BBOTD Friday 9th December

[cpo]

1.45 Cheltenham Knockara Beau 6/1 win Ladbrokes Think this horse has an outstanding chance of winning here and I am quite happy to take on the favourite Mon Parrain. KB finished 4th in this race last year off a 7lb higher mark in what was a much more competitive looking race than this time around. He also races off 143 which is his lowest mark for quite some time and he should go very close. His has a great record over jumps with 6 wins and 6 places from 23 runs. He has also proved he can mix it with with the best around having finsihed 2nd to the likes of Weird Al, Diamond Harry and Grands Crus. He looks to have set up for this race, after returning to action this season in a fixed brush handicap hurdle at Haydock. Everything looks in place for this horse to run a huge race here and go very close with the only slight concern being the state of the ground.

[switzerland]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December Scotsirish 2.20 Cheltenham 1pt win 5/2 VC Classy horse who couldn't have been any more impressive on his first outing over the banks course at Punchestown. He absolutely bolted up. If he continues to bring his hurdling/chase form (rated 157 at his best) to the cross country game he'll be worth following. Stable also have Uncle Junior who is hard to ignore given how well he ran over course and distance lto. But Patrick Mullins takes the ride on Scotsirish when you probably had the choice and I just feel he could have a lot to offer at this game. Just missed the 11/4 available earlier but will take the 5/2 on offer with a few firms.

[corky]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 1530 cheltenham darlan 1pt win sp easy winner at kempton last time out,extra furlong today, should stop the hatrick, wont be much of a price, but its one i will follow until it gets beat mccoy/henderson enjoy a 36% strike rate , here hoping it gets better

[Petersson1984]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 14:20 Cheltenham Scotsirish Win (3,75) Coral Exciting race with lots of interesting participants. Scotsirish gets the vote. The 10 year old gelding was impressive last time out, winning by 14l. He is 1lb down but needs to overcome 7f extra. Judge by his latest win, he should have the stamina and speed to stay up front, on the final couple of furlongs. Scotsirish recent form. 3-3-6-3-1 The jockey Mullins are booked, for the second run in a row. He won 7 of his last 16 runs.

[Dtrains]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 1.10 chelt THAT'LL DO BOY - This horse has been a absolute revalation since the application of blinkers beat Zarrafakt at newbury lto which i put up as a bbotd ironicly, however those two pulverised a decent field pulling a mile clear, zarrafakt is a decent animal first time out and they both ran well above there marks, 9lb is no where near enough to stop this he still mile ahead of handicapper, this race is a shocker for the track aswel and he carrys top weight but realistically he's in a different league to these lot and won a better race last time out cant believe price jumping in feet first with a max bet. THAT'LL DO BOY win 2/1 corals

[Aidymac]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December

1.10 chelt THAT'LL DO BOY - This horse has been a absolute revalation since the application of blinkers beat Zarrafakt at newbury lto which i put up as a bbotd ironicly, however those two pulverised a decent field pulling a mile clear, zarrafakt is a decent animal first time out and they both ran well above there marks, 9lb is no where near enough to stop this he still mile ahead of handicapper, this race is a shocker for the track aswel and he carrys top weight but realistically he's in a different league to these lot and won a better race last time out cant believe price jumping in feet first with a max bet. THAT'LL DO BOY win 2/1 corals

15/8 , not 2/1 :ok

[Dtrains]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December I seem to be making a habit of missing prices, honestly i aint trying to con you I take my prices off ATR website obviously that must be wrong

[Aidymac]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December Fair Along - Cheltenham 1:45 Fair Along is the only horse in the field that has won at Cheltenham. He has won at Cheltenham 4 times as a matter of fact, with 1 of those over course and distance. Looked back to near its best bar an odd bad jump or two when 3rd in the Hennessey last time out behind Carruthers, ran above expectation. Fair Along has 15 wins from 61 runs, a very impressive strike-rate and Rhys Flint takes over again, he does very well on the horse and is a talented jockey!Last win at Cheltenham came in 2008 in the Pertemps Handicap when it hosed up by 6 lengths, beating Dont Push It! This is a very specialist track and the fact its the only horse in the field that has proven to handle it has to count for something. Mon Parrain has the scope for improvement but i think it may be a vulnerable favourite having been well beat at Cheltenham last time out, although if it re-produces its Sandown form where it won by 22 lengths, then i will be worried. Knockara Beau has never won at Cheltenham after numerous attempts and although can give a good run, should find one or two too good. Shakalakaboomboom i dont fancy at all. Won at Punchestown when last seen but was beaten out of sight on its only 2 previous attempts at Cheltenham and all wins came on good to soft. Also has a stiff mark. Swincombe Rock again was pulled up and finished 14th on its only two attempts at Cheltenham and this is a bit of a step up in class. Mostly Bob may have a squeak at a big price although was pulled up on its only attempt at Cheltenham. So i was left with Fair Along as having a big chance in this race.. WIN @ 7/2 Bet365 BOG

[TheBoyRooney]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December

I seem to be making a habit of missing prices' date=' honestly i aint trying to con you I take my prices off ATR website obviously that must be wrong[/quote'] mate the atr website doesnt update sometimes because the bookmaker wouldnt have send the signal to shorten.there fore if you click the price at the bookies the correct price will come up.:D

[Stevet1859]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 2:20 Cheltenham: Hennessy 1pt win 33/1 William Hill It may be worth taking a flyer here on the basis that Hennessy takes to this course. If he did then he is well handicapped on his Bet365 Gold Cup winning form. Hennessy joined Ferdy Murphy and ran a fair fifth first time out at Kelso, however his last two runs appear to be write offs. However, the first of those was a Grade 3 chase and the second was on soft where he led for a long way before tying up on the soft. This firmer going on the cross country course should be a lot more suitable today and he will stay this marathon trip. Although out of the handicap here, there is outside chance of a big run.

[cpo]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December

Fair Along - Cheltenham 1:45 Fair Along is the only horse in the field that has won at Cheltenham. He has won at Cheltenham 4 times as a matter of fact, with 1 of those over course and distance. Looked back to near its best bar an odd bad jump or two when 3rd in the Hennessey last time out behind Carruthers, ran above expectation. Fair Along has 15 wins from 61 runs, a very impressive strike-rate and Rhys Flint takes over again, he does very well on the horse and is a talented jockey!Last win at Cheltenham came in 2008 in the Pertemps Handicap when it hosed up by 6 lengths, beating Dont Push It! This is a very specialist track and the fact its the only horse in the field that has proven to handle it has to count for something. Mon Parrain has the scope for improvement but i think it may be a vulnerable favourite having been well beat at Cheltenham last time out, although if it re-produces its Sandown form where it won by 22 lengths, then i will be worried. Knockara Beau has never won at Cheltenham after numerous attempts and although can give a good run, should find one or two too good. Shakalakaboomboom i dont fancy at all. Won at Punchestown when last seen but was beaten out of sight on its only 2 previous attempts at Cheltenham and all wins came on good to soft. Also has a stiff mark. Swincombe Rock again was pulled up and finished 14th on its only two attempts at Cheltenham and this is a bit of a step up in class. Mostly Bob may have a squeak at a big price although was pulled up on its only attempt at Cheltenham. So i was left with Fair Along as having a big chance in this race.. WIN @ 7/2 Bet365 BOG

I know Knockara Beau has never won at Cheltenham but surely a 4th in the RSA chase finishing half a length behind long run, a 2nd in the cleeve hurdle and another 5th in grade 1 company at the track proves he has no problems with the track? I know your not saying he doesn't act at Cheltenham but it seems as though your saying because he has never won at the track then he won't win tomorrow? Haha I am only wondering what your reasons for ruling him out as I have backed him! To be fair though he does tend to find 1 or 2 too good albeit normally a top class horse.

[Aidymac]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December

I know Knockara Beau has never won at Cheltenham but surely a 4th in the RSA chase finishing half a length behind long run' date=' a 2nd in the cleeve hurdle and another 5th in grade 1 company at the track proves he has no problems with the track? I know your not saying he doesn't act at Cheltenham but it seems as though your saying because he has never won at the track then he won't win tomorrow? Haha I am only wondering what your reasons for ruling him out as I have backed him! To be fair though he does tend to find 1 or 2 too good albeit normally a top class horse.[/quote'] I never said he didnt handle the track, i said he has never won at Cheltenham... I had one look at Charlton's form and crossed it off straight away... No winner from his last 76 runners and 0-18 at Cheltenham... I just put a line through it!

[cpo]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December Yeh to be fair that put me off a little but I suppose it has to change some point. Probably the trainers best chance with this horse to get a Cheltenham winner:hope

[chris34]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 2.00 Southwell Gutted to have missed the price a bit on this one! I am a member of Rod Millman Racing Club and I am making the trip tomorrow to see the old Irish Jugger run who imo holds strong claims he is 1lb below his last winning mark and is 3 from 4 round here and showed a bit more life last time out to suggest he could be returning to form so returned to this surface should be ideal only concern is the short break he has unfortunately had to have again and of course the Swinbank runner is clearly unexposed and although been sent off big prices has won easy but lets be honest he hardly beat anything last time out they really were some awful horses barring Carnac who is atleast consistent. 1pt win Irish Jugger 4/1 lads

[mileni4uk]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December Cheltenham 2.20 Scotsirish win - 5/2 Coral Sky Looks like the money are already coming for this one. Class above all of these and if he stays the trip, he might be too good for them. Will love the ground and the way these races are usually run, I think he will outclass them turning for home. Patrick Mullins on is a significant booking, because he could've ridden Uncle Junior too.

[Lars]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 13:10 Cheltenham Wrote this last time for the selection, BADGER FOOT.

“BADGER FOOT was extremely progressive last season after joining Lucinda Russell and still looked to be going the right way when returning from pointing to win really nicely at Kelso off a mark of 110 over the three mile trip, there were excuses last time and he still looks a horse who could make his presence felt off a much higher rating and he’s worthy of an investment today. The six year-old was formerly with Jonjo O’Neill, winning only once and generally been a little bit disappointing. He was revitalised mind after joining current connections, winning five times in points before transferring that to the aforementioned Kelso effort. That day he travelled supremely well and never really looked in much danger, finding plenty when asked and was eased down at the finish. The runner-up has continued to improve so it obviously wasn’t a bad race so a 9lb hike in the weights didn’t look too harsh. Was next seen only two weeks later and he was in with a big shout after been backed into favouritism (in the Perth Gold Cup, a much tougher race obviously). He blundered a fence and went backwards from then on, it later transpiring that he’d lost his action in the process. The way he travelled before the incident suggested he still had plenty of mileage off his revised mark and at his age, looked a horse to follow. Today he comes off a summer break, so fitness could well be an issue. However, Lucinda Russell is in fine form at present and I’ll give the benefit of the doubt on that front. This isn’t as competitive as on first glance, and I’m only particularly worried about Eyre Square, who could improve again switched back to fences. That being said, I believe Badger Foot could be a horse capable of acting in the 130’s, so in my estimation it makes him well-handicapped off his current mark of 119. He travels well, generally jumps extremely nicely and he’s only a six year old too, which means progression is likely. Fitness will have to be taken on trust and if I knew his wellbeing was guaranteed I’d be tempted to “max bet” him. Even so, he’s worth a solid investment as he’s progressive with more definitely to come, comes from a yard in great form and faces opposition generally who are a fair bit weaker than he is. He should be favourite in my book so a price of 7/1 looks three points or so too big”

Although finishing 48 lengths behind the winner (race worked out well), it was a really promising run I thought. Jumping and travelling well, he made his challenge and went 2^nd, still looking full of running. He then started to tire and although sticking about for a little while, soon faded and was heavily eased by his rider. That was over three miles and there should have been no problem with him staying that trip. So, it could have been one of two things. His breathing problem resurfaced, or that he looked in need of the run. The market signals on Betfair prior to the race suggested it might have been the latter, and the fact they haven’t reached for a tongue-tie suggests they don’t think it’s a problem with his wind. If it was the former, that he needed the run, then he’ll obviously be a lot sharper for that effort and definitely comes into the shake-up off a mark of 119. Looking progressive beforehand, I still believe that he can run to a mark of 130 and with his jockey able to claim 8lbs (had a winner for this yard on Monday), Badger Foot looks well-in. He’s been dropped in trip to 2m5f but for a horse who travels so well, it ought not to be a problem, especially on a testing track. Lucinda Russell had been having a quiet spell but has had two winners this week and looks to be getting back on track form wise. This race is very weak for the course and I really do have it as a two horse-race. The Nicholls favourite won in game fashion and is up a further 9lbs, but was well clear of third and still looks to have a bit of scope about him. At 15/8, he’s worth taking on with a bigger-priced rival. The others look fairly modest for the grade I feel and if Badger Foot puts his best foot forward, he has an excellent chance off effectively a rating of 111. He has no issues with the ground, even if it softens, comes from a stable among the winners and should be fully fit from his seasonal reappearance when running well for a long time. Hopefully it wasn’t a breathing problem last time because if it wasn’t, then he has big claims today, and a price of 11/1 is seriously good value. If running to the level I think he can, he’s more than able to get the better of the short-priced favourite. BADGER FOOT; 1pts @ 11/1 Boylesports (bog)

[wizzkid walter]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 12:25 Doncaster - Sprinter Sacre - Back Ran an absolute screamer in the Supreme Novices at Cheltenham lto, not beaten far by the brilliant Al Ferof on that occasion (who himself has recently cone out and won his first 2 starts over fences). Sprinter Sacre's jumping style has always suggested that he'd be even better over the bigger obstacles and this day will have been awaited for a long time by a lot of people. He is already forefrontal in many of the antepost markets for some flashy races, and he faces little in terms if credible opposition here. A clear round of jumping should see him win this at a hack canter 1pt win @ SP

[Trotter]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December Sou 12.15 - Whisky Bravo - win at 11/10 Laddies I opposed this one when it ran here 3 days ago in a five furlong nursery on the basis that i thought it might need 6 furlongs now It scooted up that day and duly steps up to 6 furlongs now Unbeaten at the track, 2-2, and obviously in good nick - I can see this going off as an odds on shot so anything odds against looks a good bet Only 5 runners The second favourite is Adranian who's been in good form in sellers and claimers at Wolves but has been beaten in handicaps off this mark and has no track experience Sonsie Lass is a CD winner but is up in class today and has been beating Mount Mcleod which doesn't take much doing. Front runner - could be dangerous if allowed an easy time I'm a bit worried about Bartley who's currently 14/1 and I ummed and aahed over wether to take a chance on him as my selection. He drops in class, has won on good to soft and comes from a Smart stable. Lack of course form put me off

[Monterosso]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 12:35 Cheltenham - Edgardo Sol - 1pt @ 9/2 (Bet365) I won't be winning any prizes for originality here but Edgardo Sol looks to be a very worthy favourite in what doesn't appear to be a great contest, even though the betting suggests that it's a tricky one to solve. Paul Nicholls often has underpriced runners, vastly underpriced at that, but this 4-year-old gelding doesn't fit into that category if he has no problems with a short gap in between his races, as he only lined out 6 days ago. It could well force him to run below-par and I don't particularly like backing horses who have run recently but the price seems worth it, as I feel that he's still a well-handicapped animal off a mark of 134. Edgardo Sol last ran in a Listed handicap at Sandown, a race in which he was sent off as a relatively well-supported 11/4 favourite. However, things conspired against him mid-race, as he had to run on the back of a steady gallop and was constantly jumping out to his left on with is a right-handed track. He still travelled like one of the best horses in the race and got himself into contention when they turned for home but his effort petered out quite tamely, as he couldn't quicken when it mattered and made a bad error at the penultimate flight, which left him flat-footed. In the end, he could only manage a fairly distant 4th of 12 but it was still an encouraging performance, despite not being a brilliant result. Edgardo Sol now returns to the scene of his greatest success, as he ran out a most impressive winner at this track over just a half-furlong shorter on his penultimate outing. He travelled like a very talented horse that day and showed a telling burst of pace to put 6-lengths between himself and a very decent 17-runner field when encountering the Cheltenham hill. The return to this track should really help him (as he's going the correct way around again) and although he's 12lbs higher in the ratings and running in a better races against older, more experienced handicappers, he looks up to the task if getting that little bit of luck. Harry Derham offsets some of the 12lb rise on Edgardo Sol by taking off a valuable 7lbs and although not many can replace Ruby in the saddle, this fellow is a very talented young jockey who will be an ideal partner for this type of horse. There's a chance that they mightn't go overly quick up top here, which is a worry, but 9/2 is still too big with Nicholls' charge facing a much easier task than he did last week. It would also be a plus if the ground doesn't soften too much and overall, I feel he's worth having a medium sized bet on. There are a few dangers about, but I feel he has plenty of scope for improvement and Derham's claim leaves him looking very interesting indeed. Of the rest, one of the other 4-year-old's in the race, Tony Star (7/1), could prove to be his biggest danger if handling the track and he may be worth a small saver.

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 12.35 Cheltenham - 1pt win Edgardo Sol @ 9/2 (Hills) Edgardo Sol is turned out quickly here, which must be a slight concern given the testing nature of that race, but if all is well, he very much looks the one to beat here, so I'm risking it with a large bet. He's shown good ability in all starts in Britain - notching up a narrow chase victory before returning to hurdles. He put in a thoroughly impressive performance at Cheltenham two starts ago when top weight, giving 5lbs to a progressive 122 rated horse, beating him 6 lengths easily in the process. He was hiked up 12lbs for that win, but still put in a promising show in a listed handicap race at Sandown last weekend. He was held up in midfield on the wide outside, which didn't help his chances seen as he jumped left at the vast majority of flights. In the testing conditions, every lost yard was important, and he fell away quite tamely at the end. However, he travelled up very well and looked a huge threat before 2 out, where he made a mistake, and was soon in trouble. The ground was softer than the described going it seems that day and a return to the better conditions should suit, so he can utilise his speed and turn of pace. Obviously there are no issues with the track, and crucially Harry Derham takes off 7lbs. This essentially gives him a 5lb penalty for his easy course win because even though he is a claimer, Derham is perfectly capable. There are a few horses in here with a good chance and the quick return is a bit of a concern, but a 7lb reprieve in the weights and a left-handed track would have made all the difference last time I feel, in what was a good race, and it can see him back in the winner's enclosure here.

[LJD]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December Berbice - Wolverhampton 5.40 This horse comes here today looking for it's hat-trick ( so do I :D ). It's last two wins were over course and distance so there shouldn't be any problems with the track/trip. This horse is very much an all weather horse and didn't achieve much on turf so the turf form can be discounted and this horse should go well on it's favoured surface. *It does have quite a bit of weight on it's back but it has run pretty well under this sort of weight before picking up some good places and while it's in a good run of form I think it is a good horse to go with today and hopefully it can achieve it's hat-trick. Berbice win @ 3/1 *Bet365*

[Boulder5111]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December D3.20 Woodmore 0.5pt E/W 25/1 SportingBet This is a weak affair highlighted by the fact that the current 2nd favourite has won 1 out of 20 races so I've had a look at the longer prices and this one looks to have a squeak on its debut for the trainer today. It was placed in a couple of hurdle races off an 8lb higher mark as recently as last year and if the trainer has it fit today, the price looks too big. It looks like the 25/1 is starting to dry up as I type so hopefully that's a positive sign.

[cc75]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 1.10 Chelts: Nudge & Nurdle 1pt win @ 12/1 Bet365 Handicapped well having placed form this year from higher - Willie TD takes off another valuable 8lbs which makes the horse quite attractively weighted. Bit of a leap of faith as recent form has been nothing to shout about, however drop back in trip might assist and in a very winnable race this horse is entitled to go close at a price.

[BillyHills]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 2.10 Doncaster: Fairview Sue EW 10/1 Bet365 Bit of a shot in the dark here but I have been watching Fairview Sue in her novice hurdles, she travelled extremely well the time before last at Worcester and finished in front of Kentford Grey Lady. Last time out on sticky ground she again trevelled ok until weakening badly in the straight. Something may have gone wrong or it could have just been the ground that day. Anyway she lines up here in a Mares race and is handicapped for the first time. A mark of 106 looks very lenient from what I have seen and willing to give here a shot in a pretty average race on better ground. The stable are going ok and the price is fair enough for an EW bet.

[twinny]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 0.5 e/w parsnip pete 15.30 cheltenham 18/1 paddy power i will back parsnip pete solely on its last run were it was finishing well and was second to on the day a good horse in cry for freedom,parsnip pete ran an excellent race were it was held up and picked the field off at its own time,carrying the exact same weight today and should be fit as its last run was only just over a month ago,a massive place bet here on betfair and a small bet matched @ 32 on betfair for the win,if i could nap a place i would:hope

[Jimmy2shoes]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December Still yet to win but the 3yr old filly could get her day today, she has ran some fine efforts and am sure the penny will drop soon. she's alos never raced at Southwell and that could be a wee advantage today coming out Stall 2' Female Jockey Jennifer Ferguson gets the leg up for the first time, and this is her sole ride of the day. Southwell 2:35 - Mucky Molly. 0.5 e/w bet 8/1 Bet365 ''BOG'' Good luck Jennifer.

[fintron]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 12.35 Cheltenham Rio Gael - think this one has lost a leg because 9/1 is an insult. Looks fairly handicapped. Slammed Christopher Wren two runs ago, that has since won in handicaps. could be on a good mark himself. 9/1 Sporting Bet, 1 pt win

[kroni]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December 3;30 Cheltenham Bygones in Brid @ 16/1 e-w Bet365 Well beaten at 6/5 fav latest on hurdles debut returned from break, so got to think better was expected. Good form in bumpers previous to that gives him chance if better for the run last time. Yard in form and 16/1 looks decent each way bet against the favourite who looks hard to beat but 4/9 way to short in race like this.

[Jimmy2shoes]

Re: BBOTD Friday 9th December

12.35 Cheltenham Rio Gael - think this one has lost a leg because 9/1 is an insult. Looks fairly handicapped. Slammed Christopher Wren two runs ago, that has since won in handicaps. could be on a good mark himself. 9/1 Sporting Bet, 1 pt win

Think you mean - ''Golden Gael'' fella ;)