May 6 - May 12

[CzechPunter]

Madrid, here we go :ok.

[Banner]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Who do you think will win the ATP Title Czech, for me it would have to be Djokovic after Monte Carlo. However there is no value in Djokovic or Nadal!

[CzechPunter]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Yeah, it is hard to see who else could be a challenger. I, for one, will not be having any outrights this time around.

[Torque]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Back Li Na to win WTA Mutua Madrid Open @ 11.50 >Betfair Li Na has been competitive in every tournament that she has played so far this season, and I see no reason why that can't continue this week. Her first match is against Paszek, who hasn't won a tour match since the Australian Open, followed by a second round match against Medina Garrigues. Despite home advantage, Medina Garrigues hasn't been playing that well recently, and so Li Na should be able to make the third round and a match against either Shvedova or Flipkens. Although Shvedova beat Wozniacki in her first match here, she has reportedly been carrying some sort of injury, and likewise Flipkens, despite beating Barthel in her first match, retired against Gorges in Stuttgart a couple of weeks ago and so might not be completely fit. If she reaches the quarter-final stage, Li Na might play Serena Williams. Apart from a couple of Fed Cup rubbers, Williams hasn't played since winning the title in Charleston, and although she is the defending champion here, last year the tournament was played on experimental blue clay which is not being used this year. Li Na hasn't played Williams on clay before, and that might give her more of a chance to win as Williams has been the stronger when they have met on other surfaces. Azarenka could provide the opposition for Li Na if she makes the semi-final stage, but this is her first tournament after a long period of absence from the tour. Also, Li Na has beaten Azarenka on clay before and so should be confident of winning if they were to meet this week. In the other half of the draw, Sharapova will be expected to make the final, and if Li Na also gets there then it would set up a repeat of the recent final in Stuttgart, which Sharapova won. Hopefully Li Na will have learnt from that match what she needs to do to beat Sharapova, and I think if she is on song this week she can take the title in Madrid.

[Guardiola]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Some double picks with early odds: Back Bracciali/Fognini to beat Knowle/Polasek. 2,04 @ marathonbet (7/10) I consider Bracciali/Fognini as slight favorites here and so this pick might be worth a shot. The Italian double had some decent performances in the last couple of months, losing to Nestor/Pospisil only 15-13 in the 5th set (davis cup) and forcing Qureshi/Rojer in the match ti-break last week at Oeiras. Especially Bracciali is a decent double player. Knowle/Polasek on the other hand might is for sure a double that is well attuned on each other. I´ve watched them play in Munich against Brands/Bachinger and Begemann/Emmrich, and although they have won both games, they didn´t impress me at all. Against Begemann/Emmrich they could have easily lost. Brands/Bachinger are a double cobbled together with a set-up next to nothing. Both can serve, and that was enough to force Knowle/Polasek two times in the ti-break. The quality was not that high, and Bracciali/Fognini is a double that should be rated much higher than the two German ones. You have to say that Bracciali and Knowle know each other well (they played together) which will probably favor Bracciali as he knows how to react against Knowles unconventional style of play. Back Benneteau/Zimonjic to beat Isner/Querrey. 1,74 @ marathonbet (9/10) Benneteau/Zimonjic should be clear favorites here. They are the well-deserved winners of Monte Carlo and are facing an "All-American-Server-Double" here on a clay court. Isner/Querrey don´t have the same level as the top doubles, and Benneteau/Zimonjic is at the moment one of these top doubles. Back Marrero/Verdasco to beat Mayer/Seppi. 1,50 @ marathonbet (8/10) Even 1,50 is a bit too high here. Marrero/Verdasco on clay court are one of the better doubles (77% win percentage - 24/7 games) and Mayer/Seppi are just mixed up. Both at Monte Carlo and Barcelona Marrero/Verdasco managed to get to the semis. I expected odds like 1,30 here. Back Cilic/Dlouhy (-2,5 games) to beat Ginemo-Traver/De La Nava. 1,80 @ marathonbet (5/10) Ginemo-Traver/De La Nava play together here the first time since 2009. De La Nava has had some good results in double competitions, but only on challenger level. Cilic/Dlouhy must be considered much higher here. Dlouhy double specialist and Cilic has some big serve. That should be enough here. Cilic/Dlouhy + Benneteau/Zimonjic + Marrero/Verdasco treble (2/10).

[WinningTipster]

Re: May 6 - May 12 1 PICK FOR WTA MADRID: RADWANSKA-ROBSON 2:0 SETS @ 1.45 on pinnaclesports Robson is not at her best struggling with her game and fitness (elbow problems yesterday against Rybarikova). Also, she really prefers faster surfaces. Expect to be an easy win for Radwanska.

[Regnavetto]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Garcia-Lopez to beat Isner 2.44 5/10 @ Pinnacle Over 23.5 games 1.87 7/10 @ Pinnacle Definitely a big difference in playing styles in this match-up. Whilst Isner relies on his serve and forehand to get the job done, Garcia-Lopez relies on his solidity and punchy groundstrokes to grind out points. Like described in the Lopez-Gimeno pick, conditions suit the serves and big groundstrokes. However it is still clay and the surface still suit GGL much more than Isner. The American was ousted last year by Marin Cilic, so that should tell a tale of it’s own. Isner won the American clay tournament in Houston and was beaten by Gulbis in Monte Carlo. Johno however was struck by fatigue and jetlag from the long trip to Europe, so that match doesn’t really mean anything to me. GGL is having a good clay campaign after his injury. Quarters at Casablanca, CH title in Rome, followed by a final in Bucharest. The form and rhythm is definitely there, but he does show inconsistency in his game. He’s played a great amount of three setters in matches. A lot of them were mostly the cause of his drop in level of play. However he often found a way to get his game on track and oust his opponent in the end. This craftiness will be key in his match against Isner. Ultimately this match should go to lengths either by tiebreak lotteries or erratic play by either play. Conditions will give Isner a lot of cheap points and service games, but in the end I expect the homecrowd, craftiness and clay specialization to hand the hard fought W to Garcia-Lopez. Overs and ML is the way to go. Lopez - Gimeno-Traver. Over 23.5 games. 2.15 7/10 @ Pinnacle. Very curious to the outcome of this match-up. Madrilenian Lopez will face fellow countryman Gimeno-Traver, however from Valencia. The interesting part about this match-up is that both players don’t have form to speak for. Lopez has been out since Indian Wells with a wrist injury. On the other hand Gimeno-Traver hasn’t won a match since he started his clay campaign. However in general I thought he played quite well at times for at least a set or so. His unstable play however, lead him to losing matches. Interesting in this match-up as well is that both players have a good serve, Lopez obviously having the more solid and feistier one. Both of them also rely on their forehand to dominate rallies. That being said, the altitude in Madrid supports the more aggressive and powerful players. Serves and heavy ground strokes have less air resistance, which makes it easier for those balls to come through. Gimeno-Traver being the more comfortable player on clay and having more match rhythm makes me feel he should nick this in three. However the fact that Lopez is from Madrid and him having the big lefty serve and forehand against the erratic behavior of Gimeno make me think the over is a banker and must take.

[shor]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Haase @2.75 to beat Dolgopolov A very tricky encounter here, but I think it's time for Haase to clinch a few good wins. He's had a crappy year, but we can see an improvement lately as he won 6 of his last 7 matches(including qualifying here). It's hard to predict matches involving Dolgo, but I assume the dutch will be more motivated and eager to win and that will help him do it.

[shor]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Cirstea @6.5 to beat Errani The odds for the romanian are totally unrealistic to me as she can certainly beat Errani. The italian is a hard player to remove as she can play many balls, run and so, but Cirstea has a bigger serve, bigger shots and surely can hit through her.

[Regnavetto]

Re: May 6 - May 12

Haase @2.75 to beat Dolgopolov A very tricky encounter here, but I think it's time for Haase to clinch a few good wins. He's had a crappy year, but we can see an improvement lately as he won 6 of his last 7 matches(including qualifying here). It's hard to predict matches involving Dolgo, but I assume the dutch will be more motivated and eager to win and that will help him do it.

Haase is playing like **** for over a year now. I've made the mistake often in backing him in wrong situations.

[CzechPunter]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Back Jeremy Chardy to beat Gilles Simon for a 2/10 stake at 2.62 with Paddy Power Neither of the two is in a good form right now, but the faster conditions should suit Chardy much more and I wouldn't be surprised by seeing him out-hitting Simon today. The higher-ranked Frenchman is just way too awkward right now and that is something that really hinders his chances given his playing style, so these odds look worth taking. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/chardy-vs-simon-betting-jeremy-chardy-should-be-able-to-out-hit-his-compatriot-in-madrid-20130506 Back Marion Bartoli to beat Maria-Teresa Torro-Flor for a 2/10 stake at 2.02 with Pinnacle Well, if Bartoli turns up in a decent form, she should be able to beat Torro-Flor today, it is as simple as that - and I think that she will do just that today, as it seems that her off-court issues have already cleared up and that should allow her to fully focus on the task at hand. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/bartoli-vs-torro-flor-betting-marion-bartoli-has-what-it-takes-to-crush-torro-flor-today-20130506

[lakeside]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Czech Punter, I wanted to know if you saw any sort of value in Baggy and do you think he is in any sort of form to have a chance against boredo? I think away from the playing at home advantage, Boredo should be tired. Pls diagnose!

[CzechPunter]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Not completely sure about what to think about the match. The conditions could suit Baggy and Robredo might be tired, but the thing to remember is that Baggy wasn't playing that well in the singles in Munich and that he might still be a bit off fitness- and match-time-wise. There should be a video stream for the match, so perhaps live betting is the way to go here, as you could then see what sort of Baghdatis has turned up.

[lakeside]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Very true! thanks

[Torque]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Back Tomas Berdych to win ATP Mutua Madrid Open @ 65.00 >Betfair Nadal and Djokovic will be expected to slug it out for the title in Madrid, but if that doesn't happen then I think it's worth having a small interest in Berdych. He has had a good season so far, although his level seems to have dropped slightly since Miami. The consensus seems to be that he has been suffering with fatigue, so perhaps early exits on the clay in Monte-Carlo and Barcelona weren't such a bad thing. His first match here will be against Janowicz, and I think he is a better clay court player than the Pole and so he should get through to the third round. There he would face either Monaco or Anderson. His record against Monaco is very strong, as is his record against Anderson, and so he should have a good chance to reach the quarter-final. Berdych might play Murray for a place in the semi-final, and as Murray has not had many matches on clay so far this season and has mentioned that it takes him a while to adjust to the surface, I think Berdych can improve on his good record against him in clay matches. Djokovic is likely to be Berdych's opponent if he makes it as far as the semi-final, and although his record against Djokovic makes for pretty grim reading, they have only met once on clay, in Monte-Carlo last year, when Djokovic won in three sets. As such, Berdych might feel that he has more of a chance against Djokovic on clay, and if he can find his best form this week then he might be able to push Djokovic again. In the final, Berdych would more than likely need to beat Nadal to win the title. Berdych hasn't beaten Nadal for a number of years, and so it would probably take one of the best performances of his career to get the better of the Spaniard. At this price, I'll take a chance on Berdych causing a few upsets in the Spanish capital.

[CzechPunter]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Back Denis Istomin (+1.5 sets) to beat David Ferrer for a 2/10 stake at 4.00 with Paddy Power Yep, you've guessed it - I am still willing to go against David Ferrer. Denis Istomin is obviously not at his very best right now, but the centre court seems to be rather quick and that should help his cause. He has beaten Ferrer before, which is also nice to know, as he is not going to have any mental issues with playing against such a big name. The pressure will be completely on the Spaniard - and this price looks a touch big given Ferrer's recent performances. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/istomin-vs-ferrer-betting-david-ferrer-might-face-a-few-problems-at-the-beginning-of-his-madrid-campaign-20130508 Back Kristina Mladenovic to beat Maria Kirilenko for a 2/10 stake at 3.77 with Pinnacle Mladenovic is a huge talent and her 6-1 6-1 win over Soler-Espinosa is definitely something we should notice. The fast conditions obviously suit her playing style and I think that she will have every chance against Maria Kirilenko, who has been looking a bit suspect in recent weeks and who might easily crack under the pressure Mladenovic should be able to produce. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/mladenovic-vs-kirilenko-betting-kristina-mladenovic-looks-value-against-maria-kirilenko-in-madrid--20130508

[Regnavetto]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Tsonga - Haase. Under 20.5 games. 2.10 @ 7/10 with Pinnacle This should be a one way street for Tsonga. The Frenchman only has a R16 to defend here and might see his chances with Djokovic eliminated out of the draw. Jo has had a decent clay campaign up till now giving Nadal a little run for his money, Rafa was simply too good for him. On the other hand Haase has been looking for any form whatsoever for months now and could hardly win a decent match. However that changed, when Dolgopolov decided to implode and play like a donkey handing over the win to Haase. The Dutchman reacted to that win like he just won the title at Kitzbühel all over again. Whilst the confidence level of Haase must be much higher than it was all year, I don’t believe he can hurt Tsonga whatsoever. The faster conditions support the Dutchman as well but speak even more in favour of the flamboyant Frenchman. In contrast to the previous match, Haase won’t be able to dominate and have momentum in the match. I expect Tsonga to be the oppressor throughout giving Haase no shot, as counterpunching is not one of his strong suits. Furthermore Tsonga dominates Haase in both wings, while Haase has a decent forehand, Tsonga has the superior one. Also, whilst Tsonga’s weaker wing for me is the backhand; Haase has no backhand to speak for. Lastly the only thing that I can imagine that screws up the line is Haase that serves perfectly, the faster conditions would let them power through. However Haase is an erratic prick and the fact that he can’t keep his head straight for longer than a set gives me confidence that even though he can keep the first set to a 7-5 like score, Tsonga has the capabilities and will certainly get a window to demolish Haase in a second.

[lakeside]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Reg, I like your writeup on Tsonga/Haase but I am not very convinced about the outcome. My head tells me that it will be a Tsonga victory but my mind definately insists that it will not be easy by any means. I was worried about the beginning of your last paragraph@ the only thing you can imagine that will screw it up....... hehehehe (lol). I think Haase is underrated and currently playing well enough not to be taken from granted in a matchup without previous history! Still, good luck bro!

[CzechPunter]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Back Varvara Lepchenko to beat Sara Errani for a 2/10 stake at 3.10 with Pinnacle This should be a good opportunity for Varvara Lepchenko to go far in a big event, it really should. She has a good record against Errani and seems to know what works against these clay court specialists (having beaten Vinci in Madrid already), so I fancy her to have what it takes to beat Errani here. Big hitting works in Madrid - and Lepchenko is certainly better than Errani in that department. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/lepchenko-vs-errani-betting-varvara-lepchenko-can-stop-errani-s-run-in-madrid-20130509 Back Sabine Lisicki (+1.5 sets) to beat Maria Sharapova for a 2/10 stake at 3.05 with Unibet Sharapova should be able to win this, but I think that Lisicki might be a much bigger challenge than the odds suggest. After all, she can hit big from both wings, she has beaten Sharapova before, and she seems to be getting into a good form. A set should be fully within her range here - and this price therefore looks quite good in all fairness. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/lisicki-vs-sharapova-betting-sabine-lisicki-looks-set-to-challenge-the-world-s-number-two-today-20130509

[Guardiola]

Re: May 6 - May 12 ITF Caleigh: Back Taylor L. Davidson to beat Asia Muhammed. 5,90 @ marathonbet (4/10) Something I simply have to try at these odds. I don´t know either player, but what makes me do that "gambling" is the ranking of both players. Muhammed is ranked 417, already 22 years old, had played al lot of tournaments yet, but didn´t get over ITF level. The first round in Caleigh, she had beaten Maria-Fernanda Alves with 6-1 6-7 7-6, a 30 years old Brasilian who is quite out of shape (5th lose in a row). Taylor Davidson is 18 years old US player who has never played on pro level before, just juniors tournaments. She is ranked about 800, but she has beaten Maria Fernanda Alvarez Teran in round 1 with 6-1 6-4, a 24 years old Bolivian, ranked 290 (!). If Davidson can beat a player ranked 290 as simple as that, why does she then get these odds against a player ranked 417? In my opinion, this is value.

[lakeside]

Re: May 6 - May 12 I agree with you that it may be worth a gamble but on low-medium stakes. As we all know it can be so very difficult to depend soly on seedings and mathematical analysis to reach conclusions especially in the ITF or WTA for that matter. It is quite possible that the 24yr old Bolivian mentally checked out of the match early in surrender or it just could be possible that you have found a needle in a haystack. It also may be worth noting that Muhammed is a good player and has a few good victories to her name. I suggest you follow her a bit if she beats Davidson because she really crossed my mind this week. I back her yesterday too.!! Good luck!!!

[lakeside]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Guardiola, I just backed your girl with a score at 3/1 and another score over 19.5games. At I type price drop now to 11/4. Interesting!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Regnavetto]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Kevin Anderson to beat Tomas Berdych. 3.28 @ Pinnacle (3/10) Over 22.5 games. 1.92 @ Pinnacle (8/10) In a match between two power players in the form of Kevin Anderson and Tomas Berdych, I can definitely see a match that’ll go to lengths. Anderson really had a great showing yesterday against Juan Monaco and is starting to feel the clay surface a lot better this year and is still growing. He managed to oust Monaco by really playing powerful groundstrokes and making the Argentine move every inch of the court. Against Berdych this could prove to be key as well. Especially in his own service games he can use the faster conditions to his advantage with good serves and one-two punches. Berdych obviously is quite similar in some ways with Anderson and will use much of the above to his benefit as well. Berdych did well to keep his head cool and clinch the match against tanker Janowicz. For me Berdych played at relatively the same level throughout the match and it was all about the Polish player whether he would take points and games or lose them. All his balls that found the line in the first set, found just clay in the tramlines in the sets following that. But what stood out was the incapability of Berdych to handle all that power. The South African in his match against Monaco was a lot more stable and found a good balance between power hitting and some soft touches to keep the Argentine guessing. This could prove to be a setback in Berdych’s planning in reaching the next round. In contrast with Janowicz I think Kevin can keep his game much more on a constant level and can also keep his head together in clutch moments. All in all, my main bet is the overs, which in my eyes is a must take. However I do think that Anderson will have a window in to clinching this match and if he can keep his game constant together with his mental state, he has a real shot on creating an upset. Value on the tall South-African. Verdasco to beat Tsonga 3.34 @ Pinnacle (3/10) Over 23.5 games. 2.08 @ Pinnacle (8/10) Will be very interesting to see how Verdasco shows up in this one against world #8 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. I misjudged the match terribly between Nando and Goffin, it wasn’t really clear to me how important this tournament was for the Madrileño. This was really shown in his great win over Milos Raonic. Nando went for literally every ball and in contrast to his normal ADD behavior, he was quite constant and full out concentrated throughout the match. He also moved really well and hit less unforced errors that I expected and absorbed Raonic’s power better than I expected. After his win he was really emotional crying under the warm and loud roar of the chauvinistic Madrid crowd. Today he’ll face an even bigger test in Tsonga. The Frenchman really disappointed me yesterday in his showing against Robin Haase. He was really off his game and nothing was really working for him. Biggest upsets for me were his footing and backhand. Every clay court is different and requires small adjustments in movement and even footwear. He was caught off balance on really a significant amount of points, resulting in stupid unforced errors. Forehand was quite alright but his backhand was really a disaster and I think he was 0 out of 6 with his dropshots, the latter were really a joke. Verdasco is looking quite good overall and especially with his motivation boost, his concentration should be more on par as well. His advantage in this match-up is that he should be able to turn defence into attack and put Tsonga on the back foot. With his powerful lefty forehand I’m sure his battleplan will be to put the backhand under pressure and drive him to outside court so he can follow that up with a winner on the Tsonga forehand wing. All in all this should be a very hard match for Jo and similar to the Berdych match, I’m taking a main bet on the overs and taking a punt on the under dog. Gimeno-Traver to beat Andujar. 2.40 @ Pinnacle (3/10) ​Over 22.5 games. 1.97 @ Pinnacle (6/10) This Spanish encounter between Gimeno-Traver and Andujar has overs written all over it. Both players coming off huge wins. Gimeno-Traver has had great scalps over Feliciano Lopez and especially Richard Gasquet. In both matches he served really well and played a very aggressive game. Accompany those aspects with good court coverage and you’ve got yourself a very surprising Gimeno-Traver that put great wins to his name. On the other hand Andujar has been also playing very well this week. Wins over Cilic and Isner are also results to be proud of and Pablo is definitely also a force to be reckoned with. In general very solid play off both wings. For once I’m actually not taking the H2H into too much account. Andujar has a 5-1 advantage in the H2H. But at the moment it’s all about the current situation. Gimeno has been playing really aggressive and give his confidence boost with two great wins, I think that trend should continue. Obviously Andujar is also big on confidence, but with him it’s been all about solidity and if Gimeno keeps a constant level, he could push through that. This plea on the Gimeno-Traver win looks confident, but I’m just trying to illustrate that odds on 2.40 are too big, for me this should be more close to a coinflip and so I find value in the underdog win. However my main punt in this match is definitely the over bet as I fancy both players to clinch a set in this one.

[Regnavetto]

Re: May 6 - May 12

Reg' date=' I like your writeup on Tsonga/Haase but I am not very convinced about the outcome. My head tells me that it will be a Tsonga victory but my mind definately insists that it will not be easy by any means. I was worried about the beginning of your last paragraph@ the only thing you can imagine that will screw it up....... hehehehe (lol). I think Haase is underrated and currently playing well enough not to be taken from granted in a matchup without previous history! Still, good luck bro![/quote'] Yeh, in hind sight it didn't really went how I would've expected. It was better to watch a tsonga match before making conclusions. However I'm not underrating Haase. I'm a Dutch guy and I've made too many Haase backings that were too biased. The guy only leans on his serve and forehand, but he has 0 mental capabilities, his backhand is very very bad and his Aggressiveness Factor is far too low for someone with two rather big weapons in his arsenal. He definitely has the capabilities and talents but is screwing up way too often.

[amity]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Davidson, is currently 7/1 on Paddy Power! and Gimeno Traver showed incredible resilience against Gasquet, saved several setpoints in the first set For a player who was until recently, very flakey (often losing in the final set 6-0 for instance), I'm very impressed with how he's turned himself around, his form this year has been very solid

[Duckets]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Gimeno traver to beat Andujar looks like a good bet, he played well against gasquet, gasquet has showed good form on clay so going by that i think gimeno traver will be good enough for the win. Andujar beat isner but isner played terribly and was never comfortable on the clay, isner could not well the clay not suited to his style.

[Duckets]

Re: May 6 - May 12 I dont think verdasco is good enough to beat tsonga even on clay, probably best to do the overs in that game.

[Guardiola]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Back Haas/Stepanek to beat Melzer/Paes. 2,18 @ marathonbet (5/10) Well, Melzer/Paes should and could be a very promising double, but they are really out of shape. In Munich, they lost to Cabal/Farah, a quite medium double, if world-class level is concerned. In Monte Carlo they won against Bhupati/Bopanna which should not be overrated as the Indian double theirselves is not at their best days. Losing in three to Bryan/Bryan was a better result which is to be considered here. haas/Stepenak have all weapons that are necessary to be very good double. They didn´t play too often together, so they had to find their way. Losing to a very well-playing Begemann/emmrich in Munich was the result. But at Madrid, they seem to be better. It´s not easy to win against Dimitrov/Raonic... Above all, the faster conditions in Madrid should suit them as both have fast strokes, especially Stepanek. I think this double is at least even, and worth a put.

[Guardiola]

Re: May 6 - May 12 S. Williams vs. M. Kirilenko over 17,5 games. 1,97 @ pinnacle (8/10) This game starts right now, so I make it short. This line seems to low. Serena struggled a bit against Putintseva and Dominguez Lino (20 games in both matches). Kirilenko is better than both players and had a nice game against mladenovic yesterday. I expect at least one tight set here. Agree with all of your bets Regnavetto! Nice picks.

[Banner]

Re: May 6 - May 12 Never understood why Gimeno Traver wasnt favourite! Anyways on to Haas v Ferrer This match features Haas ranked 13th in the world and Ferrer ranked 4th in the world. Haas is in great form and won in Munich last week losing just the one set to the in form Gulbis. Ferrer reached the final in Portugal last week before losing in straight sets to Wawrinka. Ferrer played poorly all week just about grinding out wins against poor opponents. Haas looks really comfortable at the moment and would love to get back into the top 10 and I expect him to do so on the basis of his current form. Haas has had to good wins here in the opening rounds against Seppi and Robredo who are two good players and he beat them both in straight sets. David Ferrer does not look at his best at the moment and I would not be betting against him if he did! These odds are great for a in form player to beat Ferrer who is not playing at his best at the moment Haas to win at odds of 3.05 @ Marathon Bet