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Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July

robertob
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robertob

robertob

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16:00 Pontefract: Pipalong Stakes (Listed, 1 mile) - This appears to be an open contest, held at the beautiful racing venue of Pontefract. The Listed Pipalong Stakes over 1m lacks an obvious winning contender, however it could easily become a messy race, considering the fact that Pontefract is a kind of quirky track, and interestingly there seems to be an awful lot of pace in the race, which makes it quite a compelling contest, since the track usually prefers horses ridden close to the pace due to the short run-in. There might be a rough battle for position. Favourit Pavlosk is still generally lightly raced and wasn't disgraced in Group 3 company at Lingfield back in May. She is back over 1m which should suit, but the ground is some kind of a question mark, since her best form came with cut in the ground. She could well be too good for this lot if she can improve further, but it's hard to be too confident in her either, since it's not given that she does improve. Second favourit Dutch Rose is a seasoned campaigner. She is also consistent and ground independent. She hasn't been able to win over 1m in six starts though, so the trip is an obvious concern. Butterfly Mcqueen is one the most interesting contenders. Her recent performance in a Group 3, where she wasn't too far beaten behind subsequent G1 winner Thistle Bird, appears to be decent enough and she might well have still a bit improvement left, now as a four year old. She has won over 1m as well as on quick ground. Question is if the combination of track, trip and ground is really what she wants.Masarah is next best in the betting but she has won only one of her 17 starts on turf and it's hard to see her getting her head in front in this competitive race. The rest of the betting market is 10/1 bar. Which means there should be a bit of value available since the head of the market is hard to fancy given their rather short prices. I do think it could be worth to give someone a chance who stays a bit further than 1m, given the conditions of this race. And that could make Boonga Roogeta a worthy contender. Normally she seems slightly below what is required to be really competitive in a Listed race, but while this years Pipalong Stakes are competitive in its own right, it is probably not really a particularly strong races in terms of its status as a Listed race. That is where Boonga Roogeta comes into the equation. She is a multiple winner of competitive handicaps ranging in distance from one mile to ten furlongs. It is hard to argue against the fact that she is better the further she goes. However she won some good races over 9f and she loves fast ground. She also prefers to go from the front, and while there is plenty of pace on here plus the fact that she has to overcome a wide draw, I have no doubt that she'll be right up with the pace. She can fight for position and has gate speed. It should be a really quick race with emphasis on stamina, and that would suit her. She also usually does quite well at this kind of quirky, undulating tracks. She won in May on seasonal debut a small handicap at Brighton, couldn't quite follow up when she went too quick in her most recent start. Putting it all together, I feel she has the ability to go close here and conditions that should see her clearly involved in a finish which could be quite messy. Selection: Boonga Roogeta @ 16/1 Bet365 - 0.5pts e/w

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Dund0n

Dund0n

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Re: Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July 3.15 Lingfield - Invasor Luck win @ 8/1 Bet365 This race looks really competitive with the majority of the field possessing good chances. The Holyman goes well here with 2 C&D wins from 3 races but after his win last time out he has been put up to a mark of 74 and the extra 4lb might stop him from repeating as he has never won off higher than 72. I've more or less written Red Pilgrim off as he is in no form and has not finished higher than 6th on the AW. Passion Play was 9th of 9 behind The Holyman last time out and while she will probably come on for the run I can't see her overturning that result. Black Minstrel ran well after a break to win last time out and while he is unexposed I feel the step up in class and an extra 8lb will stop him from notching up a second win. In my opinion Invasor Luck has the best chance here. He is more or less a proven AW performer with 2 places at the course and a third at Kempton behind Romsdal who was third in the Derby. His last run can be excused as it was on turf and I think a return to this surface will bring him back to form. He is also the trainers only runner at the course today. The trip is a bit of a question mark but he has looked to stay on in his races so I can't see it being a problem. I think the main competition will come from the other 3YOs in the race as Grace and Favour and Crystal Pearl are unexposed and Crystal Pearl's win came on the AW. Filament of Gold is more exposed but after a poor run has been dropped 4lbs and looks competitive and he has AW form.

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twinny

twinny

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Re: Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July 1st attempt,just seen this i will try a 1 point win on spitfire 2.45 lingfield spitfire was slow away last time out and ran on near the end for a decent second,this is only just over a week on so hopefully should show similar form and maybe go one better and grab top spot,carrying 9,7 last time and only 9 stone today,good chance,have put it as a selection in my daily yank:hope

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santos_

santos_

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Re: Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July Pontefract 4.30 - Rocksilla (1pts win, 12/1 BetVictor) I've backed this horse on both runs this year and hardly got a run for my money in either start with two well below par efforts but I'm not going to desert him just yet as I feel today he could bounce back. He's a C&D winner so I'm hoping a trip back here might reinvigorate him and the booking of Hanagan is interesting.

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BillyHills

BillyHills

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Re: Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July 4.30 Pontefract: Hadaj EW 8/1 BetVictor Been running consistently all season and ran another good race last time when third in a photo finish at Beverley the other day from a difficult draw. Drawn well tonight in 2 and comes up against a bunch of horses largely out of form and should go close.

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Rainbow

Rainbow

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Re: Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July catalyze 2.15 lingfield gets the kiss of death from me today. i liked the run last time and feel with 2lb less to carry, the horse should be involved in finish of this race if getting a good enough trip. no trip or surface concerns and appears to have every chance. 1 point win 18/1 stan james bog

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Crazycoolkat

Crazycoolkat

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Re: Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July Street Boss 5:30 Pontefract - e/w 9/1 (William Hill) In the first three on all three starts off this mark and seemed to appreciate step up to 1m last time when failing to get much luck in running. 6lb better off with winner of that race here and clear place claims at worst.

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Bathtime For Rupert

Bathtime For Rupert

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Re: Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July 3.00 Pontefract - 1pt win Obboorr @ 8/1 (Ladbrokes) His only win has come on the all-weather when clinging on over 1m4f at Kempton two starts back but has run with credit on the grass as well so I wouldn't be hugely concerned about conditions today. On the evidence of that victory and his close up effort over the same 1m4f trip at Lingfield last time, a stiff 1m2f may suit him a little bit better. Has run well here a couple of times before and his recent efforts have been solid enough. Is regularly partnered by inexperienced or lady riders so it's a plus that Tom Eaves is back aboard today who is 1-1 on the horse and hopefully the six month break won't be an issue (sole win came after 3 months off). The fact that Eaves is booked suggests they expect a good effort and if fit should go well at a decent price.

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bluemal

bluemal

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Re: Nap Of The Day Competition - Tuesday 8th July 15:00 Pontefract: The Osteopath The Osteopath....from John Davies yard the 11yo gets its turn usual once a year in the winners enclosure when its racing mark comes down from 74 to 70 , Today its off 74 with its last run being 47 days ago when it ran 4th at Ayr 8f g/s when it finished 8 lengths behind Jim Goldie's horse Another For Joe, Jockey P J McDonald has been on board all its runs this season and is in saddle again today

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