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Group A


AJ

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Re: Group A I'm holding Portugal as favorits in this group and have taken them to win it @ 2,30. For 2nd spot I think it's pretty open. I did hold Czech Republic as qualifying, but have now decided to take a chance on Switzerland @ 2,10. They are a solid team IMO and are well capable of grinding out the results they need to see them through infront of their home supporters. I think it would be nice to see one of the host nations qualifying, and I can only see Swizerland capable of doing that. 1.Portugal 2.Switzerland 3.Czech Republic 4.Turkey

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Re: Group A

After the pandemonium in the play offs for the World Cup 2006, I'm looking forward to the Switzerland vs Turkey game. Keep an eye on the bookings. But bookies will probably be aware of that and will set the lines high.
This has to be the best tip I've heard in ages...will definitly investigate this..:clap I think the Czechs will struggle like they did in Germany 06..very tempted with Portugal 1st and Switzerland 2nd at 11/2..and maybe a cheeky little bet on Turkey to qualify to back the bet ;)
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Re: Group A Tip Detail SportFootball (Internationals) EventGroup A SelectionSwitzerland to qualify Strength10/10 Date15/06/2008 Bookmaker/Price>10bet @ 2.03 (Back) ReasoningEuro 2008 is upon us, and it’s time to place some outright predictions according to the latest news, results and expectations. The 1st bet I would like to place is for Switzerland to advance to the quarter final (qualify from it’s group). Actually I was considering the Swiss to top their group, but seeing as it may come down to goal difference, I thought it might be better to settle for the qualification bet. Switzerland rely on a strong defence that does not usually let in many goals. In 2008 they have played 4 friendlies in preparation for this competition, an they barely lost 1-2 to England, in what was a semi-balanced game, then were crushed 0-4 by Germany, before they won the last 2 by 2-0 and 3-0 over Slovakia and Liechtenstein. This –of course- doesn’t say much as neither Slovakia nor Liechtenstein are considerable powers in football, but still –overall- the Swiss are very much capable of holding their own in this group, and they have a considerable good H2H against their opposition. In 2007 had 10 friendlies, winning 4 and drawing one, with 5 losses. Their most notable 3 results though were beating Holland by 2-1, drawing to Argentina 1-1 and winning over Chile by 2-1. Again, shows some potential, and it’s a 50-50 chance they can hold the likes of Portugal (whom more or less play a Latin style of football), Czechia and Turkey. What makes Switzerland a worthy bet here is that they tend to perform better in their official games than their friendlies. For example, in Germany 2006 qualifiers, they managed to go through the 10 games of the qualification group without a single loss, scoring 4 wins (2 each against Cyprus and Faroe Islands) and drawing 6 (2 each against France, Israel and Ireland). They also conceded 7 goals in total, managing to keep 4 clean sheets. In the play-offs they again managed a clean sheet at home (vs Turkey) while they lost 2-4 in Istanbul in a game that saw much disturbance FIFA ha to ban Turkey from playing at home for sometime afterwards. In the finals, they retained their unbeaten status, conceding no goals in all 4 games. 0-0 against France, then 2-0 against each of Togo and South Korea ensured they progressed to the final 16, and it took Ukraine a PK shoot-out to eliminate the Swiss after 120 minutes of a goalless dull game. That means the Swiss have been beaten only once –in a controversial game- in their last 16 competitive international games, and have conceded 11 in them. Their problem though is they don’t score much either. They have only scored 16 in total, and they are very much reliant on Alexander Frei upfront. This is why if it comes down to goals to decide the group winner they are unlikely to have the edge, as UEFA considers scored goals first before going for the overall goal difference (i.e. Scored minus conceded). In total, Switzerland has played 10 competitive games against Portugal before. Switzerland won the 1st 2 (1968 & 1969) then 3 games all ended in draws (1969, 1986 & 1987) before Portugal won 3 and drew 1 in the last 4. However, Portugal has a problem scoring of late. They create chances, but fail to convert them, and with the Swiss solid defence, the Portuguese maybe up to a real challenge. Portugal is also way too vulnerable in the back as seen in their 1-3 and 1-2 reverses against Italy and Greece respectively in friendly games played in 2008. Even Kazakhstan managed to score in the Euro 2008 qualifiers against Portugal. The Czech have never met Switzerland in a competitive game before. However, I cannot see them winning over the Swiss without Rosicky or Nedved. Only Koller scores goals for them, and he could be taken care of somehow. Yet again, the Czech can be dangerous at their day, and Petr Cech is still an excellent goal stopper, so this is a tricky game. I will be counting on the Swiss playing at home though. As mentioned before, the last home game Switzerland played against Turkey was a 2-0 home win. Turkey won once before and 2 other games ended in draws. As this could be a nervy game, I think the Swiss will be favourites to win it though. Some of the players that should make a difference in the Swiss squad are experienced goalkeeper; Benaglio (Wolfsburg), Arsenal’s duo Djourou and Senderos, Lazio’s Behrami and –most of all- Dortmund’s Alexander Frei. As the host nation, statistically the Swiss have a major chance of reaching the semi-final. It has never been the case before that the hosting nation failed to make it to the last 4, with the exception of Belgium whom were eliminated in the group stage in 2000. That one was co-hosted by Holland though, and Holland did reach the semi-final.

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Re: Group A Euro 2008 - Top Scoring Group - Group A >Paddy Power @ 3/1 Group B is the obvious choice here with attack minded Germany and arguably the weakest side in the competition Austria making up the quartet. I think you can ignore Group D - Russia, Sweden and Greece all struggle for goals and Group C (the group of death!) should be very tight. Therefore ,at the prices, I like the look of Group A at 3/1. The Swiss have struggled for clean sheets in their warm up games but have had a bit of joy at the other end - the return of Alexander Frei will be a welcome boost. Portugal, Turkey and Czech Republic all have goals in them and look the most likely of the other groups to provide some high scoring matches.

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Re: Group A My bets for Saturday games: Switzerland-Czech Republic Usually the hosts go far in this sort of tournaments but if things go according to what should be normal neither Austria or Switzerland will advance further than the group stage. Switzerland has played in both the 1996 and 2004 Euro's drawing two games and losing 4 scoring a total of 2 goals and allowing 10. Home crowd will not make a difference for them IMO as, in general, Swiss people are quiet and football doesn't have a tradition in the country. Their current FIFA rank is 44th overall which is a sign of them not being a top team. The Czech will be missing two world class players: Pavel Nedved and Tomas Rosicky and that is a big blow for them but they're still the better team, are far more experienced at this level (played the last three "Euro" Competitions and reached at least the semi-finals twice during those three competitions) and have the best keeper in the world at the moment and IMO: Petr Chech. My pick: Czech Republic 0 AH (Asian Handicap); Portugal-Turkey There are huge expectations regarding the Portuguese team but IMO there are a few "weak points" (I'll get into that as the tournament goes on...) when I compare the Portuguese team with, for example, France or Italy...on the other hand, Portugal will be playing at home in the group stage (all group games are in Switzerland where there's a HUGE Portuguese population which is looking forward to throw a party in the Swiss's backyard :rollin...they just had 12K people attending practice this week!!!) and they have the best player in the World: Cristiano Ronaldo. Portugal is very experienced at this level (took part in all of the last three "Euro" competitions and reached the semi-final in 2000 and the final in 2004) and I know Scolari will have the team concentrating on winning the 1st game (he already said it is the most important game of this stage as a victory gives you "peace of mind" to face the rest of the group stage...and he's correct) without taking many risks. Turkey is a good team and has some great players in their squad so they cannot surely be underestimated but their record at this competition is far from impressive (were not present in Euro 2004, in Euro 2000 lost in the Quarter-Finals 2-0 to Portugal and in Euro 1996 didn't make it after the group stage). Their strongest aspect is the group spirit and ability to fight for the result with some experienced players. Their weakest aspect is IMO the defence as they're are physically strong but slow. Portugal should win with more or less difficulty. My pick: Portugal -0.5 AH (Asian Handicap); Good luck! JC

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Re: Group A Switzerland to qualify 11/10 7.5 pts portugal are the favs for this group and I have no problem with that and despite my concern over their lack of a quality striker for today, Nuno gomes is too old for me, they should get through. that would leave one from three between the Swiss, Czechs and Turkey and whilst the bookies may favour the Czechs, Im not coninvced by their ageing team and the loss of rosicky could be crucial. Turkey remain unpredictable and given how a home team normally does pretty well and that i cant see that being Austria, Switzerland can just get through. They were miserly at the last world cup and I expect they will be tough to beat again, Behrami adds some wuality down the right side and Frei might just get enough goals to see the Swiss sneak through.

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Re: Group A DAY 1 Switzerland - Czech under 1.5 Switzerland have not conceded a goal in competitive matches since 16 November 2005, when they lost a World Cup qualifier against Turkey 4-2. They have not won any of their previous six matches at the European Championship. The Czech Republic, along with France and Netherlands conceded the fewest goals (five) in qualifying for Euro 2008. They are missing quite a few players from their team that lost in the final to Greece four years ago. Should be a pretty tight game to kick the tournament off Portugal -1 (EH) Portugal have won 5 of the last 6 games between each other , winning all four competitive fixtures between the two countries. This will be their third meeting at a European Championship - Portugal won a group phase match 1-0 in 1996 and a quarter-final match 2-0 in 2000. Portugal are unbeaten in their last 11 competitive matches since losing 2-1 to Poland in October 2006. They have a fully fit squad and have probably the best player in the world right now (Ronaldo) to lead them

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Re: Group A Just put Portugal to win tonight on Betfair. As has been said before I think they have a decent arsenal of talent, especially with Cristiano Ronaldo in there team I think on their night they can cause damage to most teams. Turkey I do not know a whole lot about except they are a decent unit with good defensive abilities, however I think the Portugeese will be able to break them down at some point :hope GL ALL

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Re: Group A For me today I'm so delighted this tourney is finally starting, going to be a great few weeks of top quality football. The opening match has ended in a draw 50% of the time when the host nation has been involved. Couple this with the fact that both sides more than equaly measure up to each other then I think the draw at 9/4 with most firms seems a decent bet. I also think it will be a tight game with both sides going out not to lose rather than looking for the win which makes me think this match will also probably be under 2.5 goals which is currently trading at 1.55 with betfair. In tonights game I think the bookies have overpriced Portugal quite badly here. Portugal are rightly regarded as one of the tournamnet favourites, this years squad has managed to maintain many key players from the euro 04 tournament where they made the final and have the quality all through the squad to go far in this tournament. I think Turkey are not the force in european football that they once were and questions have been asked of the centre half pairings. With attacking players such as Ronaldo and Quaresma looking to exploit those defensive weaknesses I cant see past a comfortable portugal win at 4/5. Good luck to all

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Re: Group A SportFootball (Internationals) EventSwitzerland-Czech Republic SelectionUnder 2.5 Strength10/10 Date07/06/2008 Bookmaker/PriceInterwetten @ 1.60 (Back) Reasoning Start of Euro 2008 and this game which will be very boring to watch as both teams wont rush to score and will loke more to defend themselves at early stage.Also almost every game on start on every big tournament are played with few goals and i expect here same.Switzerland improved a lot last couple oy years and their style is defensive what they proved in WC 2006.Czech are little bit better squad as they have bigger names in team but i dont believe they will rush here in first minute to score.First game nervous is expected here i give slight adventage to Switzerland here but my bet is under 2.5 goals as i just cant see this teams scoring more than one goal here.

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Re: Group A

My bets for Saturday games: Switzerland-Czech Republic Usually the hosts go far in this sort of tournaments but if things go according to what should be normal neither Austria or Switzerland will advance further than the group stage. Switzerland has played in both the 1996 and 2004 Euro's drawing two games and losing 4 scoring a total of 2 goals and allowing 10. Home crowd will not make a difference for them IMO as, in general, Swiss people are quiet and football doesn't have a tradition in the country. Their current FIFA rank is 44th overall which is a sign of them not being a top team. The Czech will be missing two world class players: Pavel Nedved and Tomas Rosicky and that is a big blow for them but they're still the better team, are far more experienced at this level (played the last three "Euro" Competitions and reached at least the semi-finals twice during those three competitions) and have the best keeper in the world at the moment and IMO: Petr Chech. My pick: Czech Republic 0 AH (Asian Handicap); won Portugal-Turkey There are huge expectations regarding the Portuguese team but IMO there are a few "weak points" (I'll get into that as the tournament goes on...) when I compare the Portuguese team with, for example, France or Italy...on the other hand, Portugal will be playing at home in the group stage (all group games are in Switzerland where there's a HUGE Portuguese population which is looking forward to throw a party in the Swiss's backyard :rollin...they just had 12K people attending practice this week!!!) and they have the best player in the World: Cristiano Ronaldo. Portugal is very experienced at this level (took part in all of the last three "Euro" competitions and reached the semi-final in 2000 and the final in 2004) and I know Scolari will have the team concentrating on winning the 1st game (he already said it is the most important game of this stage as a victory gives you "peace of mind" to face the rest of the group stage...and he's correct) without taking many risks. Turkey is a good team and has some great players in their squad so they cannot surely be underestimated but their record at this competition is far from impressive (were not present in Euro 2004, in Euro 2000 lost in the Quarter-Finals 2-0 to Portugal and in Euro 1996 didn't make it after the group stage). Their strongest aspect is the group spirit and ability to fight for the result with some experienced players. Their weakest aspect is IMO the defence as they're are physically strong but slow. Portugal should win with more or less difficulty. My pick: Portugal -0.5 AH (Asian Handicap); won Good luck! JC
:ok :cheers
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Re: Group A My bets for Wednesday: Czech Republic-Portugal The Czech Republic was far from impressive in the 1st match against the hosts Switzerland. They defended very well which is not a surprise as they have a great keeper and great defenders but in midfield they surely lacked class and quality with the absence of Nedved and Rosicky and were never dangerous upfront. Tomorrow it is obvious to predict that they will play for the draw as that would almost guarantee them the qualification to the quarter-finals. Portugal played very well against Turkey and they will be looking at keeping the momentum going. Also, I'm sure they'll play to win as they want to finish top of the group, keep the pressure off the 3rd game and also avoid Germany for as long as possible in the next stages of the tournament and by finishing 1st in the group, most likely, they will only meet in the semi-finals. My pick: Portugal to win; Switzerland-Turkey This should be an interesting and maybe even very tense game after what happened in the qualification for the last World Cup between these two nations/teams. The tournament hosts played with their hearts in their 1st group game but IMO they lack class and the injury of top striker Frei also didn't help. They will give it another shot tomorrow but their issues remain the same (lack of class and Frei is missing due to injury). Turkey had a bad game against Portugal and were completly overplayed. They are a better and more experienced team than the hosts and will try to get something from this game. Home advantage on one side, better quality (on paper) on the other...it looks like a draw to me and at 3.42 I see it as a value bet. My pick: draw; Good luck! JC

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Re: Group A

After the pandemonium in the play offs for the World Cup 2006, I'm looking forward to the Switzerland vs Turkey game. Keep an eye on the bookings. But bookies will probably be aware of that and will set the lines high. The Swiss could make it to the next stage. My personal theory says that one of the hosts will definitely progress and Switzerland look much stronger than Austria.
For those of you that feel the Switzerland and Turkey game will be a dirty game and that there will be a lot of bookings due to past events between the teams William Hill are doing a specials bet for bookings as follows in a match up against Portugal v Czech Rep. Most bookings: - Switzerland V Turkey 11/10 Czech Republic V Portugal 15/8 Tie 23/10 I feel the Swiss v Turkey game will probably end up with more bookings as long as the Portuguese don't start diving for get booked. The Switzerland game is likely to be more physical as they battle to get some points on the board and if there is a losing team in the last half hour, then they may get frustrated and start kicking their opponents.
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Re: Group A I am looking at 2 draws today, both pairs might just cancel each other. The Czechs looked a bit fragile early in the first game, no wonder Portugal are favourites. On the other hand there were moments when Portugal didn't look so convincing at the back vs Turkey, and the Czechs could be far more clinical than the Turks. For sure there won't be that much room for those one-two Portugal loves in front of the goal, and another Romania-France is what I expect, as well as CS 2-1 Portugal. Nothing separates Turkey and Switzerland imo, though I am really tempted to go Over 3,5 goals, on top of the draw. Good luck

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Re: Group A Portugal have won the group but who goes through if Czech Rep and Turkey draw? They are both on the same points and both scored two and conceded three. I have found a tie breaker rules for the competition and think that it may go down to coefficients where Czech Rep would go through. Am i right that it would go down to point f )? TIE-BREAKER RULES : If two or more teams finish equal on points after all the group matches have been played, the following criteria will be applied to determine the ranking : (a) Greater number of points obtained in the matches between the teams in question. (b) Goal difference resulting from the matches between the teams in question (if more than two teams finish equal). © Greater number of goals scored in the matches between the teams in question (if more than two teams finish equal). (d) Goal difference in all the group matches. (e) Greater number of goals scored in all the group matches. (f) Coefficient of points from the last two qualifying competitions for the final rounds of the 2006 World Cup and Euro 2008 (points gained and divided by the number of matches played). (g) Fair Play conduct of the teams (final tournament). (h) A drawing of lots by the Organising Committee. There is no need to apply criteria (g) & (h) at this year’s championship because the only teams with equal coefficient under criteria (f) are teams of Romania & Germany (ranked 5.), Greece & Poland (ranked 10.) and then Russia & Turkey (ranked 13.) - teams that were drawn into different groups anyway.

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Re: Group A

Portugal have won the group but who goes through if Czech Rep and Turkey draw? They are both on the same points and both scored two and conceded three. I have found a tie breaker rules for the competition and think that it may go down to coefficients where Czech Rep would go through. Am i right that it would go down to point f )? TIE-BREAKER RULES : If two or more teams finish equal on points after all the group matches have been played, the following criteria will be applied to determine the ranking : (a) Greater number of points obtained in the matches between the teams in question. (b) Goal difference resulting from the matches between the teams in question (if more than two teams finish equal). © Greater number of goals scored in the matches between the teams in question (if more than two teams finish equal). (d) Goal difference in all the group matches. (e) Greater number of goals scored in all the group matches. (f) Coefficient of points from the last two qualifying competitions for the final rounds of the 2006 World Cup and Euro 2008 (points gained and divided by the number of matches played). (g) Fair Play conduct of the teams (final tournament). (h) A drawing of lots by the Organising Committee. There is no need to apply criteria (g) & (h) at this year’s championship because the only teams with equal coefficient under criteria (f) are teams of Romania & Germany (ranked 5.), Greece & Poland (ranked 10.) and then Russia & Turkey (ranked 13.) - teams that were drawn into different groups anyway.
I hope you are right, I have the Czechs to finish second in the group! I guess if you follow those rules to the letter then point (f) has to give it to the Czechs in the event of a draw.
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Re: Group A

Just checked and the co-efficient is massively in the Czech's favour so a draw will take them through. whether thats a good thing remains to be seen!
Yeah sorry forgot to put the coefficient list to show that Czech Rep are above Turkey. As soon as the game was over i went checking because i have the straight forecast with Czech Rep to come second behind Portugal. :hope
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Re: Group A

Portugal have won the group but who goes through if Czech Rep and Turkey draw? They are both on the same points and both scored two and conceded three. I have found a tie breaker rules for the competition and think that it may go down to coefficients where Czech Rep would go through. Am i right that it would go down to point f )? TIE-BREAKER RULES : If two or more teams finish equal on points after all the group matches have been played, the following criteria will be applied to determine the ranking : (a) Greater number of points obtained in the matches between the teams in question. (b) Goal difference resulting from the matches between the teams in question (if more than two teams finish equal). © Greater number of goals scored in the matches between the teams in question (if more than two teams finish equal). (d) Goal difference in all the group matches. (e) Greater number of goals scored in all the group matches. (f) Coefficient of points from the last two qualifying competitions for the final rounds of the 2006 World Cup and Euro 2008 (points gained and divided by the number of matches played). (g) Fair Play conduct of the teams (final tournament). (h) A drawing of lots by the Organising Committee. There is no need to apply criteria (g) & (h) at this year’s championship because the only teams with equal coefficient under criteria (f) are teams of Romania & Germany (ranked 5.), Greece & Poland (ranked 10.) and then Russia & Turkey (ranked 13.) - teams that were drawn into different groups anyway.
That was what I'd known but Turkish tvs seems to be confident about it would go to penalties in case of draw...(Turkish player Mehmet Topal was just saying the same thing on Tv two minutes ago) Trying to get the details...:hope
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Re: Group A

Yeah sorry forgot to put the coefficient list to show that Czech Rep are above Turkey. As soon as the game was over i went checking because i have the straight forecast with Czech Rep to come second behind Portugal. :hope
You and me both mate- except mine is in a treble with: 1st Ger 2nd Cro; 1st Spa 2nd Swe; £8.50 @ 69-1 so its very, very, very, very important to me that the Czechs go through lol! :hope For what its worth, the co-efficients: Turkey: 3.91 Czechs: 5
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Re: Group A

That was what I'd known but Turkish tvs seems to be confident about it would go to penalties in case of draw...(Turkish player Mehmet Topal was just saying the same thing on Tv two minutes ago) Trying to get the details...:hope
Ive never heard of anything ever going to penalties in a group game! Its always decided off the pitch, even if it comes down to naff things like fair play. Those rules explain it clearly so either those rules are not from UEFA or someones having a laugh and winding the Turks up.
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Re: Group A

Ive never heard of anything ever going to penalties in a group game! Its always decided off the pitch, even if it comes down to naff things like fair play. Those rules explain it clearly so either those rules are not from UEFA or someones having a laugh and winding the Turks up.
It definitely wont go to penalties after the group game if it is a joke. Someone is having a laugh with the Turkish public if that is what was said. :loon
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