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Alfie White

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About Alfie White

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 09/10/1987
  1. Re: Sunderland V Chelsea > Wednesday 4th December I will put my trust with Mourinho side again. They should be too much for Sunderland side tonight and should take all three back to Stamford Bridge without any problems. Sunderland has won their last two matches at home against very big opponents (1:0 against Manchester City and 2:1 against Newcastle). Both of those sides have very potent attack players and it strikes me that Sunderland managed to keep them at bay. Thing is that I find it hard to believe that Sunderland will manage to contain Chelsea attack. Gus Poyet has no injury concerns and strongest lineup will face Chelsea side. Mourinho's team is doing ok for the moment. Only ones who are keeping the pace with Arsenal, and if they step their game up away from home, they will be main contenders for the title alongside Gunners. Two victories in a row with 3 goals scored in each will boost their morale and playing against bottom side Sunderland will surely make them believe they can take all three here as well. In the last 17 matches these two teams have played, Chelsea side has won 16 times, while Sunderland managed to nick only one victory. Chelsea to cover -1 AH @ 2 with bet365. GL
  2. Re: Swansea City V Newcastle United > Wednesday 4th December I was blown away when I've seen the odds on away victory. Why are the Swans favorites in this Premier League match? I will back Newcastle before odds drop down and I suggest you do the same. Swansea City is one of the worst home sides in the league. 6 points from 6 matches (1-3-2, 11:11), couple of important missing players (Bony, Michu, Rangel and Monk), 2-2-2 in last 6 matches both away and at home... Why against are they 2.2 favorites to win this one? I mean, they are up against Newcastle United, a team who managed to connect four victories (2:0 against Chelsea, 1:0 against Spurs, 2:1 against Norwich and 2:1 against Baggies). Taylor is only injury concern for them and these odds are quite unreal for me as Newcastle has momentum, better/fresher attacking line and simply are in better shape overall at the moment. Newcastle AH 0 @ 2.54 with Pinnacle is MASSIVE and I will be all over it! GL
  3. Re: DFB Pokal > December 3rd & 4th DFB Pokal game between Hamburger and Koln; and although I don't like goals market that much, I simply see value in this one as we all know how Cup games, especially in German football, can be. Hamburger has not been consistent lately, 2-1-2 with 10:9, gives us almost average 2:2 result in each game, which gives me some courage before this event. We all know that majority of clubs usually field changed lineups as Bundesliga has bigger priority than DFB Pokal, in most cases. That gives me another drop of courage to back Over 2.5 goals on this match, as I feel somewhat changed lineup will face Koln in tonight's match. Koln is doing great in 2. Bundesliga and if they keep this pace, they can get back to German elite competition next year without problems. Last five matches are 3-0-2 with 8:2. Yes, I agree, it gives an average of 2 goals per game, but this is a cup fixture and I can see couple of goals at both ends. Koln has great attacking line and they should perform. Also, a word of advice, picking a winners in cup, at these stages, is very hard, so whenever you can, opt for goals. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.72 with Pinnacle GL
  4. Re: Ligue 1 Orange > December 3rd - 5th Nice and Monaco. Very one-sided event in my book I would say as Nice is in terrible for lately and there is plenty of value in these odds on away victory. Victory over Marseille, 5 games ago, didn't say that Nice side will loose the following 5 in a row. By any means. After that glorious score against Marseille, Nice side scored only two goals and conceded 10. Terrible score, and to add to that, now they have to play against Monaco side that finally managed to wake up from their bad streak. And when you look into injury list of Nice team, you have to wonder who will play as they have as much as 11 injured players (Pied, Dada, Bruins, Genevois, Hassen, Bautheac, Traore, Ospina, Maupay, Bodmer, Pentecote). Very tough times for home side in Ligue 1. Monaco, as I said, managed to find a bit of form lately, as they've won last two games they have played (2:0 against Rennes and 0:1 against Nantes). Victory is completely necessary to keep the pace up with the leading PSG which has 5 point advantage at the moment. Falcao, Dirar, Barazite and Ferreira-Carrasco are still out with injuries, but that won't matter much if we take a look at Nice and their list of injured players. Monaco should have no problems defeating this Nice side today and odds are quite generous. Monaco @ 1.83 with WHill. GL -------------------------------------- Lille and Marseille should play very tight match and I see plenty value in 2-3 goals market with bet365! Lille has been amazing at home this season, 18 points from 7 games, 11:2 goal difference and they are trailing PSG with 4 points deficit now. This 6 games they've won at home, were won with clean sheet and I must say that is pretty amazing given the fact that they played against Monaco and they didn't concede (2:0 victory). Opponents find very hard to score at Lille home ground and I can't see that it will be any different to Marseille tonight. Ruiz, Martin and Mentes are still out for the home team. Marseille is doing great job away from home, 15 points from 8 matches keep them as second best away team in the league. They have no hopes left for Champions League and I can see them turning completely towards Ligue 1 competition. They are regaining form lately as they won their last away match with 3-1 against Ajaccio. Ayew and Fanni are still out for the visitors. It is interesting to mention that Lille didn't score against Marseille in the last three matches they have played against each other but somehow I can see couple of goals in this one. Bet365 has market Number of Goals in Match (under Goals), I will go for 2 or 3 goals in this one @ 1.95. GL
  5. Re: November/December 2013 Draw has been made. "Final is as follows Djokovic v Stepanek, Lajovic v Berdych, Bozoljac/Zimonjic v Hajek/Rosol, reverse singles" Still, doubles will decide the winner in Davis Cup!
  6. Re: November/December 2013 This weekend, Davis Cup Final match will take place in Belgrade Kombank Arena and today's news will shake the spirits of Serbian team! After shocking suspension of Viktor Triocki for a year beacuse of the doping scandal, Serbian team will suffer another loss as Janko Tipsarevic will most likely miss Final matches! His injury is more severe than it seemed at first and he most likely won't be at 100% this weekend and that he most likely won't be able to play at all! Serbian team will most likely feature Novak Djokovic and Boris Pashanski in singles and Nenad Zimonjic and Ilija Bozoljac in doubles. Djokovic will most likely win both matches he is going to play in singles, but all will be decided in the doubles. Zimonjic can't say he had amazing season in doubles and it will hard for him and Bozoljac to win over very good Czech doubles team. Czech team will get morale boost with this news as their chances to defend the title will rise a lot after this. Tomas Berdych and Radek Stepanek will be the main players in this team in both singles and doubles. Both of them can beat the Serbian number 4 player without any problems and it will all come down to doubles where I feel Stepanek and Berdych will have upper hand for couple of reasons. They are playing togheter for some time now, chemistry is quite good with them, and Stepanek is in amazing form this year (in doubles). This should be very evenly matched event, but looking at the odds, and state of the team, I will place money on guests to defend the Davis Cup title! Czech to defend the Title @ 3 with bet365!
  7. Re: Euroleague 2013/2014 Siena - Olympiakos In this 4th round match of Group C, Siena will welcome Olympiakos. Hosts are dead last in Group C, as they lost all three matches they have played so far. They lost at home to Galatasaray and away to Bayern and Zielona Gora. They are on -27 points from their first three matches. So far in the season they've played 4 matches at home and they lost only Euroleague duel to Galatasaray. Still, as much as stats may be good for them at their home court, I can't see them past strong Oly. Olympiakos is yet to lose a game. They have 13 consecutive victories and are dominating on all fronts they play at. No matter who opponent is, they do not seem to put a single break and just keep destroying one after another. I expect them to continue this winning streak, but I will suggest you play HT AH line as I believe they will cover it with ease. Oly -3.5 AH at HT @ 1.90 with Bet365!
  8. Re: November 4 - November 11 I never said he will surrender, but losing 2-0 to Berdych tells that he has fatigue problems. Tomas is not in great form and we all know how good athletic abilities lie within Ferrer. He has played more matches this season than any other player on ATP and you have to give him credit for that. It has been very long season for him.
  9. Re: November 4 - November 11 Sorry I was away for a while, was trying to set mind straight and I hope I managed to do so. I have two tips in store today. Ferrer David - Wawrinka Stanislas Stan the man is in great form and he is playing against Ferrer, one of the best, if not the best, athlete on ATP, but long season is starting to take it's toll as it seems. Both of these two players had amazing seasons, Wawa made couple of amazing matches against top players and ticket to London confirms how well he performed. He lost to Nadal in last match and he made him go to his limits, if he manages and breaks that psychical barrier he has in his mind when playing against big names, door to Top 5 on ATP will be open for him. Nadal has beat him with 2-0, but both sets were decided in tiebreak and that tells me his brain is improving along with his body and he might even go to the Finals here! Ferrer had amazing season of his own but fatigue is slowly kicking in. He lost 3 matches in a row with 2-0 (Djokovic, Nadal and Berdych, I really expected him to win against Tomas) but it's obvious he can't push it any more and he can be very happy with what he has accomplished this season. These two have met 11 times so far, and Spaniard has upper hand in H2H with 7 to 4 scoreline. Last time they've played, Wawa won on clay 2-0 and with the current motivation, I expect Wawa to take 2-0 from Ferrer today easily. I will be on Wawrinka 2-0 @ 2.2 with BetVictor! ------------------------ Nadal Rafael - Berdych Tomas Another onesided event for me in London ATP World Tour Finals! World number one will play against world number 6. What a season Rafa has had! 79 matches so far and only 6 losses! Recaliming top spot on ATP tour shows how good is he and how good form he is in nowadays! He has met with Tomas on 20 occasions and Spaniard won 17, including last 5 without losing a single set! In the last 10 matches, Nadal only dropped two, one to Del Potro and one to Ferrer. As i see it, this should be simple stuff for him. Tomas had good season as well, not as good as Rafa, but still good. He played 80 matches so far and he won 56 of those. In the last 10 matches he lost 5 (to Nadal as he retired, to Almagro, to Karlovic, to Ferrer and Wawrinka). He is good player but I wouldn't say he is in top form and if we add that Wawrinka is most likely to win against Ferrer, even victory here won't matter as Wawrinka and Nadal will go trough from this group and Nadal will have additional portion of motivation to be as far away from Novak as possible before the next season. Nadal 2-0 @ 1.7 with BetVictor! Good luck fellas!
  10. Re: October 21 - October 27 ATP Basel, two tips! Dimitrov Grigor - Federer Roger This will be a great match in Basel between Grigor Dimitrov (22nd on ATP) and Roger Federer (6th on ATP). Both players have 7-3 score in their last ten matches, but the difference is that Dimitrov currently has seven consecutive victories (Copil, Struff, de Schepper, Paire, Ferrer, Stepanek, Dolgopolov) and boy seems to be on fire at the moment! He will push the hometown fella Federer to his limits for sure. Swiss player is in quite of turmoil with his form this year, losing sets and matches all over the place. After US Open he played in Shanghai, where he lost to Monfils (2:1) and now in basel he lost a set to Istomin (48th on ATP). The way I see it, Grigor will play his finest tennis and he might even cause an upset here. Still I'll go safe with +2.5 Games @ 2 with bet365 on Bulgrarian guy. ----------------------- Dodig Ivan - Pospisil Vasek Gonna go with Dodig here, since I feel he is in better form at the moment and should beat Pospisil today. In the past 10 matches, Dodig has played, he has lost 4 and won 6 It has to be said the he lost matches to Verdasco (2:1), Melzer (2:1), Murray (3:0) and Raonic (2:0). Last two matches he has played, he took victories against Nishikori (2:0) and Berlocq (retired). As for Pospisil, he has 5-5 score in the past ten matches and he lost matches to Tipsarevic, Delbonis, Ferrer, Monfils and Haase. He has two victories in a row for now as well, as he beat Haase and Karlovic in the ATP Basel for now, but I can't see he will beat Dodig as Croat usually times his form for these, late, tournaments. Dodig -2.5 Games @ 2.02 with Pinnacle.
  11. Re: October 21 - October 27 I like Garcia-Lopez to beat J.Souza 2-0 one, seems very probable to happen as Souza took only TWO games couple of weeks ago against Garcia-Lopez.
  12. Re: October 21 - October 27 Mannarino Adrian - Federer Roger ATP Basel, Federer has to step up if he wants to be among the eight players in London. He starts his hometown campaign against 62nd player of the world, Mannarino Adrian. Roger can't say he had a good season on tour since he managed to collect only 3145 points so far. Much fewer than many would expected for him to collect. In his previous ten matches, he lost to Brands (58th on ATP), Nadal (1st on ATP), Robredo (19th on ATP) and Monfils (31st on ATP). His form is dwindling but if he wants to take place on ATP World Tour Finals in London, he has to perform in his hometown. Mannarino Adrian can't say he is in form either. In previous ten matches he has played, he lost six of them (Chardy, Haase, Federer, Donskoy, Benneteau, Gabashvili). He played three times against Roger Federer and best be managed to do is to take 3 games in a set. They have played at US Open this year and Federer comfortably won that match in straight sets 6:3, 6:0, 6:2. I predict somewhat similar today as I can't see Mannarino proving to be a threat in Federer's hometown. Roger Federer -5.5 Games @ 1.86 with Pinnacle. --------------------------------- Dolgopolov Aleksandr - de Schepper Kenny Other game I had in mind is the duel between 38th and 88th player on ATP list. Dolgopolov played four matches indoor this season and he has 50% score, two victories and two losses for now. In last ten matches he lost six times and won on four occasions. It seems that he has some troubles against big serve fellas and that's where I will seek for my chances in this match. de Schepper is mainly a Challenger player, but from time to time he plays a bigger tournaments. In Stockholm he played against Kevin Anderson and he won that match in 2:1 thriller which makes me believe that he is in good from. During the season he played 32 matches indoors, and he won 19 of them, while he lost 13. It isn't any astonishing achievement, but still better than Dolgolopolv's 2/2. Kenny might surprise us today, but I will play it safe and take the set handicap +1.5 AH @ 2.03 with Pinnacle.
  13. Re: October 14 - October 20 This Sela... It's like Ajax winning against ... Dinamo Zagreb 7-0 two games and now when they play in Zagreb, Ajax can't find the net. Completely retarded, I'm sorry if I misled anyone to place a bet and I hope I am only one loosing for now...
  14. Re: October 14 - October 20 I was watching Janowicz v Garcia-Lopez match yesterday. I'm 100% sure I would play better than Guillermo, he was falling apart. Complete disaster and I had luck in Monfils match, since I backed Monfils Under 12.5 games... Let's see what store has for today. ---------- Johansson Joachim - Raonic Milos Amazing odds for Raonic victory in Stockholm today! 11th on ATP, Milos Raonic is playing against Johansson Joachim, who was inactive since August 2011 till this tournament. He advanced to main draw trough qualifiers beating Chvojka Erik (472nd), Bachinger Matthias (146th), Dzumhur Damir (216th) and eventually Falla Alejandro (112th) in the first round. Bachinger and Chvojka made him push to extra games in one set per match, but still I can't tell that his victories were amazing achievement. Raonic is pursuing his first appearance in London ATP World Tour Finals and I beleive that he will demolish his todays opponent in straight sets. Up till now he has 8-1 score on Indoor courts, loosing to Wawrinka a week ago. We all know that Milos Raonic is one of the best servers in the game at the moment and playing against long inactive player will surely help him cruise trough this match as difference quality is too great and Milos is in quite a for lately. Only one winner for me here and odds on 2:0 Raonic victory (1.75 with BetVictor) are simply generous gift for me. ---------- Sela Dudi - Gabashvili Teimuraz Other match that cought my attention is the match between Dudi Sela (68th on ATP) and Gabashvili Teimuraz (105th on ATP) in Kremlin Cup, Moscow. Main reason for this bet is their current H2H stats that simply points all in Dudi Sela's direction. They have met two times this year (and that is two times in total) and Dudi Sela won both matches with ease. First match was played at Istanbul challenger and Dudi Sela won in straight sets 6:0, 6:2. Four days ago, they met in the finals of Tashkent challenger and Dudi Sela won that match in straight sets again 6:1, 6:2. That simply tells that Dudi Sela obviously has upper hand against Gabashvili. Another thing that swings me in straight set victory is the fact that Gabashvili has already lost a set to Mannarino in first round of Kremlin Cup. Straight sets victory is very likely to happen again here and PaddyPower gives 2.25 on that which I find very tempting to hop on!
  15. Re: October 14 - October 20 Janowicz - Garcia-Lopez I'm with the outsider in Stockholm! Even though Janowicz is 15th ranked on ATP, I think he will lose today against Garcia-Lopez who currently holds 64th position on ATP. Janowicz didn't play a single match after US Open and that, last match he has played, was 3rd in his loss spree (first he lost to Nadal, then Blake and finally to Gonzalez). Even before that, he has been loosing sets to lower ranked players. All that tells me he is currently out of form and that he might not perform as his fans expect him to. On the other side, we have Garcia-Lopez, player who managed to beat some some big names in the passing month. Istomin (2:0), Youzhny (2:1), Sousa (2:0). Seems like he is getting into form and somehow he should have upper hand today against out of form Janowicz. Odds are generous and I will support Garcia-Lopez on ML @ 2.25 with Ladbrokes. ----------------------------------------------- Matosevic Marinko - Monfils Gael ATP Vienna I can see only one winner here as Gael Monfils has played some amazing tennis in the past couple of weeks! In the past month, Matosevic played 4 matches, losing 2 and winning 2. He lost to Raonic and Ferrer while he managed to snap a victories against Benneteau and Trongcharoenchaikul. Thing is that Monfils is getting into form and as much as I would want, I can't see that Matosevic can do a lot in order to take Monfils to his limits. Monfils played QF of Shanghai last week against Novak and I must say he showed some big plays and there was a lot of very nice points. On that tournament he even managed to beat Federer and it seems to me that he won't have any big trouble against Matosevic today in Vienna. Monfils -3.5 AH Games @ 1.95 with Pinnacle