Laying Correct Scores

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores

Those stats look really promising. I have about the same figures after only 36 bets, which is nothing, I know. But it would suprise me if your figures would be much different after 500 or a 1000 bets. (how many bets do you need to get a statistical representative figure do you recon? 10000ish?) I think there is value in your idea. :notworthy Although the prices will rise too much if this idea (and hundreds of punters) catches on. Anyway, I had a small but full house last night;:nana 33 11-Nov port 1 Benfica v Boavista 2-0 6.50 6.40 6-1 1 0.95 102.35 34 11-Nov port 1 Amadora v Porto 0-1 7.00 6.80 2-2 1 0.95 103.3 35 11-Nov spa 1 Real Madrid v Mallorca 2-1 9.00 8.80 4-3 1 0.95 104.25 36 11-Nov Tur 1 Galatasaray v Genclerbirligi 2-1 10.00 9.80 3-2 1 0.95 105.2 My full list is here

Nice one mate, your figures are looking good too. Re number of bets to be confident - I'm sure I read somewhere that 1000ish is pretty good. IIRC that's what they do the election polls here in the UK on. :unsure I'm not sure the prices would rise that much. Sometimes there's 1-2k available on the English Prem matches. It would take a hell of a lot of money to move that! Besides, people aren't that mad to follow this - it's only you and me! :lol

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores One tonight: Reading v Arsenal Score to Lay 1-2 Best Bookie Price 9.00 Betinternet Betfair lay price 9.60 Price Diff 6.7%

[vedenn]

Re: Laying Correct Scores

I'm not sure the prices would rise that much. Sometimes there's 1-2k available on the English Prem matches. It would take a hell of a lot of money to move that! Besides' date=' people aren't that mad to follow this - it's only you and me! :lol[/quote'] I guess you are right:lol

[vedenn]

Re: Laying Correct Scores I am starting to be a laying correct scores junkie tonight: che 1 Sparta Prague v Bohemians 1905 3-0 8.00 7.00 Ita c1b Salernitana v Ancona 1-1 5.50 5.50

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Reading 1-3 Arsenal - another winner. :) Prem Bets Placed 117 Units Staked 8,412.00 Units Returned 8,641.50 Profit 229.50 Yield 2.73% Strike Rate 89.74% Average Odds 1.14 Average Stake 71.90 Had a peek at Cov v WBA & Munich 1860 v Mongladchenbach pre ko too - would have been 2 more winners. But for now I'm sticking with the 4 big leagues plus Europe. :ok

[Unbelievable]

Re: Laying Correct Scores

I guess you are right:lol

Well I'll be following now I started with a few system like laying correct score for the current score at 2nd half as the odds will be lower but not much success so far :( mostly burn when picking match with favourites to score 1 more goal against bottom team

[vedenn]

Re: Laying Correct Scores So far so good :) Won both yesterday. Results so far; Bets placed 38 Bets won 34 Strike rate 89.47% Units staked 304.9 Units returned 312.00 Yield 2.28% Starting bank 100 Profit 7.10 My full list is here So far my little sample is in line with Hodgey, same strike rate and yield.

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores

So far my little sample is in line with Hodgey, same strike rate and yield.

Yes it's going well so far. Just a shame there's no games on! :lol *I'm not playing this one or including in stats* but the live game on Sky tonight would be lay MK Dons 1-0 at 9.80.

[vedenn]

Re: Laying Correct Scores It was, as a matter of fact, pretty hard to get layed tonight (pun intended). But I did it. :tongue2 spa cup Alcoyano v Barcelona 0-3 @ 8.60 (book 9.00) spa cup Denia v Sevilla 0-3 @ 7.00 (book 8.50)

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores

It was, as a matter of fact, pretty hard to get layed tonight (pun intended). But I did it. :tongue2

:lol:lol

spa cup Alcoyano v Barcelona 0-3 @ 8.60 (book 9.00) spa cup Denia v Sevilla 0-3 @ 7.00 (book 8.50)

Blimey that's quite a diff on the Sevilla price. Which book was that? MK Dons 2-0 up after 15mins! Would have been sweet! :dude

[vedenn]

Re: Laying Correct Scores

Blimey that's quite a diff on the Sevilla price. Which book was that?

I think it was Paddy. Barcalona killed me tonight. Two goals in the last minute :eek put me right back at the start :sad But the positive side is that I am still 0.45 up with an amazing yield of 0.14% :lol Bets placed 40 Bets won 35 Strike rate 87.50% Units staked 320.5 Units returned 320.95 Yield 0.14% Starting bank 100 Profit 0.45 My full list is here

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores

I think it was Paddy. Barcalona killed me tonight. Two goals in the last minute :eek put me right back at the start :sad But the positive side is that I am still 0.45 up with an amazing yield of 0.14% :lol Bets placed 40 Bets won 35 Strike rate 87.50% Units staked 320.5 Units returned 320.95 Yield 0.14% Starting bank 100 Profit 0.45 My full list is here

Bloody cup games. :( Still like you say, you're still in profit.... just! :lol

[vedenn]

Re: Laying Correct Scores tonight; spa cup Xerez v Rec de Huelva Lay 1-0 @9.40 (unibet 9.50) Need a morale booster :hope

[vedenn]

Re: Laying Correct Scores spa cup Xerez v Rec de Huelva Lay 0-1 :D

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Ok I've been otherwise engaged with other events - i.e. I'm now a Dad! :nana I think the little fella timed it well though cos don't think I missed any top flight games for this! :lol I shall try and continue with these as time permits. :ok And I've got a spare 5 mins now so here goes tonight's German game: Karlsruhe v H Berlin Score to Lay 2-1 Best Bookie Price 10.00 Hills Betfair lay price 11.00 Price Diff 10.0%

[munki]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Congrats on the new addition Hodgey :clap:clap:clap Your priority however should still be to keep this thread in a healthy profit situation ;)

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores

Congrats on the new addition Hodgey :clap:clap:clap Your priority however should still be to keep this thread in a healthy profit situation ;)

Cheers mate. :ok I shall do my best! ;)

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Karlsruhe 2-1 H Berlin Well that wasn't a particularly nice welcome back. 100pt loss. :( Europe Bets Placed 86 Units Staked 6,232.00 Units Returned 6,339.50 Profit 107.50 Yield 1.72% Strike Rate 89.53% Average Odds 1.14 Average Stake 72.47

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Early Prem kick off: Newcastle v Liverpool Score to Lay 0-1 Best Bookie Price 8.00 Hills Betfair lay price 8.20 Price Diff 2.5%

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores German games:

League	Date	Match	Score	Betbrain	Bookie	Lay Odds	Diff %	Back Odds	Result	W/L	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
Ger	23-Nov	Karlsruhe v H Berlin	2-1	10.00	Hills	11.00	10.0%	1.100	2-1	L	100.00	(100.00)	107.50
Ger	24-Nov	B Munich v Wolfsburg	1-0	9.00	Victor Chandler	9.20	2.2%	1.122			82.00	0.00	107.50
Ger	24-Nov	Bochum v Bielefeld	2-1	8.50	Centrebet	9.20	8.2%	1.122			82.00	0.00	107.50
Ger	24-Nov	Cottbus v W Bremen	1-1	8.00	Sportingbet	8.00	0.0%	1.143			70.00	0.00	107.50
Ger	24-Nov	Frankfurt v Stuttgart	0-1	9.00	Victor Chandler	10.00	11.1%	1.111			90.00	0.00	107.50
Ger	24-Nov	Hannover v Schalke	0-1	9.00	Victor Chandler	9.60	6.7%	1.116			86.00	0.00	107.50
Ger	24-Nov	Leverkusen v Duisburg	1-0	9.00	Victor Chandler	9.20	2.2%	1.122			82.00	0.00	107.50

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Prem games:

League	Date	Match	Score	Betbrain	Bookie	Lay Odds	Diff %	Back Odds	Result	W/L	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
Prem	12-Nov	Reading v Arsenal	1-2	9.00	Betinternet	9.60	6.7%	1.116	1-3	W	86.00	9.50	229.50
Prem	24-Nov	Newcastle v Liverpool	0-1	8.00	Laddies	8.20	2.5%	1.139			72.00	0.00	229.50
Prem	24-Nov	Arsenal v Wigan	1-0	8.50	Centrebet	8.20	-3.5%	1.139			72.00	0.00	229.50
Prem	24-Nov	Birmingham v Portsmouth	0-1	8.00	Laddies	8.00	0.0%	1.143			70.00	0.00	229.50
Prem	24-Nov	Bolton v Man Utd	1-2	9.00	Centrebet	9.40	4.4%	1.119			84.00	0.00	229.50
Prem	24-Nov	Everton v Sunderland	2-1	8.50	BlueSQ	9.20	8.2%	1.122			82.00	0.00	229.50
Prem	24-Nov	Man City v Reading	0-0	12.00	Victor Chandler	11.00	-8.3%	1.100			100.00	0.00	229.50
Prem	24-Nov	Middlesbrough v Aston Villa	0-0	9.50	Hills	9.80	3.2%	1.114			88.00	0.00	229.50
Prem	24-Nov	Derby v Chelsea	0-2	6.50	Centrebet	6.40	-1.5%	1.185			54.00	0.00	229.50

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Today's Italian games: Genoa v Roma Score to Lay 1-1 Best Bookie Price 7.00 Canbet Betfair lay price 7.00 Price Diff 0.0% Inter v Atalanta Score to Lay 2-1 Best Bookie Price 10.00 Coral Betfair lay price 9.2 Price Diff -9.20%

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores 3 Spanish games tonight:

League	Date	Match	Score	Betbrain	Bookie	Lay Odds	Diff %	Back Odds	Result	W/L	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
Spa	24-Nov	Barcelona v Rec de Huelva	1-0	8.00	Sportingbet	8.00	0.0%	1.143			70.00	0.00	107.50
Spa	24-Nov	Sevilla v Mallorca	2-1	8.50	Sportingbet	8.40	-1.2%	1.135			74.00	0.00	107.50
Spa	24-Nov	Murcia v Real Madrid	0-1	8.00	Sportingbet	8.00	0.0%	1.143			70.00	0.00	107.50

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores 6/6 from Germany today to claw back 57pts from last night's loss. :ok

League	Date	Match	Score	Betbrain	Bookie	Lay Odds	Diff %	Back Odds	Result	W/L	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
Ger	23-Nov	Karlsruhe v H Berlin	2-1	10.00	Hills	11.00	10.0%	1.100	2-1	L	100.00	(100.00)	107.50
Ger	24-Nov	B Munich v Wolfsburg	1-0	9.00	Victor Chandler	9.20	2.2%	1.122	2-1	W	82.00	9.50	117.00
Ger	24-Nov	Bochum v Bielefeld	2-1	8.50	Centrebet	9.20	8.2%	1.122	3-0	W	82.00	9.50	126.50
Ger	24-Nov	Cottbus v W Bremen	1-1	8.00	Sportingbet	8.00	0.0%	1.143	0-2	W	70.00	9.50	136.00
Ger	24-Nov	Frankfurt v Stuttgart	0-1	9.00	Victor Chandler	10.00	11.1%	1.111	1-4	W	90.00	9.50	145.50
Ger	24-Nov	Hannover v Schalke	0-1	9.00	Victor Chandler	9.60	6.7%	1.116	2-3	W	86.00	9.50	155.00
Ger	24-Nov	Leverkusen v Duisburg	1-0	9.00	Victor Chandler	9.20	2.2%	1.122	4-1	W	82.00	9.50	164.50

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores 7/7 in the Prem so far today. Profit guaranteed regardless of the Chelsea result, although would be nice to bag a full house.... :hope

League	Date	Match	Score	Betbrain	Bookie	Lay Odds	Diff %	Back Odds	Result	W/L	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
Prem	24-Nov	Newcastle v Liverpool	0-1	8.00	Laddies	8.20	2.5%	1.139	0-2	W	72.00	9.50	239.00
Prem	24-Nov	Arsenal v Wigan	1-0	8.50	Centrebet	8.20	-3.5%	1.139	2-0	W	72.00	9.50	248.50
Prem	24-Nov	Birmingham v Portsmouth	0-1	8.00	Laddies	8.00	0.0%	1.143	0-2	W	70.00	9.50	258.00
Prem	24-Nov	Bolton v Man Utd	1-2	9.00	Centrebet	9.40	4.4%	1.119	1-0	W	84.00	9.50	267.50
Prem	24-Nov	Everton v Sunderland	2-1	8.50	BlueSQ	9.20	8.2%	1.122	7-1	W	82.00	9.50	277.00
Prem	24-Nov	Man City v Reading	0-0	12.00	Victor Chandler	11.00	-8.3%	1.100	2-1	W	100.00	9.50	286.50
Prem	24-Nov	Middlesbrough v Aston Villa	0-0	9.50	Hills	9.80	3.2%	1.114	0-3	W	88.00	9.50	296.00
Prem	24-Nov	Derby v Chelsea	0-2	6.50	Centrebet	6.40	-1.5%	1.185			54.00	0.00	296.00

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Chelsea win 2-0 to blow the full house. :sad Still it's a profit of 12.50pts on the day. It's a marathon not a sprint and I'd settle for that every day. :ok Prem Bets Placed 125 Units Staked 9,034.00 Units Returned 9,276.00 Profit 242.00 Yield 2.68% Strike Rate 89.60% Average Odds 1.14 Average Stake 72.27

[Hodgey]

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Sunday's Prem games: West Ham v Tottenham Score to Lay 1-1 Best Bookie Price 7.00 Blue Sq Betfair lay price 7.40 Price Diff 5.7% Fulham v Blackburn Score to Lay 1-2 Best Bookie Price 11.00 Hills Betfair lay price 11.00 Price Diff 0.00%

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Italian games:

League	Date	Match	Score	Betbrain	Bookie	Lay Odds	Diff %	Back Odds	Result	W/L	Liability	P/(L)	Balance
Spa	24-Nov	Murcia v Real Madrid	0-1	8.00	Sportingbet	8.00	0.0%	1.143	1-1	W	70.00	9.50	120.50
Ita	25-Nov	Cagliari v AC Milan	0-1	7.00	Centrebet	7.00	0.0%	1.167				0.00	120.50
Ita	25-Nov	Empoli v Torino	1-0	7.50	Canbet	7.60	1.3%	1.152				0.00	120.50
Ita	25-Nov	Lazio v Parma	1-0	7.00	Centrebet	7.40	5.7%	1.156				0.00	120.50
Ita	25-Nov	Livorno v Sampdoria	0-0	9.00	Sportingbet	9.20	2.2%	1.122				0.00	120.50
Ita	25-Nov	Napoli v Catania	1-0	7.00	Centrebet	7.20	2.9%	1.161				0.00	120.50
Ita	25-Nov	Reggina v Fiorentina	1-1	7.00	Canbet	7.00	0.0%	1.167				0.00	120.50
Ita	25-Nov	Udinese v Siena	2-1	8.50	Sportingbet	8.60	1.2%	1.132				0.00	120.50

[Hodgey]

Re: Laying Correct Scores Germany: Hamburg v H Rostock Score to Lay 1-0 Best Bookie Price 8.50 Victor Chandler Betfair lay price 8.00 Price Diff -5.9% Nurnberg v Dortmund Score to Lay 2-1 Best Bookie Price 11.00 Hills Betfair lay price 11.00 Price Diff 0.00%