US Open 2013

[CzechPunter]

:ok

[amity]

Re: US Open 2013 looking forward to the last major of the year! hope Fed-x can make it through to the quarters but can't see him toppling Nadal then will take a comprehensive look at the draw over the weekend and see what value there is I've seen a few reports suggesting Gasquet could go deep but I can't see it myself If he could keep his focus better, he'd possibly have won a slam by now, or at least made a final, but ultimately he always disppoints, the perennial underachiever

[dizzyme]

Re: US Open 2013 Del Potro is a dark horse for this he pushed Djokovic to the wire in the Wimbledon semi, he could spoil Djokovic's party as their paths are set to meet in the quarters.

[homunculus]

Re: US Open 2013 ^^ It's hard to trust DelPo after his supermegachoke he delivered in Cinci semifinal vs Isner.

[owenclass]

Re: US Open 2013 Albert Ramos vs Bernard Tomic over 37.5 games 4/5 skybet tomic to win 3-1 11/4 skybet too close call to find a winner but tomic has been more consistent also he likes hard courts where his opponent prefers clay Dan Evans vs Kei Nishikori over 32.5 games 4/5 skybet nishikori to win 3-1 14/5 skybet ive been impressed with the brit this year has really improved as a player and qualifying for a grand slam is a great achievement he will give nishikori good game but i expect four sets Serena Williams vs Francesca Schiavone over 17.5 games 8/11 skybet i think this ould be close despite serena being huge favourite her opponennt is still a good player on hard court

[CzechPunter]

Re: US Open 2013 Back Will the final be S. Williams vs. V. Azarenka? - No for a 5/10 stake at 1.65 with Pinnacle Good odds I would say, as both will face some very tricky match-ups in their quarters and even the semis could turn out to be fairly tough affairs. They might be a notch above the rest of the draw, but they certainly aren't that much above to make these odds not worth it. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/us-open-2013-betting-the-women-s-event-might-be-more-open-than-it-looks-at-first-glance Back Who will go the furthest? - Samantha Stosur (vs. Petra Kvitova) for a 4/10 stake at 1.90 with Bet365 The US Open has always been the worst Grand Slam for the Czech number one, as she simply doesn't like the conditions and the weather. On the other hand, Stosur usually does rather well at Flushing Meadows and also has the easier draw of the two earlier on, so fancy her to do a bit more than Kvitova over the next few days. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/us-open-2013-betting-samantha-stosur-should-be-able-to-do-a-bit-more-than-petra-kvitova- Back Will R. Nadal make the US Open final? - Yes for a 4/10 stake at 1.71 with Pinnacle Back Dmitry Tursunov to win the 3rd quarter for a 0.5/10 stake at 51.56 with Pinnacle A very generous draw for Rafa and I simply cannot see anyone stopping him before the finals if he is fully alright fitness-wise, which he does indeed seem to be. Meanwhile, the third quarter of the draw looks the most open of them all, so fancy a small punt on Tursunov at such a massive price. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/us-open-2013-betting-the-second-half-of-the-men-s-draw-should-be-all-about-rafael-nadal

[amity]

Re: US Open 2013 any thought on Melzer? he was pretty impressive last week, has a new coach now which seems to have helped his confidence CzechPunter, am not so sure about Tursunov, he was well beaten by Melzer last week, unless of course he was saving himself for this! ;)

[CzechPunter]

Re: US Open 2013 Can't see him getting past DelPo to be honest. I am not so sure about Tursunov either and he is probably not going to make it very far, but the odds just look too massive really, so half a point can't hurt.

[dontknowhowtowin]

Re: US Open 2013 Guys, What's the story behind the odds between Flipkens and Venus Williams? Is Venus that hurt?

[Guardiola]

Re: US Open 2013 Dodig to beat Verdasco. 2,70 @ pinnacle (2 pts.) Dodig (+3) to beat Verdasco. 1,90 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) Fancy the chances of Dodig here with his powerful play. He should like the conditions and had some nice results in the States until he retired against Russell two weeks ago. Verdasco with an ordinary year, except from his performance in Wimbledon. This was fantastic play. If he can manage to play at this high level, he will beat Dodig, but I am willing to take this risk here as Verdasco simply lacks the consistency these days. Matosevic to beat Robredo. 2,62 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) I see this match quite even. Matosevic is a big hitter and had some good results at Washington and Montreal (beating Paire, Davydenko, Raonic and Blake, Haas retired). The Australian has improved his overall abilities this year and is far better than before, so he can now match with someone like Robredo even in the longer rallies without losing nearly all that points. I´m not that convinced of Robredo´s hard court skills, so this price is too big in my eyes. Sela (-5,5) to beat Andrey Kuznetsov. 1,81 @ pinnacle (5 pts.) Sela is simply the far better player on hard court and he should have no real problems against someone like Kuznetsov, who has played 11 times on hard court in his entire life and lost 9 of them... De Schepper to beat Klahn. 2,59 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) Well, yes, Klahn had some really nice results on the recent US challenger events - but this is Grand Slam, no Challenger, so I don´t really know how high to rate these performances as he hasn´t beaten any top player at all there. De Schepper on the other side isn´t really a tennis player at all, he is a Karlovic...but I have to go with the value here, considering the overs as a likely result of this match, too. Cuevas (+2,5 sets) to beat Tipsarevic. 3,10 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) Kyrgios (+2,5 sets) to beat Ferrer. 2,66 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) Both of them might be worth a shot as both Tipsarevic and Ferrer are really underperforming at the moment. Ferrer makes too many unforced errors these days and Tipsarevic is out of shape the whole year. Cuevas and Kyrigios will be motivated here and a set should be fully within their ranges.

[macwlod]

Re: US Open 2013 Hi guys, my first post here, been watching this excellent forum for a while - great job you're doing here, really aprecciated:) I can see some value in few bets: 1. D.Evans to beat K. Nishikori @ 7.75 Bwin It's a risky bet but worth taking for a small stake. There is something wrong with Nishikori lately, when I watched him play last time he seemed to be injured. He lost 3 of last 5 matches he played, being beaten soundly by Baghdatis and losing to Feliciano Lopez, who isnt a hard court specialist. On the other side is Evans, who's reached 2 challenger finals on hard lately and came without bigger problems throug quallies. I think Evans must be taken at these odds. 2. A combo: Bradley Klahn to beat Kenny De Schepper @ 1.55 BWin P.Petschner to beat J. Sock @ 2.5 Bwin Not too much to say about this one - Klahn in much better form, playing constantly and well (almost 70 % of his first service in every game), while De Schepper lost his last 5 matches with terrible stats Similar with Sock match - Sock lost 6 of 8 he played, retired against Goffin (this could be of course tactical) while Petschner had a good rest before this tournament and came through quallies nice and easy. I also think about taking Matosevic against Robredo, agree with Guardiola on this one. GL!

[marcinho013]

Kenny De Schepper - Bradley Klahn Hi guys,what do yout thunk about my today`s tip? The Frenchmen has better ranking but the American enters the match as a favorite.Klahn was brilliant past weeks on American hard court and behind him there are 17 victories in five challengers. De Schepper is in opposite rhythm since he was knocked out four times in first round. Tip:2 Odds: @1.60

[brecki]

Re: US Open 2013 Lauren Davis v Carla Suarez v Navarro over 2.5 sets @ 2.62 with Ladbrokes This should be a very tight match and I expect to see three sets here as both players are good in form and Davis has a home advantage that will eliminate the better ranking of her today´s opponent. The end is quite open, so I take the three-setter here for a nice odd. Verena Dushevina to beat Sabine Lisicki @ 4.60 with Bwin Verena Dushevina is on a good run and to me it wouldn't be a big upset if she wins against Sabine Lisicki. The German was runner-up in Wimbledon but she always plays well in London. After that she hasn´t shown anything. Dushevina won against Puchkova, Erakovic and Keys on hardcourt. All these are as strong as Lisicki so I think Verena will go through to round two. Pablo Cuevas +2,5 sets to beat Janko Tipsarevic @ 3.10 with Paddy Power Tipsarevic is totally out of form and has produced nothing countable in the last few month. His hardcourt appearences were nearly all lost and he shouldn´t have much confidence for this tournement either. Sure, his opponent is no danger at all under normal conditions but I can see him taking a set from Tipsarevic because of his constitution. Ryan Harrison +2.5 sets to beat Rafael Nadal @ 4.50 with Paddy Power Harrison has nothing to lose here and he can serve well so remembering the 0-3 upset of Nadal in Wimbledon the start of a Grand Slam may offer a little chance to Harrison. He took sets from Ferrer and Dolgopolov lately and even won matches against Hewitt, Sijsling and Matosevic on hardcourt, so there is every argument to name these odds value. Nick Kyrgios +2.5 sets to beat David Ferrer @ 3.00 with Ladbrokes Ferrer is in terrible form. Besides he usually needs a little time to get into a big tournement and often loses a set in the opening match. His opponent has a lot of talent and maybe can force big trouble to Ferrer but he will win at least a set in my oppinion, maybe more than one. Daniel Gimeno Traver to beat Yen-Hsun Lu @ 3.10 with 10Bet Everyone is thinking that Daniel Gimeno Traver must be a clay specialist because of his name and the spanish tradition to this surface but people are wrong. DGT serves well even on hardcourt. Both players haven´t met yet and I can´t see any reason why world number 60 should not win against number 62. Denis Istomin to beat Nicolas Almagro @ 3.00 with Bet365 Ridiculous odds here. The only reason why Almagro is the favorite here to the bookies is because he is seeded number 15 but Istomin ist 2:0 up in the H2H of these both players. I think they are on the same level on hardcourt and that´s why odds of 3.00 are pure value to me.

[joeblitz]

Re: US Open 2013 Venus Williams to beat Flipkens 5/6 Ladbrokes Although Flipkens beat Williams 1-6 6-4 6-0 on Hardcourts this summer I expect Williams to approach this differently. It is the US Open where she has won in the past and I expect her to be well up for this. Her problems have been well documented but she is still capable. Flipkens has really done very little since Wimbledon and if Williams serves and returns as she can I can see her winning in straight sets. Flipkens will face the crowd and the opponent which isnt easy and we saw at Wimbledon against Bartoli how she let the occasion get to her. I will go with the experienced player. 10 Points win Venus Williams 5/6 Ladbrokes @ Brecki.. All of your selections have good chances. I particularly like Kyrgios the young Aussie who should break through and is capable of winning a set from Ferrer who lacks match practice. Bradley Klahn is also intersesting and I think he will win today.

[amity]

Re: US Open 2013 @brecki Am not sure Gimeno Traver will beat Lu, but I think he should win a set, perhaps even two Like you said, he's actually not bad on hardcourt, and played well for the most part against Dolgopolov (who self destructed againist Monfils in the smi, throwing away four setpoints) Lu has been playing reasonably well of late too though, so I think he will prevail but Gimeno should be good enough to grab a set

[Alovenac]

Re: US Open 2013 Jankovic - Keys Jankovic will coming into this tournament in great form. Great perfomance on the last hardcourt tournaments. Keys are struggling a few weeks ago with her shoulder and also i think she can't bringing a lot in against the great form of Jankovic. 4/10 Jankovic ML @ 1.44 Betvictor Tomic - Ramos Ramos in terrible form here. Don't look good last weeks. Tomic always playing good on tournaments like this. I there is a good chance that Ramos will skip this tournament like this, he can going to play some clay tournaments in the next weeks to find his form back. He don't like to play on this surface. 4/10 Tomic -1.5 set @ 1.64 SBOBET Haase - Dancevic Two previous meetings between both players and always long sets. On this surface i don't see a easy set for both players and we know from Haase that he can't win easy matches. I think both players will win at least one set here. 7/10 Over 3.5 sets @ 1.57 Bet365

[flaskoncek]

Re: Kenny De Schepper - Bradley Klahn Agree. Last year he passed first round beating Melzer. With home crowd support and his excelent form he can do the job.

[homunculus]

Re: US Open 2013 OK lets forget about Halep and start some serious stuff My WTA double for today: Dominguez Lino + 5.5 > L.Robson Begu +5.5 > U.Radwanska ---------------------------- @2,30 local bookie (5/10) Lino match falls within my favourite category - the underdog (Lino) leads H2H 2:0. Robson has problems with right wrist at the same time. IMO large Hcp has good chance. U.Radwanska lost her 1st round matches in last two tournaments, and Begu leads H2H 1-0 with the win being scored last year on Tashkent hard (6-3 6-3). IMO large Hcp, though more risky than the previous one, has good chance as well.

[joeblitz]

Re: US Open 2013 Brilliant pick from Macwlod. I thought picking Evans was inspired

[CzechPunter]

Re: US Open 2013 Back Martin Klizan to beat Donald Young for a 2/10 stake at 1.87 with Pinnacle For me, Klizan is simply the much better player of the two, no matter how poor his recent form might be. Three wins over guys like Gicquel and Barton shouldn't do the trick for Young, so fancy the talented Slovak to out-class the American over five sets. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/klizan-vs-young-betting-martin-klizan-should-be-too-strong-for-the-inconsistent-american Back Vesna Dolonc to beat Aleksandra Wozniak for a 2/10 stake at 2.80 with Pinnacle Wozniak has never done too well in the US Open and this will be only her third match of the year, so not sure where this sort of favouritism is coming from. Vesna Dolonc is obviously no world beater, but she is a fairly decent player by all kinds of standards and should have every chance of beating the talented Canadian on Tuesday. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/dolonc-vs-wozniak-betting-vesna-dolonc-looks-value-against-the-talented-canadian

[WinningTipster]

Re: US Open 2013 1 pick for the US Open for me: DJOKOVIC-9 GAMES HANDICAP OVER BERANKIS @ 1.56 on pinnaclesports Surely Djokovic was not on his best in the warm-up tournaments before the US Open but here he will take it serious from the first round. Except, I don't see any weapons (like a big serve or solid consistent baseline game) that Berankis possesses.

[georgebest]

Re: US Open 2013 Great call on Evans...only wish I'd had the balls to follow it up!

Hi guys, my first post here, been watching this excellent forum for a while - great job you're doing here, really aprecciated:) I can see some value in few bets: 1. D.Evans to beat K. Nishikori @ 7.75 Bwin It's a risky bet but worth taking for a small stake. There is something wrong with Nishikori lately, when I watched him play last time he seemed to be injured. He lost 3 of last 5 matches he played, being beaten soundly by Baghdatis and losing to Feliciano Lopez, who isnt a hard court specialist. On the other side is Evans, who's reached 2 challenger finals on hard lately and came without bigger problems throug quallies. I think Evans must be taken at these odds. 2. A combo: Bradley Klahn to beat Kenny De Schepper @ 1.55 BWin P.Petschner to beat J. Sock @ 2.5 Bwin Not too much to say about this one - Klahn in much better form, playing constantly and well (almost 70 % of his first service in every game), while De Schepper lost his last 5 matches with terrible stats Similar with Sock match - Sock lost 6 of 8 he played, retired against Goffin (this could be of course tactical) while Petschner had a good rest before this tournament and came through quallies nice and easy. I also think about taking Matosevic against Robredo, agree with Guardiola on this one. GL!

[macwlod]

Re: US Open 2013 Thanks guys, good profit from Evans :) For today I have Petschner left to win a combo with Khan and I can't see much value in other games except one: D.Young to beat M.Klizan @ 1.91 Bwin Klizan can't find a winning way lately, in fact he lost 7 of his last 8 games on hard. It's true that he didn't have it easy, as he had to play his last 3 games against in-form Tursunov and Gasquet but a clear loss to Bautista-Agut indicates that clearly something isn't right atm. Young on the other hand came through quallies nice and easy, will have support from the crowd and it's enough for me to try this bet, small-medium stakes. GL!

[Alfie White]

Re: US Open 2013 Federer v Zemlja Zemlja has been losing matches by quite large game margin and since I still think Roger Federer is simply couple of classes above regular ATP players, I have full and complete confidence to back this -9.5 games spread. Zemlja lost his last hard court matches -8 Garcia-Lopez, -4 from Roger-Vasselin, -10 Dodig, -9 Smyczek - all BO3 matches. With that in mind I think that Roger will cover this handicap super easy. Bet365 gives generous 2.1 on this one.

[amity]

Re: US Open 2013 @Alfie White interesting, I had no idea Zemlja was so poor on hardcourts, until I saw your stats as he was very impressive at Wimbledon, beating Dmitrov and pushing Del Potro hard for two sets It's hard to say how Fed will fare, he played very well in Cincy, but very poor before that, let's hope the right Rog turns up this week and at least makes it to the QFs

[owenclass]

Re: US Open 2013 Adrian Unger vs Gael Monfils monfils to win 3-1 set betting 3/1 skybet he can really make it hard for himself but he is form especially last week where he had a great tounament i fancy four sets here just because you dont know what you get this player also his opponent is tough competitor

[Georgik]

Re: US Open 2013 I want to thank everybody for your picks, you really helped my make really nice combo ticket which i won. I picked Istomin to win, Donal Young to win, Kirilenko to win, Fabbiano +8,5 handicap, Federer -7,5 handicap, Djokovic -8,5 handicap and Petzschner to win. Unfortunately or maybe luckily for me Petzschener suffered an injury and retired when he was 1-5 down in the 3rd set, but i think that he wasn't injured he would have won it. Made a nice value odd of 62,3046 including the bet of Petschner to win, so in the end given his withdrawal i had a reduced winning ticked but anyway it was a nice sum of money which i won. I wanted to thank because i don't usually bet on tennis, i'm betting mostly on football, even though i like tennis, but after watching this thread i decided to take a shot and it paid off. Let's hope for more of the same. Sorry for my english, if i made some mistakes, as it isn't my first language.

[macwlod]

Re: US Open 2013 So Petschner retired, but Young won without problems, losing only 1 game, impressive... For today I see many good value bets and I surely gonna try some of them: 1. Soeda to beat Baghdatis @3.10 Bwin This one isn't really on Soeda, but more against Baghdatis. We all know that if he were in-form , Baghdatis shouldnt have any problem beating player like Soeda. But he isn't. In fact he lost 15 of his last 17 matches!! The only ones he won was against Lacko and completely out-of-form Nishikori. In his last 2 games Baghdatis made 20 double faults and his first service rate was under 50 %, that's simply not good enough. It seems he has never shaken off an injury and I can't see any reason why should he be such favourite against Soeda who came throug quallies playing very decently. 2. Gojowczyk to beat Sijsling @ 2.6 Bwin It's another one where we have a player who came throug quallies with very nice stats against a player who lost his last 5 matches including a latest loss to Thiemo De Bakker, who isn;t a hard court specialist. If Gojowczyk can keep his first service as he's done lately I can see him winning here. I like also Devvarman to beat Lacko, Melzer to beat DOnskoy - both bets based on the simple fact, that Devvarman and Melzer are better players than their opponents imo and are playing pretty well lately. I think I may also try for a small stake combo : Goffin to beat Dolgopolov @2.40 (I think those players are pretty even and Goffin is playing some impressive tennis lately) and Bogomolov to beat Paire @ 3.00 Bwin (I don;t trust Paire at all, there's something wrong with his brain - He just can't keep his nerves and Bogomolov is a solid player) - it pays out nice 7.20 GL with your bets!!

[LAMPS]

Re: US Open 2013 Daniel Brands(GER) VS (17)Kevin Anderson(RSA). Anderson is rightfully favoruite for this one but I think this will be a little closer than the bookies have it. Brands is decent enough on a hard court 18-6 in the last 12 months including good runs in Doha and Dubai. Last year Brands made the last 64 but he won 4 matches to get there, plus we can't forget his game against Federer in Gstaad, granted that was on clay but he beat Federer and even took a set off Nadal in this year's French Open. Anderson is 25-13 on a hard court in the last 12 months but he has lost his last 3 games on one. I expect Anderson to win but at the odds on offer I see at least 4 if not 5 sets here. Therefore Over 38.50 games 1.833 With Bet Victor confidence 4/10 is a bet for me.

[Alfie White]

Re: US Open 2013 I vomited last night over Federer match... Sorry to all who followed :(