merlin Posted February 3, 2006 Author Share Posted February 3, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. ... Sorry I jumped in quick Kanga, but you needed the figures quick, the way I looked at it.Here are the Predictor figures at =>48% Bolton W 54.2% Newcastle U 63.7% West ham U 58.9% Burnley 50.5% Coventry C 56.9% Crystal P 56.7% Leeds U 64.4% Luton T 51.5% Southampton T 51.2% Barnsley 59.3% Brentford 50.8% Colchester U 54.0% Scunthorpe U 52.4% Carlisle U 60.3% Mansfield T 48.3% Northampton T 71.8% Man U 73.6% Tottenham H 68.2% Norwich C 49.2% Just did it this week to give you a better chance to do your stuff. Good luck!;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 5, 2006 Author Share Posted February 5, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... have not checked the 50% away criteria yet, but of those listed above for home wins using the =>60% criteria, there were 5 winners from 6 selections, with the Spurs result still to come today.:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 5, 2006 Share Posted February 5, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Looking good kanga, could we worth backing with the real stuff! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 5, 2006 Share Posted February 5, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Thanks for the kind words the results are looking positive what I'm pleased about are the odds 1.60 average - I'm going to keep updating the bank as we go so :hope I like the thought of a number of predictors as it evens out the bias of individual systems - it's annoying when a winner is lost by just one negative column but from the calculations so far this is the best way forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 6, 2006 Author Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... those figures certainly look good Andy, looks like we may have a setup here, and with the 8 correct from 8 selections in the Michael Wray Spreadsheets, things may be beginning to gel.Nice to be able to report some encouraging figures in these two threads.Cheers.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Ok a mid week selection for you :- Date League 1 TPBGMWOdds 07/02/06 Colchester vs Scunthorpe 64.8%65%3-21.57 Date League 2 TPBGMWOdds 07/02/06 Buryvs Rushden Diamonds 44.8%57%1-1 Date Premiership TPBGMWOdds 08/02/06 Charlton vs Liverpool 22.3%33%1-0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Guys. I want to take this oppotunity to congratulate you all on an excellent thread. Its great to see you all getting so involved in it and working together as team. Hats off to you all and I'll be a regular visitor to this thread as its one of the best on the forum for me. Keep up the great work lads and I'm on Colchester too tonight!:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 7, 2006 Author Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... thank you very much kind Sir! Nice to have a positive attitude shining through, makes all the difference to those who prevail in the interest and discovery of systems.Look forward to you calling again.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 7, 2006 Author Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... another winner in the paddock, to coin a phrase Andy. Colchester U did the biz a little shakily tonight, but at 1-0 a win is a win and I had them on Betfair.:) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. The figures showed it would be close - and incidentally pointed to the bury draw as well - but not part of the system. League 1 TPBGMWOddsResult Colchester vs Scunthorpe 64.8% 65%3-21.571-0 :loon League 2 TPBGMWOddsResult Buryvs Rushden Diamonds 44.8%57%1-11-1 Total Staked 290 Total Returned 349.20 Yield 1.20420.41%Winners 22 Losers 7 Strike Rate 76% Current Bank 159.20 Profit / Loss 59.20 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 7, 2006 Share Posted February 7, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Nice one kanga, a winners a winner and we're all happy with the boys from Essex. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sensibleboy Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Well done mate. :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Thanks Guy's - have another for you tonight sorry it's a bit late - as before odds quoted are bet365 but there is better available. Date F A Cup TPBGMWOdds 08/02/06 Chelsea vs Everton 75.9%57%1-01.29 Date Premiership TPBGMWOdds 08/02/06 Charlton vs Liverpool 22.3%44%1-0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 8, 2006 Author Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... Purely for interest point of view as Kanga is keeping track of themain interests on this thread.This is using the =>60% home and =>50%away criteria, which gives:-Chelsea (A) 67.4%Crystal P (A) 52.0%Wolves 72.2%Wycombe W 63.1%Hibernian (A) 55.3%Hearts 63.3%Reading (Fri) 70.9%Southend U (Fri) 61.7%Man U (A) 69.3%Liverpool (A) 54.4%Tottenham H (Sun)(A) 55.8%Always interesting to see how things are shaping up here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Well another winner (low odds but still correct) now making 10 from 12 F A Cup TPBGMWOddsResult Chelsea vs Everton 75.9%57%1-01.294-1 :loon Premiership TPBGMWOddsResult Charlton vs Liverpool 22.3%44%1-02-0 Total Staked 300 Total Returned 361.96 Yield 1.20720.65%Winners 23 Losers 7 Strike Rate 77% Current Bank 161.96 Profit / Loss 61.96 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Would you guys like me to keep posting all the matches & results or just the selections ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 8, 2006 Author Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... I think that you should save yourself a bit of time Andy and just give us the selections, then followed by yield etc once the results are to hand.After all, they are worked out by your own fair hand and I'm equally sure we can all trust these implicitly.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plausible Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Kanga, Thanks for posting up the tables. I find them to be an enourmous help when looking for value bets. Would much appreciate it if you were to continue posting in the format you are currently using as it's useful for cross checking data; though I would fully understand if you were to find this too time consuming. I did download the trial version of BG but could not make head nor tail of it. [i am extremely computer illiterate]. However the system I am currently working on relies on the stats from both TP and BG and though it's much too early to start shouting from the rooftops it looks promising. I will post this weeks selections as soon as I get access to the BG percentages. All the best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. It's not a problem to post the complete tables - as I have to work them all out anyway :loon I just thought it would save space and look a little neater on the thread. Interesting what you say about just using TP & BG - I've been keeping stats on this and with the method I use TP & BG on their own produce a 69% strike rate - whereas combining the MW & odds filter as well = 77% Glad the tables are of interest - :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laying larry Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. evening kanga I also find the tables really useful, as a rule of thumb >50%, >50% and a GD >2. cheers LL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 9, 2006 Author Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... what's that then LL, is that instead of using 48%,48%, and the MW home win forecast?What difference if any is there? Does it reduce the number of bets, and how does that compare with our yield?;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Another selection for tonight and IMHO it's a cracker 1.44 bet365 is good value. Date Championship TPBGMWOdds 10/02/06 Reading vs Southampton 57.2%83%3-01.44 :hope Date League 1 TPBGMWOdds 10/02/06 Hartlepool vs Chesterfield 48.0%11%0-210/02/06 Southend vs Rotherham 40.5%68%2-1 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plausible Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Everyone, Yes Kanga I have to agree with you, I also have Reading as a good value bet even @2/5. Here is the complete list of selections thrown up by using the Times Predictor only. I will edit this post if BG identifies any more value bets that need adding. I will be betting these as 1 point singles at the best High Street prices. My hope is that this method will make a steady, if unspectacular, profit; with the empathsis being on value as determined by what I consider any particular teams true odds are in conjunction with the predictions made by TP&BG. READING 2/5 CORAL-HILLS-LADS WON 2-0 FULHAM 4/5 CORAL -WON 6-1 WATFORD 5/6 HILLS-WON 4-0 NOTTS FOREST 6/5 CORAL-HILLS-LADS LOST 1-2 WALSALL 11/10 CORAL-HILLS LOST 2-2 MACCLESFIELD 6/5 CORAL HILLS POSTPONED WYCOMBE 8/13 LADS LOST 2-2 STAKE 7 pts RETURNS 6.03 pts LOSS 0.97 PTS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Plausible, I tried to send you a PM - can you enable it please in your settings :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plausible Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Kanga, I think I have now enabled my message settings, but unfortunately I am still not permitted to send P.M.'s as I get the message that I am not logged in or registered. Which of course I am. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Nope still don't work - maybe you have to post so many for it to work ??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 10, 2006 Author Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. ..... 1.52 available for Reading this afternoon on Betfair, quite a fair price, but Southampton have just signed a trio of useful players I believe and they are a 'funny' team at the best of times, and also inclined to be a bit drawish, so I may leave this one alone.Had a go on Southend against Rotherham with odds 1.70 so on paper looks like a more attractive proposition. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 10, 2006 Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Have to remember the 5% on betfair - but I was really meaning that the price was VALUE any better is a bonus. Have a look at Readings last 6 match home goal record to Southamptons last 6 away goal record ;) Southend would be a pick but TP doesnt go for it on the usual 7 day predictor which is used - on the individual match system it picks it as a win so you may well be ok - but I can't highlight it on this system. My personal opinion would be a Southend 1-0 or 2-1 win :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 10, 2006 Author Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... I knew where you were coming from Andy, and was not reflecting on the Times predictions or otherwise, just my gut feeling.I thought that the Southend game looked a sounder bet with Rothers deeply in the financial mire.As I type, I note that at the 45 mins mark both of the selections mentioned are leading 2-0, so let the good times roll my friend!;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 11, 2006 Share Posted February 11, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Well another winner - and a 3-0 MW prediction to boot always a good sign. Championship TPBGMWOddsResults Reading vs Southampton 57.2%83%3-01.442-0 :loon League 1 TPBGMWOddsResults Hartlepool vs Chesterfield 48.0%11%0-21-0Southend vs Rotherham 40.5%68%2-1 2-0Total Staked 310 Total Returned 376.14 Yield 1.21321.33%Winners 24 Losers 7 Strike Rate 77% Current Bank 166.14 Profit / Loss 66.14 Tomorrows picks to follow :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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