BillyHills Posted August 13, 2019 Share Posted August 13, 2019 Big betting race this weekend is the Great St Wilfrid Handicap at Ripon. They also have the Silver Trophy Consolation race which started 7 years ago. 315 Ripon 6f William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+) Trends: 10/10 Carried 9 3 or less 9/10 Ran within 30n days 8/10 Aged 6 or less 7/10 Drawn 9 or above 14/21 Placed last time out 19/21 had ran at least 3 times this season 17/21 had won at the trip before 205 Ripon 6f William Hill Silver Trophy Handicap (Class 2) (3yo+)Consolation Race For The William Hill Great St Wilfrid Stakes) Trends 7/7 ran within 35 days 7/7 aged 6 or less 7/7 won at the trip before 6/7 winners had at least 4 runs this season 5/7 Drawn double figures 5/7 rated less than 90 5/7 placed last time out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted August 14, 2019 Share Posted August 14, 2019 (edited) Ive narrowed the current 20 decs to 3 ..... Staxton 235 +2 Dakota gold 234 +2 Reputation 234 +3 Almost a 3 way tie .....one that stands out currently is reputation ....the other 2 are 10 and 20 but ladbrokes are offering reputation at a crazy 33/1 !!!!...one bookie are 16 !!!....drop to 6f and previous fantastic form at ripon big positives ....outstanding value Reputation 10pts win 33/1 lads Might back other two later in week ...still running the numbers Edited August 14, 2019 by richard-westwood yossa6133 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted August 15, 2019 Author Share Posted August 15, 2019 Great St Wilfrid Card 10/10 Carried 9 3 or less We lose top 139/10 Ran within 30 days We lose Great Prospector8/10 Aged 6 or less We lose Poyle Vinnie7/10 Drawn 9 or above We lose Muscika, Citron Major, VenturousSelections 1pt EW Lahore 10/1 Hills 1pt EW Belated Breath 14/1 Coral Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted August 15, 2019 Author Share Posted August 15, 2019 Silver Trophy Race 7/7 ran within 35 days We lose Alaadel7/7 aged 6 or less We lose Growl, Royal Brave, Pipers Note, Orions Bow, Shepherds Purse7/7 won at the trip before We lose Yousini, Whataguy6/7 winners had at least 4 runs this season We lose Airglow5/7 Drawn double figures We lose Hyperfocus, Flying Persuit, Brian The Snail, Bossipop, Paddy Power5/7 placed last time out We lose Tomily, Tawny Port, No 3yo has won it before We lose Marks Choice Cant split 31pt Royal Prospect 10/1 Hills 1pt Dalton 11/1 Hills 1pt Lucky Lucky Man 16/1 Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted August 15, 2019 Share Posted August 15, 2019 Silver trophy Paddy power 233 +3 Flying pursuit 231 +2 These 2 are a little clear of rest and with both 16/1 ...worth some ew money Paddy power 10pts ew 16/1 wh Flying pursuit 10 pts ew 16/1 wh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 On 8/14/2019 at 9:04 AM, richard-westwood said: Ive narrowed the current 20 decs to 3 ..... Staxton 235 +2 Dakota gold 234 +2 Reputation 234 +3 Almost a 3 way tie .....one that stands out currently is reputation ....the other 2 are 10 and 20 but ladbrokes are offering reputation at a crazy 33/1 !!!!...one bookie are 16 !!!....drop to 6f and previous fantastic form at ripon big positives ....outstanding value Reputation 10pts win 33/1 lads Might back other two later in week ...still running the numbers And 5pts wins each dakota and staxton at 8 and 16/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snert Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 I'm with Billy on these 2 Ripon Races, especially the Great St Wilfred with the top 13 ruled out because of weight - but only very small stakes for me, they are still tricky races. I'm having a small punt on Dalton and Belated Breath BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted August 16, 2019 Author Share Posted August 16, 2019 3x3 + 9 EW Doubles on top 3 in each race Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 16, 2019 Share Posted August 16, 2019 2.05 Rip -love these big Saturday handicaps Loads of chances in this but skybet are going 6 place which appeals to us eachway backers which helps, and you can rule a few out because of the softer ground. I'm gutted i missed the 16's on Lucky Lucky Man Fahey horse has a low weight and a 3lb claimer on top won a decent eace at Ayr last year any more rain will only improve the horses chances at current price 12/1 i've had a win bet as i've backed 3 others in the race e/w with skybet another Fahey runner Paddy Power ran a really decent race the other week at Goodwood down another couple off pounds should be ther abouts again today deffo decent e/w way chance @14/1. Royal Brave if on a going day could spring a surprise at a track where he has won so 25/1 e/w attracts me. Tim Easterby has plenty of runners in this Flying Pursuit will have loads of supporters but Orions Bow at 28's is the one i've backed small e/w. I hav'nt backed growl but no big surprise if he pops up worth keep an eye on this horse will win soon imho. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 3.15 Rip- Lucky enough to get Great Prospect last night at 14/1 just had a win bet on it i now wish i had a decent e/w bet on it as price has collapsed 7/1 at best now. The other one i done last night was Vntage Brut i only got 16/1 e/w 5 places. Have added 2 more ew 6 places Ice Age 25/1 & Lancelot De Lac 33/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Race Trends Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 In addition to the trends highlighted above, have also flagged: 20/20 were aged 3-7 20/20 had won in a field with 10+ runners 18/18 had run in a class 2 or 3 last time out 14/14 (18/19) had carried 9-6 max 13/13 were officially rated 92+ 12/12 had won at least 1 of its last 12 races 10/10 (19/20) had run in the past 56 days 10/10 had won a class 3+ These trends narrow the field to 'just' four: DAKOTA GOLD, MUSCIKA, STAXTON & REPUTATION Agree re the latter, esp given the record of both trainer & jock with 4+ year olds at the course Sir Puntalot 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 to Punters Lounge @Big Race Trends Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Race Trends Posted August 17, 2019 Share Posted August 17, 2019 Thanks for the welcome! Aim is to look at the major races each & see what trends can be uncovered Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted August 18, 2019 Share Posted August 18, 2019 19 hours ago, Big Race Trends said: In addition to the trends highlighted above, have also flagged: 20/20 were aged 3-7 20/20 had won in a field with 10+ runners 18/18 had run in a class 2 or 3 last time out 14/14 (18/19) had carried 9-6 max 13/13 were officially rated 92+ 12/12 had won at least 1 of its last 12 races 10/10 (19/20) had run in the past 56 days 10/10 had won a class 3+ These trends narrow the field to 'just' four: DAKOTA GOLD, MUSCIKA, STAXTON & REPUTATION Agree re the latter, esp given the record of both trainer & jock with 4+ year olds at the course Well done mate ......... 1st, 4th and 5th ! Craig bluenose and Big Race Trends 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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