harry_rag

If it's Hearts it must be penalties eh @allyhibs ? They're at Dunfermline tonight and I think the prices justify a punt. Split stake across taken at 12/5 and scored at 3/1 with Hills and a buy of penalty goal minutes at 14 with SPIN.
Ref Don Roberston not an out and out penalty fiend and The Championship is his worst division but only a small sample. Quite a few in Dunfermline games as well. Taken is only 8/5 with PP which is ludicrous. I can't "prove" that these prices are value but my instinct is to go with the bets.

Aston Villa cheers

It's part vanity project and part curiosity. Can what makes money on goal and tryscorers do the same in this sport, from a position of relative ignorance. Gives me something to do just before teatime on a Sunday of nothing else!

You can do it Harry 

73 min Winner    Nice to start to the thread . Now I must keep it up.

Plymouth vs Portsmouth
The international break might be drawing the most attention but with a couple of days until the home nations are in action again it's a change of pace with League One taking centre stage on Monday night. This 7:45pm GMT kick-off between Plymouth and Portsmouth at Home Park will see two potential play-off contenders go toe-to-toe in an absorbing encounter.
Plymouth are enjoying a very encouraging start to their season with the club currently sitting in 9th place and 3 points off the play-off pace. It's now 3 league games unbeaten for Ryan Lowe's side and that includes back-to-back wins against Doncaster and Swindon. Home form is really fuelling this Pilgrims charge up the table with the Devon-based club having won 5 and drawing 1 of their 6 league games at home this season. Defensive fragility remains a concern though with the team only managing to keep 2 clean sheets in their opening 10 league matches.
Portsmouth come into this game in 7th place just 1 point outside the play-off positions. It's also 2 spots and 2 points ahead of their opponents for this game. Kenny Jackett remains in charge at the south coast team. It's 4 wins from their last 5 league matches but the undoubtedly most impressive statistic is Pompey's away form. If you thought Plymouth had this game bagged with their home record then you only need to see Portsmouth winning 4 and drawing 1 of their 5 away league games to understand it's not quite so cut and dry.
I have to say that it's very difficult to separate these two with their respective home and away records. Coming into this season not many would have been overly shocked to see Portsmouth in play-off contention but Plymouth are certainly adapting to life in League One very efficiently. I wouldn't be shocked if both of these two clubs make the play-offs. There's very little between them in terms of quality and form right now so I'm going to have to back a draw.
Draw @ 3.65 with Unibet
BTTS @ 1.59 with SportNation

Good to have you all here, hope you enjoy it!
Take a look at our free competitions, there are a couple of football ones restarting this week.  https://forum.punterslounge.com/forum/161-betting-competitions/

Cheers, some actual selections would be nice. No offence but I sometimes get a bit fed up of people just posting links to other sites.

Bolton v Salford: Salford >2.5 goals 7/2 PP and Salford to score in both halves at 3/1 Hills
If you look at the spreads (Salford in for around 1.6 goals) then the >2.5 is more or less a fair price but the "SBH" bet should be no more than 12/5. So both bets I quite fancy but the overs bet is more gut feel, "fair price at worst" while the other is clear and demonstrable value for me (and will therefore be posted in my "value bets thread")..

Cheers, some actual selections would be nice. No offence but I sometimes get a bit fed up of people just posting links to other sites.

As Ian Hunter or John Lydon might say, "Hello"!

Hello  I am new here but I do know a few.?
Hello @harry_rag and Hello @alancraik and hello @charliepie 
Fancy meeting you all here ?

Hi harry and alan, thought I'd have a look in here:-)

Two excellent sells - would have been a clean sweep but for Clarke's try at the death? .
 
 

Given the date I'm not sure it's wise to take a plunge into backing one of Bolton's opponents but, as I've posted, I'm on Salford to score >2.5 at 7/2 and to score in both halves at 3/1 (PP and Hills respectively).
I think the latter bet is the best value as I wouldn't be laying it at anything above 12/5.

No apologies needed my friend, I think you will find the info in my analysis helpful.  I try to gather the basic info of a game combined with mathematical analysis, it's a fresh approach. I'll be happy if you take a look and give me your opinion or possible remarks.
Let's hope for Salford 3 - Bolton zero!

Apologies if I was slightly abrupt. I'm perhaps unduly suspicious of links in posts and rarely if ever click on them. No doubt some are genuine while others are obviously spam, Let's hope for 3 goals then, all for Salford!

Hello friend, in this blog (mine) i post detailed analysis and graphs that might be huge for a forum post for anyone who want a different optics than the usual.
And, i wrote, i came back to post my selections. Good luck!

Good morning to all!
I have a detailed analysis of the games for League One, League Two and Conference.
I will come back later with my predictions.

Bolton vs Salford City
The international break means that the television coverage focuses on the less high profile leagues. The Friday night game this week is the League Two clash between Bolton and Salford City at 7:45pm GMT at the University of Bolton Stadium. It's not been an overly pleasing start for the home team and they'll be hoping to get a rare win against an away side aiming to get out of this division this season.
Bolton have been covered in remarkable fashion by @Perfect Storm and it would be fair to say that the Trotters aren't exactly enjoying a positive start to their campaign in the fourth tier of English football. Ian Evatt's men are down in 20th place with just 2 wins from their opening 11 league games. The club are still 7 points clear of the relegation zone but that's purely down to Scunthorpe having played 3 games less than the teams around them. It does appear that results are improving though. The team have only lost 1 of their last 5 league games and have only suffered 1 defeat in their last 4 league matches at home. That is a run of results on home turf including 2 clean sheets in their last 4 home games.
Salford City find themselves in a slightly more optimistic position than their opponents for this game. Former manager Graham Alexander was brutally relieved of his duties in the middle of October and he's been replaced by Richie Wellens. The former Manchester United academy graduate has earned high praise for his time spent at Oldham and Swindon as gaffer. It's been encouraging so far with 2 wins from his 2 games in charge but both have been cup action. A 2-0 win after extra-time against non-league Hartlepool and a 2-1 victory away against League One Rochdale in the EFL Trophy. It's hard to make an educated judgement on how he'll set up for this game as he still gets to grips with knowing his best team and formation.
The bookies are backing Salford City but the price being offered shows they're not absolutely confident about it. Bolton are starting to tighten up their results. I feel the difference here could be the new manager bounce for the away side. If Salford City were any shorter then I'd be reluctant but I think at the odds on the market they are worth getting behind for this one.
Salford City to Win @ 2.10 with William Hill
BTTS @ 1.87 with Boylesports

Hi Everyone
Based on harry_rag suggestion.
I made a sheet to track all the bets so everyone sees an overview of the results.
All bets are using level stakes.
However i use a flexible stake plan. Always a % of the current bankroll. you will see on the sheet, the 1 Unit stake changes as the bankroll adjusts...
Here are some key stats so far
14 bets total, 7 won, 7 lost. 50% win rate.
Average odds: 2.277
ROI so far: 13.86%
See the tracking sheet here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Gg-ZD9HRyuwlXPxynOJSV68U4TJHoGHm8gxXnBgDQJ8/edit?usp=sharing
Will appreciate more feedback. Thank you.

Thank you so much Harry. I will work my updates and results like this. Thanks for taking your time out to comment and help out. I do appreciate. Goodluck with finding winners!

My curiosity got the better of me and I decided to work out how the selections on here have been doing (with today's bet still open). I make it 5 winners from 13 with a 0.91 point profit to 1 point level stakes, with an ROI of 7%. Not a bad start, though a few points up or down wouldn't mean too much at this early stage.
I'd suggest that's the level of detail that would be appropriate for updates going forward, so people have an idea how your selections are performing. Anyone coming to the thread after, say, 30 bets and just reading that there had been x number of winners from 30 would probably think "so what, have the selections been profitable or not?".
There are a lot of threads in this section of the board and most will do well to attract any ongoing interest or interaction. One that doesn't even show how the bets are performing will pretty much get none.
Anyway, good luck with your future bets, time to try and find some winners of my own now! 

My curiosity got the better of me and I decided to work out how the selections on here have been doing (with today's bet still open). I make it 5 winners from 13 with a 0.91 point profit to 1 point level stakes, with an ROI of 7%. Not a bad start, though a few points up or down wouldn't mean too much at this early stage.
I'd suggest that's the level of detail that would be appropriate for updates going forward, so people have an idea how your selections are performing. Anyone coming to the thread after, say, 30 bets and just reading that there had been x number of winners from 30 would probably think "so what, have the selections been profitable or not?".
There are a lot of threads in this section of the board and most will do well to attract any ongoing interest or interaction. One that doesn't even show how the bets are performing will pretty much get none.
Anyway, good luck with your future bets, time to try and find some winners of my own now! 

Hmm, I've actually not tried to do that on the mobile version before. There is an update due imminently so it might be easier when that's installed. I'll have a look tonight to see if I can find it.