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joeblitz

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About joeblitz

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 07/15/1981

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  1. First of all as we speak I am up 3 grand for the meeting and should On The Fringe do the business a good holiday will be in order! I got my money back on Faugheen and backed Annie Power on the day. Min was a disappointment but had no excuses whatsoever. Limini and Don Cossack also did the business as well as Vroum Vroum Mag who was a good substitute for Annie Power. My judgement was way off in relation to Bellshill, Barters Hill, Shaneshill and Black Hercules while having backed Sprinter Sacre in all of his runs except last years champion chase I never dreamed he could come
  2. Fortunately - money back - just! I'll have to put my early retirement on hold. See how Willie Mullins feels! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkNy6oiE92Q&sns=tw
  3. I wouldn't dismiss that totally although for the amount they might get on I would believe what she says. It is the other beast I was hoping to find out about though. I am on with a run but the drift on betfair must have some foundation particularly as they have shorted up Arctic Fire, Nichols Canyon and Identity Thief. If anyone knows anything please post?
  4. "Ar Mad - lame. May have a fracture but not confirmed" - Hayley Moore ATR not that he would have any chance against Douvan anyway. Has anyone heard the rumours about Faugheen? A major drift on betfair while the 3 in behind him shortened up. Just wondering if anyone heard anything?
  5. Thanks Graham, Good to be back if just for a short time. Love the site and it is great place to debate and share opinions You are right about Mullins being top trainer at Chetenham and he is a certainty. Unfortunately I don't have 100K to win 20 or even 50K to win 10 and even if I did those brave bookies would be likely to put a stop to my betting altogether! You are not allowed to win large sums off course regularly you know? The other thing is that in betting odds on, you must be very selective, Most of the odds on merchants disappear quickly!
  6. Well Ruby Walsh will always ride the number one choice and if you read up on what Mullins says about Douvan and indeed Vautour last year, the reason they went chasing was because of Faugheen. That is how highly they rate him. I agree that they should not have held up Nichols Canyon last year but as Walsh said after his defeat by Nichols Canyon, "I underestimated him. I won't be doing that again!". Again I agree that Identity Thief looked as though he would beat Nichols Canyon last time but the Leopardstown hill, the ground and perhaps the greater stamina of Nichols Canyon won the day
  7. I agree with arsenalfh that both Identity Thief and Nichols Canyon have improved this season and opinions are what this game is about. Nevertheless, for all his critics, Faugheen continues to win and win well (his first run excepted for reasons explained) and surely when he wins on Sunday that will be that? If he doesn't they will be raging about having sent Douvan over fences as in any other stable it would be he and only he who would be the pretender to the CH crown. Cheltenham usually provides better ground in March and of the 3 horses mentioned NC, IT and Faugheen, who will that
  8. 2 other horses I like: Champion Bumper : Invitation Only - WP Mullins. Unraced as yet but the vibes are good 16-1 AP. Expect him to be favourite after he wins in a week or two. Barters Hill in the Albert Bartlett. Little between him and Up For Review on form but Barters Hill might handle the ground a bit better and looks a better stayer in any case! Ok guys, if these are any good to you?
  9. Hello everyone, I've been very busy for the past 18 months or so and just a fleeting visit to give you my thoughts on Cheltenham. Champion Hurdle: Impossible for me to look beyond Faugheen. Slammed Nichols Canyon in a gallop at the Curragh prior to his defeat at Punchestown. That gallop took too much out of him as he was very unfit at the time. The Punchestown race was run at a crawl and the proximity of Wicklow Brave illustrates this. He was fitter at Kempton and won as expected. He runs at Leopardstown on Sunday where even though the ground will favour Nichols Canyon he should
  10. Re: Flat Racing 26th May 6.00 Ballinrobe Lanyard 5/4 Paddy Power BOG Here we have a horse from the Weld stable who do well here and one from the O' Brien stable who do not. Lanyard won her maiden last year on heavy ground at Listowel and finished 3rd lto at Killarney on quicker ground. She will prefer todays conditions more than Dance With Another who won her maiden on good ground and whose form is very moderate. 10 Points win Lanyard 5/4 Paddy Power BOG
  11. Re: BBOTD Monday 26th May 6.00 Ballinrobe Lanyard 5/4 Paddy Power BOG Here we have a horse from the Weld stable who do well here and one from the O' Brien stable who do not. Lanyard won her maiden last year on heavy ground at Listowel and finished 3rd lto at Killarney on quicker ground. She will prefer todays conditions more than Dance With Another who won her maiden on good ground and whose form is very moderate. 1 Point win for nap purposes Lanyard 5/4 Paddy Power BOG
  12. Re: Flat Racing - Sunday 25th May 3.20 Curragh Magician 5/6 Boylesports BOG Magician is a proven Group 1 performer and will come on a lot for his first outing here lto when he got up close home under hands and heals to beat Parish Hall. O Brien has a great record in this race and as he is the only proven group 1 performer in the race, it is his to lose. 10 Points win Magician 5/6 Boylesports BOG 4.45 Curragh Adelaide 5/4 Boylesports BOG Another race farmed by O' Brien and Adelaide who won impressively at Leopardstown last October went on to finishe a close second in a gr
  13. Re: BBOTD Sunday 25th May 3.20 Curragh Magician 5/6 Boylesports BOG Magician is a proven Group 1 performer and will come on a lot for his first outing here lto when he got up close home under hands and heals to beat Parish Hall. O Brien has a great record in this race and as he is the only proven group 1 performer in the race, it is his to lose. 1 Point win for nap purposes Magician 5/6 Boylesports BOG
  14. Re: Flat Racing > Saturday May 24th 3.20 Curragh Kingman 5/6 Bet365 BOG Kingman ran away with the Greenham before finishing runner up in what looked a good renewal of the Guineas. I am always afraid of O'Brien at this time of year but his horses do not seem to be there yet so I think Kingman is the safest choice today 10 Points win Kingman 5/6 Bet365 BOG
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