MCLARKE
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Posts posted by MCLARKE
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Loss of £19.82 yesterday
Total profit £ 943.95
Wolverhampton 6.30 ELEUTHEROMANIA 33/20 £20 win 10% boost
LAZIO 4/5 £5
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AW selection
Wolverhampton 7.00
STELLA HOGAN
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Wolverhampton 6.30
ELEUTHEROMANIA 33/20
£20 win BETMGM £20 10% boost
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WOLVERHAMPTON 5.30
TERESA GRACE 9/1
WH
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HONKY TONK HIGHWAY won, SP 3/1
Profit for day £45.60 less £5.40 on casino
Total profit £ 963.77
Naas 1.42 MIRAZUR WEST 19/20 £20 20% boost
Naas 3.27 HELIKO CONTI 21/5 £20 20% boost
Southwell 4.50 GRANT WOOD 11/2 £6
Southwell 8.00 PRINCESS NAOMI 7/2 £6
AC MILAN 4/11 £5
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Naas 1.42
MIRAZUR WEST 19/20
£20 win BETMGM 20% price boost
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ULTIMA HANDICAP CHASE
A good run last time is important. 8 of the last 10 winners (from 90 runners) came in the top third last time and returned a profit. The remainder have a record of 2 wins from 130 runs with a loss of 71 points.
For such a competitive handicap the betting is a good guide. Those in the top 6 of the forecast betting have 9 wins from 68 runs with a profit of 32 points. The remainder have just 1 win from 152 runs with a loss of 103 points.
Ideally the horse should have had a win in the last 3 runs. These horses have a record of 6 wins from 84 runs with a profit of 17 points.
4 of the last 10 winners (from 31 runners) had their last run at Cheltenham.
The current 4th favourite STUMPTOWN ticks all these boxes and is available at 9/1 with some bookmakers (6 places).
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CHAMPION HURDLE
This is a race where the favourite has an extremely strong record. 7 of the last 10 races have been won by the forecast favourite, with a ROI of 67%.
Horses should have had at least 4 wins in the last 6 races. There have been 67 horses that did not meet this criterion and all of them have lost.
The last win should have been in the last 78 days. Those that did not have a record of 0 from 55.
The last win should have been by at least 2 lengths. There were 65 horses that did not and only 1 won.
It is not very exciting but STATE MAN ticks all the boxes but at a skinny price of 2/5.
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AW selection
Southwell 4.50
GRANT WOOD
- black rabbit and Bedlam
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I didn't realize I was surrounded by so many Blades fans !
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1 hour ago, Donnyflyer said:
Wednesdays won a couple of games MC getting a bit excited.
Yep,it's getting a bit tight at the bottom of the table. Probably 50/50 that we'll be playing you lot next season.
- Donnyflyer and MinellaWorksop
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Loss of £6.64 plus £10 win on Blackjack
Total profit £ 918.57
Sandown 2.25 BAD 7/1 £20 20% boost
Sandown 3.00 HONLY TONK HIGHWAY 21/5 £20 20% boost
MANCHESTER UNITED TOTAL GOALS OVER 2.5 11/8 £10
ARSENAL / SPORTING LISBON / BENFICA / SASSUOLO 3/1 £10
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WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00
BOSH 9/1
BV
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AW selection
Wolverhampton 5.35
MIGUEL
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Sandown 3.00
HONKY TONK HIGHWAY 21/5
£20 win BETMGM 20% boost
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MAN UTD 10/11 WH
ARSENAL 1.24 BETFAIR
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MAMALOUKA won at 7/1, LIVERPOOL won
Daily profit £23.95 plus £100 won on blackjack
Total profit £ 915.21
Exeter 3.10 FINE CASTING 33/20 £20 10% boost
Ayr 4.00 WHOSMYDADDY 6/4 £20 10% BOOST
Dundalk 5.15 POSH MAISIE 10/3 £6
Newcastle 7.30 LAHAB 4/1 £6
SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY 15/4 £5
Cheltenham Festival Statistics
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
CHELTENHAM STATISTICS
Based on the last 10 years
SP rank in previous race 4 to 8. 59 winners from 1,285 runners, LSP 506 (Betfair Starting Price.
Bred in Ireland. 146 from 2,387, LSP 413.
120 winners (43%) ran at just 3 courses last time, Leopardstown (65), Cheltenham (38) and Naas (17). From a total of 1,243 runners the profit was 386 points.
Race distance same as previous race. 90 from 1,232, LSP 366.
Poor run last time (in bottom third of field). 42 from 913, LSP 236.
Race value no more than or no less than 40% of previous race. 84 from 1,033, LSP 209.
Ran in a stakes race last time. 210 from 2,793, LSP 206.
Ran in a Group 2 or Group 3 race last time. 87 from 1,178, LSP 206.
Distance won by last time 3 lengths to 14 lengths. 97 from 727, LSP 92.