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MCLARKE

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Posts posted by MCLARKE

  1. 1 hour ago, Zilzalian said:

    So Cheltenham has become a bit of a joke to these eyes. I was looking at yesterday and today's racecards and i cant remember a previous Cheltenham festival that was so uncompetitive, 1:30 today 5 Mullins trained horses and 3 home trained, that is shocking, I also cant remember 5 odds on shots in the first 2 days or fields so small in previous festivals. If this is the best we can do then it doesn't bode well for the future of racing. I suspect looking at last years 2 year olds the flat is going to be of a similar vein. Even the handicaps have few runners compared to previous years. Well that's my bit of a rant for the day. what do others think?

    You are correct, it is very uncompetitive. 

    So long as the all weather remains I am happy, that's where I make most of my money these days !

  2. 13 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

    Weight in previous race 11st to 11st 6 lbs. 59 from 220, LSP 118.

    Same jockey as previous race. 97 from 384, LSP 48.

    Odds in previous race 4/5 or less. 59 from 155, LSP 51.

    Tuesday and Wednesday. 79 from 301, LSP 93.

    Distance won in previous race 3 to 15 lengths. 68 from 207, LSP 82.

    Lossiemouth passes all 5 tests, Mystical Power, State Man and Embassy Gardens pass 4

  3. Some of these strike rates are very low so I have analysed the forecast top 2 in the betting for those who would prefer a better strike rate. 

     

    Weight in previous race 11st to 11st 6 lbs. 59 from 220, LSP 118.

    Same jockey as previous race. 97 from 384, LSP 48.

    Odds in previous race 4/5 or less. 59 from 155, LSP 51.

    Tuesday and Wednesday. 79 from 301, LSP 93.

    Distance won in previous race 3 to 15 lengths. 68 from 207, LSP 82.

  4. 1 hour ago, calva decoy said:

    There's lots of scrolling about to find the relative Cheltenham thread atm & was just going to add that looks like a fair bit of rain due tomorrow morning & going will be soft , which is good , as long as it doesn't go heavy which there's a chance on Cross Country Course for Wednesday's race .

    Probably better to put comments on this normal daily thread (although it will have Cheltenham in the title to make it easier for new members who are attracted by the Cheltenham festival).

  5. CHELTENHAM STATISTICS

    Based on the last 10 years

     

    SP rank in previous race 4 to 8. 59 winners from 1,285 runners, LSP 506 (Betfair Starting Price.

     Bred in Ireland. 146 from 2,387, LSP 413.

    120 winners (43%) ran at just 3 courses last time, Leopardstown (65), Cheltenham (38) and Naas (17). From a total of 1,243 runners the profit was 386 points.

     Race distance same as previous race. 90 from 1,232, LSP 366.

     Poor run last time (in bottom third of field). 42 from 913, LSP 236.

     Race value no more than or no less than 40% of previous race. 84 from 1,033, LSP 209.

     Ran in a stakes race last time. 210 from 2,793, LSP 206.

     Ran in a Group 2 or Group 3 race last time. 87 from 1,178, LSP 206.

     Distance won by last time 3 lengths to 14 lengths. 97 from 727, LSP 92.

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