K8a

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Hubert Hurkacz at 2.33 with Pinnacle
Sorry for the short write-ups at the moment, have a lot going on. I'll side with Nico again, though, he looked good and Hurkacz is an unknown quantity. I fancied Nishikori against him and I like Basilashvili as well, especially at higher odds.

So many missed opportunities for Ramos there...not feeling it at the moment honestly. Next week should be better hopefully!

Good odds for Berankis today. Benoit Paire is coming to take 10k and go on holiday . 
We will have to wait until September to see Paire win some matches ?

Jurij Rodionov to beat Yuichi Sugita at 1.75 with Pinnacle
Here's a favorite I like from tomorrow's round of matches. Rodionov enjoyed a good spell in Stuttgart, while Sugita has 0-2 in this grass court season. Sugita has been pretty poor all year long, in fact, and it seems that his age might be catching up with him. He's 4-10 for the season and Halys was his best win, back in Australia. His serve is a liability as well.

The aces bet will be interesting in the Barty Pliskova match

Absolutely. I've said on here before that without her serve, Pliskova is an average top 50 player at best.

That match is really hard to predict. I saw Mugu against Ferro and the 1st set of her match against Kerkhove and I saw Jabeur against Venus. Jabeur struggled to win the 1st set but, overall, both Mugu and Jabeur look great. They played once before (2020) and Mugu won but it was really tight (3-6, 6-3, 7-6) so I guess that's why you are expecting another tight match here. Personally I have no bets for today, I don't like anything.

I'd agree with the better chance to win than Samsonova against Stephens.

Be careful with Chardy. He lost in 2 sets against Hanfmann in Stuttgart and then he lost in 3 against Bublik in Queens. He was in the Entry List for the Mallorca Open but he finally did not played there. Those easy defeats against players that he should have beat (especially Hanfmann, of course) and the fact he pulled out from the Mallorca Open suggest me that he was not in the best physical conditions. It's true he has beat Karatsev in straight sets but I saw the russian against Norrie and he played incredibly bad. Chardy started the year really good but now it seems he's struggling in this part of the season. In relation to Ivashka it's completely the opposite, he started the year really bad but now he's looking good. He still has not beat any big player on grass this year but he has many wins on this surface. I saw him against Munar a little bit and he was looking really solid. If Chardy is well I reckon this match can be long and go either way but if he's not at his best conditions Ivashka will take it. We'll see.

I have that one as well but my wimbledon bets are not going as smooth as french open. so not posting much. I think again an outsider is going to win the tournament.

I know we're all punters but it's sad to see this guy go this way esp if you watched him in his prime 08-12.Ymer had 28 breakpoints but could only convert 6.The match could have ended sooner but it was down to Ymer making many unforced errors. Sad to see the guy go down this way.

Anyone have a link with order of play tomorrow, would be nice to see witch games starts first and which ones will follow on all courts...
 
TY

Hi folks!
I'm a forum member for several years but drifted away from the forum for a good while, but I'm back now and looking forward to Wimbledon!
Unfortunately I'm a bit late with the bet I was going to propose, and that is for Ludmila Samsonova to win Wimbledon.
She was a standout 80/1 on Bet365 only a week or so ago, but sadly she's come in since, first to 66/1 and now to 33/1.
From a prospects point of view, this is obviously a good sign, but from a value perspective, less so.
But there's no doubt she's on a hot streak at the moment, storming through the field in Berlin, beating Bencic and Azarenka on the way to the title.
I'd still say she's worth a small e/w stake at 33/1 (Paddy Power and Bet365).

Simona Waltert to beat Oceane Dodin at 4.00 with bet365
I have seen some matches from the young swiss player this year and she has impressed me. I saw her in the Altenkirchen ITF, a tournament played on indoors. She played really well there and she destroyed Golubic in the SFs (6-4, 6-2). She lost the Final against Tauson but she took a set from her. Before that she won an ITF tournament played in Manacor in January. In April she reached the SFs in 2 ITF tournaments played on clay and she beat decent players as Hesse, Lottner, Fett, Xiyu Wang, Minella and Barthel. She has beat Ruse easily in her first match here (6-2, 6-2) and she was at 3.00. It has been her first match on grass as a professional but it's important to remark that her best result in a GS as junior was in Wimbledon 2017. She reached the SFs and she lost against Ann Li (7-6, 6-1). She has a really good record this year (29-11). Dodin also has a game that suits really well on fast courts but her record this year is bad (11-16). What shocks me is that she has lost a lot of matches being a huge favorite. Shinikova (6.50), U.Radwanska (4.00), Jia-Jing Lu (5.50), Kung (3.00), Grabher (3.00), Mrdeza (2.00), Hibino (2.20), Paquet (3.00), Stojanovic (2.60) and Rodionova (2.90) are some of the players that have beat Dodin this year. She has a good record on grass (17-16) but she never has passed the qualification here (2019, 2018, 2016 and 2015). The only time she played in the main draw here was in 2017 (she did not play the qualification) and she lost in the 1R. She has suffered too much in her first match here against Eva Guerrero (7-6, 6-3) despite being a huge favorite (1.11). These players met for the first time 1 month ago, in Strasbourg, and Dodin beat Waltert in straight sets (6-4, 7-5). I did not see this match but after taking a look at the stats I can say it was a hard battle. The only difference was that Dodin converted 5 of the 7 break opportunities she had while Waltert only converted 3 of the 10 break points she had. These players have some similarities. Both are tall players (1.80-1.83) who practice an aggressive style of playing but Waltert's record this year (29-11) is much more impressive so I think Dodin (11-16) shouldn't be with these odds.

Cori Gauff to beat Elise Mertens at 1.83 with Pinnacle
Mertens lost here first match on grass, while Gauff is yet to play on the surface. This will actually be her second grass court season and the first one was fantastic, so chances are that she'll continue her RG form here. She lost against Krejcikova in the French Open, no shame in that. Her aggressive style is a better fit for the surface than what Mertens brings to the table, she only needs to keep her UE count low, just like Tomljanovic. It's a similar match-up, after all.

Your english is very good @DrO
Just because it isn't perfect doesn't mean it isn't very good.

Should be a good watch. Norrie never convinces me, despite his strong season so far and it wouldn't surprise me if Draper beats him. Having said that, it'll be much more difficult to beat Norrie than it was to beat Sinner and Bublik, which is another reminder to be wary of backing players on the basis of ranking and reputation.

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Arthur Rinderknech at 1.84 with Unibet
For some reason, Basilashvili tends to play his very best tennis in Germany. I wouldn't be that keen on backing him early on, but he's made it trough the qualifiers here and that shows that he cares. He lost only against Cilic last week and this will obviously be easier. If he keeps his level from the Simon match, he should be able to get past Rinderknech.

Obviously quite gutted about his poor showing against Schwartzman! Now he's beating Medvedev with ease!

Well, that was...strange to say the least. No accusations, just saying. Will be interested in Struff-Medvedev tomorrow, should be a cracker!

Hello.
Saw the schedule of hale now. Giron is going to play the qualification against rinderknech, and main table 2h after against pospisil. So, dont understand that. If this is right, rinderknech has all the value tomorrow, right?

Matthias Bachinger to beat Dalibor Svrcina at 2.00 with William Hill
Let me kick off the next week with a Challenger pick. Svrcina will be playing at home and he's a decently talented junior, fair enough. Even then, I wouldn't have him as the favorite in this match by any stretch. Bachinger was very good last week, losing only to Baez with a 6-7 6-7 scoreline. Before that, he beat two better players than Svrcina in Halys and Kovalik. At odds against, I have to bite.

I’m taking Krejcikova , sure Sakkari has been playing very good but she also chokes sometimes. I believe it’s a game for mental strength and with that in mind I think Krejcikova has the advantage. Also it seems IGA wasn’t feeling good today so that adds. IMO on a 50/50 type of game I’ll happily take the plus money. 

She could have win this 10 times... well done Barbora anyway ! I do believe that Pav should crush her on the finale