Racing chat -Sat 26th Aug

[richard-westwood]

Was going to tackle the ebor but can't find much value in it to warrant the risk so I'll try this race 

225 York 

The grand visir    98.88

Intellect      98.86

My only race of The day so may as well have a shot at a good payout ..the grand visir looks very well treated here and priced at 12/1 only with corals looks very generous indeed so I'll have that before its gone ....Intellect is progressive and can't be ignored especially if Ryan takes the ride ...7/1 looks half decent value so lets go for it 

The grand visir 10pts win 12/1 corals

Intellect 10pts win 7/1 lads 

[richard-westwood]

Rated all the other races but this one stands out also ...

245 good 

Raucous   98.96

Johnny Barnes   98.94

Truth or dare  98.91

Big value currently in top 2 here ...this is a hard race to rate but the 10/1 available on the top 2 makes them very good value and worth rolling the dice 

Raucous 10pts win  10/1 bet365

Johnny Barnes  10pts win 10/1 bet365

[richard-westwood]

3 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

Was going to tackle the ebor but can't find much value in it to warrant the risk so I'll try this race 

225 York 

The grand visir    98.88

Intellect      98.86

My only race of The day so may as well have a shot at a good payout ..the grand visir looks very well treated here and priced at 12/1 only with corals looks very generous indeed so I'll have that before its gone ....Intellect is progressive and can't be ignored especially if Ryan takes the ride ...7/1 looks half decent value so lets go for it 

The grand visir 10pts win 12/1 corals

Intellect 10pts win 7/1 lads 

 

7 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

Rated all the other races but this one stands out also ...

245 good 

Raucous   98.96

Johnny Barnes   98.94

Truth or dare  98.91

Big value currently in top 2 here ...this is a hard race to rate but the 10/1 available on the top 2 makes them very good value and worth rolling the dice 

Raucous 10pts win  10/1 bet365

Johnny Barnes  10pts win 10/1 bet365

Hmmmm just noticed both top rated horses teained by w haggas who is a trainer I have a lot of respect for ...very shrewd and never sends anything out unless it has a chance ....don't believe in coincidence so top rated and top trainer I'll try an ew double too 

Raucous and the grand visir 5pt ew double 10/1 both paddyp

[BillyHills]

Fancy Raucous myself Richard

[BillyHills]

520 Chester

Alexander M Nap 5/2 Corals/Betvic

Trainer Mark Johnston does well here at Chester and his 3yo Alexander M looks good enough to take this handicap. Its a race for apprentices and Manuel Fernandes who is riding well at the minute is in the saddle.

He goes on the track having won over C/D and last time out was 3rd at Beverley, he's up another 2lbs here but is a horse in good heart at present and will take some stopping in this company.

[jonshell]

2:35 Killarney SHOWEM SILVER 10/1 Ladbrokes

Still 12lb higher than last win but met traffic at a crucial stage on his last two runs. Up to that point in the race he was running very well. He drops in Grade this afternoon and has ground that he shows his best.

3:45 Killarney CONRAD HASTINGS 7/2 Ladbrokes PP

Looks a smart Chaser in the making winning last 2 races under this code. He did make heavy weather of the last two fences last time, but before that had been jumping brilliantly. This is a little tougher but with a good round of jumping he should go really close to making a hat trick of wins

[robertob]

2.25 York: Class 2 Handicap, 1m 6f

Irish St. Leger winner Jukebox Jury has an outstanding record with his first three year old's in Britain. Contributing towards this has been the Mark Johnston trained Dominating, who ha won already three times this year. 

In fact in his last five starts Dominating has either won or finished second. The handicapper starts to catch up and going up significantly in class doesn't make things easier. 

Still, at a big price and off a very low weight, with conditions likely to suit, he can run a big race and cause an upset I feel.

Selection: 
10pts win - Dominating @ 33/1 Paddy Power 

......

3.35 York: Class 2 Ebor Handicap, 1m 6f 

Normally it is not my style punting the favourite in a big Handicap as the Ebor undoubtedly is, however there is so much to like about Flymetothestars that I can't ignore the facts and feel despite being plenty short enough for a race like this there is still juice in the price.

Why? Well, you can try and read what you want into his form this season, whether a third in the Northumberland Plate was a slight disappointment or not, but fact is this lad is the least exposed in the field, who tackles turf for the first time from the lower end of the weight scale. 

There is very chance for further improvement to come. He is a well bred son of Sea The Stars, so ground and trip aren't an issue at all and his older sons are progressing. 

The draw is an issue so is the fact Flymetothestars can be very keen early on. Also does missing the kick become a habit? Nonetheless if the stars fall right then he is very hard to beat indeed.

Selection:
10pts win - Flymetothestars @ 8/1 Bet365

.......

3.50 Newmarket: Class 2 Handicap, 1m 6f

The three year old Hochfeld has a prime chance here returning to the most suitable 1m 6f trip. His runner-up performance behind Tor at Hamilton is a very strong piece of form. A return to that will see him hard to beat here.

He is still progressing after a busy juvenile campaign won twice at the beginning of the year and followed up with the strong mentioned performance at Hamilton. A slightly disappointing run at Goodwood the last time, though conditions may have been against him.

Selection:
10pts win - Hochfeld @ 4/1 Bet365

......

4.15 Chester: Class 3 Handicap, 7.5f 

This today is arguably the toughest test of his long career, yet Echo Of Lightning appears still improving at the grand age of 7 as he has won already three times this year and has been impressively consistent over the last 12 months.

He has to defy a career highest mark and an impressive display at Pontefract earlier this month, though he might have been helped by the rain and small field.

Nonetheless the numbers tell he improved in each of his last five runs and with a decent draw, a bit of cut in the ground and a sort of specialist trip at a specialist track, he can run big I feel. 

Selection:
10pts win - Echo Of Lightning @ 15/2 Skybet

.......

7.55 Redcar: Class 6 Handicap, 6f

At 16's I'm happy to take a punt on Majestic Stone who lost his race at the start when seen last and has to bounce back from that. He's never been the best starter, so that is an obvious concern, however the return to quick ground is a big plus.

His best performance to date came on good to firm at Thirsk in April. He was unlucky the day and the form has been franked. Up four pounce from there he has confirmed he is up to that sort of mark the next time, however with cut in the ground. 

Slight change of gear today, better ground and hopefully a better start may him see go close at a big price. 

Selection:
10pts win - Majestic Stone @ 16/1 Bet365

[richard-westwood]

Ebor 

What a tough race but if you apply weight and age trends  trends you can narrow the field to the bottom 5 in the weights !!!

Still no easy task ....

Dubka  99.12

Flymetothestars  99.09

Wild hacked  --

Seamour   99.11

Maleficent 99.01

Magic circle  99.08

So out the 6 remaining 2 can be confidently opposed leaving the winner coming from these 4 

Dubka  

Flymetothestars

Seamour

Magic circle 

Difficult to know how to narrow it down further ...each has good chances ..,flymetothestars is fav and well fancied but hasn't raced on turf ??  .....dubka has no such worries .,,good recent form and Gordon taking the ride is very interesting too ....can't fault dubka perfect profile for this and 12/1 with lads looks very very generous .....seamour is 20/1 and can be a bit sketchy but his run at donc in Sept reads really well was 2nd that day in hot race over distance and now 1lb less and nearly a stone lighter on back in real terms so if he can find his form then h ccapper has given a real chance and recent run suggests he's not far off that level now so very good value ...Magic circle has only been given 3 days to recover from a hard race and now faces toughest opposition to date so I'll oppose based on that 

Lots of value on offer fly me 9/1 ....dubka 12/1 ...seamour 22/1.....I'll try 3 handed in a vastly open race and see what the dice roll 

Flymetotgestars 10pts win 9/1 sj

Dubka 10pts win  12/1 lads

Seamour 10pts win 22/1 sj

[DanV89]

I very much like Frozen Angel in Gimcrack. Was looking at it last night and Hayley Turner has just mentioned it on ITV. Beaten by Cardsharp at Ascot but that one carries a penalty today. Only beaten 2.5 lengths last time in a Group 1 at The Curragh and Sioux Nation the winner of that is now rated 115. Frozen Angel has same RPR (122) as Headway which is 3/1 favourite. Frozen Angel 8/1. 

[beaker1]

1.55 York – Betfred Mobile Strensall Stakes (Group 3)

There are two eight-year-olds in the race who look sure to give there all again on Saturday. Firstly, Sovereign Debt has found a new lease of life since joining the Ruth Carr stable as he has racked up a hat-trick of wins in his five runs for the trainer. This started with success in the All-Weather Mile Championships at Lingfield on Good Friday and he then stepped up to Group 2 company on his next start. He landed the bet365 Mile at Sandown as he showed a good attitude to finish off the race up the hill, with Gabrialthe runner-up. He then beat the same rival again in the Group 3 Diomed Stakes at Epsom on Derby day. This time the outcome was closer as he held on by a neck. On his latest effort Sovereign Debt was back to Group 2 level in the Summer Mile at Ascot but could only finish fifth as he was held up further off the pace than ideal and had to come wide when making his challenge. He can bounce back on Saturday but may find or two too strong for him.

The other eight-year-old in the line-up is Gabrial, trained by Richard Fahey. He has been consistent in Group races throughout his career and keeps on getting involved at this level. He started 2017 with races in Meydan and Doha and has returned to Britain to perform creditably since. He finished fourth in the competitive Lincoln at Doncaster and then did well to finish second in the Group 2 Celebration Mile at Sandown, half a length behind rival Sovereign Debt. After that he was fourth in Group 3 Huxley Stakes at Chester before being only beaten a neck by Sovereign Debt in Epsom’s Diomed Stakes. Those performances would see him on the premises yet again on Saturday, but he is vulnerable for win purposes.

MONDIALISTE is a two-time international Grade 1 winner at his best for David O’Meara (the 2015 Woodbine Mile Stakes and the 2016 Arlington Million), but went lost his form to start off 2017. However, he showed promise in his third run of the season in Sandown’s Group 3 Brigadier Gerard Stakes, where he stayed on well for fourth over the ten furlongs trip. The son of Galilieo was then dropped back to a mile for the Listed Ganton Stakes on the Knavesmire. He travelled well that day and had every chance before finishing sixth behind Goldolphin’s Arabian Hope. Last time out was a return to form for the seven-year old as he was tried again over the mile and two furlongs. He put up a very good effort to finish a nose second to Irish raider Success Days, staying on over from the rear of the field. MONDIALISTE is taken to build on that run and get back to winning ways in the Strensall.

Other to note are the Sir Michael Stoute-trained Mustashry and Master The World for David Elsworth. They both bring high-class handicap form to the race and are looking to make the step up to Group level. The former could be the main threat to the selection having won a good class 2 at Chelmsford last time, getting the better of Mark Johnston’s Masham Star. He is lightly-raced and has more potential to improve than Master The World, who would need to step up on his latest effort when fourth in the Group 3 Sovereign Stakes at Salisbury.

Advice

MONDIALISTE – 1pt win @ 3/1 (Boylesports)

2.25 York – Betfred Melrose Handicap

Sir Michael Stoute’s Intellect won in the style of a very progressive colt at Newbury last month, drawing clear impressively in the closing stages to win by nine lengths. He showed no signs of stopping that day and having improved so much for the step up to 1m4f, you would have to think that another two furlongs won’t be beyond him. Both of his victories have come on soft ground so there would have to be a question mark if the ground quickens up and having been raised 12lb, he is passed over.

Mark Johnston’s runners are normally not to far away in this race and the pick of his pair looks to be Sofia’s Rock. The colt’s form has been a bit in and out but there was plenty to like about his run at Newmarket last time and he also ran well when third in Group 3 company at the same venue in July. He sits towards the top of the weights here so could be vulnerable to less exposed rivals but he if runs to his best form, he shouldn’t be too far away.

On To Victory and Winston C are both closely matched on their runs at Goodwood, where there was just a length and a quarter between them. However, I think the soft ground may have suited the former better on that occasion and I think there is a possibility that the form could be reversed on this sounder surface.

However, the one I like the look of is NORTHWEST FRONTIER who has snuck in towards the bottom of the weights. Richard Fahey’s gelding was still green when second at Thirsk last time and although this is a much better race, he should be suited by the step up in trip and has next to no weight on his back. His trainer hasn’t had the best of weeks so far but this well-bred colt looks worth an each-way bet.

Advice

NORTHWEST FRONTIER – 0.5pt e/w @ 14/1 (Ladbrokes) (4 places 1/4 odds)

3.00 York – Al Basti Equiworld Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2)

This looks a pretty good renewal of the Gimcrack with a number of smart colts taking their chance. Mark Johnston’s Cardsharp has already won a Group 2 this season having landed the July Stakes at Newmarket. However, he carries a 3lb penalty for that success here and with only two horses having successfully carried that penalty since 2000, he looks to be up against it.

A number of these ran in the Richmond Stakes won by Barraquero including Nebo who has been second in Group 2 company on his last two starts. He seems pretty versatile in terms of ground and if produces his latest run, he is likely to be right in the mix.

Headway also ran in that race but performed well below expectations down in sixth. I would be prepared to forgive him that effort as the soft ground clearly wasn’t to his liking and he should be able to bounce back to form on this sounder surface. William Haggas has won this race three times and it is no surprise to see this colt towards the head of the market.

However, there are a couple of colts stepping into Group company for the first time including Sands Of Mali who got off the mark in style at Nottingham at the beginning of the month. He got the better of a subsequent Listed winner on that occasion and I’m sure connections will be hoping for a big run.

But the one I like the look of is STORMBRINGER who was an expensive purchase at the breeze-up sales and was far from disgraced when third to Another Batt on his debut in July. He paid the price for trying to take on George Scott’s colt that day but had no trouble getting off the mark at Redcar next time, stretching clear impressively in the closing stages under hands and heels riding. The cheekpieces he wore that day were declared in error so they aren’t retained today but Kevin Ryan has won this race twice in the last five years and I think this colt is very overpriced at 25/1.

Advice

STORMBRINGER – 0.5pt e/w @ 25/1 (bet365)(1/4 odds)

3.35 York – Betfred Ebor (HANDICAP )

This race has proved a real graveyard for older contenders with only four horses older than five being able to land the Ebor since the legendary Sea Pigeon scored as a nine-year-old in 1979. All four have done so in the last twelve years (including the last two) but even so, this is a particularly strong negative statistic. There are several runners in today’s field aged six or above including the likes of Ivan Grozny, Top Tug and Nakeeta.

Usually in races such as this, being drawn on the rail is an advantage but that hasn’t proved the case in the Betfred Ebor. Runners drawn low have been at an overwhelming disadvantage in recent years with only three of the last ten winners scoring from stall 14 or lower. With victory in the Betfred Ebor being held in such high esteem, those jockeys drawn low have shown a tendency to break far too quickly from the stalls in order to take advantage of their draw, but only end up setting a furious early pace in order to maintain their position. These early exertions clearly take their toll and play right into the hands of those drawn wide.

The weights in the Betfred Ebor are fairly well compressed these days, making this trend fairly a minor one, but it must be noted that only four of the last 26 winners successfully shouldered more than 9st 3lbs. In such a competitive handicap where stamina is at an absolute premium, every pound matters, and the chances of the seven in the field who are carrying the desired weight must be increased.

The 2011 25/1 winner Moyenne Corniche went against a well-established trend, notably that he had finished outside of the first four on his most recent start. This is a stat that has accounted for eight of the last ten winners, so it does not look a race in which it is best to pin your hopes on a horse returning to form here.
We can take this trend one step further when you consider that 8 of the last 10 winners had achieved a top two finish on either or both of their two latest starts.
Whichever way you look at it, favourites do not fare well in the Betfred Ebor – there have only been two winning favourites since 1998, and there have been four winners in the last decade priced no shorter than 20/1. Therefore the best advice, other than to oppose the favourite, is to back your selection regardless of the starting price.

Shortlist

DUBKA – 5/6

Star Storm – 5/6

Nakeeta – 5/6

Magic Circle – 5/6

Conclusion

In an ultra-competitive renewal of the race, all of our runners miss at least one of the trends but the one who gets the narrow vote is DUBKA. Sir Michael Stoute’s filly seemed to appreciate the return to 1m6f when second in Group 3 company last time and she is an intriguing contender back in handicap company. The one trend that she misses is that she has 9st 4lb on her back, but with the bottom weight carrying 9st 3lb I don’t think this trend will be as important in this year’s renewal. Her form suggests she wouldn’t want the ground to get too quick but I think it is unlikely to do so, so she must have a big chance.

Just missing out on the top spot is Star Storm who was third in a valuable handicap at Ascot last time. James Fanshawe’s five-year-old has plenty of Group form to his name including a Group 3 and if he brings his A game then he is likely to go close to giving his trainer another big handicap pot.

Iain Jardine went close twelve months ago with Shrewd and he looks to have another interesting contender here in the shape of Nakeeta. The six-year-old was second off a mark of 99 in October at Leopardstown and ran well for a long way off his raised mark at Newmarket last time. He has course and distance form to his name having chased home Dal Harraild here in May and with Callum Rodriguez taking a useful 5lb off his back, he has to go close.

The final member of the shortlist is Magic Circle who snuck in at the foot of the weights having won over 2m here earlier in the week. Ralph Beckett’s five-year-old won with a bit up his sleeve on that occasion and with the 4lb penalty unlikely to make much difference, he looks well-placed to go close to completing a notable double.

Advice

DUBKA – 0.5pt e/w @ 12/1 (BetVictor) (4 places 1/4 odds)

4.10 York – The Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race)

An uncharacteristically large field for this year’s renewal which makes finding the winner very tricky indeed.

Qatar Racing were responsible for back-to-back winners in 2013 & 2014 courtesy of Hot Streak and Mid of Madness and are represented this time round by Out of The Flames. The Queen Mary third was well fancied in the Listed St Hugh’s Stakes at Newbury last time but was well beaten in seventh, finishing 2 ½ lengths adrift of Looks A Million. She should have sounder underfoot conditions here though and is likely to be in the mix.

However, preference is for TO WAFIJ on the back of a pair of fine third-place finishes behind subsequent Group 1 runner-up Havana Grey. The son of Kodiac has stayed on well without threatening the front two on each occasion but his running style looks well suited to this bigger field as he can be waited with to strike off a strong pace. He comfortably holds Formidable Kitt on their Sandown meeting back in July, and Koditime and Encrypted from the Molceomb last time. With a host of big race entries to his name, connections evidently think a bit of him and this looks a slightly easier opportunity than those he’s been contesting of late.

Elizabeth Darcy could well be the one to chase him home if repeating her runner-up effort in a Deauville Group 3 last time. She stayed on well in ground that was likely a lot softer than ideal and could well have finished closer on a sounder surface. She looked all speed when attempting to go from the front in the Windsor Castle Stakes won by Sound And Silence at Royal Ascot, eventually fading into sixth but could take a lot of reeling in if allowed an easy lead here.

On official ratings, Bengali Boys is the one to beat and you couldn’t fail to be impressed with his barnstorming display in the Weatherbys Super Sprint last month. He powered clear of Declarationoflove by six lengths, an astonishing feat in a race as competitive as that, and the gallant grey is entitled to step up to this level on the back of that performance. I’m always a tad sceptical of sales race form though and while I fully expect him to be there or thereabouts, I think the percentage call is to look elsewhere.

Of the remainder, Pursuing The Dream has to enter the reckoning having scored at Listed level in France last time out. She carries a 3lb penalty for that though and was well beaten in the Super Sprint.

Advice

TO WAFIJ – 1.5pt win @ 9/2 (Paddy Power)

4.40 York – The Betfred Supports Jack Berry House Handicap Stakes

This handicap is usually stacked and looks a devilishly difficult puzzle to try and solve but history suggests that the cream tends to rise to the top with an average winning price of just 15/2 in the last 10 runnings, a pretty low return given the field size has dipped under 15 just once in that time period.

Khairaat will top many a shortlist and the ante-post favourite for the Cambridgeshire admittedly has bags of upside. Sir Michael Stoute’s charge hosed up in a handicap at Chester’s May meeting, beating Brorocco by 4 ½ lengths in the process, before being sent off favourite in the Wolferton Handicap at Royal Ascot, won by Snoano. That was a mammoth ask for a horse up 13lb on just his fifth start and he wasn’t beaten all that far in fairness despite finishing 13th, suffering a bit of a troubled passage in the process. He bounced back well at Goodwood though when third behind Dark Red (placed 2nd), just paying the price for his inexperience as he drifted across the track with the leading pair. He is up 2lb for that, compared to Dark Red’s 4lb, which should see him turn the tables on the Ed Dunlop runner and a big run is expected.

However, preference is for the horse that finished one place behind him that day in Roger Varian’s UAE PRINCE. He was staying on like a train from way back only to fall foul of Dark Red’s drift across the track and was value to finish a bit closer had he been allowed a straight line. He remains on the same mark as last, the same 97 that saw him finish a close-up fourth in the John Smith’s Cup, and his time certainly looks to be coming sooner rather than later.

The Stoute and Varian runners look the class acts in the field and comfortable hold the re-opposing Eddystone Rock (8th), Bravery (9th), Baydar (11th) and Speed Company (15th).

These York handicaps are normally a haven for locally-trained runners but this particular contest has been anything but. Richard Fahey is the only Yorkshire-based handler to have registered a winner in the last 10 renewals, courtesy of Our Joe Mac back in 2011, and his sole runner Spring Offensive looks to be up against it on current form despite dropping back to his last winning mark. He finished six lengths behind Storm King at Goodwood last time out and will likely get found out again in this sort of company.

The local challenge looks to be headed by Mark Johnston, who hasn’t had the best time of things at this meeting over the years but has already got on the scoresheet this week. He is double-handed here with Beardwod and Titi Makfi, with the latter holding the strongest claims of the duo. The sole three-year-old in the line-up receives a handy weight-for-age allowance and registered her fifth win of the campaign at Newmarket last time. A further 4lb rise and a career-high mark of 97 means that she needs to pull out a bit more here but she could well be up to it.

Of the remainder, Weekend Offender must come into consideration having stayed on nicely to score at Ayr a fortnight ago. He was being considered for a crack at the John Smith’s Cup until falling foul of the Kevin Ryan yard’s quarantine so this contest over C&D could well be considered a viable consolation.

Kentuckyconnection is a horse I find most intriguing having shown his first piece of form since being hammered by the handicapper for finishing fifth in last year’s 1000 Guineas back in June. He is at least on a more realistic mark now but isn’t certain to relish the step back up to this trip.

Advice

UAE PRINCE – 1.5pt win @ 4/1 (Paddy Power)

5.15 York – Betfred Apprentice Handicap

Trainer Tim Easterby will be aiming to end the Ebor Festival with another winner as he saddles Copper Knight in the closing Apprentice Handicap. The three-year-old has been in fine form in 2017 since switching from the Hugo Palmer yard, winning two of his six races. He got back to winning ways on his second start for Easterby in a class 2 at Chester, the course where his only previous win had came as a juvenile in the Lily Agnes. He made all to get the better of Evergate by two and a quarter lengths and then followed up that performance with success over Saturday’s course and distance. He employed front-running tactics again to good effect that day and won with a bit in hand. The colt looked worth a try in a higher grade and then went for the Listed Scurry Stakes at Sandown. He put up a very creditable effort to finish third, with the form being strongly franked by the winner high-class Bataash and also the runner-up Koropick. However, next time out he finished down the field in the City Walls Stakes on the Knavesmire before returned to a handicap at Ascot on his latest run. He got back on track when finishing fourth there and looks likely to make another bold bid at York this weekend.

Holmeswood has also been in top form as he bids to make it a hat-trick of wins on Saturday for trainer Michael Dods. He not won since the final start of his two-year-old campaign but being gelded has made the difference for the son of Mayson. After finishing fourth at Ayr he comfortably got back to winning ways at that same course dropped to five furlongs. He was then retuned again to six furlongs at Ripon last time out and made it successive victories as he stayed on well to get on top close home. The gelding will need to find more improvement to complete the hat-trick as he is upped in class and back over the shorter distance.

Dods also saddles Intense Romance who has made up for lost time in 2017 having been unraced as a two-year-old. She has had a busy campaign with eleven runs so far and has developed an impressive strike rate, racking up five wins. Four of those wins have came on the all-weather at Newcastle but on her last three starts she has shown that she can reproduce that form the turf. After finishing a close second at Carlisle last month, the filly gained her first win on the turf in a class 4 at Ascot. She travelled well on the slower ground that day and put the race to bed nicely. Last time out Intense Romance finished fourth upped to a class 3 at Glorious Goodwood but was unlucky not to finish closer having been hampered. She remains in form and looks likely to run her race again at York.

Preference is for EVERGATE who has been rejuvenated since moving to the Robert Cowell yard. Like Copper Knight, he was previously with Hugo Palmer but has been in consistent form this year after having a change of scenery. The son of Exceed And Excel finished runner-up on his first three starts for Cowell with the last of those coming behind Copper Knight at Chester. Although beaten two and a quarter lengths on that occasion, the change in weights on Saturday can help him to reverse the positions. EVERGATE was in receipt of 2lb at Chester but will be receiving 16lb at York with Jonathan Fisher taking off a useful 7lb. Also, EVERGATE went on to record victory next time out in a class 2 at Windsor, where the softer conditions were no problem as he kept on strongly to beat Roger Varian’s Yalawin by a length. On his latest run at Doncaster he was upped to six furlongs where he finished fifth. However, he was making progress but his run ended when he hung into the runner-up. EVERGATE is taken to resume his progress on Saturday and prove himself to be another useful sprinter for trainer Robert Cowell.

Advice

EVERGATE – 1pt e/w @ 9/1 (bet365, BetVictor) (4 places ¼ odds

[richard-westwood]

On 25/08/2017 at 1:25 PM, richard-westwood said:

Rated all the other races but this one stands out also ...

245 good 

Raucous   98.96

Johnny Barnes   98.94

Truth or dare  98.91

Big value currently in top 2 here ...this is a hard race to rate but the 10/1 available on the top 2 makes them very good value and worth rolling the dice 

Raucous 10pts win  10/1 bet365

Johnny Barnes  10pts win 10/1 bet365

Disappointing first race but bounced back in the 2nd 110 pts returned been a good week overall...I'm reading +320 pts since last Saturday with the ebor still to come later....love my sis feels like shes on my shoulder now so the fun we are gonna have over the coming years is endless .....rock n roll time 

Edited August 26, 2017 by richard-westwood