Dog&Under Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Got em at -7.5 .... Bleh whatever, I'm over these edge of the seat finishes.. That's six wins in row for me in wnbl to round out the yr but just about all of them could easily have been Ls if someone belched at a different time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 20, 2015 Author Share Posted December 20, 2015 Thought you'd run up a few all of a sudden. Picked up six units myself across Oz basketball this round, just as a reminder that it does happen. Dog&Under 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted December 21, 2015 Share Posted December 21, 2015 Yeah into the 'black' for the season but still some work to be done in the new year to 'make my nut' ... has been a pretty wild season so far for wnbl standards.. Probably symptomatic of the increasing evenness across the league that's been steadily building over the last year or two.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 21, 2015 Author Share Posted December 21, 2015 Oz BB, I was up eight units (one unit is usual outlay on a game) by about the end of October, then steadily set fire to ten. Now I'm +5 all of a sudden. I guess that's where money management fundementals are so highly important and the experience of knowing that good and bad runs are just part of the caper. It's interesting regards the eveneness. If I just woke from a three month sleep and had a stab guessing the ladder based on rosters, I'd surely have Canberra somewhere in the hunt, even with the news Jackson was down. Four of the five starters are WNBA players or draftees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted December 31, 2015 Author Share Posted December 31, 2015 Jumped on the price drift in this one tonight, backed the well drilled home team. Perth @ 1.79 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 2, 2016 Author Share Posted January 2, 2016 Canberra +12.5 @ 2.00 Have lost just one in last six games by more than seven points. The break should do Canberra no harm and with Bendigo still hampered by injuries the margin is at least a strong chance to be within single digits again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 resurfacing of the million dollar fiasco could have them in poor spirits. although maybe jackson was the cancer and her leaving could lead to a new lease on... my leans are sydney, seq and adelaide. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 43 minutes ago, binomial said: resurfacing of the million dollar fiasco could have them in poor spirits. although maybe jackson was the cancer and her leaving could lead to a new lease on... my leans are sydney, seq and adelaide. Would never accuse Jackson of being a toxic influence on a team but I certainly think the whole "will she or won't she" thing has been a big negative for Canberra over the last couple of seasons.. Or at least Canberra appears to have let the whole thing side track them .. I'm not about to tell a legend like LJ she should retire but surely her virtual perma-injured state over the last three or so years and her age are starting to talk pretty loudly.. In any case, Canberra really should have waived Jackson well before now and moved on imo... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 2, 2016 Share Posted January 2, 2016 Seems ridiculous for a day / night when four games are on the board but likely nothing for me tonight .. nothing standing out tbh .. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 7, 2016 Author Share Posted January 7, 2016 Watched Canberra live last week and much of the team were forever in two minds about what they should do, rather than just going bang with obvious plays. The good thing for me was they have that much talent that they magically cover anyway. Tonight, Perth @ 2.20 & +2.5 @ 1.91 Bit of weighing up to do with Sydney's tenacious spirit yielding a 3-0 run over wounded opposition in each. They should be keen to get off to a better start tonight but I've a lot of respect for Perth program. They've been strong on the road and I've marked them a slight favorite. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Sydney look comfortably third but have no games against the bottom three remaining. This could easily be the start of the slide out of the four. You got good prices as usual. Not sure I can play at 1.5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 8, 2016 Author Share Posted January 8, 2016 New they were gone once jumped to 0-7 lead! Tonight, Adelaide-Dandenong UNDER 148.5 @ 1.90 Adelaide #3 is perhaps skewed by who the've played, while lowest ranked Rangers are 2-8 after the opening month, depicting the smothering defence they play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 nice call. playing Sydney +3 Melbourne +7 Sydney won at Melbourne and Bendigo in December and I think the extra days rest is pretty big here,. Melbourne have been keeping it close and have beaten Bendigo twice so could go ok. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 9, 2016 Author Share Posted January 9, 2016 (edited) Sydney @ 2.25 & +2.5 @ 1.99 Thought I was looking at odds wrong way around because was prepared to take some odds-on. Rangers have lost just the one at home (Towns) and knocked over Sydney (20) & Perth in consecutive weeks but both had off nights IMO. They back up on no rest and are prone to run out of fizz . As we know, Sydney are good at coming from behind and also the better team IMO. Bendigo -6.5 @ 1.90 Have had a couple of players hampered by injury but seem a better outfit (than had been) of late and I think they'll be ready for Boomers this time. Penaluna doubtful to play and Madgen still battling (by reports) injury, so I suspect Boomers could find it hard to maintain the fight they've showed of late. Canberra - Perth OVER 150 @ 1.90 Canberra are deceptively higher than they might seem IMO. They are 10-6, Perth 9-8 and both have played a decent share of low teams and usually go over in similar company. Hopefully Lynx will get their act together off a couple of poor shooting nights (Canberra's defence can be awful). Probably won't be helped out by any OT, however! Added Dandenong - Sydney UNDER 150 @ 1.91 Drifted to a number I couldn't resist. Edited January 9, 2016 by Ashtee Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Lol, see ya Sydney.. Knew I'd ridden my luck too far with them tonight.. Looks like they all boarded the plane home at the 6:40 mark in the 2nd Q not it even the USA women's national side could beat Dandenong at home Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 A 'push' on the Flames... Excuse me while I go and kiss my sister on the cheek... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 10, 2016 Author Share Posted January 10, 2016 A lot of laundery going on here! Impressive by Rangers. Would have definite claims if playoffs were held now. No Penaluna & effectively no Madgen, hillarious how Bendigo fell for it a third time. Townsville too! Was their chance to prove are refocussed for the run home. Doubtful they can win it IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 10, 2016 Share Posted January 10, 2016 ^ Yeah, I made the game in D'nong a pk so told myself I had to play Sydney at +3 but I really didn't like it given I'd (we'd) played the Flames at the same number vs Melbourne and +5 @ Bendigo over recent weeks... value didn't seem there against a team that's 7-1 at home.. in the end the push was extremely lucky. Watching the early part of that game in Bendigo the word "frauds" was coming to mind vis a vis the Spirit ... Sneaking home by 7 against that toothless Boomers lineup after proclaiming how angry they were going to play just doesn't stack up... And Townsville just seems to need a reason to get out of bed, so to speak ... Maybe with a boot up their arse after losing a derby game they'll feel like showing up next weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binomial Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 taking sydney +4.5 seems too many. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Interesting that we essentially get the same line on sydney from a month ago when they won straight up in Bendigo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Rumour is Swords is out with a hand injury. Ebzery did the Rio trip while all Bendigo players are fresh. My definite lean is Bendigo, although I'd like a touch more price about this mob . Dog&Under 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Bendigo @ 1.57 OK, just secured the price I want, after getting half on earlier today. Richards (quiet) and Oliver (11mins) were both under the weather last time they met. Richards 32pts @ 87% last outing v Melb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yeah although I generally take WNBL lines on face value, this one is a bit telling imo.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 22, 2016 Author Share Posted January 22, 2016 Had something, Adelaide @ 7.22. Price little high IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 Tried Canberra +15 @ 1.92 & some to win @ 8.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 24, 2016 Author Share Posted January 24, 2016 Today; Townsville -23.5 @ 1.94 Townsville reportably prepared strongly to respond off loss. Stallworth should be back but strong chance we get a repeat freefall from Caps. Adelaide +13 @ 2.00 Margins previous meetings were 13 & 8, where in the latter Perth at home only broke clear very late. I expect Perth to be a little more ready for them today, despite likely down two starters but Adelaide on a positive weekend can provide a challenge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Not normally a totals guy in wnbl but looking hard at that number in townsville Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ashtee Posted January 25, 2016 Author Share Posted January 25, 2016 Dandenong -2 @ 1.98 Rangers, in response to a loss, should win this easily. I'm bamboozzled by the plunge on Melbourne. Unless three Ranger starters are mysteriously out, the match would need to be fixed for Boomers to win IMO and I don't believe that happens. Melbourne - Dandenong UNDER 145.5 Playable number for the best defensive team in the comp. Previous meetings were 144 & 146 but Rangers defence has evolved, for 2-8 of late and they should bring it off the way they lost Friday. Melbourn'e (#7) totals of late have been a bit higher than expected, so I'd lean to passing up the current 143. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dog&Under Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 On the Rangers -1 and already marking an 'L' in my January record.. We all know how this goes, Boomers' star players out, plunge is on, fix is in.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tom2tom Posted January 25, 2016 Share Posted January 25, 2016 (edited) Melbourne missing a centre and most likely a point guard against Dandenong and odds dropping for them ? You would think the money would be Heavily weighted to Dandenong. The total seems off as well. I know Dandenong are playing a double this weekend, but Melbourne should score 75 or more points this game, They have had enough games to adjust to the missing players. Edited January 25, 2016 by tom2tom Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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