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Everything posted by KikoCy

  1. For sure, you bring up some valid points yet the spread is almost always covered in rugby so it really depends!
  2. Unfortunately, England ran away with it, they were just too strong. I feel for the Wallabies fans but at least Cheika is now a thing of the past. I will be back with my selections for the 2 semis probably this Friday. Sidenote: Convinced my friend last year (post-France win) to throw money on the Boks to win the whole thing @ 12.00. Complete drunk decision as it's turned out to be more profitable to simply bet on them to win each game as an accumulation of the previous winnings e.g 1.7 * 1.91 * 1.8 etc etc) Especially with the lowered odds coming in to the tournament and ca
  3. @neilovan Great analysis. Villa HT/FT is 3.90, if you're feeling risky. I think Leicester is a banker but personally staying away from games post-international break.
  4. What's up guys, long time. I am looking at: England by 1-12 @ 2.60 I am most confident in England, ironically. The statistical models has them on +12 but Australia are WC game raisers and are also playing their strongest team. England show up for big games and are in great form. Wales by 1-12 @ 2.50 Wales are just too good for France yet historically their games are quite close. Nothing from the French has really impressed me and they should have lost that game vs Argentina in the group stages, personally. All Blacks by 13 or more @ 1.91 (-12.5 Handicap) I c
  5. @Mindfulness great selections mate, I also went with X for both. I fancy Burnley in the double chance but it's Leicester's first game at home since their chairman passed no? Too many uncertainties and lack of value for me. Value bets: Man Utd X2 or EH+1 @ 2.90 Spurs BTTS and win @ 3.20 Bournemouth win @ 2.60 those feeling risky can go for BTTS and win as Bournemouth are allergic to clean sheets West Ham win @ 2.20 I play superbru (prediction game) so for something different this week I'll list my correct scores instead of bets... Cardiff City v Brigh
  6. It was from 2 days ago on sportingbet, the line dropped to 1.66 last I checked. Sorry about that. Will probably end up at 1.55 on game day.
  7. Some nice value this weekend. Backing Watford and Leicester to win. Watford look great and Leicester will be fired up after the unfortunate passing of their chairman. Went for a cheeky -1EH for both separately at (5.75) and (4.00) respectively. I like the look of Bournemouth BTTS and 1 (5.75) but will probably just opt for a BTTS @ 1.83 Arsenal win @ 3.20 looks promising too despite their set back last week. Emery seems to be getting the most but this is a game where I would wait for the lineups. Guendouzi with Torreira wasn't impressive. Ozil and Ramsey togethe
  8. Some nice prices for wins, specifically Burnley, Watford, Leicester and West Ham. Taking a break here though...
  9. CSKA win @ 3.75 is too high in my opinion, throwing some money at that. Value in Valencia - Juve X @ 3.50 too. BTTS probably safer.
  10. Champions League is back baby! Liverpool - PSG I have to take Liverpool given their confidence, attractive football and playing at Anfield. Don't watch too much of PSG but from what I can tell, they haven't really hit top form yet under Tuchel despite getting the points. Liverpool & BTTS @ 3.25 Inter - Spurs No Lloris and Alli for Spurs. Over @ 2.5 looks tasty at 2.10. I wonder why. BTTS @ 1.85 too. BTTS @ 1.85 Monaco - Atleti I am backing Atletico to win the whole thing and this to be another 0-1 standard win for Simeone's men. At
  11. I am liking Palace to win at home @ 1.95 and Watford - Spurs BTTS @ 1.80. Away this weekend so not a lot of reasoning, sorry.
  12. I really like Atletico's price, might throw some money at them.
  13. Nigeria - Iceland This will be an interesting game from a tactical standpoint rather than entertainment. I am biased given I backed a X for Iceland vs Argentina (underdog bias) and despite being lucky to come away with a point, their confidence will be sky-high. They are well drilled, have amazing support from their fans and their players have the quality. They will seek to dominate set-pieces and slow the game down as Nigeria will seek to play at a faster tempo and bomb down the wings. I am puzzled as to why John Obi Mikel plays as a CAM with Ighalo up front. Ighalo has lost his bri
  14. Excuse the lack of write-ups, it's been a manic week on my end. Incoming research with some potential value picks as I have yet to throw any money on them yet. Serbia - Switzerland I find value in Switzerland win simply due to their organization and resistance to conceding goals. fivethirtyeight have Switzerland at 42% chance of winning and the odds of 3.1 indicate value in backing Switzerland. Of course, this is football and the stats don't always explain the performances (Croatia, Iceland and many more 'upsets'). This is simply sniping for value. I reckon this game can go
  15. Hi all, as you can imagine I haven't had a lot of time to post write ups. For Argentina - Croatia, bets that stand out to me: Ever Banega anytime card @ 2.4 HT X @ 1.95 Croatia +1 @ 1.727 Croatia X @ 3 BTTS is also promising @ 2.00 I co-sign the excellent, detailed analysis above.
  16. It's the Portugal way. Play badly against teams worse than them and absorb their attack. Play well against equal/better teams and counter really well. Guedes needs to be benched for Andre Silva I reckon. Guerreiro had a shocker too. Portugal will pull a Euro 2016 again but probably only reach 1/4s this time.
  17. Ah I am glad it was an early goal to get it out of the way. My 12/1 treble is still alive at least! Portugal - To Win Either 1-0 - 2-0 @ 3.300 Uruguay 2 - 0 @ 1.775 (Anytime Correct Score - 90 Mins) Spain - To Win Either 1-0 - 2-0 - 3-0 @ 2.050 Also have a double of both Spain and Uruguay to win to nil, holding thumbs... Good luck Stevie!
  18. Portugal - Morocco HT/FT: X/1 @ 4.2 Portugal stutter against inferior teams and Morocco are solid defensively. I can see Portugal scoring in the 2nd half and holding on to the lead.
  19. Colombia - Japan I see this ending as a 2-0 for Colombia. Even with James out, they have too much pace and power to attack the flanks and whip in crosses to Falcao who is deadly in the air. Colombia -1EH @ 3.10 Value in the win to nil too. Poland - Senegal Glik out for the Polish, who is influential in the organization of defence. I can see the Senegalese speed merchants (Mane, Keita) cutting through with diagonal lines. Poland may seek to dominate midfield but will come up against a sturdy Senegal midfield and will seek to counter through Jakub and Lewa. Kouli
  20. @StevieDay1983, I am tailing your BTTS, I love it and I think it's a must win for Egypt to qualify and Russia will seek a draw. If Egypt get the first goal, the Russians will need to come out and play for the draw, leaving them open to the Egyptian counters. You covered everything in your write up and I think this is the game that Russia will be found out. My only concern is the cold temperatures for the Egyptians but they are professionals and should tidy it up. For what it's worth, I also put a small stake on BTTS and Egypt @ 9.00. edit: the more I look at this game, th
  21. Source Joshua Kimmich to be carded anytime @ 4.1 (BetVictor) The odds on these have gone down but essentially, Bayern should wrap this up and he is one card away from suspension. If the game is done and dusted, he is back for the QFs.
  22. You're obviously pitching a service or something here despite plagiarising this analysis from here -
  23. Indeed! I see BTTS as likely too, given Liverpool's poor clean sheet record away from home. Now to consider which one of these bets will go balls up...
  24. Provisionally, I would come back to add odds and reasoning once I have done some research. Spurs - Arsenal: BTTS & O2.5 Soton - Liverpool: 2 Stoke - Brighton: U2.5 Swansea - Burnley: U2.5 West Ham - Watford: BTTS Newcastle - United: BTTS NO or 2 & U2.5 Could see Bournemouth beating Huddersfield and the odds are nice @ 2.30 odd
  25. Liking: Everton win @ 2.25 West Ham win @ 2.00 Leicester win @ 1.80 On the road so won't have much time for analysis.
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