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Posts
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Yeah all look reasonable, Zverev/Fils should have no motivation issues either hopefully.
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Hey guys, what should i do here. I had a £40 bet builder to win £227.50p with Bet365 on the Leicester and Newcastle game. The last leg i needed was over 21 free kicks in the game. Bet365 said bet was loser as only 21 free kicks was being shown on the site when full time happened. But when i checked other sites they all said 22 free kicks. 17 fouls snd 5 offsides. Even Bet365 form guide on leicester and newcastle last match show 22 free kicks . I spoke to an operator who kept saying opta are only showing 20 free kicks... he sent me the link and it does show 20 free kicks, 10 each team. But then the same site also shows 17 fouls and 5 offsides, which is 22.. I threatened to close my account, as im being ripped off in my eyes, and all he would do is give me my £40 stake back. If there were 17 fouls and 5 offsides then surely my bet is a winner ???
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Pontefract 3.32 Fahrenheit Seven 11-2 WH
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Guys what do you think about Zverev beating Berrettini at @1.57, Fils to beat Griekspoor at @1.50 and Dimitrov at @1.30 combined at 3.00.
Dimitrov should be an easy match and probably in straight sets.
Griekspoor played a final on Sunday against Darderi and looked poor. I mean he played 2 tiebreaks but nothing special with easy unforced errors. Clay is not his surface and finishing a tournament 2 days earlier should be a factor.
Zverev and Berrettini have similar serve and forehand but Zverev's backhand and versatility should come in hand. What ya'll think?
Also maybe Sonego against Martinez at 1.50. Martinez retired 4 days ago in the second set losing 6:1 from Djumhur?
Edited by sterziyskii -
Stats for the flat
Overall the AE is 0.991
In races with 20 or more runners the result is 90 wins from 1,228 runs with a profit of 199 points and an AE of 1.18
For Chepstow 129 from 550, LSP 132, AE 1.15
Class 3 races 475 from 2,760, LSP 120, AE 1.08
Distance 1 mile 919 from 5,339, LSP 70, AE 1.03
Maidens 934 from 3,430, LSP 174, AE 1.04
More than 7 runs in current season 322 from 2,203, LSP 362, AE 1.08
Previous run Thirsk 125 from 551, LSP 152, AE 1.32
Previous going Good To Soft 518 from 2,878, LSP 71, AE 1.06
Odds previous run less than 6/4 997 from 4,377, LSP 144, AE 1.03
Previous raise ridden by 7lb claimer 151 from 997, LSP 89, AE 1.12
Race value within 5% of previous race 1,019 from 5,411, LSP 248, AE 1.04
Draw greater than 12 281 from 2,721, LSP 321, AE 1.08
More than 41 career starts 146 from 1,026, LSP 104, AE 1.15
Last win less than 26 days ago 225 from 1,208, LSP 60, AE 1.10
More than 2 runs in last 30 days 335 from 1,968, LSP 113, AE 1.05
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