merlin Posted January 21, 2006 Author Share Posted January 21, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... have you cancelled those two results now then? I use www.livescore.com they have all the results there that you need.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 21, 2006 Share Posted January 21, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Merlin, I've cancelled the League 2 - 28/12 Shrewsbury v Macclesfield result I somehow had it down as 0-0 ????? But it wont let me cancel the Championship - Leeds vs Crystal palace match - as it says no result has been entered. The only conclusion I can make is that I've only just uploaded the datasheets ( more recently than yourself) when the match has been rescheduled for February - hence it didnt show up on my search. I'll recheck my findings and alter the tables. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 22, 2006 Author Share Posted January 22, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... Results for week ending 22nd January 2006. Chelsea - Draw Southampton T - Lost Colchester U - Won Tranmere R - Draw Hibernian - Won Rangers - Won Celtic - Won So to recap - all these selections were taken from the Weekly Predictor on the Times site at thread no.1. The criteria chosen at random - Home ->60%, Aways - -> 50%. So again a promising set of results here, 4 wins from 7, and even a couple of draws pops up! Upward and onward.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 23, 2006 Author Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... sounds OK to me, but why 48%, why not 50% it would have only eliminated one game this week, and given 3 from 4.What would last week have shown using 50%?;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 23, 2006 Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Merlin, 50% would have eliminated 2 matches this week (both the games in League 2) 3/4 is very good but 5/6 is excellent. Last week would have shown 4/5 with 50% or 5/6 with 48% I agree 50% is a convienient round number - but that's all it is It's still very early days and time will tell the best cut off point but I was looking at many combinations of numbers and 48% was the best number I found - SO FAR !!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 23, 2006 Author Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... OK my friend, that's good enough for me! Keep up the good work.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted January 23, 2006 Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. small sample i know, but just on ladbrokes odds: Chelsea vs Charlton -1.00 Leeds vs Sheff Wed 0.57 Sheff Utd vs Brighton 0.44 Barnsley vs M Keynes 0.57 North’ton vs Maclesfield 0.57 Notts Co vs Shrewsbury 1.00 profit on level 1 unit stakes2.15 yield35.8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 23, 2006 Author Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... nice little illustration you got there Muppet. Just goes to show that with a fine tuning and perhaps a little thought, you can get profitable results.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted January 23, 2006 Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Last week would have shown 4/5 with 50% or 5/6 with 48% kanga what were the 6 games? i think we need to look at the yield for as many as poss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 23, 2006 Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Muppet, Premiership TP BG MW Results Arsenal vs Middlesboro 66.2% 68% 2-0 7 - 0 Charlton vs Birmingham 48.4% 49% 2-0 2 - 0 Liverpool vs Spurs 53.7% 52% 1-0 1 - 0 Wigan vs West Brom 55% 67% 2-1 0 - 1 Championship TP BG MW Results Derby vs Crewe 64.7% 53% 2-1 5 - 1 Reading vs Coventry 74.1% 72% 3-1 2 - 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted January 23, 2006 Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Arsenal vs Middlesboro 0.30 Charlton vs Birmingham0.91 Liverpool vs Spurs0.67 Wigan vs West Brom-1.00 Derby vs Crewe0.67 Reading vs Coventry0.36 profit1.91 yield27.3% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted January 23, 2006 Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. bets 12 wins 10 loses 2 strike 83.3% profit 4.06 yield 33.8% this is for the bets you mentioned kanga. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 23, 2006 Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Muppet, Thanks for working it out :clap What do you think ? This was just my take on the resulting tables - there may be a better method that we all may find in the coming weeks - but it's certainly looking promising. My personal take is that by using 3 predictor programs it evens out the formula weighting bias that the individual systems may have. Just need DavidC to keep feeding me the BG numbers, if willing :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted January 23, 2006 Share Posted January 23, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. yeah it's worth a crack for a week or two. unfortunately it's fa cup this weekend though, so a bit more random - and MW sheets won't pick for this. :( what do you two think? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 25, 2006 Author Share Posted January 25, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Selections for Weekend 28th/29th January:- Middlesbrough (A) 50.0 Aston V 73.4 Charlton A 67.1 Wycombe W 81.6 Celtic 86.0 Hearts 60.5 Watford 71.1 Newcastle (A) 67.2 Chelsea (A) 69.9 Reading 60.5 Liverpool 61.3 Iv'e included Cup games so we will just have to see how these perform.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidc Posted January 26, 2006 Share Posted January 26, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Kanga: Sorry haven't been able to post BG predictions yet as was busy last night and out tonight. I'll post them up tomorrow night. Hope thats not too late. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 26, 2006 Share Posted January 26, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. We lead busy lives - I'm out friday night so I'll get them done as soon as I can - might be Saturday morning though - I'll have to see how it plans out - but they will be done :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 28, 2006 Share Posted January 28, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Here’s the comparison list for this week a bit depleted because of the FA Cup but 3 home selections (4 if you want to include the FA Cup) DateChampionshipTPBGMW28/01/06Watford vs Crewe70.0%68%3-0 DateLeague 1TPBGMW28/01/06Bournmouth vs Chest'field41.8%37%1-028/01/06Bradford vs Tranmere 25.9%30%0-228/01/06Bristol City vs Swansea55.3%41%2-128/01/06Gillingham vs Rotherham36.3%64%3-028/01/06Hartlepool vs Blackpool55.8%45%1-028/01/06Huddersfield vs Oldham42.0%41%1-0 DateLeague 2TPBGMW28/01/06Bury vs Northampton 27.1%24%1-228/01/06Chester vs Notts County51.0%54%1-028/01/06Darlington vs Mansfield45.4%52%2-128/01/06Grimsby vs Peterborough 35.6%55%1-028/01/06Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers 50.9%38%3-228/01/06Rochdale vs Boston Utd44.0%25%0-128/01/06Rushden vs Oxford Utd49.8%19%0-228/01/06Shrewsbury vs Torquay40.5%63%2-128/01/06Wycombe vs Stockport65.7%69%3-1 Just for fun the only FA Cup that we can work out produces a selection DateFA CUPTPBGMW28/01/06Man City vs Wigan52.1%49%2-1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 28, 2006 Share Posted January 28, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. ChampionshipTPBGMWResultWatford vs Crewe70.0%68%3-04-1 League 1TPBGMWResultBournmouth vs Chest'field41.8%37%1-01-2Bradford vs Tranmere25.9%30%0-20-0Bristol City vs Swansea55.3%41%2-11-0Gillingham vs Rotherham36.3%64%3-01-1Hartlepool vs Blackpool55.8%45%1-00-3Huddersfield vs Oldham42.0%41%1-03-2 League 2TPBGMWResultBury vs Northampton27.1%24%1-20-2Chester vs Notts County51.0%54%1-00-2Darlington vs Mansfield45.4%52%2-14-0Grimsby vs Peterborough35.6%55%1-01-2Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers50.9%38%3-21-0Rochdale vs Boston Utd44.0%25%0-11-1Rushden vs Oxford Utd49.8%19%0-21-1Shrewsbury vs Torquay40.5%63%2-10-1Wycombe vs Stockport65.7%69%3-11-1 FA CUPTPBGMWResultMan City vs Wigan52.1%49%2-11-0 Mixed results today 2 wins a draw and a loss from 4 selections - for a small overall loss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidc Posted January 28, 2006 Share Posted January 28, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Good job with the tables Kanga - pity about the results! Fingers crossed for next week :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plausible Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Yes Kanga, thanks a lot. Really appreciate the time and effort you and others are putting into this thread. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Welcome plausible.:welcome Nice to have you on board, you got any sports you specialise in? Feel free to put your thoughts on the relevant threads buddy.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 29, 2006 Share Posted January 29, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Hi Plausible, and :welcome to Punter's Lounge. Thanks both for the kind words, it's fun to do and is showing promise. I'm actually feeling a bit guilty now as it's invading this thread. Shall I give it until the midweek results and if they're still looking good start a new strategy thread - Any thoughts ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... no such thing as thread invasion Kanga, you do as you please and keep em coming!:ok I note that from the Predictor results above, they were indeed a mixed bag, w6 L5 maybe with it being Cup week it interfered with results.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted January 30, 2006 Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Yep it was a funny set of results - I'm tracking numerous combinations of all the stats and none had a good showing - fingers crossed for the mid-week results. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... Iv'e not had too much time to look at mid weekers yet,one I do like the look of is Cardiff to beat Millwall, took it on Betfair at 1.78 so fingers crossed.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. Taking Home selections at 60%=> & Aways at 50%=> the selections for this week Saturday 4th February are:- Manchester U 72.6 Arsenal (a) 55.4 Reading 63.7 Tranmere R 63.9 Colchester U 67.7 Northampton T 60.5 Are we all still happy at tracking these at the above percentages? Or has anyone any further observations/ideas?;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 1, 2006 Author Share Posted February 1, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... thanks Kanga, interesting as usual and indeed a mixed bag we have seen here.Not often you see the likes of Arsenal losing on their own patch, and how about Liverpool being held by lowly Brum!Surprise of the night Man U being hit for four and at the same time scoring 3 themselves away from home!The form book just continues to fly out of the window!:\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted February 2, 2006 Share Posted February 2, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. I can only put it down to F A Cup fallout and midweek scheduling - I heard on the radio Arsenal had a lot of key players suspended or injured maybe that was true of others as well - anyway ............ The combination system is still in profit but only just - 5 losers from the last 8 selections - here's hoping for a better weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 2, 2006 Author Share Posted February 2, 2006 Re: Times Newspaper Predictor. .... well done with these tables Kanga, and congrats on getting the MW scores to show greater accuracy.I have one match different Oxford U v Rochdale, I have 1-1 whereas you have 1-2. The selections don't look too far away either on paper, so look forward with interest once again. Cheers.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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