too far back in a slow run race after being steadied from a wide draw. His mid-race and late race splits, however, were full of promise and coming into barrier 1 this week, as well as Purton taking the ride, should prove him the one to hold out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

' Fun Picks ' Happy Valley

1145- Multimax e/way  4th 33/1

1215- Royal Racer

1245- Yee Cheong Pegasus 2nd

115- Eptiwins 2nd

145- The Runner 1st 9/2

215- Flying Genius ( Nap ) 2nd

245- Enfolding e/way

315- Winning Feeling ? e/way

345- Hezthewonforus

 

If anyone has had a bet on any of the above ' cash out now ' I've done rubbish at HK of late ?

Edited by calva decoy
Results update
Link to comment
Share on other sites


Will Rogers Downs

RACE 1  4   GP'S AMAZING GRACE  1ST 16/1  GOT 40
RACE 2 NONE
RACE 3  8   KEENA 
RACE 4  2   YOUNG HENDRICK   
RACE 5  5   DECORATED FOR GOLD 
RACE 6  1   DIAL EM IN 
RACE 7  1   IMA DISCREET LADY 
RACE 8  1   AWARD IT  
RACE 9  6   OIL MONEY 
RACE 10 2   ALOO GHOST  

Tampa Bay Downs

RACE 1  4   TEMPLE MOUNT  X
RACE 2  NONE 
RACE 3  NONE
RACE 4  2   BRIDGE DANCER 
RACE 5  6   ITSHERLUCKYDAY 
RACE 6  10  WHAT A HOOT   
RACE 7  2   TAPAGE 
RACE 8  NONE

Edited by Swaning
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Happy Valley

In a vain attempt to increase my chances of finding some winners at 'The Graveyard' I've picked 2 per race rather than going EW

11.45 - Loriz 15/8 and Monkey Jewellery 10/3
12.15 - Big Bang Bong 5/1 and Royal Racer 10/3
12.45 - Good Shot 4/1 and Yee Cheong Pegasus Evens
1.15 - Methane 5/2 and Lightning Steed 7/2
1.45 - Momentum Galaxy 9/2 and Destine Jewellery 7/2
2.15 - Flying Genius 4/1 and Special Stars 12/1
2.45 - Sunshine Warrior 11/2 and Enfolding 10/1
3.15 - Island Shine 15/8 and Good Beauty 14/1
3.50 - Dancing With Dragons 10/3 and Insayshable 11/1

prices wm hill - stake 18 points

I've gone with a system of sorts ........ low drawn Distance winners that the Racing Post Comment doesn't say are useless. Also as the Post doesn't have live Odds for HK I've not looked at the odds until after picking my horses ..... as it turns out my 'system' has picked most of the favourites but also a smattering of bigger prices. 

Oh well ...... gives me something to cheer on !

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Happy Valley Day! 

1145 - Super Lucky @ 7-1 ew (Shanghai Lad @ 66-1 ew) 

1215 - Victory Mastery @ 14-1 ew 

1245 - Good Shot @ 9-2 win 

1315 - Starlit Knight @ 20-1 ew 

1345 - Destine Jewellery @ 7-2 win / Happy Victory @ 16-1 ew 

1415 - Flying Genius @ 4-1 win / Jumbo Engine @ 33-1 ew 

1445 - Sunshine Warrior @ 11-2 / Enfolding @ 12-1 ew 

1515 - Winning Feeling @ 14-1 ew / Golden Dash @ 12-1 ew 

1550 - Happy Dragon @ 11-1 ew / Insayshable @ 14-1 ew 

All paying 4 places somewhere. 

 

Edited by LeMale
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Last Monday I put up on the board a little test run on a very basic ML (machine learning) algorithm I wrote for something to do due to boredom, It set off well on day 1 then went down hill rapidly after that :cry

Well TA DA !!!!!!!!  here's version 2 I ran it last night for the Aussie racing and it gave me 3 at Ascot which I backed & 2 won :loon with 1 coming 2nd :\
Capture.JPG.164e5451edafa92921c4b3bc61c09745.JPG
(Guess which one I put as my naps pick :wall )

Anyway Ive just run it for HV today and its given 4 selections (Ive backed them but I certainly wouldnt suggest anyone else to)Capture1.JPG.047f6951d402d14cb51323f068b4bb98.JPG

Dutching all 4 would give a profit if only one wins so lets see how it goes :hope

G'luck all with your bets :ok

Link to comment
Share on other sites

having a go at happy valley, last 4 races are higher class and best prize money so i picked 1 from each in a e-w lucky 15 at ladbrokes who paying 4 places for all selections

215 - Victory In Hand @ 4/1

245 - Magnificent @ 14/1

315 - Super Daddy @ 7/1

350 - Happy Fun @ 15/2

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:

Anyway Ive just run it for HV today and its given 4 selections (Ive backed them but I certainly wouldnt suggest anyone else to)Capture1.JPG.047f6951d402d14cb51323f068b4bb98.JPG


Dutching all 4 would give a profit if only one wins so lets see how it goes :hope

G'luck all with your bets :ok

Three  3rds and an unplaced :\

See how these go on for tonight

TBD all B365
R1 Something Bird @ 5
R2 Happy Guy @ 4
R3 Lastfortinofamily @ 4.5
R4 Hopeful Growth @ 2.1
R7 Dynaform @ 2.5
R8 US Army Corps @ 2.2

WRD
R1 Whimsical Tale @ 5
:hope

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just a bit of fun to pass the time

Tampa Bay Downs 

18.30 Happy Guy  11/4  3rd

18.30 Wowza Man  11/4  won

19.00 Analyzeyourvision 3/1  what happened there lol

19.00 Lastfortinofamily 7/2 nr

20.30 Cpl. Dionicio  5/2  ( nap ) ???

20.30 What A Hoot  5/1  did it even run lol 

8 x £ 1 trebles 

Edited by roger2256
Result
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's lucky my Wednesday afternoons viewing at not so Happy Valley is always accompanied by many many cocktails ? At first it was the excitement of watching some decent racing, a few bets and my weekly treat.....now it just seems like i'm numbing the pain :wall:beer :zzz

Well done @Trotter TWO winners!!! Now, time to pass out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Will Rogers Downs " Pick 7 "

715- Whimsical Tale

745- Rockthepulpit

815- Tickle Bunny

845- Jazz Music ( nnnnice )

915- Spectacular Temper

945- Dial Em In

1015- Ima Discreet Lady

not one placed ? am in shocking form .

Edited by calva decoy
Results update
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, LeMale said:

It's lucky my Wednesday afternoons viewing at not so Happy Valley is always accompanied by many many cocktails ? At first it was the excitement of watching some decent racing, a few bets and my weekly treat.....now it just seems like i'm numbing the pain :wall:beer :zzz

Well done @Trotter TWO winners!!! Now, time to pass out.

cheers ,....... but 2 from 18 is not great !

still beans on toast for tea ! ......... ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:

TBD all B365

R1 Something Bird @ 5
R2 Happy Guy @ 4
R3 Lastfortinofamily @ 4.5
R4 Hopeful Growth @ 2.1
R7 Dynaform @ 2.5
R8 US Army Corps @ 2.2

WRD
R1 Whimsical Tale @ 5
:hope

I suppose with the limited data being worked with getting 4 from 6 actual runners in the first 3 could be classed as an achievement from basic number crunching & just a tad better than random selection, will have a play with some different parameters. (keeps me occupied at least,better than watching mind numbing daytime tv)

R1 Something Bird @ 5................nowhere
R2 Happy Guy @ 4.......................3rd
R3 Lastfortinofamily @ 4.5............NR
R4 Hopeful Growth @ 2.1.............WON
R7 Dynaform @ 2.5......................2nd
R8 US Army Corps @ 2.2............3rd

WRD
R1 Whimsical Tale @ 5...............nowhere

11 hours ago, roger2256 said:

I've had some pretty decent wins on the us racing but it still leaves a bitter taste at the way some of these races are run and dear dear dear the jockeys , well what can you say ,been  watching on my phone , just had to retrieve it from the back garden lol 

I have to agree most of these jockeys somewhat mercurial style does tend to make Luke Morris's riding look veritably elegant :loon

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...