KikoCy

CL last night was profitable but unfortunately Napoli couldn't score a 2nd goal. Phenomenal miss from Mertens and Callejon was offside for his goal.
Europa has been kind to me and looking at the games for this evening:
Celta vs Shakhtar:
BTTS @ 1.83
Over 2.5 @ 2.00
Ludogorets vs Copenhagen:
1 @ 3.00
1 DNB @ 1.95
Anderlecht vs Zenit:
1 DNB @ 1.925
Villareal vs Roma:
X2 @ 1.7
Olympiakos vs Osmanlispor -> based on O FK's form slowing down and Olympiakos are quite menacing at home
1 @ 1.667
Also tailing @betcatalog on PAOK.
 
Will do an acca for fun of Bilbao (insane home form), Shakhtar O2.5, Anderlecht 1X, Ludogorets 1X, Lyon no CS  @ 7.98
 

I´ve got taken Ludogoretz DNB and Zenit DNB.
Ludogoretz playing really good at Champions League Group Stage and Copenhagen on other Side playing also really good. But they lost Key Player Delaney to Werder Bremen, they are coming from long winter break so maybe Ludogoretz are a little bit in Front here.
Anderlecht will rotated something i read. Zenit coming from long winterbreak which is not good for my bet but i will try. Have a strong squad and a good Coach.

@Icongene Rostov's price up to 2.15 now. Will tail nonetheless.

Rostov v Sparta Prague
The home side have performed heroically thus far in Europe having had a great Champions League campaign collecting 5 points and famously beating Bayern Munich 3-2. Despite struggling for consistency domestically-they are currently 7th in the Russian Premier- I still see them as a formidable team especially at (h). They have only lost once in 18 months on home soil and have won 9/14 this season in total. 
Sparta, are a good side themselves and finished top of an extremely testing Europa League group alongside Inter, Southampton and Beer Sheva but I feel the first two were much weaker than they currently find themselves. Perhaps finishing 1st shouldn't be TOO overstated. 
I think the away side is dangerous and are capable of avoiding defeat but for me Rostov is all about Europe this season. They have proven they can compete against the best in Europe already and with their home record I can seem them taking an advantage into leg 2. The coach also has a full squad of players to choose from and despite just returning from mid-season break, the noisy support will ensure that everyone is motivated for this one.
 
Rostov at 1.95

Here some information about the Belgian teams:
Genk: under their new coach, Stuivenberg, who was the assistent from Van Gaal in Manchester, they are doing quite well. Although they lost Bailey (to Leverkussen) they still have some attacking power even without Karelis who is injured. Under their previous coach, Maes, they played good in Europe, but the results in Belgium were bad. One week they played excellent, the other week bad. I don't know much about Astra, but the Belgian league is class above the Romanian that's for sure. I see them qualify with quite an ease, although they have some important matches ahead of them to qualify for PO 1.
RSC Anderlecht: first of all, I am an Anderlecht supporter. They have very good results the last 2 months, although their play isn't fantastic. Personally, I think the Belgian press is too hard for them and their coach. I like their team more than I did last year. This match is quite difficult to predict as Zenit is without competition for a couple of months now. I read in Belgian newspapers that they played 11 friendly games and that they are already in Brussels for quite a while. I think it will be a hard battle for qualification as Zenit lost Witsel and Hulk don't play for them anymore. Maybe I go for a little bet on Anderlecht, but other opinions are welcome.
Gent: if they are in form, for me it's the best playing team in Belgium. But they are struggling a lot and are 8th in the Belgian Championship. They strengtened their squad a lot during winter transfer window and have with Kalinic the best keeper in Belgium.  Tottenham is for sure the favorite in this one, but Gent can make it very hard for them as Tottenham maybe isn't focussed on Europe League. Last year, Anderlecht won at home against Tottenham and lost with small margin in England. With wich team will Tottenham play? Also English teams are overrated when playing in Europe in my opininion (sorry guys).
Would love to hear some more info about their opponents  Best of luck!
 

Without Ter Stegen, it would be 7-0. I wrote a longer post few weeks ago. With Rossel, Bartomeu, Enrique, this Barcelona is becoming Real Madrid. La Masia is drawning, our youth potentials are leaving, and it's interesting that they are able to play key roles in clubs as Bayern, Borussia Dortmund, Villarreal, Valencia... but they are not good enough for Barcelona. On the other hand, we are taking players as Mathieu (20M), Gomes (40M), next one is Cancello (30M), who is by the way backup for Montoya in Valencia, but Montoya is from La Masia and he is not good enough to be in Barcelona. That's why highly intellectual Enrique decided that Sergi Roberto (one of the best midfielders produced by La Masia in last 10 years will become right full back, that we will be able to buy 40M Gomes, who is overrated as shit. Thiago left for 18M, Gomes came for 40M. Thiago is by far the best player of Bayern, while Gomes is by far the biggest disappointment of Barcelona this season.
 
Neymar was trying to do something, true. But take a look of some things: 
- right side of Barcelona is crazily open to opponent.. and than everyone are blaming Sergi Roberto (Barca player with most tackles by the way).. I want to see one full back able to cover all of that. If Rakitić is not playing, no one is covering space behind Leo, and than Roberto is left alone and exactly that happened yesterday and is happening for whole the season. 

- Gomes tried, but he failed. He lost so many balls, he had only 1 tackle in whole game, he didn't create anything, he was lost in galaxy.
 
- Emery simply raped Enrique. He had five players, able to cover Leo and at least three of them were all the time able to press him every single time when he received the ball. Team played with high pressure and they're three midfielders had almost as many tackles as whole team of Barcelona. They also outran them with aprox. 8km more.

- Emery focused totally on Leo, while he actually left Neymar little bit more of space, covered only by Meunier and Verratti/later Nkunku, while Marquinhos was helping with closing down the space on both sides actually. Another player who was trying to make it harder for Ney was Di Maria, who was helping in defence a lot yesterday. Another problem was Jordi Alba who was far from being dangerous in this match.

- Both teams were mainly focused on attack over left flank, but Emery stopped main player of Barcelona, from who almost all dangerous balls are coming (Leo) and because of that Suarez was totally cut out of the match. On the other hand Barcelona didn't stop anyone from PSG. They were too late in duels, they were to slow in attack, Neymar even if he was trying, was holding the ball to long, and that's why only two players were needed to stop him and when he saw that it's not his day, everything was easier for Meunier.

In my opinion, high pressing won the game. And Enrique's thinking about Barca being a counter-attack team is a total shame. Leo is reason that he is still here. Without Messi and with his tactical knowledge, this would be mid-table team.

If anyone is made for CL now, then PSG is. Of course because of Emery.  I fancy Juventus this year. They will have pretty calm championship IMO (already 7 points in front), so they can be focused on CL. 

Wasn't confident in my pick yesterday of Benfica CS 1-0/2-0/2-1 @ 4.2.
Hopefully I can be lucky again today.
I like @StevieDay1983's thought process and was also planning on taking Bayern 2-0/3-1/3-0 CS combo.
Here is a decent article/preview on Napoli
 
My bets, all singles:
Bayern to win 2-0/3-0/3-1 @ 3.4
Bayern -1EH @ 2.15
Napoli X2 or +1 @ 2.375
Real - Napoli O3.5 @ 2.375
Napoli O1.5 team goals @ 3.00
Ramos anytime card @ 2.1
 
As you can tell these are somewhat risky, bookies giving <50% of happening but what better way to spend a Wednesday?
Also got Bayern CS + Napoli X2 in a double, for shits and giggles.

Champions League is finally back next week. In this stage I like betting on qualification. There are two ties in which I find some value, RM-Napoli and City-Monaco. Odds on Napoli to qualify are around 4 which implies a 25% to progress to the next round. But is this tie actually that inclined to RM? I think bookies constantly overrate RM. A couple of weeks ago they were knocked out of the spanish cup by Celta at odds of over 5. There are several matches RM have won this season with a late goal without even dominating the game. They also struggle to keep a clean sheet with avoiding to concede a goal in just 8 matches during this season. At home in CL they haven't looked great, they beat Sporting 2-1 with two late goals then they beat 5-1 LEGIA (?) and they drew against Dortmund 2-2. Away they drew 2-2 against Dortmund, 3-3 against Legia!!, and beat Sporting 2-1 with again a late goal. Bale won't play the first leg. On the other hand, Napoli haven't lost in the last 17 games with their last defeat coming against Juventus. They are second in Serie A which IMO is the best they can reach (Juve too strong for Italy).  In champions league they won their group which tbh was quite average. They didn't lose playing away and they scored in all those matches. They are the highest scoring team in Serie A thanks to the likes of Mertens Callejon Insigne Hamsik. I think Madrid are favourites to qualify but I wouldn't give Napoli just a 25% chance of progressing, to me this is a 65-60/35-40 tie.
The other tie I like is Monaco City. The english team looked a bit shaky after a strong start of the season but it seems they've gained a bit of momentum with the recent results. However they  don't convince me yet. They struggle to keep clean sheets in the league having just kept one CS in their last 11 home games. Monaco on the other hand are playing excellent this season, they are destroying every team in France and they are scoring for fun. If I'm not wrong they are the highest scoring team in the main european leagues. True is that french teams are really poor with the exception of PSG. Currently they are on top of Ligue 1 and there's some difference between the average french team and the average english team but Monaco are IMO the best team in France. They won their group beating Tottenham home and away and just losing the last match when they were already qualified as group winners. Odds on their qualification are around 3.3 and this implies a 30% of chances to progress to the quarter finals.  Personally, I think there's value on Monaco, I really rate them high and I think this tie is tigher than what the odds suggest. To me it's almost a 50-50 or maybe 55-45 with the edge going to city but I would never give Monaco just a 30% of chances.
If there are no major injuries in Monaco and Napoli, I'll be staking normally 2 units on Napoli at 4 and 2.5 on Monaco at 3.3.

Provisional bets here, will have a further look tomorrow. Might not place wagers on all of them either.
West Ham - WBA
I can see a resurgence on West Ham's side, with Bilic's men looking up like the giant killers they were last season. The replacement of Payet with Snodgrass seems to be a positive one and the morale of the team is looking up.
Pulis' men are fit to go and keep the scoreline low as usual. Philips and Rondon have slowed down a bit but Morrisson seems to have stepped up.
I expect a cagey affair.
U2.5 @ 1.833 (58% for WH and 67% for WBA at FT)
HT X @ 2.15 -> the Hammers have been drawing 67% of their home games at HT and WBA drawing 67% of their away games at HT
 
Man Utd - Watford
Mourinho's men have some decent fixtures ahead and they cannot afford to drop any further points, especially at OT which used to be a fortress. As a United fan, I would hope Martial to start and Pogba to perhaps be given a break and come on as a sub. Zlatan signalled his intent in an interview where he reiterated his desire to keep them goals coming.
Watford won last week vs Arsenal away and will have high spirits but I think that result reflects more on Arsenal's ability than Watford's prowess.
U2.5 @ 2.25 (probably best value) -> 58% for United, 46% for Watford at FT & 67% and 58% for H2H respectively (I personally think H2H is irrelevant in EPL)
United to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 3.40 (combo correct score)
 
Swansea - Leicester
Swansea look like someone lit a fire under their arse and they are feeling the pressure.
LEI on the other hand look to be in freefall. Ranieri given 'vote of confidence', team is tired from overtime in FA cup vs Derby too.
They struggled to beat Derby who were only playing 3-4 main players too. Granted, LEI rested their main players as they are anticipating this game but their away form speaks for itself (still winless!).
As you can deduce, my reasoning comes from Leicester's terrible situation/form.
Swansea +1/DC @ 1.33 for those playing doubles/trebles etc.
Swansea win @ 2.45
BTTS @ 1.75
1 & BTTS @ 4.6
Obviously stake accordingly.
 
Middlesbrough vs Everton
Everton looked formed now and I will back them again for a win. Lukaku being streaky as he is, scored 4 goals last week and I don't see why he cannot build on that. No surprise omissions here, expect them to be full strength.
Middlesbrough will probably be missing Ramirez for this game. They have looked a bit toothless and tired. I can't see their defence withstanding Everton's frontline and moreso, they seem incapable of outscoring opponents.
The quality mismatch here sees me backing Everton.
Everton win @ 2.1 is easily the best bet here.
Not even going to bother with any other markets, I will take the 2.1 and run.
 
Bournemouth vs City
Bournemouth will be reeling after last week's result. It's funny how February sets apart the boys from the men and they also look to be suffering. Daniels and Francis potentially might be back which I reckon would be a major boost.
Unfortunately, they are coming up against a City side feeling the pressure of the top 4, Pep looks fired up and Jesus seems to be replacing Kun.
City also 2nd in away table and Bournemouth languishing around 10th.
Honestly, quality speaks for itself but I don't like most of these markets.
O3.5 @ 2.30 -> small stake from me
 
Liverpool vs Spurs
This is a massive game, not for punters but for all fans of the EPL.
Liverpool play great vs the top 6 and unexpectedly drop points elsewhere. Mane back and Lallana moved back to midfield as per usual.
Spurs have the quality but not sure if they will cause an upset. I can see this game going either way and Liverpool will have a statement to make given their abysmal start to 2017.
BTTS @ 1.66
Correct Score 1-1 @ 7
 
Arsenal vs Hull
Again, teams who look like their fortunes are changing. I personally think Silva has done a great job so far at Hull, even if he sold Snodgrass. They look a different team and he has obviously brought in his own staff but also players.
Arsenal look to be embarking on their usual February crumble stage and this complicates the markets for this game IMO. 
This game is a must-win for both teams.
Not a lot of value here but being the Greek that I am, might punt on Hull.
Hull +2 EH @ 2
 
Burnley - Chelsea
I believe the other punters here covered it well. home form vs general form/quality.
Chelsea should win it, as a United supporter I hope they don't but Hazard had a blinder last week and might be up for a few more.
Burnley defend really well at home and seem to get decisions go their way at Turf Moor.
U2.5 @ 2.00
Chelsea 0-1 or 0-2 (combo correct score) @ 3.6
 
Sunderland - Soton
Sunderland surprised everyone by smashing Palace last week. Great result for them as they look to peel themselves off the relegation zone. Confidence will do this team wonders and Defoe will lead the boys in the battle.
Soton haven't impressed me at all this season, perhaps defensively at times but that's about it. Since Austin's injury, none of their players have really stepped up (looking at you Redmond and Tadic) perhaps with the exception of Jay Rodriguez.
Leaning towards BTTS @ 1.90 or Sunderland +1/DC @ 1.775.
Not touching this one for now, I await other punters thoughts.
 
Best of luck.
 
 

Provisional bets here, will have a further look tomorrow. Might not place wagers on all of them either.
West Ham - WBA
I can see a resurgence on West Ham's side, with Bilic's men looking up like the giant killers they were last season. The replacement of Payet with Snodgrass seems to be a positive one and the morale of the team is looking up.
Pulis' men are fit to go and keep the scoreline low as usual. Philips and Rondon have slowed down a bit but Morrisson seems to have stepped up.
I expect a cagey affair.
U2.5 @ 1.833 (58% for WH and 67% for WBA at FT)
HT X @ 2.15 -> the Hammers have been drawing 67% of their home games at HT and WBA drawing 67% of their away games at HT
 
Man Utd - Watford
Mourinho's men have some decent fixtures ahead and they cannot afford to drop any further points, especially at OT which used to be a fortress. As a United fan, I would hope Martial to start and Pogba to perhaps be given a break and come on as a sub. Zlatan signalled his intent in an interview where he reiterated his desire to keep them goals coming.
Watford won last week vs Arsenal away and will have high spirits but I think that result reflects more on Arsenal's ability than Watford's prowess.
U2.5 @ 2.25 (probably best value) -> 58% for United, 46% for Watford at FT & 67% and 58% for H2H respectively (I personally think H2H is irrelevant in EPL)
United to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 3.40 (combo correct score)
 
Swansea - Leicester
Swansea look like someone lit a fire under their arse and they are feeling the pressure.
LEI on the other hand look to be in freefall. Ranieri given 'vote of confidence', team is tired from overtime in FA cup vs Derby too.
They struggled to beat Derby who were only playing 3-4 main players too. Granted, LEI rested their main players as they are anticipating this game but their away form speaks for itself (still winless!).
As you can deduce, my reasoning comes from Leicester's terrible situation/form.
Swansea +1/DC @ 1.33 for those playing doubles/trebles etc.
Swansea win @ 2.45
BTTS @ 1.75
1 & BTTS @ 4.6
Obviously stake accordingly.
 
Middlesbrough vs Everton
Everton looked formed now and I will back them again for a win. Lukaku being streaky as he is, scored 4 goals last week and I don't see why he cannot build on that. No surprise omissions here, expect them to be full strength.
Middlesbrough will probably be missing Ramirez for this game. They have looked a bit toothless and tired. I can't see their defence withstanding Everton's frontline and moreso, they seem incapable of outscoring opponents.
The quality mismatch here sees me backing Everton.
Everton win @ 2.1 is easily the best bet here.
Not even going to bother with any other markets, I will take the 2.1 and run.
 
Bournemouth vs City
Bournemouth will be reeling after last week's result. It's funny how February sets apart the boys from the men and they also look to be suffering. Daniels and Francis potentially might be back which I reckon would be a major boost.
Unfortunately, they are coming up against a City side feeling the pressure of the top 4, Pep looks fired up and Jesus seems to be replacing Kun.
City also 2nd in away table and Bournemouth languishing around 10th.
Honestly, quality speaks for itself but I don't like most of these markets.
O3.5 @ 2.30 -> small stake from me
 
Liverpool vs Spurs
This is a massive game, not for punters but for all fans of the EPL.
Liverpool play great vs the top 6 and unexpectedly drop points elsewhere. Mane back and Lallana moved back to midfield as per usual.
Spurs have the quality but not sure if they will cause an upset. I can see this game going either way and Liverpool will have a statement to make given their abysmal start to 2017.
BTTS @ 1.66
Correct Score 1-1 @ 7
 
Arsenal vs Hull
Again, teams who look like their fortunes are changing. I personally think Silva has done a great job so far at Hull, even if he sold Snodgrass. They look a different team and he has obviously brought in his own staff but also players.
Arsenal look to be embarking on their usual February crumble stage and this complicates the markets for this game IMO. 
This game is a must-win for both teams.
Not a lot of value here but being the Greek that I am, might punt on Hull.
Hull +2 EH @ 2
 
Burnley - Chelsea
I believe the other punters here covered it well. home form vs general form/quality.
Chelsea should win it, as a United supporter I hope they don't but Hazard had a blinder last week and might be up for a few more.
Burnley defend really well at home and seem to get decisions go their way at Turf Moor.
U2.5 @ 2.00
Chelsea 0-1 or 0-2 (combo correct score) @ 3.6
 
Sunderland - Soton
Sunderland surprised everyone by smashing Palace last week. Great result for them as they look to peel themselves off the relegation zone. Confidence will do this team wonders and Defoe will lead the boys in the battle.
Soton haven't impressed me at all this season, perhaps defensively at times but that's about it. Since Austin's injury, none of their players have really stepped up (looking at you Redmond and Tadic) perhaps with the exception of Jay Rodriguez.
Leaning towards BTTS @ 1.90 or Sunderland +1/DC @ 1.775.
Not touching this one for now, I await other punters thoughts.
 
Best of luck.
 
 

Team news, copied from Reddit FantasyPL subreddit:
 
Arsenal v Hull
Arsenal: Mohamed Elneny is back from Africa Cup of Nations and trained yesterday with the team. Hector Bellerin is doubtful for the match: "He’s going for tests and the process every day and we’ll only know tomorrow if he gets the green light from the medical people to practise or not. At the moment he has not practised." http://www.arsenal.com/news/news-archive/20170209/team-news-latest-on-elneny-and-bellerin
Hull: Ahmed Elmohamady and Lazar Markovic are available for selection, while Abel Hernandez (hamstring) and Michael Dawson (calf) will definitely miss out. http://www.hullcitytigers.com/news/article/2016-17/team-news-elmohamady-markovic-available-again-3566336.aspx
Man United v Watford
Man United: Jose Mourinho has confirmed that Phil Jones is still injured, but Wayne Rooney, who was absent from the win at Leicester through illness is available.https://twitter.com/ManUtd/status/830043620883517441
Watford: Walter Mazzarri will check on the fitness of Miguel Britos and Valon Behrami ahead the trip to Old Trafford. Nordin Amrabat (ankle), Camilo Zuniga (fever), Costel Pantilimon (ankle) and Christian Kabasele (muscular) will miss out. https://www.watfordfc.com/teams/first-team/mazzarri-continuity-performance
Middlesbrough v Everton
Boro: Aitor Karanka confirms Gaston Ramirez is back in contention for Boro this weekend after being sidelined for five weeks. Boro's other injury absentees are Antonio Barragan and George Friend. http://www.mfc.co.uk/news/article/2016/middlesbrough-fc-gaston-ramirez-premier-league-3567222.aspx
Everton: Ronald Koeman has no fresh injury concerns leading into the weekend clash at the Riverside Stadium. Muhamed Besic and Yannick Bolasie remain on the sidelines with their long-term knee injuries. http://www.evertonfc.com/fixtures/2010-to-2019/2016-2017/english-premier-league/middlesbrough-vs-everton
Stoke v Palace
Stoke: Sobhi Ramadan will be involved in some capacity after returning from the Africa Cup of Nations. Xherdan Shaqiri and Glen Johnson are set to miss out. Geoff Cameron can join in full training next week. http://www.stokecityfc.com/news/article/2016-17/hughes-delivers-team-news-3566984.aspx
Palace: Sam Allardyce: "We've only got an injury to Scott Dann. Jeffrey Schlupp's back in training." On new signing Luka Milivojevic: "Luka's finally got in with his visa, so it's whether we risk throwing him in at the deep end or not - we'll wait and see." https://twitter.com/CPFC/status/830099024489377793
Sunderland v Southampton
Sunderland: David Moyes: "John O'Shea and Adnan Januzaj have trained and hopefully both will be available. Jack Rodwell's not available; it's not as bad as we first feared but nevertheless we think it'll keep him out for a few weeks. Jordan [Pickford]'s back but the medical team would really like him to complete the time that the surgeon set for his recovery. Jordan won't be involved but what I will say is that he's very close to being ready." http://www.safc.com/news/team-news/2017/february/team-news-pre-southampton
Southampton: Sofiane Boufal will miss this weekend’s trip to Sunderland, following the ankle injury he sustained against West Ham United. Otherwise there is no other new injury worries ahead of this Saturday’s game. https://southamptonfc.com/news/2017-02-09/team-news-claude-puel-pre-sunderland-southampton
West Ham v West Brom
West Ham: Slaven Bilic: "A few players have not trained like Cresswell, Carroll and Kouyate but we will wait and see tomorrow. Andy [Carroll] is in good form and has been great for us. He felt his groin and we didn't want to take a risk so we will make a decision on Friday on whether he will be available for Saturday." Andre Ayew is also back in contention and could make his return on Saturday. http://www.whufc.com/news/articles/2017/february/10-february/five-talking-points-west-brom
West Brom: Tony Pulis: "We’ve got Jonny [Evans] and [Claudio] Yacob fit for the game against West Ham. James Morrison had an injury but fitness wise he is over that. His form has been very good." http://www.wba.co.uk/news/article/2016-17/west-brom-fitness-update-baggies-jonny-evans-claudio-yacob-3567000.aspx
Liverpool v Spurs
Liverpool: Klopp on injuries... Klavan - back in training today. Lovren - not 100 per cent sure if training today. Lallana - might train. https://twitter.com/LFC/status/830044520083574787
Spurs: Mauricio Pochettino: "Kieran [Trippier] has trained well since the beginning of the week and we hope he’ll be available to be in the squad. Jan [Vertonghen]'s doing well and maybe next week he can start working with the group. Erik Lamela (hip) is step-by-step. Danny [Rose] is doing well. After seeing the specialist we're happy with the assessment & now it's about recovery & building fitness." http://www.tottenhamhotspur.com/news/first-team/match/team-news/liverpool-v-spurs-team-news-090217/
Burnley v Chelsea
Burnley: Jeff Hendrick starts a three-match ban, while Steven Defour is out with a hamstring injury. http://www.burnleyfootballclub.com/news/article/2016-17/marney-starts-road-to-recovery-3567979.aspx
Chelsea: Conte reports all players are available for Sunday. David Luiz plays with a bit of pain in his knee but he is still performing well. https://twitter.com/ChelseaFC/status/830047858325909505
Swansea v Leicster
Swansea: Paul Clement revealed Ki Sung-Yueng will miss the Leicester clash with a knee injury which could rule him out for between three and four weeks. Jordan Ayew is set to feature having arrived in Wales on Wednesday following his deadline-day move from Aston Villa: "Jordan is in good shape. He joined in training this morning, he is ready to go and he will be involved on Sunday, although I haven’t decided on the team yet." http://www.swanseacity.net/news/article/2016-17/paul-clement-swansea-city-3565905.aspx
Leicester: Claudio Ranieri: "Leo [Ulloa] is not yet [in contention]. But getting better. Slimani is not 100%, I will see how he recovers from the last match." https://twitter.com/LCFC/status/829996211742576640
Bournemouth v Man City
Bournemouth: Eddie Howe: "We will have to wait and see. We have some decisions to make. Simon Francis (hamstring), Adam Smith and Charlie Daniels (hamstring) haven’t trained so far this week, so we will have to see how things are ahead of the game." http://www.afcb.co.uk/news/article/2016-17/team-news-defensive-trio-doubtful-for-manchester-citys-visit-3566868.aspx
Man City: Pep Guardiola has a fully fit squad ahead of Monday night's trip to Bournemouth. He's still undecided on which goalkeeper to start against Bournemouth. https://twitter.com/ManCity/status/830054329000267776

@neilovan If it helps you, I play Superbru in which you predict correct scores for EPL.
This week I went for:
ARS - HUL: 2-1
MID - EVE: 0-2
UTD - WAT: 2-0
WH - WBA: 1-1
STO - CRY: 2-1
SUN - SOU: 1-0 (one of my upsets even though its against my BTTS bet)
LIV - TOT: 1-1
BUR - CHE: 0-1
SWA - LEI: 2-1
BOU - MCI: 1-3
 

I'll keep this short and to the point;
Hibs won't lose on Sunday, all the value is on us. Hibs win 12/5. Jason Cummings anytime scorer 6/4.
Newcastle look back to form after a wee wobble and look a good bet to beat Wolves who were beaten by Burton last time out. There's no real value in the odds but a win's a win, right? Newcastle win 6/5.
Derby, Scunthorpe, Mansfield treble 4/1, looks good to me.
 

I fancy Betis - Valencia and Las Palmas - Sevilla BTTS double.
Will come back to this when @betcatalog chimes in....

Provisional bets here, will have a further look tomorrow. Might not place wagers on all of them either.
West Ham - WBA
I can see a resurgence on West Ham's side, with Bilic's men looking up like the giant killers they were last season. The replacement of Payet with Snodgrass seems to be a positive one and the morale of the team is looking up.
Pulis' men are fit to go and keep the scoreline low as usual. Philips and Rondon have slowed down a bit but Morrisson seems to have stepped up.
I expect a cagey affair.
U2.5 @ 1.833 (58% for WH and 67% for WBA at FT)
HT X @ 2.15 -> the Hammers have been drawing 67% of their home games at HT and WBA drawing 67% of their away games at HT
 
Man Utd - Watford
Mourinho's men have some decent fixtures ahead and they cannot afford to drop any further points, especially at OT which used to be a fortress. As a United fan, I would hope Martial to start and Pogba to perhaps be given a break and come on as a sub. Zlatan signalled his intent in an interview where he reiterated his desire to keep them goals coming.
Watford won last week vs Arsenal away and will have high spirits but I think that result reflects more on Arsenal's ability than Watford's prowess.
U2.5 @ 2.25 (probably best value) -> 58% for United, 46% for Watford at FT & 67% and 58% for H2H respectively (I personally think H2H is irrelevant in EPL)
United to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 3.40 (combo correct score)
 
Swansea - Leicester
Swansea look like someone lit a fire under their arse and they are feeling the pressure.
LEI on the other hand look to be in freefall. Ranieri given 'vote of confidence', team is tired from overtime in FA cup vs Derby too.
They struggled to beat Derby who were only playing 3-4 main players too. Granted, LEI rested their main players as they are anticipating this game but their away form speaks for itself (still winless!).
As you can deduce, my reasoning comes from Leicester's terrible situation/form.
Swansea +1/DC @ 1.33 for those playing doubles/trebles etc.
Swansea win @ 2.45
BTTS @ 1.75
1 & BTTS @ 4.6
Obviously stake accordingly.
 
Middlesbrough vs Everton
Everton looked formed now and I will back them again for a win. Lukaku being streaky as he is, scored 4 goals last week and I don't see why he cannot build on that. No surprise omissions here, expect them to be full strength.
Middlesbrough will probably be missing Ramirez for this game. They have looked a bit toothless and tired. I can't see their defence withstanding Everton's frontline and moreso, they seem incapable of outscoring opponents.
The quality mismatch here sees me backing Everton.
Everton win @ 2.1 is easily the best bet here.
Not even going to bother with any other markets, I will take the 2.1 and run.
 
Bournemouth vs City
Bournemouth will be reeling after last week's result. It's funny how February sets apart the boys from the men and they also look to be suffering. Daniels and Francis potentially might be back which I reckon would be a major boost.
Unfortunately, they are coming up against a City side feeling the pressure of the top 4, Pep looks fired up and Jesus seems to be replacing Kun.
City also 2nd in away table and Bournemouth languishing around 10th.
Honestly, quality speaks for itself but I don't like most of these markets.
O3.5 @ 2.30 -> small stake from me
 
Liverpool vs Spurs
This is a massive game, not for punters but for all fans of the EPL.
Liverpool play great vs the top 6 and unexpectedly drop points elsewhere. Mane back and Lallana moved back to midfield as per usual.
Spurs have the quality but not sure if they will cause an upset. I can see this game going either way and Liverpool will have a statement to make given their abysmal start to 2017.
BTTS @ 1.66
Correct Score 1-1 @ 7
 
Arsenal vs Hull
Again, teams who look like their fortunes are changing. I personally think Silva has done a great job so far at Hull, even if he sold Snodgrass. They look a different team and he has obviously brought in his own staff but also players.
Arsenal look to be embarking on their usual February crumble stage and this complicates the markets for this game IMO. 
This game is a must-win for both teams.
Not a lot of value here but being the Greek that I am, might punt on Hull.
Hull +2 EH @ 2
 
Burnley - Chelsea
I believe the other punters here covered it well. home form vs general form/quality.
Chelsea should win it, as a United supporter I hope they don't but Hazard had a blinder last week and might be up for a few more.
Burnley defend really well at home and seem to get decisions go their way at Turf Moor.
U2.5 @ 2.00
Chelsea 0-1 or 0-2 (combo correct score) @ 3.6
 
Sunderland - Soton
Sunderland surprised everyone by smashing Palace last week. Great result for them as they look to peel themselves off the relegation zone. Confidence will do this team wonders and Defoe will lead the boys in the battle.
Soton haven't impressed me at all this season, perhaps defensively at times but that's about it. Since Austin's injury, none of their players have really stepped up (looking at you Redmond and Tadic) perhaps with the exception of Jay Rodriguez.
Leaning towards BTTS @ 1.90 or Sunderland +1/DC @ 1.775.
Not touching this one for now, I await other punters thoughts.
 
Best of luck.
 
 

Provisional bets here, will have a further look tomorrow. Might not place wagers on all of them either.
West Ham - WBA
I can see a resurgence on West Ham's side, with Bilic's men looking up like the giant killers they were last season. The replacement of Payet with Snodgrass seems to be a positive one and the morale of the team is looking up.
Pulis' men are fit to go and keep the scoreline low as usual. Philips and Rondon have slowed down a bit but Morrisson seems to have stepped up.
I expect a cagey affair.
U2.5 @ 1.833 (58% for WH and 67% for WBA at FT)
HT X @ 2.15 -> the Hammers have been drawing 67% of their home games at HT and WBA drawing 67% of their away games at HT
 
Man Utd - Watford
Mourinho's men have some decent fixtures ahead and they cannot afford to drop any further points, especially at OT which used to be a fortress. As a United fan, I would hope Martial to start and Pogba to perhaps be given a break and come on as a sub. Zlatan signalled his intent in an interview where he reiterated his desire to keep them goals coming.
Watford won last week vs Arsenal away and will have high spirits but I think that result reflects more on Arsenal's ability than Watford's prowess.
U2.5 @ 2.25 (probably best value) -> 58% for United, 46% for Watford at FT & 67% and 58% for H2H respectively (I personally think H2H is irrelevant in EPL)
United to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 3.40 (combo correct score)
 
Swansea - Leicester
Swansea look like someone lit a fire under their arse and they are feeling the pressure.
LEI on the other hand look to be in freefall. Ranieri given 'vote of confidence', team is tired from overtime in FA cup vs Derby too.
They struggled to beat Derby who were only playing 3-4 main players too. Granted, LEI rested their main players as they are anticipating this game but their away form speaks for itself (still winless!).
As you can deduce, my reasoning comes from Leicester's terrible situation/form.
Swansea +1/DC @ 1.33 for those playing doubles/trebles etc.
Swansea win @ 2.45
BTTS @ 1.75
1 & BTTS @ 4.6
Obviously stake accordingly.
 
Middlesbrough vs Everton
Everton looked formed now and I will back them again for a win. Lukaku being streaky as he is, scored 4 goals last week and I don't see why he cannot build on that. No surprise omissions here, expect them to be full strength.
Middlesbrough will probably be missing Ramirez for this game. They have looked a bit toothless and tired. I can't see their defence withstanding Everton's frontline and moreso, they seem incapable of outscoring opponents.
The quality mismatch here sees me backing Everton.
Everton win @ 2.1 is easily the best bet here.
Not even going to bother with any other markets, I will take the 2.1 and run.
 
Bournemouth vs City
Bournemouth will be reeling after last week's result. It's funny how February sets apart the boys from the men and they also look to be suffering. Daniels and Francis potentially might be back which I reckon would be a major boost.
Unfortunately, they are coming up against a City side feeling the pressure of the top 4, Pep looks fired up and Jesus seems to be replacing Kun.
City also 2nd in away table and Bournemouth languishing around 10th.
Honestly, quality speaks for itself but I don't like most of these markets.
O3.5 @ 2.30 -> small stake from me
 
Liverpool vs Spurs
This is a massive game, not for punters but for all fans of the EPL.
Liverpool play great vs the top 6 and unexpectedly drop points elsewhere. Mane back and Lallana moved back to midfield as per usual.
Spurs have the quality but not sure if they will cause an upset. I can see this game going either way and Liverpool will have a statement to make given their abysmal start to 2017.
BTTS @ 1.66
Correct Score 1-1 @ 7
 
Arsenal vs Hull
Again, teams who look like their fortunes are changing. I personally think Silva has done a great job so far at Hull, even if he sold Snodgrass. They look a different team and he has obviously brought in his own staff but also players.
Arsenal look to be embarking on their usual February crumble stage and this complicates the markets for this game IMO. 
This game is a must-win for both teams.
Not a lot of value here but being the Greek that I am, might punt on Hull.
Hull +2 EH @ 2
 
Burnley - Chelsea
I believe the other punters here covered it well. home form vs general form/quality.
Chelsea should win it, as a United supporter I hope they don't but Hazard had a blinder last week and might be up for a few more.
Burnley defend really well at home and seem to get decisions go their way at Turf Moor.
U2.5 @ 2.00
Chelsea 0-1 or 0-2 (combo correct score) @ 3.6
 
Sunderland - Soton
Sunderland surprised everyone by smashing Palace last week. Great result for them as they look to peel themselves off the relegation zone. Confidence will do this team wonders and Defoe will lead the boys in the battle.
Soton haven't impressed me at all this season, perhaps defensively at times but that's about it. Since Austin's injury, none of their players have really stepped up (looking at you Redmond and Tadic) perhaps with the exception of Jay Rodriguez.
Leaning towards BTTS @ 1.90 or Sunderland +1/DC @ 1.775.
Not touching this one for now, I await other punters thoughts.
 
Best of luck.
 
 

Provisional bets here, will have a further look tomorrow. Might not place wagers on all of them either.
West Ham - WBA
I can see a resurgence on West Ham's side, with Bilic's men looking up like the giant killers they were last season. The replacement of Payet with Snodgrass seems to be a positive one and the morale of the team is looking up.
Pulis' men are fit to go and keep the scoreline low as usual. Philips and Rondon have slowed down a bit but Morrisson seems to have stepped up.
I expect a cagey affair.
U2.5 @ 1.833 (58% for WH and 67% for WBA at FT)
HT X @ 2.15 -> the Hammers have been drawing 67% of their home games at HT and WBA drawing 67% of their away games at HT
 
Man Utd - Watford
Mourinho's men have some decent fixtures ahead and they cannot afford to drop any further points, especially at OT which used to be a fortress. As a United fan, I would hope Martial to start and Pogba to perhaps be given a break and come on as a sub. Zlatan signalled his intent in an interview where he reiterated his desire to keep them goals coming.
Watford won last week vs Arsenal away and will have high spirits but I think that result reflects more on Arsenal's ability than Watford's prowess.
U2.5 @ 2.25 (probably best value) -> 58% for United, 46% for Watford at FT & 67% and 58% for H2H respectively (I personally think H2H is irrelevant in EPL)
United to win 1-0 or 2-0 @ 3.40 (combo correct score)
 
Swansea - Leicester
Swansea look like someone lit a fire under their arse and they are feeling the pressure.
LEI on the other hand look to be in freefall. Ranieri given 'vote of confidence', team is tired from overtime in FA cup vs Derby too.
They struggled to beat Derby who were only playing 3-4 main players too. Granted, LEI rested their main players as they are anticipating this game but their away form speaks for itself (still winless!).
As you can deduce, my reasoning comes from Leicester's terrible situation/form.
Swansea +1/DC @ 1.33 for those playing doubles/trebles etc.
Swansea win @ 2.45
BTTS @ 1.75
1 & BTTS @ 4.6
Obviously stake accordingly.
 
Middlesbrough vs Everton
Everton looked formed now and I will back them again for a win. Lukaku being streaky as he is, scored 4 goals last week and I don't see why he cannot build on that. No surprise omissions here, expect them to be full strength.
Middlesbrough will probably be missing Ramirez for this game. They have looked a bit toothless and tired. I can't see their defence withstanding Everton's frontline and moreso, they seem incapable of outscoring opponents.
The quality mismatch here sees me backing Everton.
Everton win @ 2.1 is easily the best bet here.
Not even going to bother with any other markets, I will take the 2.1 and run.
 
Bournemouth vs City
Bournemouth will be reeling after last week's result. It's funny how February sets apart the boys from the men and they also look to be suffering. Daniels and Francis potentially might be back which I reckon would be a major boost.
Unfortunately, they are coming up against a City side feeling the pressure of the top 4, Pep looks fired up and Jesus seems to be replacing Kun.
City also 2nd in away table and Bournemouth languishing around 10th.
Honestly, quality speaks for itself but I don't like most of these markets.
O3.5 @ 2.30 -> small stake from me
 
Liverpool vs Spurs
This is a massive game, not for punters but for all fans of the EPL.
Liverpool play great vs the top 6 and unexpectedly drop points elsewhere. Mane back and Lallana moved back to midfield as per usual.
Spurs have the quality but not sure if they will cause an upset. I can see this game going either way and Liverpool will have a statement to make given their abysmal start to 2017.
BTTS @ 1.66
Correct Score 1-1 @ 7
 
Arsenal vs Hull
Again, teams who look like their fortunes are changing. I personally think Silva has done a great job so far at Hull, even if he sold Snodgrass. They look a different team and he has obviously brought in his own staff but also players.
Arsenal look to be embarking on their usual February crumble stage and this complicates the markets for this game IMO. 
This game is a must-win for both teams.
Not a lot of value here but being the Greek that I am, might punt on Hull.
Hull +2 EH @ 2
 
Burnley - Chelsea
I believe the other punters here covered it well. home form vs general form/quality.
Chelsea should win it, as a United supporter I hope they don't but Hazard had a blinder last week and might be up for a few more.
Burnley defend really well at home and seem to get decisions go their way at Turf Moor.
U2.5 @ 2.00
Chelsea 0-1 or 0-2 (combo correct score) @ 3.6
 
Sunderland - Soton
Sunderland surprised everyone by smashing Palace last week. Great result for them as they look to peel themselves off the relegation zone. Confidence will do this team wonders and Defoe will lead the boys in the battle.
Soton haven't impressed me at all this season, perhaps defensively at times but that's about it. Since Austin's injury, none of their players have really stepped up (looking at you Redmond and Tadic) perhaps with the exception of Jay Rodriguez.
Leaning towards BTTS @ 1.90 or Sunderland +1/DC @ 1.775.
Not touching this one for now, I await other punters thoughts.
 
Best of luck.
 
 

I am in two minds about this.
I see this game going U2.5 but Burnley double chance might have some value.
Will Chelsea become complacent with their points lead?

If I was pushed right now I would say...
Arsenal beat Hull (The Tigers will put up a spirited fight but we all know Arsene Wenger will turn things around just enough to keep his job safe)
Liverpool draw Tottenham (Still tempted by the away win but we shall see)
Manchester United beat Watford (Who would bet against Mourinho's side right now?)
Everton beat Middlesbrough (Karanka's side are in freefall right now and the Toffees are looking class again)
Stoke beat Crystal Palace (That said, this is the sort of game I can see the Eagles getting something from)
Sunderland draw Southampton (Even though the Saints are the better side, I think the long travel distance could play a part. Sunderland have only lost once to Southampton at home in the last seven matches at the Stadium of Light... the only problem is that it was the last time they played there)
West Ham beat West Brom (Bilic is turning things around with the Hammers and I can see them just edging the Baggies)
Chelsea beat Burnley (Dyche's side have an awesome home record but the one team that might be too much for them is Conte's team)
Swansea beat Leicester (Ranieri has been given the dreaded vote of confidence. He appears to be a dead man walking. It seems hard to imagine where the next Foxes points will come from. I'm doubtful it will be here)
Manchester City beat Bournemouth (Howe has issues to resolve down south and I can't see him fixing them here against an improving City side)
 

I will be all over Swansea DNB if Ranieri is still the manager of Leicester.

Hey boys, a bit late to the party here and not a lot of time for a proper write up.
I got a lot of bets on today, mainly outside of EPL but for EPL:
Everton win @ 1.70 or win to nil @ 3.00 (hopefully Koeman goes 3-4-2-1)
Chelsea win @ 1.95
Spurs win to nil @ 2.00
IF you fancy a gamble:
WBA - Stoke Over 2.5 @ 2.20
Hull - Liverpool BTTS @ 1.85 and for those whose balls are feeling heavy, 1X @ 2.50 (double chance)
 
Best of luck as always boys.

Something I've been doing a lot lately, with some success. First half over 1:
Chelsea-Arsenal 1.87
Hull-Liverpool 1.7
Everton-Bournemouth 1.74
You're hoping to avoid a 0-0, of course, and hoping to get lucky with one of the matches. Of the three, the one I like the least is the early match, because we know how uninspiring those can be. But certainly there are a lot of dodgy defenses on display here, and certainly favorites and dogs are motivated to get an edge early...I don't suspect we'll see these sides being cagey.

Hi Guys!
Is there serious reasons for not backing Everton? I've not seen their last games, but i feel like they're in a good rush, and it would be a good bet.. any thoughts? On a combination bet with tottenham? Or am i making a mistake?
thanks!
edit: (didn't saw the post just above before posting a few minutes later, thanks btw!)

Xanthi whole league has 11 to 17 under 2,5 and so no goal, while the stadium has 6 to 8 under 2,5 and so no goal. AEK away from OAKA not doing well, has only two wins, two draws and four defeats with goals 9-12
A.O XANTHI vs AEK ATHEN @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1.50
In Tripoli today, I expect both teams to give us a nice game with many goals, have very good offensive lines and can score both teams and confirmed the Goals
ASTERAS TRIPOLIS vs PANIONIOS @ Both team to score, odds 2.20