WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008

[mileni4uk]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008

Tom Segal reckons there was 10/1 on this one last night' date=' well i posted at 11 and the best I could find was 15/2, he is having a laugh.[/quote'] It was and it was at 3 bookies. Around 8-9, mate! At 11 it was already heavily backed.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 2.00 Albertas Run 7/4 var 30 pts Impressive at chelt. ok it appeared a poor RSAC but this one still routed them and was value for more than the winning margin, that followed a win at Asc having been progressive the year before over hurdles including here. He jumps better now, he was awful when being thumped by Tidal Bay and the trainer is hinting at better form now. He has to give weight to some of these but I cant see those behind overturning RSAC myself, Big Bucks maybe better at this trip but still I think has it to find with this one, cebrus Libani would be my e.w pick of the others especially on its Modicum/Benetwood win although it has stamina doubts. 2.35 The Tother One 5/1 15 pts e.w I like Tazbar, its form has worked very well and it has the probable benefit of not going to chelt. but this one is one who has countless impressive runs and wins this season and if the season and its run lto have not taken its toll, some if on last run evidence, then it should go close and hopefully being an e.w steal. progressed through handicaps despite ever increasing mark with a run of late hold up wins. That was not the case at chelt in the ever increasing dreaded 3m for novice hurdlers, it travelled so well there it took Thomas to the front and with a combination of probably tiredness to it appear to be drunk in throwing away its chance, Ruby on board today, that says something and he can hopefully pounce late. 3.45 Irish Raptor 18/1 e.w 5 places 7.5 pts e.w Experience of these fences having got round twice with fair effort in race last year and in Beechers, was considered for GN. He has a lower mark now than creditible run in this last year and thats despite odd run this season which has been good, ie. Chelt. win when showed it can stay as well, the type who will be up there and capable of a good account of himself. Bothar Na 20/1 e.w 5 places Fancied by some for GN last year following good runs in the year including national win in Kerry following up from Foxhunters effort so does not lack fences experience which is a help, run loads of times around the summer over hurdles and fences and not always with success although has hinted at odd run in variety of races, has had a break and put up some decent efforts fresh, has course experience and on form of last season might not be terribly handicapped. Youre Special 33/1 e.w 5 places Interesting Murphy runner who normally thrives in big handicaps at this time of year, this one was big winner at Chelt a few years back over slightly further and is only 7 pounds higher than that victory over mon mone, has had problems and little shown in comeback run lto but Murphy is shrewd with these types, his reaction to this one missing the GN was on of a trainer who knows his horse has another big race in him. 4.20 Captain Cee Bee 30 pts Very impressive in Supreme having looked a smart prospect in runs and wins before that. Supreme form boosted yesterday by the really impressiev Binocular who looks a real CH contender imo next year and this one could be too. Didnt really travel great at Chelt but still travelled well enough when it mattered and battled strongly past Binocular in decent times, miles quicker than CH (did the wind really pick up that much for the CH?). Should be slightly better ground here that should suit and capable of giving weight. Nicholls horse respected on Kem run beind Binocular but Binocular appeared a better horse since then imo so form whilst would give it a real chance should not be applied literally perhaps. 4.55 Mister Top Notch 12.5 pts e.w Highly weighted but has earned that, string of good runs including nice hurdle win lto, he was a Grade 1 winner last year, beat Kings John Castle this and ran well in Ire Hennessy behind The Listener, Turko etc, so has shown he can mix it with good horses, Gerraghty booked which is ever increasingly significant and behind Mossbank, the second best chaser in Ire imo Boychuk 10 pts e.w Some shrewd judges reckoned this one was a GN outsider, the way it jumps you would not want to completely pin youre hopes on it but it has good runs at times and runs that suggest it might not be too badly handicapped, for example beat Gungadu last year, just behind Turko, even this year the odd creditable run lto stayed on in real Slim Pickings style which really had GN all over it imo before being removed, so inceased trip I think will help and if he gets in a jumping rytmm then could surprise.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Captain cee bee 2.46 betf Mister top notch 11/2 var boychuk 11/1 wh

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 7873.3 pts Returned 7616.81pts P/L -256.49 Strike rate 32.10% (165/514) Ain 1.45 Song of Songs 4/1 12.5 pts e.w 5 places pp Respected on bits of its hurdle form especially form with Osana when second last year, trainer does well with NH runners and for me lto at Chelt over further didnt get home when travelling like the winner, drop back in trip should suit and every chance of being in the 5. 2.15 Tidal Bay 6/4 bet3 25 pts bog. I know there are question marks after so many Chelt. horses have not done it here, notably many of the winners but this is a price I dint think I would get, odds on I anticipated, really impressive in Arkle, jumped well and that was the huge question mark along maybe with the trip as in time it wants further (GC?) however it has shown it does still have pace and if it jumps as well as it can do then it should win for me, remember connections looked at the Melling, bet they wished they would have gone for it now. 2.50 Osana 5/2 var bog 25 pts Really improved from a promising novice last year, three good runs, two in defeat and one in victory all at Chelt. but think it can handle track, ran well enough here last year wehn second, increased trip I dont think will be a huge problem as he was really coming back in the CH in testing conditions, indicating he would not even mind a touch further in time, younger and more progressive than course and race specialist Al Eile. My Way de Solzen 11/2 10 pts e.w I would kick myself if it won so backing it here, former WH winner but last two times has not got home for me, at Font when there was a speed duel (Elusive Dream the real form of that race has worked) and also lto in WH when travelling well before not quite seeing it out, despite being a former winner at the trip that day, today drop back in trip might just help its natural cruising speed and has real claims on old form, genuine class, King can bring them back. 3.25 I will kick myself if Buena Vista wins but Dont Push It 13/2 12.5 pts e.w 5 places Forest penannt 13/2 e.w 5 places. Dont Push It on a mission after falling when mainly beat lto, that was over fences so hurdles being used to get some confidence as it was to good effect earlier this season when it beat decent field at chep over a touch shorter, trip today no real problem as has looked a stayer in the past and still a very talented horse, not many get as close to Denman over fences or travel like this one was in the Arkle whe falling. forrest pennant is a horse of a real promising future, it took a couple of runs to get going but it seems to have now and run lto in good race at San off a big weight, Nicholls' have been going very well this week in this price bracket. 4.15 Already advised and for once they are good ones, Comply Or Die @ 150/1 5 pts and 20/1 to place 5 pts, Simon @ 18/1 12 pts e.w and Bewleys Berry @ 16/1 12 pts e.w bog 5 places. Comply or Die I anticipated was well in on its old, RSAC and Hennessy form, good GN clues in the past and has bounced back to form now since the blinkers have worked and they have twice so thats important imo when second to Cloudy Lane, gets weight pull now and after really good well in Eider when winning off top weight proving immense stamina it has, 11 pounds well in oficially ok its not 20 (formlines indicate it could be) it has a huge e.w chance at the very least. Simon was running so well in this last year, cruising before a late fall, that was after a progressive campaign characterised by softer ground, however the GN last year showed good ground is no problem, it ran on really well at Chelt. early this season and LTO at Kem. when it shaped a real stayer, it has a fair bit of weight but it could still be not badly handicapped, as I said earlier, I think it would have beaten Our Vic like Knowhere did at Chelt by outstaying it if it had not fallen when going well, it would have been top weight then. Bewleys Berry with Simon are the two from last year to take out of it, Bewleys Berry a bold prominent racer was going well last year before in West Tip style fell at Beechers second time round, he ran well again in Beechers, Mr Pointment who beat it then now has questions to answer after lto, it loves the fences and can give a real good run for your money. 5.00 Unowatimeen 14/1 var bog 10 pts e.w McCain runner and he has been in good form for most of the year as advised by many, notably Cloudy lane, it won a couple of races last season but its win at the start of the season was reasonbly impressive, as was its Barbers Shop win last year, it has a poor run after that to bounce back but still could well be capable for in form trainer. 5.35 Captain oscar 10/1 var bog 10 pts e.w Difficult race to assess so connections, impressions are ever important and this ones second at Newb I think was very impressive in between some very good prospects but mainly a long way clear of the rest having been just a bit behind Mad Max a subsequent winner and a possible big chaser in the making. That form reads well and seems laid out for this.

[mileni4uk]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008

4.15 Already advised and for once they are good ones' date=' [b']Comply Or Die @ 150/1 5 pts and 20/1 to place 5 pts

Start to purchase the drinks for tonight :ok

[BillyHills]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Well done Woody, chuffed for you mate!

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Thanks very much. This is a huge day after the magic of Comply or Die's win: Staked 8111.3 pts Returned 8725.8725pts P/L + 614.5725 Strike rate 32.19% (169/525)

[bowles10]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 well done on the ante post winner Woody, fantastic price :ok

[Tedthewolf]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 :clap:clap Woody

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Asc 2.20 Busker Royal 12 betf 7.5 pts 4 to place 7.5 pts Probably in danger of putting too much emphasise on one run but the second to Elusive Dream here reads so well after that one won at Ain, he was beaten a fair way that say but still did well to be second on what was his hurdle debut having shown repectable form in bumpers, the then 140 rated Zilcash was behind this one on that Asc run and there is nothing near that quality in this field I would suggest. Disappointed a bit after that under quiet ride but Murphy eyecatching booking again and should have strong place chance at least. 3.30 Doubly Guest 6/1 spo 7.5 pts e.wPromising horse from Henderson who is in decent form at the moment when he normally tails off, beat Pierrot Lunaire first up over hurdles and even though the runner up has improved since then brilliantly into CH contender for 2009 that run still is very good, form of that run was reversed at Kem when this set up the pace for Binocular and the PN horse, in between was a fourth behind Whiteoak but won lto. Been mixing it with some very good horses and on pieces of her form she has to be very much respected off 121 and with claimer on. Zanir 10/1 var bog 7.5 pts e.w Has had a few more runs and a bit more exposed but amongst the runs some good pieces of form for example the third just ahead of the other one but behind Binocular and Pierrot Lunaire, to get just over 10 lengths behind those two is a really good run, things didnt go its way at Chelt. when it never could quite get into the race, AP on board for inform trainer.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8156.3 pts Returned 8725.8725pts P/L + 569.5725 Strike rate 32% (169/528) Chelt 2.20 Harry Tricker 7.5 pts e.w After being midfield in hot contest on debut, he produced a couple of fair placed efforts before a good plumpton win over a horse that ran well in the triumph and to a lesser degree, at aintree. Lto was disappointing in fred winter and that is of a concern but this years fred winter was a testing and bruising race and it just tailed off too badly to be true. Its off a pound lower mark today and whilst there has to be some doubt after last run, it has had a fair break now and quite clearly its win is good form now and place chances at least if back to more like its earlier form. 2.55 Irish Raptor 7.5 pts e.w Very game and normally front runner who has put up some fine efforts in his career and despite tough season, if it has not had enough for the year then can run well again. Won here earlier this season so capable of this trip and probably needs having just failed to get back up at aintree in topham over shorter at speedier track. He has risen after that run and the combination of that rise and tough season may have its toll but with trainer having done so well this season and on the back of such a good run, he should still be very capable of another solid run. 3.30 Liberate 7.5 pts e.w Quite well thought of last season and when it got its better ground in the triumph ran well, staying on to be a well beaten second to katchit but ahead of a decent horses such as Punjabi (CH third.) Has ran poorly since then but possibly been in handicappers grip, runs off much lower mark today, trip I think is more ideal, certainly a horse staying on in the triumph normally needs more than 2m and that 4 year old form suddenly looks better now after Katchit/Punjabi's exploits (I doubted it for a long time.) Good ground looks preferable too. 4.05 Fundamentalist 7.5 pts e.w Again danger is that it has had so many runs and coming after a GN fall may have difficulties taking its toll but this season it has fulfilled a bit more of its promise when in its hurdle days it beat Inglis Drever at Chelt. and was a grade 2 winner over fences. Jumping better this season it has a couple of wins, a decent second to Jack the Giant giving weight and ran with credit here at fest. twice, once when not quite staying over 3m and then again at nearer to todays distance when it ran on to be third in a race where the well beaten horses behind the impressive veteran winner have run really well since. Was never going to stay in GN before it fell at third but at todays trip capable, Boychuk is the e.w danger as I think its well handicapped if it can put a good jumping round together.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Harry Tricker 8/1 var Irish raptor 5/1 var bog Fundamentalist 12/1 spo.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8201.3 pts Returned 8725.8725pts P/L + 524.5725 Strike rate 31.83% (169/531) Chelt 2.20 Imsingingtheblues 15 pts Biggest danger could be from henderson horse as Pigeon Island for while it is a good horse surely has had too many runs this season by now (does it want to get to 100?) and has a nasty looking fall to overcome and Group Captain disappointed for me on its last two runs as it looked as though from a combination of solid flat form and a good start to hurdle career as though it was going to be a bit better. This one had little go right in county lto, when from a fair way back it smacked the last hurdle when it may have stayed on for a place, no better I think. Before that it was trounced by Pigeon Island when may have needed the run and as i said, PI may have it to do to rediscover form at this stage of season, but it did have some nice pieces of form, beat Snap tie (good supreme third) and county zen are two examples and given decent pace by two likely pacesetters I could see, it could pick up late to go close. 2.55 Gold Medallist 7.5 pts e.w Nice on flat, group 2 winner, looked quite nice as a hurdler too, 145 rated, so far over fences 133 rated so ability to improve in comparison to hurdle mark which possibly make it adequately handicapped if it will be as good over fences and has one win over fences but its second here over CD is what possibly make it of interest, it was second only five lengths behind Tidal Bay and that one has gone onto great things at Chelt. and Aint. so that run reads very well. Was beaten @ 2/9 when completely messed up the last and possibly didnt stay and on that has it to find with sherwood runner but that was a below par effort seemingly (bounce factor on second start after a huge gap between runs could explain it?) Lto in Jewson could not quite dominate good field but in this lesser task it could well do so, if it wants to, they may let it be slightly less aggressive today.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Imsingingtheblues 3/1 betfr Gold Medallist 5/1 betfr.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8231.3 pts Returned 8725.8725pts P/L + 494.5725 Strike rate 31.7% (169/533) Ayr 2.20 Big Fella Thanks 7/2 betfr 15 pts Nicholls findlay combo and a horse the owner clearly has high hopes for. A former pointer so fences should be this ones game in the future but for the meantime it has what could be a fair mark of 130 over hurdles following two easy wins when fav. both times, they may not be brilliant races but he won both well and was value for more than the official distance of victory, trainer still finding the winners. 4.00 Dear Villez 10/3 betfr 15 pts Pretty good race. Nicholls sends up Dear Villez and clearly it is a horse he thinks a fair bit of. That was shown when he was second fav in Jewson and Ruby chose it ahead of many other options including what is now a group 2 winner. That say it was hampered and Ruby had no chance to stay on so no formline there but before that had put up two very comfortably wins, with cut in the ground so that is no problem and on the back of that has a mark of 138 which is fair enough and being only 6 and quite inexperienced and only 6 he can build on that and go close today. 4.35 Theatre Belle 11/4 betfr 15 pts This one impressed last week with a good win in what looked a fairly decent contest at Sedg., the likes of Riguez Dancer and Whispering death put to the sword and did it cosily and travelled in a style which suggested a step back in trip would not be a huge problem. It also has winning form on a variety of surfaces this year so ground shouldnt be a problem and after he is well in after his recent win and can defy the penalty. Chelt 5.00 Magic Sky 11/2 spo 7.5 pts e.w Ran some solid races this year without quite managing to win but as its mark gradually starts to drop he becomes more and more attractive and after all he has come quite close, at asc earlier in the year for example and even the efforts in good races in the last two runs read well, the last one when it was fifth has been boosted since, that was a better class than this and as long as second time blinkers and effects of hard season are not too negative then should go close. 6.45 Buena Vista 9/1 betfr 7.5 pts e.w Put up Liberate the other day before it was a non runner but not going to today as whilst it needs a trip imo, 3m here might just be pushing it at this stage so going for this one. Had form over shorter over fences and hurdles, Supreme placed ahead of Sublimity, form this year has not been great but the second run which reads well with the Nicholls runner is encouraging as it proved under patient ride it could get the trip, then it faded when trying to make all at ain. but with first time blinkers to sharpen him up, smaller field I think it can dominate or under Murphy and a quiet ride creep into the race and go close. 7.20 Not Left Yet 13/2 betfr 7.5 pts e.w Top of the handicap but possibly reasonably well handicapped still, certainly over what this quite lightly raced horse has achieved at times it orders respect and looks a horse who a mark of 129 seems quite reasonable for. Over hurdles won a couple of races including at the track and chase form whilst quite limited, only one win make it quite unexposed imo. Last two runs has been a bit unlucky, slipped up and fell in marathon races and even at chelt. festival last year it was unlucky when it fell when travelling very well in the 4m race that worked out well. Looks a stayer so I dont imagine problems there and can go well, place chances at least.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8321.3 pts Returned 8769.935pts P/L + 448.635 Strike rate 31.72% (169/539) Ayr 3.00 Pearl King 9/2 var 7.5 pts e.w French Saulaie 14/1 betfr 7.5 pts e.w. Taking both the Hobbs pair. Pearl King has the recent form having won after a huge lay off at aint and did it in taking style, handicapper has tried to end his chances but even with a hefty rise it may still not be enough and with so many out of the handicap proper unlike this one it bodes well. French Saulaie is another one in the handicap which is a real help and on its last two placed efforts back over hurdles after a chase career didnt really work out, he seems to thirve in this types of races and has good place claims at least. 3.40 Old Benny 6/1 7.5 pts e.w Noir Et Vert 8/1 bet3 bog 7.5 pts e.w 5 places Philson Run 25/1 var 5 pts e.w 5 places. Really interesting race, Halcon genelardais is a classy horse especially in this environment and deserves to put all but 3 of them out of the handicap, Miko de beauchene gains obvious respect in these marathon chases but 3 out of the handicap who stan dout for me are the three I have outlined. Old Benny I put up lto at chelt. where it thrived over the marathon trip, it is very interesting I think that King has put in this race despite Halcon so possibly there is a strong indication he is covering his options with this one whos only just out of the handicap and of course is an improving horse, unlike some others. Noir et Vert has gained lots of support and its understandable given its connections who do so well in handicaps generally but especially over marathon trips and in this race and with claimers on, there is a strong hint that this has been the plan for a long time, run lto he plugged on and surely will appreciate extra distance and the drying ground and claimer takes off some of wrong weight. Philson run is very much wrong but from an e.w take he definitely has the ability and the history to place at least in these marathon races. Seen by some as a mud lover but he chaged that view with his run in GN last year when a good fourth, place claims. 4.50 Andreas 4.9 betf 15 pts Difficult runner to assess, talented but not quite graded class at the very top yet he can struggle at the top of these handicaps. Also does have the problem of often fading in a race but round here I dont see that as a big problem as other tracks, lto never got in the race after the furious pace and stan has gone in since and is the warm order but with lesser runners in the field it maybe harder to dominate and andreas who perhaps significantly has chosen this ahead of other options will be lurking.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8406.3 pts Returned 8858.685pts P/L + 452.385 Strike rate 31.55% (1722/545) Left out the 3.05 as not too sure about how good Fiveforthree will be at grade 1 level at this trip. Puch 3.40 Twist Magic 11/4 var 15 pts Clearly something went wrong here because after its Tingle Creek emphatic thrashing of VPU it looked a QMCC winner. Even before that it was extremely promising as a novice with a good win at ain (Fair Along well behind) and possibly unlucky in arkle when travelling very well. Blew up at asc having travelled quite well in what was attributed to be a defeat due to the ground, in the qmcc never went a yard so to back it here after a few poor runs requires a bit of faith but im not convinced by some of the rivals (fair along needs a trip, arguably too does schindlers hunt, mansony out of form) and I guess you have to trust nicholls' judgement that it is back to some kind of form on ground which although not its fav. lightening quick shouldnt be a huge problem. 4.15 Mister Hight 25/1 var bog 5 places 5 pts e.w Tough ask at the top of such a hugely competitive handicap and after a huge lay off presumably has had problems but has a useful claimer on and last year had some very decent form in top handicaps in this country and ire., despite lofty brit mark compared to ire one, has a bit of class too, group placed on flat, group 2 winner over hurdles so at a price may have place claims. 4.50 Finger on the Pulse 5/1 wh 7.5 pts e.w Backed this in the Jewson and was a good winner, it idled in front which made the winning margin less than probably what it was worth but travelled well and led from a couple out to see out his challengers well and in the style of a horse who can take the step up in class and probably the added trip, indeed has bits of group form already with a couple of fairly good seconds inclusing one behind the excellent glencove marina.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8446.3 pts Returned 8951.185pts P/L + 504.885 Strike rate 31.75% (174/548) Puch Thur 4.50 Aitmatov 12/1 var 7.5 pts e.w Mileni alerted me to this one having also got some of the nice double figure price. There is a chance it could go for fri. 2m race but it appears from support and 48 dec that it will go for the 3m race. If Blazing Bailey remains in the race that will be hard to beat and will have a bit on that on the day but Aitmatov looks to have good e.w claims at least. Early on in the season it was most impressive and progressive at various trips, then it lost its way in the aig and despite a decent second after that and a respectable sixth in WH it could not quite recover early season form and that could well be linked to the form of meade. Meade was going through a shocking time especially around aig time (closed down after this performance.) However now he is absolutely flying and having winners all over the place. 3m is a bit of an unknown and he didnt quite see it out fully at chelt. but at the same time 2m is probably a bit too sharp and of the two options this one is more preferable. Opposition not as strong apart from BB, Kazal would struggle if too quick, promisng novices such as Cooldine and Venalmar have to do it in better company and may struggle after such a tough season. Aitmatov even with a slight trip doubt has solid e.w claims imo and if it goes for race, price surely will drop? Wed 3.05 Temlett 7.5 pts e.w Followed this horse a bit and a little bit disappointed in truth. Following a good win on the flat in the ulster derby on good ground, high hopes expected over hurdles and a bar one impressive making all win a tad disappointing, ran with some credit and a few group 2s, even at a stretch the TH when well beaten ahead of market rival though. However the ground maybe might just be the key, can go on softer as showed on only hurdle win but generally good ground is prefered as shown on flat with ulster derby win, ground today at the minute is good although showers may change that. If it is good I really fancy its chances, softer less confident but giving it another go either way especially with mullins/walsh. 4.15 Neptune Collonges 15 pts Won this race last year in good style and can do so again having improved since last year. That was shown with third in gold cup, ran a blinder that day and whilst some perhaps slightly harsh critics say its presence to KS and D, knocks the form a touch I would rather give the improving grey the credit, before that won well giving loads of weight in handicap going right handed, first run at chelt this season was probably needed and blighted by big mistake. Arguably goes better right handed and Puch. track suits, goes on good as shown last year in the race and with a bit of cut too. Mossbank is respected and the main danger, originally I thought it was flattered to be so close to Denman in slow slow race but showed its ability behind Our Vic when given too much to do imo. 4.50 One Cool Cookie 7.5 pts e.w Top of the handicap but running two pounds lower than mark lto and more importantly running at more suitable 2 and a half miles trip. Lto at 2m it just kept on at one pace and looking at its form its best runs have been at this trip when being prominent, grade 1 win over Schindlers Hunt (at that horses ideal trip imo) reads well, has other bits of graded form, which the improving odeipe who looks one of the biggest dangers doesnt have yet and yet only four pounds lower. Goes on good ground well although a little bit of cut no real issue, place claims at least. 5.25 Corskeagh Royale 15 pts Cousin Vinny may have won the chelt. bumper and possibly good value for that as it won despite being very green. However this one in second was eye catching. From a fairway back it made good late progress into second but left with just a bit too much too do, two previous wins before that, trainer flying and seems to target the race, every chance of reversing the form.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Temlett 15/2 spor Neptune Collonges 5/4 var bog One Cool Cookie 14/1 var Corskeagh Royale 4/1 pp 7.5 pts e.w 4 places

[mileni4uk]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008

Thur 4.50 Aitmatov 12/1 var 7.5 pts e.w Mileni alerted me to this one having also got some of the nice double figure price. There is a chance it could go for fri. 2m race but it appears from support and 48 dec that it will go for the 3m race. If Blazing Bailey remains in the race that will be hard to beat and will have a bit on that on the day but Aitmatov looks to have good e.w claims at least. Early on in the season it was most impressive and progressive at various trips' date= then it lost its way in the aig and despite a decent second after that and a respectable sixth in WH it could not quite recover early season form and that could well be linked to the form of meade. Meade was going through a shocking time especially around aig time (closed down after this performance.) However now he is absolutely flying and having winners all over the place. 3m is a bit of an unknown and he didnt quite see it out fully at chelt. but at the same time 2m is probably a bit too sharp and of the two options this one is more preferable. Opposition not as strong apart from BB, Kazal would struggle if too quick, promisng novices such as Cooldine and Venalmar have to do it in better company and may struggle after such a tough season. Aitmatov even with a slight trip doubt has solid e.w claims imo and if it goes for race, price surely will drop?

Backed from 12/1 to 10/1 and as big as 9/1 and 8/1 now. Surely going for this race, mate. And with the form of the yard I am with big hopes for tomorrow :hope Tasty 14/1 for me :ok

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Punch 2.30 Kalahari King 4/1 pp 4 places 7.5 pts e.w Murphy likes his festival winners and as long as exertions of sats race arent too much and that is a possible concern, then every chance at a new distance which imo encourages. First time over hurdles was tried at this trip and didnt quite get it but since then often just looked a touch one paced for 2m, with some strong efforts such as on sat, chelt, behind rippling ring but never really had a finishing kick which is possibly expected being a 1m 7f flat horse. 3.05 A New Story 8/1 spo 7.5 pts e.w A great spectacle this race and taking a chance to break up the Bolger monopoly with A New Story. The veteran possibly could do with a touch more cut but it has put up lots of consistent placed efforts, not always wins but a series of places in races like the cross country race at chelt when a fair way back at one point and the ign, stays all day long and if in contention towards the finish then every chance. 3.40 Perce Rock 7/2 pp 15 pts Race often throws up future stars and tough race to call I thought, even Maralan the complete outsider shouldnt be completely overlooked, however Perce Rock just gets the call. It was impressive first time up over fences, having been a good bumper horse and hurdler, lost its way with two falls (second it was beaten when fell over a trip too far) but put up two nice wins since, looks ideal trip today (for others it doesnt as some are crying out for further) and goes on variety of grounds. 4.15 Dev 13/2 var 7.5 pts e.w Impressed with this one at ain, came second but considering he set a blistering pace that saw many be unable to catch him or those with the pace fall away late, he did very well to be second and closing at the end, could need further possibly in time on that evidence but either way it was a good run, continuing upward curve after good win at san (goes right handed too), handicapper may not have dealt with thim yet. 4.50 Aitmatov 12/1 7.5 pts e.w already advised, Blazing Bailey 4/1 7.5 pts e.w Frequently put this one up and put up a good performance lto when winning at aint. Blinkers worked well that day, so slight question mark if they can work second time, will this be one run too mnay and also as to what it will be like right handed as it rarely runs that way. However has a clear chance on solid form, mixed it with the nest, chelt. run behind kazal was a bit below its best imo and it lacked Thornton in the sadle more than I thought at the time, on drying ground form can be overturned with Kazal and many others have question marks stepping out of novice compant after a hard season and trip concerns. Perth 2.10 Lazy Darren evens sj bog 15 pts Owned by Woodgate I believe and has connection to the punters lounge with his newcastle win and followed that run up lto with a really decent third at aintr. in a top race, beaten a long way by the impressive winner but still to come third in a grade 1 sets the standard, can handle a bit of cut too although probably better on quicker. 3.20 Tazbar 11/10 bet3 bog 15 pts Three top prospects (this one, Lodge Lane and Viking Rebel.) Of the three I believe this one has the best form imo with its Whiteoak thrashing especially, blotted his copybook after that and that is a big concern as he showed signs then when a hot fav that he maybe over the top for the season. However will find the ground ok and the trainer in a bit better form than he was at aint, Lodge Lane is very talented but I would rather be with Tazbar in a finish and Viking Rebel's trainer is not in flying form. 3.55 Blue Splash 6/1 sj bog 7.5 pts e.w Dropping down the handicap quite alarmingly and getting to the stage where it is looking quite well treated, certainly lto when he fell at chelt. he was going quite well, on old form he is much respected such as wins last season when liking soft ground, even fourth at warw. this season, often jumps right so going right handed may well suit, stays well and trainer form possibly improving at last (could explain the lack of form of this one in second half of season.)

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8641.3 pts Returned 9188.935pts P/L + 547.635 Strike rate 32.26% (181/561) Chep 5.20 Crescent Island 13/8 var bog Nearly put this up last week e.w when a big price and was second in a good chelt. event. He looked a nice prospect when a 33/1 winner earlier in the season and is quite a strong traveller in his races, which he did again last week, he has a stack of placed efforts now after his early win and mainly they have been decent runs which set a fair standard, the trainer has had a great season and continues to and looks the one to beat. Leaving out the big one today. Punch 3.45 Scotsirish 10/1 pp 7.5 pts e.w 5 places The key here is the increased trip imo, 2m has just found it slightly one paced at times and Mullins has mentioned before that an increased trip has been on the cards for a while and here it is. Does it from top of the handicap but that was based on 2m form which in parts was quite good, grade 2 placed, win over Wins Now but also was blighted at times by sloppy jumps and the one pace factor Ive mentioned before. At the added trip there may be a tad more improvement left if not over the top for the season. Good ground I dont see as a major problem as its best hurdle performance was on good ground. 4.55 Fiveforthree 9/2 pp 7.5 pts e.w Ran on Tue and was a bit disappointing. Finished third but was well beaten and just didnt have the pace for 2m, tried to make it into a test but was just picked up by the impressive winner before plugging on into third having been one pace at the crucial time. I think the distance today is much more preferable as he showed at chelt. when he needed all of it to get home and I doubt quite the riding tactics of Tue will be repeated today. Danger is that the run takes too much out of him and that the trainer is just running him to win prize money and the trainers title but I will give it another chance to see if at this trip, it is in chelt. form where he was impressive for a horse so inexperienced. 5.30 Raise Your Heart 9/2 pp 7.5 pts e.w 4 places I remember putting this up lto when he was third despite awful tracking problems, closing late on the leaders and with a clear passage I think would have won. the form of that race has seen horses around him run with credit on future occasions. He is a very strong traveller which suits in the big field, question mark is to how well he will travel on the quicker ground. 6.30 Bantry Commons 11/4 bet3 bog 15 pts This one was heavily backed on debut and ran a very good race, finished second but made pretty eyecatching progress having travelled well enough but just been in a bad position and eventually when he got a run, he ran well. The form of that race has worked out quite well and produced a few winners and having declined other entries in looks like its been prepared for this.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8716.3 pts Returned 9368.9355pts P/L + 652.635 Strike rate 32.45% (185/570) Good day yesterday. Last day for the thread today. Punch Leaving out grade 1 today as although I feel Franchoek is vulnerable as it lacks natural speed, Im not sure what to take it on with. 3.45 Bothar Na 7.5 pts e.w Bounced back to form lto with good third in the topham over fences he loves, still off a possibly favourable mark of 133, considering it was rated higher in the past and lto showed that clearly retains much of that ability, trainer could not be in better form and strong e.w claims at least. 4.55 Jayo 7.5 pts e.w Sentry Duty 7.5 pts e.w Really good handicap race which would change further if Leg spinner got in, countless other horses who could have good chances but Jayo Ive put up a few times and ran with lots of credit in some top handicaps over 2m in Eng and Ire. and lto when put up in trip put up fine effort when having travlled well, picked up to win nicely, handicapper has raised accordingly but some of that is taking of by useful claimer who has had winners here this week, the form of that race has been boosted and trainer in top form. 5.30 Christy Beamish 15 pts In the foxhunters arena, this one has some of the better form going and bounced back from a chelt. fall to win at aintree despite a mistake, jumping can be sketchy at times but clearly talented, good young rider on board and selection over Angus A Vic who was disappointing at chelt. San 1.40 Pigeon Island 15 pts Fantastic horse, runs and runs and I thought it was finished after ain and chelt. disappointments but then bounces back to win lto at chelt in style, imsingingtheblues maybe a touch unluckly at the last but take nothing away from this one, clearly is a freak and with ground in its favour and trainer continuing form then why not win on about its 100th run of the season? 2.10 Tot O Whiskey 7.5 pts e.w Looked a nice bumper horse with a few wins and in handicap company looking more of a threat over hurdles. Run lto at ain, in a race that didnt suit principles wasnt too bad and time before that ran really well here when third in a decent handicap race that has been boosted in areas and place claims in toughish looking handicap, will kick myself if county zen won. 3.20 Iris De Balme 7.5 pts e.w 6/1 bet3 bog Bewleys Berry 11/1 7.5 pts e.w. Of those near the top, knowhere and monkerhostin who for me needs this trip now would make some appeal but knowhere has a couple of question marks (trip and jumping maybe and also hard season) and monkerhostin had a stinker at chelt. So Iris de Balme looks fascinating at the bottom, out of the handicap but that was no problem last week when it was awesome really considering how far out of the handicap it was, sprinted to the line in a marathon chase and clearly likes this ground. If on similar form and there is a question mark as to if it will be, then for me hard to beat. Goes right handed as well. Bewleys Berry for me didnt get home in the GN, two out it was going very well but faded a bit into fourth and whilst he is a stayer, he is not quite the extreme stayer of a GN distance it would appear. Still though that was a fine effort as was the Beecher run for the second year on the top, haydock run was at a time stable were struggling and giving an unusual ride possibly. Lacks a bit of right handed form of late but did run here in his youth and his attacking jumping style could take to the fences here. They may struggle to catch him.

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Bothar Na 7/1 var bog Jayo 11/1 bet3 bog 5 places (bigger but not with 5 places) Sentry Duty 14/1 bet3 bog 5 places Christy Beamish 11/4 var Pigeon Island 2/1 spor Tot O Whiskey 12/1 var bog

[WoodyTHFC]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Staked 8806.3 pts Returned 9397.0605pts P/L + 590.76 Yield + 6.7% Strike rate 32.29% (186/576) Thats the end of the season and the thread. Nearly went out with a bang yesterday having highlighted Monkerhostin but didnt back it. Still Im pleased with that, after a long season to end in profit is pretty satisfying. A few things leant like sometimes too many bets in a day and at times the stakes on some ante post bets were too big but overall a good season with some of the more notable winners at: 150, 25/1, 14/1 and 11/1 (4 times.)

[TheRat]

Re: WoodyTHFC Jumps 2007/2008 Well done mate :clap