nickel1

Juan Martin Del Potro vs Andy Murray
Over 35.5 games 4/5 paddy power
Murray to win 3-1 14/5 paddy power
Over 3.5 sets 4/5 paddy power
Well this is the Gold medal match, and i think it will go to least four sets as i feel both players will drop a set, but i dont think we will see a lot of tie breaks, as the conditions allow for a lot of breaks of serve, because of the slowness of the court. The match will be close and the winner will be the one who wins the big points at the crucial times and that would be favourite who will come come out on top
 

Rio Olympics : 
5pts G.Monfils Vs R.Silva - Under 19.5 Games Evens Boylesports
4pts J.Millman Vs K.Nishikori - Under 19.5 Games Evens Bet365

Both these two (Gael & Nish) would of been happy seeing Novak go out. It just means if either of them can beat Murray they have a great chance of a Gold medal this year. Both are the kind of player to take a weaker player to the sword and get it "over and done with" Silva is a clay courter who will not be able to cope with Monfils. I'd be very, very surprised if that goes over 20 games. Millman has no form whatsoever and injury concerns and Nishikori is in fine form after getting to an ATP Semi-final.

3pts R.Opelka to beat D.Young 3/1 Bet365

Great chance for the young 18yr old to progress here. He has just beat Kevin Anderson after being a set down and both of those 2nd and 3rd sets were real ball winners not tie-breaks. At 6ft 11 on the fast hard courts this guy isn't going to be easy to break and Donald Young comes into this out of form in my eyes and lucky to be here after 2 matches in a row he has scraped through after 2nd set tie-breakers and going through in 3 sets.
I also don't believe Young plays well against big servers. Isner holds a 4-0 record over Young, Karlovic a 2-0, Raonic a 3-0, Cilic a 2-0. Yes, these players are higher ranked so you'd expect them to be beating Young but even lesser ranked big serving players like Jack Sock (3-0) Querrey (2-0) have the upper hand over Young.
Hell even Ryan Harrison and Sam Groth have wins over Young in recent matches on the hardcourt. 
I'd advise the overs on the games (Over 22.5) or Opelka +3.5 at evens if you want a bet that's more likely to come in but I'm taking this one by the balls and will take a gamble on Opelka coming through to win. 

Not a whole lot out there to me. I think Monteiro has a good chance against Tim Smyczek. Young 2-0 seems a good bet too but too short odds. I'm not a 1.66-1.79 bettor. One I'll try with is : 
5pts J.Jankovic to beat V.Solovyeva 2-0 4/5 Skybet
Jankovic back to her favourite surface here and playing a qualifier ranked hundreds of places below her. Solovyeva started as more a claycourter and most recently has excelled on the hardcourt but alot of her quallies here have been against weaker players. Jankovic will be looking to get her match fitness sharp here for Rio and certainly wont be looking to go out with a wimper.

1 PICK FOR TODAY:
FLORIANOPOLIS PUIG-SAVCHUK 2-0 SETS @1.5 pinnaclesports
expect it to be an easy straight-sets win for the favorite Puig who is simply a much better player in all aspects of the game

Back Francesca Schiavone to beat Zhaoxuan Yang for a 7/10 stake at 1.50 with Paddy Power
Had a good look at all the tournaments and I really like this one, should be like 1.20 imo. Schiavone might be an ageing force, but she's still out there playing with the best week in and week out, so I fancy her to beat Yang, who hasn't won since April (!), losing to plenty of much weaker opponents than Schiavone along the way. I don't believe that Schiavone would be playing without being motivated, as it's a long trip to China, so I'll go with the obvious pick.

Nah, she had an easy match before and she even played the doubles, which I don't think she would if she wasn't feeling well fitness-wise.

Back N.Djokovic/R.Stepanek - Over 19.5 games for a 7/10 stake at 2.10 with Paddy Power
Back Bernard Tomic to beat Kevin Anderson for a 7/10 stake at 1.80 with Paddy Power
Back Simona Halep (-3.5) to beat Karolina Pliskova for a 7/10 stake at 1.80 with Paddy Power
Djokovic still looking bothered by the shoulder injury, Anderson is a great match-up for Tomic, and Halep really should crush Pliskova in the form she's currently in.
Full preview here: http://punts.pl/xTanon

Parana vs Avai
Home team comes into this game on the back of three victories ie away win against table leader Vasco Da Gama, home win over Joinville and the latest an away win over Bragantino. Therefore, Parana is motivated to seek a fourth consecutive win that will propel it from 5th spot into the G4! Coach Marcelo Martelotte has designed a cohesive team that seeks to control the game and to exploit the opponents' mistakes. The visitors are themselves on a 4-game unbeaten run - two draws and two recent back-to-back wins, including last saturday's home win over table-leaders Vasco. Therefore, Avai seeks a third consecutive win but this would be its first away win this season. But the team is emboldened by both its current form and its head-to-head edge over Parana.
Both teams are on form and full of confidence for this game. Both are more likely to avoid defeat by nullifying each other, as first priority. Therefore, the game could be quite close with few goals. Draw and Under 2.5 goals.

Back N.Kyrgios/D.Brown - Over 34.5 games for a 7/10 stake at 1.80 with Bet365
Back Steve Johnson to beat Grigor Dimitrov for a 7/10 stake at 2.30 with Bet365
Brown should make it close against Kyrgios imo, he's a worse match-up for the Australian than Stepanek on this surface. I also like Johnson as the underdog against Dimitrov, as the guy is on a massive roll at the moment, while Dimitrov hasn't been all that impressive lately. He did beat Simon, but that's not a big achievement nowadays.
Full preview here: http://punts.pl/rCwToi

Back Pablo Cuevas to beat Steve Johnson for a 7/10 stake at 2.62 with Skybet
Again, this is the value bet imo. Not that big a gap between the two and Cuevas has the better finals record as well (Johnson is yet to win an ATP title in fact).
Full preview here: http://punts.pl/hy24Oc

5pts B.Strycova (-2.5 games) to beat H.Watson Evens PaddyPower
Strycova on her favourite surface and the better player in all honesty. Watson is a real hard player to predict. She wins the games she should lose and vice versa it seems at times. These two have played eachother three times and Strycova leads 2-1 and won the last meeting in straight sets this year on the Clay. It's interesting that one of the meetings back in 2013 was on the hard (Watson's preferred surface) and yet Strycova still won the match in straight sets. I fancy a 2-0 here but I'm going to take the games handicap instead. Watson went out early here last year to lowly ranked Kruncic where as Strycova got to the last 16. Watson beat Giorgi in the previous round here but it's interesting to see Giorgi double faulted TEN times. Strycova won't be offering that gift after just the 1 double fault against Pliskova. 

I'm going to go with a little outsider.
4pts S.Groth to win the first set Vs D.Thiem 6/4 Bet365.  
5.5pts Over 23.5 games 10/11 Sportingbet
This looks like potential upset to me. Thiem is a brilliant player and has now gone deep in a couple of tournaments in a row. Winning Nice. Final of Munich. QF of the French etc etc but this is a first match-up of the grass season on a surface that normally doesn't give him too much success and Groth can take advantage early on in my opinion. Groths pure power in his serve should give him enough to win his service games which means lots of games and the chance for him to take advantage in the first set. 
Thiem is 2 & 4 on the grass in 2015. Groth is 5 & 3. 

Thanks Vikki, 
Hopefully the grass season will get me back into form. 

After a decent end to a horrible RG, it's time for me to rest my betting for a bit with the biggest examinations of my life coming up in a month's time. It have been a truly memorable last 5 months on this forum, certainly the most clean forum and good respectable guys posting their plays.... I might be back for Wimbly depending on how my preparation has proceeded, but until then ADIOS AMIGOS!!! 
MAY THE BETTING GODS FAVOUR YOU ALL MY FRIENDS

Back Pablo Cuevas to beat Tomas Berdych for a 7/10 stake at 2.37 with BetVictor
Back Ernests Gulbis to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga for a 7/10 stake at 2.80 with BetVictor
Fancy these two underdogs tomorrow, both Berdych and Tsonga look shaky at the moment, while Cuevas is always dedicated and Gulbis is a man on a mission at the moment by the looks of things. Not much interesting in the H2H records, Cuevas leads 1-0 over Berdych (although it was a questionable results), while Tsonga leads Gulbis 3-2, but the differences between the two pairs are just minimal imo, so the bigger odds are worth a shot.
Full preview here: http://punts.pl/JmUsK5

draw is on Friday so the price may shorten. 
2.5pts E/W M.Raonic to win the Australian Open 50/1 William Hill
crazy price if you ask me. Raonic has just won the Brisbane event and only lost one set (a tie break to Dodig in Round 1) along the way he beat Tomic and then Federer in the final both in straight sets. He has looked in good form for a while now and will want to better his QF spot last year. This is his best surface and most likely if he is going to win anything so the 50/1 on offer is too good to turn down. Hoping for a nice draw.

In any case, this is it for the season I guess, so I wish you all a great December. With the Olympics on the cards next year, we should be in for a great 2016!

Back K.Edmund/D.Goffin - Over 3.5 sets for a 7/10 stake at 2.10 with Paddy Power
Back R.Bemelmans/A.Murray - Over 3.5 sets for a 4/10 stake at 5.80 with Unibet
I'm going to go with these two tomorrow. The atmosphere, the tension, everything should combine and I think that we could see two four-setters at least. Edmund played incredible tennis in Buenos Aires and he'll be extremely motivated for this one, while Bemelmans is explosive enough to test Murray in one or possibly two sets. One of those tests could go through as a won set with a bit of luck.
Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/davis-cup-betting-goffin-faces-edmund-murray-plays-against-bemelmans-

Bodo Glimt -Stabaek Ft 6-1. Pick Won, Viking -Mjondalen Ft 3-1 Pick won , also two other bets won Odd and Molde. Only Stromsgodset here lost ,after 2-0 in first half and lost of Stabaek made a gift to bookies with 2-2..
 
See you next season. Cheers

Levski-Loko PLD
 
Levski are topping the group right now and with a victory today they wolud increase the distance between them and Litex to 4 points,something Levski should feel obligated to do.The Blues are playing solid and combinative football.They love to posses the ball but scoring goals is where their struggling begins.They don't have a classy CAM who can find the clinical finisher somewhere in the penalty area.B.Tsonev(CAM) used to play that role but he is out injured and won't feature.Levski had Tasevski(CAM) but sold him so that left them only with Bedoya who is out of form actually.Levski will have Prochazka(CM) out for this game as well as Gadzhev(CM) which might extra trouble their work upfront as well as their creativity.On the other hand they feel calm and stable at the back and the abcense of Kamburov(CF and Loko's top scorer)should help their defending.Loko are on form right now,holding a decent record but it comes at home and with Kamburov available.I expect them to park the bus today and let Levski holding the ball.The home team tends to struggle when they have to break opponents down but i expect their sky high motivation to help them reach the 3 points.They know that Ludogorets failure to win yesterday provides them with a super chance for today.Last 3 mutual games have all been decided by a single goal and that easily might be the case on Sunday.Loko defending and Levski attacking is the most probable screnario which eventually suits The Blues so my bet happens to be a little bit more riskier as i can't see clear value in the home win.Levski to win by 1 goal exactly @ 3.50 with bet365.

1:0 

Back Ernests Gulbis (+2) to beat John Isner for a 7/10 stake at 1.95 with Betway
Back Philipp Kohlschreiber to beat Jerzy Janowicz for a 7/10 stake at 1.67 with BetVictor
Back Jiri Vesely (+4.5) to beat Richard Gasquet for a 7/10 stake at 1.90 with Paddy Power
Three for me tomorrow. Gulbis has an excellent record against Isner and beat him last week in Vienna, so he looks good to me on the handicap, as does Vesely, who was also quite good in Vienna - unlike Gasquet, who folded very easily against Sock in Stockholm and who doesn't really have much to play for in Basel. Finally, Janowicz has always been a good match-up for Kohlschreiber, so I'll back the German to push the H2H record to 4-1 on Tuesday.
Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/swiss-indoors-basel-betting-plenty-of-interesting-matches-on-the-cards-on-tuesday

LAAKSONEN VS YOUNG
Laaksonen is a 1992 young Swedish player who I will say is in some bit of form, well.....winning form considering that a win is a win. He has played Donald young once on clay and the result was decidedly easy in favour of Young 6-1  6-4. I definitely feel that the surrounding circumstances here are different and seem to send out positive vibes about the chances of the Swedish player. There is something ominous about the motivation and chances of a young wild card, especially in a small tournament, plus at the end of a long year when most are running on tired legs. Young has been having a gloom finish to his poor season and should really lack desire. Perhaps, the most important clue lies in the fact that it has been scheduled as the last match of the day. trust me when i say that organizers always know what they are doing. Does not make any sense to schedule a match with very little potential of being a crowd pleaser in a prime time slot. Enough said! I am not saying that Laaksonen will win for certain, but for his price, a lot can be got out of him. I am going with over total games over 7.5 as my tip. In my closet and following my confidence level in the tip, I will clearly be going for to win a set at 13/8 paddy power. Good luck!

Back Roger Federer to win the Swiss Indoors Basel for a 7/10 stake at 2.37 with Paddy Power
Back Lukas Rosol Total Games - Over 7.5 for a 7/10 stake at 1.61 with Paddy Power
I'm on some sort of a winning streak outright-wise and I can't see a better bet than Federer next week, even though I'm not particularly thrilled about the price, so he'll be my pick in Basel. The main reason is that his half of the draw is much easier than the other one (Isner/Goffin/Anderson x Nadal/Wawrinka/Gasquet/Cilic). On Monday, I quite like Rosol to give Nadal a few problems. He's yet to lose against him incredibly easily in three matches and Nadal is yet to play a tough match indoors in this season, so eight games should be fully within the Czech's range tomorrow, especially after the two good performances he produced against Tsonga and Monfils in Vienna.
Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/swiss-indoors-basel-betting-roger-federer-and-stanislas-wawrinka-lead-the-line-up