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  • Posts

    • Yarmouth 4.08 Gogo Yubari 8/1 B365

    •   5 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

      I must admit I've never really used a bank as such, I've accumulated enough profits over the years to cover a long losing run

      Expand  

      Perhaps I should clarify. When I say bank I'm referring to the amount I have above nothing and I stake relative to that. Your bank is the amount you have that you can lose and so you are using a bank one way or another - unless I've completely misunderstood you.

    •   On 4/19/2025 at 12:26 PM, tonythepaint said:

      It's to do with top weights at certain tracks and short distances.

      I had a look at the last 5 calendar years for races over 5 furlongs  and NH races over 2 miles to 2 miles 1 furlong.( Handicaps only).

      If you had bet on every race you would have got back 95 percent of your stake so I checked individual courses and came up with a list .

      I've got about 12 courses for the flat,12 for hurdles and 20 for chases.

      That's about it. 

       

      Expand  

      Just wondering if @Zilzalian may be able to make a useful contribution to this strategy.  He does seem to like top-weighted horses or horses that are number one in a race.

    • Epsom 14:10 🏇 DEVIL'S ADVOCATE 11/4 Bet365

    •   5 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

      I must admit I've never really used a bank as such, I've accumulated enough profits over the years to cover a long losing run

      Expand  

      I’ve never really worked to a bank myself overall. But when you’re testing a staking plan you would usually set a bank to work out the chance of ruin. If you’re making a profit with singles then you can definitely increase it by using multis in some way. You just need to balance the returns against the worst losing runs you’d have to put up with and work within the parameters of what you’d realistically be able to get on.

      The variance I see across, say, 8000 goalscorers bets is remarkable at times and that’s at short odds compared to horses, hence the suggestion that you’d want to test any strategy against a large number of bets.

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