MCLARKE
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Posts
11,086 -
Joined
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Last visited
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Days Won
463
Posts posted by MCLARKE
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WOLVERHAMPTON 5.45
GREATGADIAN 4/9
4/9 BET365
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6 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
I've lumped on your nap Jubilation. Well put 70p win on at 14/1. I suspect that @MCLARKE may have a different view with regard to the odds on Legal Attack. Good luck anyway
Value is a very subjective thing. There are so many variables involved that is impossible to calculate the true chance of a horse. The market odds are probably the best indication of a horse's chance.
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NEWBURY 4.45
TEODOLINA 11/10
BET365
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YARMOUTH 3.40
FRANCESCO GUARDI 4/11
BET365
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-£17.97
YARMOUTH 3.10 HYANNA 100/30
AYR 3.30 SALSADA 100/30
£20 WIN DOUBLE UNIBET
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14 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:
The definition of a good punter is one that starts with 100 and tries to win 10
Even 10 is a bit high. I make on average about 4%. Which, coincidentally, is the return from backing a 1/25 shot.
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6 hours ago, BillyHills said:
So you only need the next 5 to win and you have a winning system?
You could say it has been a winning system from day 1 with no losers. You would need the patience of Job though with about 3 selections a year.
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BEVERLEY 2.25
ZEYAADAH 5/6
BET365
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+ £2.03.
SANDOWN 5.00
PITCHER'S POINT
£20 WIN UNIBET
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1 hour ago, Villa Chris said:
I suppose that's the trouble with the few good tipsters out there, very rarely can you get on at the price they advise. I gave up on them a long time ago. You cannot blame the bookies, they are there to make a profit (although I am biased because I have shares in Billy Hills (the company, not the esteemed leader of this site!).
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4 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
Funny enough, your 1/25 shot was probably the horse which had the best chance of winning for that day anyway; it's just that the whole world knew about it and it was a horrible price.
I think because it is so short it puts a lot of people off and therefore becomes relatively good value.
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On 9/15/2020 at 12:46 AM, The Equaliser said:
Well despite the exceptional ability of the horse, I think that it was very brave of you to risk £250 to get back £10.
Over the last 5 years there have been 16 horses that have started at shorter than 1/20 and they have all won.
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TIPPERARY 2.35
KOOLA BUALA 13/8
BET365
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Monthly profit £22.03.
YARMOUTH 1.00 PROGRESSIVE 3/1
YARMOUTH 1.30 TRITONIC 11/4
£20 WIN DOUBLE UNIBET
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10 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
Well despite the exceptional ability of the horse, I think that it was very brave of you to risk £250 to get back £10. This means that you will have to be right 125 times out of 126 in order to break even. Too hot for me
It's actually 25 out of 26 not 125 out of 126.
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Not very often I make a record, not one to brag about.
Still, I'd rather have a 1/25 winner than a 250/1 loser.
- Torque and BillyHills
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2
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1 hour ago, BillyHills said:
That must be a record?
Hope The Equaliser had his 50p on!!
Easiest £10 profit I've made all season !
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THIRSK 3.45
LADY G 1/25
BET365
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Monthly profit £42.03.
LINGFIELD 3.55
KATHERINE PLACE 4/1
£20 WIN UNIBET
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CURRAGH 4.10
LUCKY VEGA 2/1
BET365
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Profit £62.03.
CURRAGH 4.40 SOVEREIGN 7/2
WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35 GOLDIE HAWK 2/1
£20 WIN DOUBLE UNIBET
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CHESTER 3.15
MANCINI 1/1
BET365
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Yesterday's double was successful for a profit of £115 leaving the month in profit at £77.03.
GOWRAN PARK 3.10
LORD RAPSCALLION 13/8 £20 WIN
UNIBOOST