notanotherdonkey

Thank you for the competition and well done the winners and everyone who took part.

Cheers for the future advice.
The top 3 Goodwood trainers LSP wise H.Candy , M.Bell & J.Gallagher only had 1 runner between them Alfred Boucher who finished 4th in the 5.10 today ( sky bet paid 4 places ) jockey wise L.Keniry only had 1 ride on Tuesday for Sylvester Kirk , Goodwood has a lot of hard luck stories , the best horse doesn't always win the race & you'll see far more poor rides here than on most UK courses.

I'm going to add Richard Bland this also. Eddie looks to have started well.
0.5pts E/W R.Bland to win British Masters 110/1 bet365 (4 places 1/4)

A good night of darts again, last night. The majority of favourites won again barring Clemens, who I fancied would beat or atleast keep Cross close. Cross was here as the champion and there was alot of pressure for him to perform. Despite Clemens hitting a 170 take out, his 89.22 winning average was the lowest of all winners so far. Cross had a much better average but the doubling was the issue.
Elsewhere the 10/1 accy came in nicely with Suljovic beating Hughes 12-10, going down 10-9. Durrant was really playing well with a 107 average and De Sousa did enough on the handicap. +15pts for the evening and back into darts profit.
World Matchplay +12.5pts
Darts 2020 +10pts

Day 3 of the Match-play and another night of darts. Here is the line-up :

D.Chisnall Vs Van Der Voort
I.White Vs J.Cullen
D.Gurney Vs R.Evans
G.Price Vs D.Noppert
A.Lewis Vs S.Beaton
There could be a few shocks I suppose tonight but you would expect Chizzy and Gurney to make it through. White should get through as Cullen has been very hit and miss over the last few events. Noppert performed decent in the Summer Series and he could give Price a game, if the Welshman doesn't turn up. However, in the longer format I would expect Price to see it through with a few to spare. Lewis Vs Beaton all depends on what Aidy turns up.
4pts I.White (-2.5 legs) to beat J.Cullen evens bet365
4pts G.Price (-3.5 legs) to beat D.Noppert evens bet365
1pt Chisnall -2.5 legs, White -2.5 legs, Gurney -2.5 legs, Price -3.5 legs 15/1 betfair
0.5pts (the above accy) + S.Beaton to beat A.Lewis 34/1 betfair

WON @ 25-1

Currently, I would say WillHill seem to be the best for golf. Offering 8 places most weeks at best odds some of the time.

I'm looking forward to some more cracking action in Australia over the weekend and hoping to build on last weeks fantastic showing. On Saturday we have winter finals day at Flemington which looks a tough card, but I have bets in 3 races there. Randwick is the Sydney meeting this week and I have bets in 5 races there. Also on Sunday there is top class jumping action at Warrnambool and I will be previewing that tomorrow. Not time for massive previews but here are my tips and brief thoughts.
Flemington R2 (3.25am)
Ex UK horse Lord Belvedere was a big price winner for us a couple of weeks ago and although he's nowhere near that price tomorrow I think he can win again. He was strong in the finish that day and he looks like he has been building up nicely for this contest as his main target of the prep.The 2nd Chapada is weighted to reverse form and he is clearly a danger, but he may already have peaked this prep so I am sticking with Lord Belvedere.
Lord Belvedere @ 9/4 with William Hll
Flemington R5 (5.10am)
I don't think Rich Charm would have won a couple of weeks ago in the race won by I Am Someone, but he had no luck in running at all inside the final 200m and he ran much better than 9th of 11 suggests. That was over 1100m and going back up to 1200m is ideal for him. This is his 3rd run of the prep and he is 4/4 3rd up and granted more luck in running I think he can make it win number 10.
Rich Charm @ 9/2 with William Hill
Flemington R8 (7.05am)
The main race on the card and it is very competitive. Heptagon has a big chance of gaining another win, but I have left him out in favour of 3 against the field. Plein Ciel is the other one at the head of the market and he dead heated with Shot Of Irish. I put him up that day as he was showing like he was returning to his best form having been under par for a bit. He looks set to peak here and he ought to go very close.
Reykjavik won over course and distance in May and he looked good in beating Shot Of Of Irish. He was also in the Moonee Valley race mentioned above and he was 5th, but it was a total forget run as he had no cover and it was hard to come from behind that day. He's better than that and is overpriced. 
Moss 'N' Dale has a shocking 1st up record, but he ran a huge race 1st up a month ago over 1400m here. That bodes well for this run especially as he is 4/6 2nd up. This clearly has been a target and again he looks a big price.
Plein Ciel @ 9/2 with Betfair
Reykjavik @ 16/1 with Betway (4 places)
Moss 'N' Dale @ 22/1 with Betway (4 places)
Randwick R4 (4.20am)
Mr Dependable had a poor draw last time and had to have plenty of use made of him to get across to the rail to make the running. He was caught late on which wasn't a surprise, but it was clearly a huge run. He is now 3rd up and has drawn nicely in 4. The slight doubt is the trip in the ground, but as long as his jockey gets the fraction right in front then I think he will see it out and will be hard to beat.
Mr Dependable @ 7/5 with Bet365
Randwick R5 (4.55am)
I was tempted by Lashes but she was disappointing last time and although there there was a bit of an excuse I still thought it was a poor run. I like the chances of Longbottom who has been really consistent this prep. Since coming to Sydney he has been 2nd, 3rd and 3rd. He deserves to win a race again and to me this looks a winnable contest. If he runs to form he should be in the finish over his best trip on ground he enjoys.
Longbottom @ 6/1 with Betfair
Randwick R7 (6.10am)
Threeood was given a ride which saw James McDonald pick up a ban a couple of weeks, but I tought she didn't really get the run of the race. It was her first poor run this prep and clearly the stable are happy to have another go. Her form is strong prior to that and she can bounce back.
I am having an e/w saver on High Low Bet whose form figures since a Warwick Farm win in March don't look great, but she actually ran the quickest last 600m of the race last time when finishing 7th. She didn't settle that day either so to quicken the way she did was promoising. McEvoy is back on again and she is up to winning this.
Threeood @ 4/1 with William Hill
High Low Bet e/w @ 14/1 with everyone
Randwick R8 (6.50am)
I am pretty keen on Handspun here. He got awful luck late on at Rosehill last time and was still 9th at the 400m marker. It took to around 250m for him to get a clear run and even then it wasn't the clearest. Only the winner had a better last 600m and last 200m than him and he is drawn a lot better today so hopefully he will settle a bit close to the pace and get a clear run.
Handspun @ 100/30 with William Hill
Randwick R9 (7.30am)
Selection now a N/R

Tough run of luck with outrageous flukes for Selby and then Allen in the decider last night. 
As a keen punter and snooker fan I'm a bit bemused why Allen has been priced up at 13/10 to beat Selby. The Jester showed glimpses against Bingtao but was slow out the blocks, missed a number of easy balls and offered up plenty of chances to his young opponent. Even his safety game was slack and not up to his usual granite like standards. A repeat performance against Allen (who yet again shows tremendous bottle in the big moments) and he is going home. 
As for today's game with Trump, as always I find it difficult to find an angle of attack for a bet. This normally screams a no bet with Trump too short for my liking and Maguire unlikely to follow up his heroics from the first round. One thing for sure is that Maguire has played one match in these conditions, no crowd, no noise etc and played the game of his life. Trump was not particularly impressive in disposing of Higgins but his strength now lies in just finding a way to win, even when playing badly. I suppose all things considered I expect Maguire to play well and I also expect Judd to raise his game. At 14/1 Will Hills #yourodds market has Maguire to win, hit the highest break and over 3 centuries in the match (over 3 centuries includes both players breaks). Considering we have had games this week with 7 centuries, I consider some small value here (especially with the worlds best player involved). If Maguire is to win he will need a repeat of the Robertson game and have multiple frames of one visit snooker. 14/1 seems a nice little wager to sit back and watch this afternoon although my real attention is on the Allen match tomorrow. 
 
1pt Maguire 14-1 (as above)
10pt Allen to beat Selby 13-10 
 
 
 

Murphy finds a way to lose. 6 centuries and loses the match. Should have been 3 frames ahead but missed 2 blacks off the spot. Allen hits a fluke to win the last frame. It just wasn't going to happen today no matter how much better he was. Too many silly errors.
Trump Vs Maguire today and it will be interesting to see if Maguire can keep the standard up that he showed against Robertson. If he can,he has a great chance here but I'm not sure he will. I do think he has enough about him to make this quite close though. Despite Maguire going 3-0 down the last time these two played, Maguire got it back to 5-5 before losing a deciding leg. 
We know both players can score big but Trump didn't do that in the first match. I mentioned in the preview of the match that I do think that Trump will get better in each match and I think he will here, but I'm leaving the outcome alone and even the handicap alone. I'm taking Maguire to have the highest break and I'm backing there to be 5 or more centuries. Maguire managed a 135 in his first match when he hit all those centuries and although he will have less chances here, the potting isn't going to just vanish.
4pts S. Maguire highest break 9/4 paddypower
2pts 5 or more Centuries 7/2 paddypower
Tour tips -1.5pts
Snooker 2020 bets +140.25pts
 
 

Well done Alley Cat and the 2nd and 3rd.Thank you for the competition and well done all those who took part.

Well done Alley Cat and the 2nd and 3rd.Thank you for the competition and well done all those who took part.

Well done Alleycat

Missed yesterday as had to go to hospital for emergency.Will not say how I did or did not lol
1.15 Maori Knight
1.50 Sir Dragonet
2.25 Ropey Guest
3.00 First Profit
3.35 Nayef Road
4.10 Enemy
4.40 soffika

R.i.P

66/1 winner Daniel Berger  Reed in the placings and Spieth just outside

+36.60pts
2020 Golf bets +153.54

Despite Day not turning up today for the daily bets, Brecel most certainly did for the outright bets. Next up, the Tour Championship which starts on Saturday the 20th June. +76.25pts for the tournament.
Champ League bets +76.25pts
Snooker 2020 bets +141.75pts

I'm going to try and claw some of this money back in this tournament now. Today, I'll be taking Wolfie to continue his form in this event. I'll also have a punt on him winning all his matches.
4pts M. Adams to win group 5/4 paddypower
2pts M. Adams to win all his matches 5/1 paddypower

I use a similar method in big races ....except once I've rated the race with my ratings I draw up a quick book based on those and if the prices available are better than my tissue then I'll play ... it seems to work well....and it's nice knowing the horse your backing has value built in  and is not just random picking ....nothing better than backing a 7/1 shot  at 12/1 .....then watching it win ....in the long run you will always come out on top ....always ....over the past 5 years since being on here I've tripled my betting bank .....just following value bets so it works ....my friends are always saying ....double your stakes .....triple your stakes !!!!....but with increased bank comes less risk so no matter what the losing run ....20 horses whatever I'm never in any danger and I like that it just means I can enjoy the process and racing 

Quite the performance from Gary Wilson and Wenbo. Both win all 3 and both only drop 1 frame. O'Connor performed well too and should have beaten Selby really but he still finishes 2nd to Wenbo. Our third outright goes through. +11pts for the day
Another couple of outrights play today in the shape of Georgiou and Tom Ford. To say Georgiou has a tough group would be an understatement with Ronnie O'Sullivan to contend with. Not to mention the talented Chris Wakelin. Hirani can also play. I actually am happy to take on Ronnie though and I think both Georgiou and Wakelin have a chance to win Group 10. 
In group 15, I'm happy to rule out Dunn and Burns. Milkins can play, but I'm not sure this is his format. In my opinion it's primed for Tom Ford here and I'll back him to win the group. He is another outright tip so it would be brilliant to get both Ford and Georgiou through today.
1.5pts C. Wakelin to win Group 10 6/1 Coral
0.5pts C. Wakelin to win all his matches 45/1 paddypower
1pt M. Georgiou to win Group 10 9/1 betfred
1pt M. Georgiou to beat Wakelin and Hirani 6/1 paddypower
2pts T. Ford to win all of his matches 15/2 paddypower
Champ League bets +18pts

Yes but 2nd would have won that race if jockey had not lost his whip

Yep took a while to get going and would not give up hope yet,I see the winner came out of William Haggas yard.

She ran a nice race in a close up 3rd after that long absence 

Thanks I have backed it 7-2 e.w Good Luck.

First run of season tomorrow [11.40am Clairefontaine]
Currently 11-4