** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **
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Villa Chris reacted to MCLARKE in CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL Thoughts, Advanced Tips and Value/Bad bets.
I think you can select SP whenever you place the bet.
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Villa Chris got a reaction from MCLARKE in CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL Thoughts, Advanced Tips and Value/Bad bets.
Yes he went off 28/1 but it was a last minute bet for me this morning when lay in bed just before I got up for work. Couldn’t ignore that 143 mark . I’ll take 20/1 for a last gasp bet.
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Villa Chris reacted to richard-westwood in Pricing your own race
Unreal ....4 of top 5 finish in the first 5 home .....just not the winner vintage clouds who I discounted because of age
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Villa Chris got a reaction from PercyP in CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL Thoughts, Advanced Tips and Value/Bad bets.
@Tedthewolfget in there
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat- Tue 16th March
Good luck everyone. More importantly hopefully all the horses return to their stables tonight.
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Tedthewolf in Pricing your own race
Managed to leave work early so can watch it all unfold . It’s the missus day off so she’s not impressed that’s she’s lost the tv on her day off, but she knows the rules.
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Managed to leave work early so can watch it all unfold . It’s the missus day off so she’s not impressed that’s she’s lost the tv on her day off, but she knows the rules.
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Villa Chris got a reaction from MCLARKE in Pricing your own race
Managed to leave work early so can watch it all unfold . It’s the missus day off so she’s not impressed that’s she’s lost the tv on her day off, but she knows the rules.
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Villa Chris got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat- Tue 16th March
This is tomorrow but there’s an Elliot horse I like the look of in the 4.15. Or Juana De Somoza 33/1 . Been running ok but looks the sort that’s been primed for a big run here .
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Villa Chris got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat- Tue 16th March
This is tomorrow but there’s an Elliot horse I like the look of in the 4.15. Or Juana De Somoza 33/1 . Been running ok but looks the sort that’s been primed for a big run here .
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Villa Chris got a reaction from calva decoy in Racing Chat- Tue 16th March
This is tomorrow but there’s an Elliot horse I like the look of in the 4.15. Or Juana De Somoza 33/1 . Been running ok but looks the sort that’s been primed for a big run here .
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Villa Chris reacted to Wanderlust in CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL Thoughts, Advanced Tips and Value/Bad bets.
These so called tipping shows and tipsters are getting worse in my opinion.
They give that many different horses, 3 or 4 a race. Its inevitable that some will win!!
Kealey from the Racing Post is a prime example. I often see adverts saying " such and such a horse, tipped at 7/1 by our top tipster blah blah blah" Forgetting that he had 10 consecutive losers and picks 2 or 3 horses a race.
The best 'tipping' show pre Corona, was the one held by Matt Chapman, featuring the likes of Blake, Codd, Thomas Mullins etc. Good entertainment and some useful snippets.
But now all these tipsters via these skype calls do my head in. 99% pure nonsense.
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Wildgarden in Racing Chat- Tue 16th March
My top rated horses for day one
supreme , Appreciate It
Ultima , Aye Right
Champion Hurdle , Honeysuckle
Mares Hurdle , Roksana
National Hunt Chase , Next Destination
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Wanderlust in CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL Thoughts, Advanced Tips and Value/Bad bets.
How predictable. Same happened last year. Clearly the horse is pretty much finished and they know it. Give him his retirement he owes them nothing . Great horse but sadly finished.
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Villa Chris got a reaction from The Equaliser in Racing Chat- Tue 16th March
My top rated horses for day one
supreme , Appreciate It
Ultima , Aye Right
Champion Hurdle , Honeysuckle
Mares Hurdle , Roksana
National Hunt Chase , Next Destination
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Villa Chris got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat- Tue 16th March
My top rated horses for day one
supreme , Appreciate It
Ultima , Aye Right
Champion Hurdle , Honeysuckle
Mares Hurdle , Roksana
National Hunt Chase , Next Destination
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Coral Cup
Dans Le Vent 7.75
Monte Cristo 7.25
Grand Roi 7.2
Garo De Juilley 7.15
Craigneiche 7
Boreham Bill 7
Top rated has a few trends against him but nice price. 2nd and 3rd look more likely if you add trends .
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
Grand Annual Challenge Cup
Ben Doran 8.35
Sky Pirate 8
Duc Des Genievres 7.75
Entoucas 7.6
Us And Them 7.6
Or Juana De Somoza 7.45
Amoola Gold 7.3
Theinval 7.2
Really like Gordon Elliotts Or Juana De Somaza at 33/1 for this . He has a cracking record in handicaps at the festival .
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Pirate53 in Pricing your own race
National Hunt Chase day one( forgot to put this up last night)
Next Destination 8.05
Remastered 7.7
Galvin 6.6
Next Destination 10 points win 7/2
Remastered 5 points ew 8/1
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Villa Chris got a reaction from Wildgarden in Pricing your own race
National Hunt Chase day one( forgot to put this up last night)
Next Destination 8.05
Remastered 7.7
Galvin 6.6
Next Destination 10 points win 7/2
Remastered 5 points ew 8/1
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Villa Chris reacted to The Brigadier in Racing Chat- Tue 16th March
It’s finally here! They’ll be no spectators but it’s still the greatest National Hunt festival in the world and it’ll start on soft ground (good to soft in places) following another 10mm of rain on Sunday evening with a mostly dry forecast so we can expect the ground to be improving as we progress through the week. Here are my final thoughts on Day 1. 1.20 A disappointing turnout of only 8 (the smallest field ever!) and a short priced favourite in Appreciate It who is obviously the most likely winner. Better value may be deemed with the recent Henry De Bromhead acquisition Ballyadam who didn’t have the run of the race at Leopardstown behind the favourite and with the dead 8 declared appeals as a good ew bet. BALLYADAM 1 point EW @ 13/2 Bet365 1/5th 123 1.55 A race to watch and savour. Shishkin has impressed me so much this season with his fluid and athletic jumping that I’ll be shocked if he doesn’t win this. We all know how the race will be played with Allmankind forcing the pace and hopefully Nicky Henderson’s gelding picking him up late. He’s a big odds on chance so this is a no bet race for me. Just sit back and enjoy it. 2.30 16 go to post for the Ultima Handicap but I actually don’t think it is as competitive as the numbers suggest! The favourite Happygolucky has the right credentials as a novice with course form and I wouldn’t put anyone off backing him but he’s a general 7/2 shot and I’m looking for slightly better value with many firms paying enhanced place terms (Skybet are actually 7 places). The one I like is Harriet Graham’s Aye Right who’s kept the best handicap company all season and not been disgraced in any of his runs. I feel we’ll get a terrific run for our money with a horse who likes to race prominently and the jockey change of Dickie Johnson taking over from the suspended Callum Bewley is hardly a negative. AYE RIGHT 1 point EW @ 6/1 Boyles 1/5th 12345 3.05 A good renewal of the Champion Hurdle and it’s the mares who are holding sway here. The 7lb allowance they get is a big advantage and something maybe that needs to be addressed. Honeysuckle is ten from ten, comes here with arguably her best ever run behind her when hacking up in the Irish Champion Hurdle at Leopardstown, has course form and is joint top officially rated. What’s not to like? For me she’ll take plenty of beating with possibly last years runner up Sharjah the best each way value with enhanced place terms (Hills are paying 5 places) HONEYSUCKLE (below) 2 points win @ 15/8 Bet365 3.40 Willie Mullins has farmed this race over the years winning it 9 times and saddles the favourite in Concertista here who will be hard to beat. She bolted up in the mares novices hurdle at the meeting last season and is unbeaten in two starts since. She’ll be hard to fancy although there maybe some each way value in Henry De Bromhead’s mare Minella Melody who looks overpriced. It’s hard to believe she can beat Concertista as she’s finished behind her twice already this season but in the ‘betting without’ market she would be very appealing each way. CONCERTISTA 2 points win @ 11/8 Paddy Power MINELLA MELODY 1/2 point each way (betting with out fav.) @ 18/1 Bet365 /5th 123 4.15 The most competitive race of the day and a real minefield for punters. Plenty have chances but I’m sticking with Dermot Welds challenger Coltor who comes here on the back of a Naas maiden hurdle victory (3rd won since) and wears a visor for the first time over hurdles (the only time he wore it on the flat was when he won his maiden). Jonjo O’Neill Jnr. is a good booking and he’ll do for me once again shop around for the best place terms with the firms. COLTOR 1 point EW @ 9/1 Bet365 1/4 12345 4.50 Royale Paigaille running in the Gold Cup has opened this up for Paul Nicholl’s Next Destination who has outstanding claims in a race which isn’t your typical NH Chase as only 13 have declared to run and all will be ridden by professional jockeys due to the ban on amateurs because of Covid. A classy individual who’s two from two over fences including in grade 2 company at Warwick last time when he won his race when his stamina kicked in over the last half a mile. Galvin has been trained for this and is an obvious danger. NEXT DESTINATION 2 point win @ 3/1 Bet365