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Laying Correct Scores


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Re: Laying Correct Scores Well done mate! It looks like its about time to expand the horizons. I found the following matches; Date League match score betbrain betfair 04 -11 France 1 Toulouse - Metz 1 - 0 7.00 7.11 04 -11 France 1 Caen - Le Mans 1 - 1 7.50 7.53 04 -11 Spain 1 Levante - Almeria 1 - 1 7.50 7.53 04 -11 Spain 1 Osasuna - Getafe 1 -1 8.00 7.95 04 -11 Spain 1 Barcelona - Real Betis 2 - 0 7.50 7.11 04 -11 Italy A Juventus - Inter Milan 1 - 1 7.00 7.11 This system wont leave me alone, so I was thinking…. I checked your german prices this morning but they were gone. Is there a certain time to get good prices you think? Would there be value in doing this in other markets for example HT/FT? Could thunderfoots "lay all" system work in the correct score market? Is the “high” price of the bookies enough value or would this be a losing proposition for them (to even the book), in other words wouldn’t it be better to compare prices with average prices (but then there probably wouldn’t be enough opportunities) Anyway the proof is in the pudding and this one tastes pretty good so far. keep up the good work :clap

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Re: Laying Correct Scores

This system wont leave me alone, so I was thinking…. I checked your german prices this morning but they were gone. Is there a certain time to get good prices you think?
I'm not sure to be honest mate. I always do them early in the morning and sometimes late the night before and it seems to be working out ok. I'm sure the prices would be different just before ko but these timescales suit me at the moment so I'll be sticking with them. :ok Also, with the strike rate being so high the price you lay at doesn't actually matter all that much ie not much difference between laying at 7.20 or 7.40 because at the moment only 1 in 10 are 'losing' (costing us a payout).
Would there be value in doing this in other markets for example HT/FT?
Not sure about the HTFT market. There's only 9 outcomes and some of the prices are monstrous! Which would probably only leave us with only 1/1, X/1, X/X, X/2 and 2/2.
Could thunderfoots "lay all" system work in the correct score market?
I don't think so cos IIRC that system was reliant on the shortest outcome winning whereas this one works on the shortest (or shorter) outcomes failing.
Is the “high” price of the bookies enough value or would this be a losing proposition for them (to even the book), in other words wouldn’t it be better to compare prices with average prices (but then there probably wouldn’t be enough opportunities) Anyway the proof is in the pudding and this one tastes pretty good so far.
You could compare to average prices if you like. The only difference would probably be the 'value' diff % I calculate but as we saw earlier in the thread this value is not really having a bearing on the results! :lol
Well done mate! keep up the good work :clap
Cheers mate. :cheers
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Re: Laying Correct Scores

So Blackburn draw 0-0 to give us 7/8 on the day and a small profit of 4.50pts - better than a loss! :loon Fixed Profit Bets Placed 105 Units Staked 7,536.00 Units Returned 7,790.50 Profit 254.50 Yield 3.38% Strike Rate 90.48% Average Odds 1.14 Average Stake 71.77
As a footnote to the above it's worth pointing out that whilst this system is showing good results at the moment, 250ish points is only 3 and a half stakes profit at average odds lay odds of 8.20 (which is what we have) so it would only take 3 results to hit on a weekend and we are back to square one. :\ Just thought I'd mention this in case you get carried away with it! :loon
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Re: Laying Correct Scores 9/9 total in Euroland today. :)

LeagueDateWagerScoreBetbrainBookieLay OddsDiff %Back OddsResultW/LLiabilityP/(L)Balance
Ger03-NovB Munich v Frankfurt2-111.00BlueSQ10.50-4.5%1.1050-0W95.009.509.50
Ger03-NovHamburg v H Berlin1-08.00Sportingbet8.405.0%1.1352-1W74.009.5019.00
Ger03-NovHannover v Dortmund1-17.50Canbet7.804.0%1.1472-1W68.009.5028.50
Ger03-NovLeverkusen v Bielefeld2-18.50Sportingbet9.005.9%1.1254-0W80.009.5038.00
Ger03-NovNurnberg v Stuttgart1-17.00Canbet7.202.9%1.1610-1W62.009.5047.50
Ger03-NovW Bremen v H Rostock2-19.00BlueSQ9.202.2%1.1221-0W82.009.5057.00
Spa03-NovMallorca v Valencia1-08.50Sportingbet9.005.9%1.1250-2W80.009.5066.50
Spa03-NovSevilla v Real Madrid1-17.00Canbet7.405.7%1.1562-0W64.009.5076.00
Ita03-NovAC Milan v Torino2-19.50Sportingbet9.00-5.3%1.1250-0W80.009.5085.50
Europe Bets Placed 9 Units Staked 685.00 Units Returned 770.50 Profit 85.50 Yield 12.48% Strike Rate 100.00% Average Odds 1.13 Average Stake 76.11
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Re: Laying Correct Scores Today's Italian matches:

LeagueDateWagerScoreBetbrainBookieLay OddsDiff %Back OddsResultW/LLiabilityP/(L)Balance
85.50
Ita04-NovCagliari v Sampdoria1-17.00Canbet7.000.0%1.167 60.000.0085.50
Ita04-NovCatania v Atalanta1-17.00Canbet7.000.0%1.167 60.000.0085.50
Ita04-NovEmpoli v Roma1-28.50BlueSQ8.40-1.2%1.135 74.000.0085.50
Ita04-NovGenoa v Palermo0-09.50Sportingbet9.803.2%1.114 88.000.0085.50
Ita04-NovLivorno v Udinese1-211.00Hills10.50-4.5%1.105 95.000.0085.50
Ita04-NovNapoli v Reggina1-07.00Centrebet7.202.9%1.161 62.000.0085.50
Ita04-NovParma v Siena1-17.00Canbet7.000.0%1.167 60.000.0085.50
Ita04-NovJuventus v Inter0-010.00Stan James11.0010.0%1.100 100.000.0085.50
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Re: Laying Correct Scores I found quite a few scores this morning and decided to put some money on them. The idea is that I start out with a bank of 100 points and stake 1%. So the stakes for today are €1. The prices are the prices I got at betfair this morning. league match score book betfair france 1 FC Toulouse - FC Metz 1=0 7.00 6.60 france 1 Stade Caen - Le Mans 1=1 7.5 7.2 spain 1 Levante - C.F. Almeria 1=1 7.5 7.2 spain 1 Osasuna - Getafe 1=1 8.00 7.4 spain 1 R Santander - Espanyol 1=1 7.5 7.4 spain 1 FC Barcelona - Betis 2=0 7.5 6.8 Italy A Juventus FC - Inter Milan 1=1 7.00 6.8 portugal 1 Académica - Estrela 0=0 8.50 8.2 portugal 1 Boavista FC - Vitoria 0=0 9.00 8.6 portugal 1 Sporting Lisabon - Naval 2=0 7.50 6.4 greek 1 Appolon - Asteras 1=1 7.5 7.2 greek 1 Atromitos - OFI Kreta 0=0 11.00 10.5 greek 1 AEK Athens - Iraklis FC 2=0 6.50 6.2 greek 1 Levadiakos - Panathinaikos 0=1 7.00 6.8 greek 1 AEL Larisa - Skoda Xanthi FC 0=0 9.00 8.2 turkey 1 Gençlerbirligi SK - Denizlispor 2=1 11.00 10.5 couple of questions; Hodgey, should I put this in a new thread? How do I get a table for my figures? All I need now is a lot of:hope:hope:hope

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Re: Laying Correct Scores Today's Spanish matches:

LeagueDateWagerScoreBetbrainBookieLay OddsDiff %Back OddsResultW/LLiabilityP/(L)Balance
85.50
Spa04-NovAtl Madrid v Villarreal2-110.00Centrebet10.505.0%1.105 95.000.0085.50
Spa04-NovLevante v Almeria1-17.00Canbet7.000.0%1.167 60.000.0085.50
Spa04-NovMurcia v Deportivo0-09.50Hills9.601.1%1.116 86.000.0085.50
Spa04-NovOsasuna v Getafe2-110.00Centrebet10.000.0%1.111 90.000.0085.50
Spa04-NovSantander v Espanyol1-17.00Canbet7.202.9%1.161 62.000.0085.50
Spa04-NovZaragoza v Valladolid2-18.50Sportingbet9.005.9%1.125 80.000.0085.50
Spa04-NovBarcelona v Betis3-09.00Stan James8.80-2.2%1.128 78.000.0085.50
Spa04-NovAth Bilbao v Rec de Huelva0-09.50Hills9.601.1%1.116 86.000.0085.50
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Re: Laying Correct Scores

I found quite a few scores this morning and decided to put some money on them. The idea is that I start out with a bank of 100 points and stake 1%. So the stakes for today are €1. The prices are the prices I got at betfair this morning. league match score book betfair france 1 FC Toulouse - FC Metz 1=0 7.00 6.60 france 1 Stade Caen - Le Mans 1=1 7.5 7.2 spain 1 Levante - C.F. Almeria 1=1 7.5 7.2 spain 1 Osasuna - Getafe 1=1 8.00 7.4 spain 1 R Santander - Espanyol 1=1 7.5 7.4 spain 1 FC Barcelona - Betis 2=0 7.5 6.8 Italy A Juventus FC - Inter Milan 1=1 7.00 6.8 portugal 1 Académica - Estrela 0=0 8.50 8.2 portugal 1 Boavista FC - Vitoria 0=0 9.00 8.6 portugal 1 Sporting Lisabon - Naval 2=0 7.50 6.4 greek 1 Appolon - Asteras 1=1 7.5 7.2 greek 1 Atromitos - OFI Kreta 0=0 11.00 10.5 greek 1 AEK Athens - Iraklis FC 2=0 6.50 6.2 greek 1 Levadiakos - Panathinaikos 0=1 7.00 6.8 greek 1 AEL Larisa - Skoda Xanthi FC 0=0 9.00 8.2 turkey 1 Gençlerbirligi SK - Denizlispor 2=1 11.00 10.5 couple of questions; Hodgey, should I put this in a new thread? How do I get a table for my figures? All I need now is a lot of:hope:hope:hope
Good luck with those mate. Am I correct in thinking the first price is the bookie price and the second one Betfair? If so I see you have only gone for the ones where you can better prices? Sounds perfect in theory, but as we saw earlier only a fraction of the profit has come from those games in my selections. Still, time will tell and I wish you good luck. :ok Re a new thread - it's up to you mate. If you'd rather start a new one solely for your picks let me know and I'll move your post into a new thread for you or alternatively I'm quite happy for you to hijack my one! ;) :lol Re table for your figures - you should be able to stick your picks into Excel or similar and come up with something. If you're still struggling, give us a shout and I'll try and attach a template for you. :ok
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Re: Laying Correct Scores The West Ham game finished 1-1 so another winner and more importantly 14pts profit on the weekends fixtures. :) There must be another game tomorrow though as only 9 this weekend... :unsure Fixed Profit Summary Bets Placed 106 Units Staked 7,624.00 Units Returned 7,888.00 Profit 264.00 Yield 3.46% Strike Rate 90.57% Average Odds 1.14 Average Stake 71.92

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Re: Laying Correct Scores Well done hodgey :clapYour weekend went a lot better than mine:sad But then when you start a system like this you are supposed to lose on the first day:lol 4-nov FC Toulouse - FC Metz 1=0 7.00 6.60 0,95 4-nov Stade Caen - Le Mans 1=1 7.5 7.2 0,95 4-nov Levante - C.F. Almeria 1=1 7.5 7.2 0,95 4-nov Osasuna - Getafe 1=1 8.00 7.4 0,95 4-nov R Santander - Espanyol 1=1 7.5 7.4 -6,4 4-nov FC Barcelona - Betis 2=0 7.5 6.8 0,95 4-nov Juventus FC - Inter Milan 1=1 7.00 6.8 -5,8 4-nov Académica - Estrela 0=0 8.50 8.2 0,95 4-nov Boavista FC - Vitoria Setúbal 0=0 9.00 8.6 0,95 4-nov Sporting Lisa - Naval 1º de Maio 2=0 7.50 6.4 0,95 4-nov Appolon maria - Asteras Tripolis 1=1 7.5 7.2 0,95 4-nov Atromitos - OFI Kreta 0=0 11.00 10.5 0,95 4-nov AEK Athens - Iraklis FC 2=0 6.50 6.2 0,95 4-nov Levadiakos - Panathinaikos 0=1 7.00 6.8 0,95 4-nov AEL Larisa - Skoda Xanthi FC 0=0 9.00 8.2 -7,2 4-nov Gençlerbirligi SK - Denizlispor 2=1 11.00 10.5 0,95 Bets Placed 16 bets won 13 starting bank 100 bank now 92,95 Yield -7.05% Strike Rate 81% Can anybody explain me how I get my excel data in a nice table to post here?

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Re: Laying Correct Scores

Well done hodgey :clapYour weekend went a lot better than mine:sad But then when you start a system like this you are supposed to lose on the first day:lol 4-nov FC Toulouse - FC Metz 1=0 7.00 6.60 0,95 4-nov Stade Caen - Le Mans 1=1 7.5 7.2 0,95 4-nov Levante - C.F. Almeria 1=1 7.5 7.2 0,95 4-nov Osasuna - Getafe 1=1 8.00 7.4 0,95 4-nov R Santander - Espanyol 1=1 7.5 7.4 -6,4 4-nov FC Barcelona - Betis 2=0 7.5 6.8 0,95 4-nov Juventus FC - Inter Milan 1=1 7.00 6.8 -5,8 4-nov Académica - Estrela 0=0 8.50 8.2 0,95 4-nov Boavista FC - Vitoria Setúbal 0=0 9.00 8.6 0,95 4-nov Sporting Lisa - Naval 1º de Maio 2=0 7.50 6.4 0,95 4-nov Appolon maria - Asteras Tripolis 1=1 7.5 7.2 0,95 4-nov Atromitos - OFI Kreta 0=0 11.00 10.5 0,95 4-nov AEK Athens - Iraklis FC 2=0 6.50 6.2 0,95 4-nov Levadiakos - Panathinaikos 0=1 7.00 6.8 0,95 4-nov AEL Larisa - Skoda Xanthi FC 0=0 9.00 8.2 -7,2 4-nov Gençlerbirligi SK - Denizlispor 2=1 11.00 10.5 0,95 Bets Placed 16 bets won 13 starting bank 100 bank now 92,95 Yield -7.05% Strike Rate 81% Can anybody explain me how I get my excel data in a nice table to post here?
Unlucky there mate. Not the best of starts but remember it's a marathon not a sprint. :ok A winner for you last night I see - would have been a sqeaky last 10 minutes though! ;) Yes you should be able to copy and paste the data direct from Excel.
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Re: Laying Correct Scores I'm not sure I'm too optimistic about Champions Leagues games, but we'll put them in and have a go. Should be remembered that we've missed the first 3 'league format' rounds so any results might be slightly skewed especially in the last couple of rounds when there might be certain 'friendly' results available. Guess we'll just have to see...

LeagueDateWagerScoreBetbrainBookieLay OddsDiff %Back OddsResultW/LLiabilityP/(L)Balance
Ita04-NovJuventus v Inter0-010.00Stan James11.0010.0%1.1001-1W100.009.508.50
Spa04-NovAth Bilbao v Rec de Huelva0-09.50Hills9.601.1%1.1162-0W86.009.5018.00
Eur06-NovCeltic v Benfica1-07.50Canbet7.601.3%1.15266.000.0018.00
Eur06-NovLazio v W Bremen1-211.00Stan James11.000.0%1.100100.000.0018.00
Eur06-NovLiverpool v Besiktas1-07.50Hills7.40-1.3%1.15664.000.0018.00
Eur06-NovOlympiacos v Real Madrid1-17.00Bet3657.405.7%1.15664.000.0018.00
Eur06-NovPorto v Marseille2-07.50Betfred7.40-1.3%1.15664.000.0018.00
Eur06-NovSchalke v Chelsea1-17.00Canbet7.202.9%1.16162.000.0018.00
Eur06-NovShakhtar v AC Milan1-17.00BlueSQ7.202.9%1.16162.000.0018.00
Eur06-NovValencia v Rosenborg1-08.00Hills8.202.5%1.13972.000.0018.00
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Re: Laying Correct Scores 7/8 for a profit of....... :drums...... 0.5pts! :lol Better than a loss I guess!

LeagueDateWagerScoreBetbrainBookieLay OddsDiff %Back OddsResultW/LLiabilityP/(L)Balance
18.00
Eur06-NovCeltic v Benfica1-07.50Canbet7.601.3%1.1521-0L66.00(66.00)(48.00)
Eur06-NovLazio v W Bremen1-211.00Stan James11.000.0%1.1002-1W100.009.50(38.50)
Eur06-NovLiverpool v Besiktas1-07.50Hills7.40-1.3%1.1568-0W64.009.50(29.00)
Eur06-NovOlympiacos v Real Madrid1-17.00Bet3657.405.7%1.1560-0W64.009.50(19.50)
Eur06-NovPorto v Marseille2-07.50Betfred7.40-1.3%1.1562-1W64.009.50(10.00)
Eur06-NovSchalke v Chelsea1-17.00Canbet7.202.9%1.1610-0W62.009.50(0.50)
Eur06-NovShakhtar v AC Milan1-17.00BlueSQ7.202.9%1.1610-3W62.009.509.00
Eur06-NovValencia v Rosenborg1-08.00Hills8.202.5%1.1390-2W72.009.5018.50
Europe Bets Placed 35 Units Staked 2,609.00 Units Returned 2,627.50 Profit 18.50 Yield 0.71% Strike Rate 88.57% Average Odds 1.14 Average Stake 74.54
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Re: Laying Correct Scores Tonight's CL games.

LeagueDateMatchScoreBetbrainBookieLay OddsDiff %Back OddsResultW/LLiabilityP/(L)Balance
18.50
Eur07-NovBarcelona v Rangers2-07.00Laddies6.60-5.7%1.1790.0018.50
Eur07-NovFenerbahce v PSV1-07.50Centrebet7.601.3%1.1520.0018.50
Eur07-NovInter v CSKA Moscow2-06.50BlueSQ6.40-1.5%1.1850.0018.50
Eur07-NovLyon v Stuttgart1-07.50Canbet7.601.3%1.1520.0018.50
Eur07-NovMan Utd v Dinamo Kiev2-07.00Laddies7.000.0%1.1670.0018.50
Eur07-NovSlavia Prague v Arsenal0-17.50Canbet7.40-1.3%1.1560.0018.50
Eur07-NovSp Lisbon v Roma1-17.00Canbet7.202.9%1.1610.0018.50
Eur07-NovSteaua Bucharest v Sevilla1-17.50Centrebet8.209.3%1.1390.0018.50
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Re: Laying Correct Scores 7/8 again but slightly better profit of 10.5pts tonight. A shame Barca couldn't get another one but then that would have ruined my under bet in my other thread!

LeagueDateMatchScoreBetbrainBookieLay OddsDiff %Back OddsResultW/LLiabilityP/(L)Balance
18.50
Eur07-NovBarcelona v Rangers2-07.00Laddies6.60-5.7%1.1792-0L56.00(56.00)(37.50)
Eur07-NovFenerbahce v PSV1-07.50Centrebet7.601.3%1.1522-0W66.009.50(28.00)
Eur07-NovInter v CSKA Moscow2-06.50BlueSQ6.40-1.5%1.1854-2W54.009.50(18.50)
Eur07-NovLyon v Stuttgart1-07.50Canbet7.601.3%1.1524-2W66.009.50(9.00)
Eur07-NovMan Utd v Dinamo Kiev2-07.00Laddies7.000.0%1.1674-0W60.009.500.50
Eur07-NovSlavia Prague v Arsenal0-17.50Canbet7.40-1.3%1.1560-0W64.009.5010.00
Eur07-NovSp Lisbon v Roma1-17.00Canbet7.202.9%1.1612-2W62.009.5019.50
Eur07-NovSteaua Bucharest v Sevilla1-17.50Centrebet8.209.3%1.1390-2W72.009.5029.00
Europe Bets Placed 43 Units Staked 3,109.00 Units Returned 3,138.00 Profit 29.00 Yield 0.93% Strike Rate 88.37% Average Odds 1.14 Average Stake 72.30
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Re: Laying Correct Scores Early KO's in the UEFA cup. Again not sure how they'll go but we'll give it a try. Larissa v Zenit St Petersburg Score to Lay 1-1 Best Bookie Price 7.00 Canbet Betfair lay price 7.20 Price Diff 2.9% Hapoel Tel Aviv v Tottenham Score to Lay 0-2 Best Bookie Price 7.50 Sportingbet Betfair lay price 7.80 Price Diff 4.0% Spartak Moscow v Leverkusen Score to Lay 1-1 Best Bookie Price 7.00 Blue Sq Betfair lay price 7.40 Price Diff 5.7%

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Re: Laying Correct Scores Tonight's games in full:

LeagueDateMatchScoreBetbrainBookieLay OddsDiff %Back OddsResultW/LLiabilityP/(L)Balance
29.00
Eur08-NovLarissa v Zenit St Petersburg1-17.00Canbet7.202.9%1.1610.0029.00
Eur08-NovHapoel Tel Aviv v Tottenham0-27.50Sportingbet7.804.0%1.1470.0029.00
Eur08-NovSpartak Moscow v Leverkusen1-17.00BlueSQ7.405.7%1.1560.0029.00
Eur08-NovB Munich v Bolton3-08.00Laddies8.000.0%1.1430.0029.00
Eur08-NovGalatasaray v Helsingborg2-110.00Hills10.000.0%1.1110.0029.00
Eur08-NovRennes v Brann1-07.00Canbet7.405.7%1.1560.0029.00
Eur08-NovAaB v Anderlecht0-09.50Victor Chandler9.601.1%1.1160.0029.00
Eur08-NovAustria Vienna v Bordeaux0-09.50Victor Chandler9.601.1%1.1160.0029.00
Eur08-NovDinamo Zagreb v Basel2-18.50Sportingbet9.6012.9%1.1160.0029.00
Eur08-NovFC Kobenhavn v Panathinaikos1-07.50Sportingbet7.40-1.3%1.1560.0029.00
Eur08-NovMlada Boleslav v Villarreal0-16.50Canbet6.804.6%1.1720.0029.00
Eur08-NovToulouse v Sparta Prague0-09.50Victor Chandler9.40-1.1%1.1190.0029.00
Eur08-NovAris Thes. v Crvena Zvedza1-07.50Canbet7.40-1.3%1.1560.0029.00
Eur08-NovFiorentina v Elfsborg2-06.50Tote6.601.5%1.1790.0029.00
Eur08-NovAberdeen v Lokomotiv0-09.50Victor Chandler10.005.3%1.1110.0029.00
Eur08-NovNurnberg v Everton0-18.50Canbet8.803.5%1.1280.0029.00
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Re: Laying Correct Scores

GL Hodgey I managed to lay these tonight. Nurnberg v Everton 1 2 11.00 11.00 Aris Thes. v Crvena Zvedza 0 0 9.00 9.00 Toulouse v Sparta Prague 0 0 9.00 9.00
Cheers mate. Looks like you had a good night. :ok As did I.... ;)
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