slapdash Posted February 12, 2006 Author Share Posted February 12, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Commander Kev placed and Dunsfold Duke lost, so that's a 20 point loss. Starting Bank: 1000 Current Bank: 1512.07 Total Staked: 1480 W/P/L: 12/22/40 Profit/Loss: +512.07 (Win +302.33, Place +209.74) Yield: +34.60% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 13, 2006 Author Share Posted February 13, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 3.20 Wolverhampton Opera Comica (12/1 Ladbrokes) 10 points EW. Each way system. Short priced first and second favourites. We're getting 3.40 for the place, compared to a lay price of 2.72 on Betfair, and the win price on Betfair is 12.50, slightly less than we're getting. Since all other bookmakers have lower prices (as low as 8/1), I'll take the 12/1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 13, 2006 Author Share Posted February 13, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Opera Comica placed, so that's a 14 point profit. Starting Bank: 1000 Current Bank: 1526.07 Total Staked: 1500 W/P/L: 12/23/40 Profit/Loss: +526.07 (Win +292.33, Place +233.74) Yield: +35.07% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 14, 2006 Author Share Posted February 14, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 2.00 Southwell Kintbury Cross (13/2 Stan James) 10 points EW. A race with an odds-on favourite. We're getting 2.30 for the place compared with a lay price of 1.82 on Betfair, and the win price on Betfair is 7.80, just a little higher than we're getting. Other bookies have prices as low as 9/2, so I'll take the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 14, 2006 Author Share Posted February 14, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Placed, for a 3 point profit. Starting Bank: 1000 Current Bank: 1529.07 Total Staked: 1520 W/P/L: 12/24/40 Profit/Loss: +529.07 (Win +282.33, Place +246.74) Yield: +34.81% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 15, 2006 Author Share Posted February 15, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 5.00 Musselburgh Sparron Hawk (10/1 Betfred) 10 points EW. Each way system. The favourite is odds on. We're getting 3.00 for the place, compared to a lay price of 2.36 on Betfair. The win price on Betfair is also 10/1. Other bookies go a lot lower than 10/1, so I'll take the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 15, 2006 Author Share Posted February 15, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 4.50 Lingfield Oasis Sun (25/1 Ladbrokes) 10 points EW. Each way system. The favourite is about even money. We're getting 7.25 for the place, if 12 runners start, compared to a lay price of 5.7 on Betfair, and the Betfair win price is 27.00, only slightly more than we're getting. Since many bookmakers have cut this to as low as 16/1 already, I'll take the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 15, 2006 Author Share Posted February 15, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Two losers today, for a loss of 40 points. Starting Bank: 1000 Current Bank: 1489.07 Total Staked: 1560 W/P/L: 12/24/42 Profit/Loss: +489.07 (Win +262.33, Place +226.74) Yield: +31.35% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aphex Method Posted February 15, 2006 Share Posted February 15, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Unlucky today Slapdash, keep up the good work. Cheers! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 My first candidate: 1.20 Southwell, Abbeygate @11 (Stanjames) Betfair: To win @11, 1-3 @3 (we get 3,5) Other bookies have 9-10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 16, 2006 Author Share Posted February 16, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 2.40 Taunton Blushing Bull and Blue Business (both 11/2 at Sporting Odds) 10 points EW on each. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 16, 2006 Share Posted February 16, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Abbeygate came 4th but two non-runners cut it to 3places:( Since we had only one race I managed to make some snapshots: http://members.chello.cz/slh/ It might help someone. I put extra money on Blue Business (@SP=9,5) when the price hit 10 so the today loss is not so big (2,7 for place against 1,9-2 which was in that moment). The win price was moving between 10 and 12. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 17, 2006 Author Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 2.40 Taunton Blushing Bull and Blue Business (both 11/2 at Sporting Odds) 10 points EW on each. Blue Business placed and Blushing Bull lost, so 19 points lost. Starting Bank: 1000 Current Bank: 1470.07 Total Staked: 1600 W/P/L: 12/25/43 Profit/Loss: +470.07 (Win +242.33, Place +227.74) Yield: +29.38% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 17, 2006 Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Fakenham 1.50 Tufty Hopper @11 (Sportingbet) - 3,0 for place (BF 2,4). The win price on Betfair is 12. With two favourites in this race, SP may be a better choice... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
morselis Posted February 17, 2006 Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 @slapdash SLH is your brother ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 17, 2006 Author Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Agree about Tufty Hopper, but since some bookmakers are as low as 7/1, I'll be taking the price. It'll probably turn out I'm wrong to do that, though! 1.50 Fakenham Tufty Hopper (10/1 Stan James) 10 points EW. Each way system. Short priced first and second favourites. We're getting 3.00 for the place, compared to a lay price of 2.40 on Betfair. The win price on Betfair is slightly higher, at 12.00. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 17, 2006 Author Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 4.50 Fakenham Rosita Bay (SP) 10 points EW. Each way system. Short priced first and second favourites. At the best early price of 7/1, we'd get 2.40 for the place, compared to a lay price of 1.80 on Betfair. The win price on Betfair is a bit higher, at 9.00, but the difference in place prices is enough to make up for that. Not that much difference between bookies' prices for this, so as usual in a race with two short-priced runners, I'll take SP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 17, 2006 Author Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Both placed, Rosita Bay at 13/2, which makes it a 13 point profit. Starting Bank: 1000 Current Bank: 1483.07 Total Staked: 1640 W/P/L: 12/27/43 Profit/Loss: +483.07 (Win +222.33, Place +260.74) Yield: +29.46% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 18, 2006 Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Big race at 1.10 in Haydock looks promising. Robo @51 (Sportingbet) - other bookies have 34 or 41. Win price at BF is 55 and 10 for place (we get 13,5) Kivotos @15 (Sportingbet) - other bookies have 12-13. Win price at BF is 16 and 3,75 for place (we get 4,5) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 18, 2006 Author Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Big race at 1.10 in Haydock looks promising. Robo @51 (Sportingbet) - other bookies have 34 or 41. Win price at BF is 55 and 10 for place (we get 13,5) Kivotos @15 (Sportingbet) - other bookies have 12-13. Win price at BF is 16 and 3,75 for place (we get 4,5) Kivotos is a bit close for me now, with a lay price of 3.95. But Robbo looks good. 1.10 Haydock Robbo (50/1 Sporting Odds) 10 points EW. Large handicap system. We're getting 13.50 for the place, compared to a lay price of 10.00 on Betfair, and the win price on Betfair is 50.00. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 18, 2006 Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Correct. The market has moved. The only one who left is The Reverend @12 (Sportingbet) but the difference (3,75 against 3,4) is not so significant. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 18, 2006 Author Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 3.10 Wolverhampton Creme Brulee (SP) 10 points EW. An odds-on favourite, and there has just been a non-runner. I think 11/4 is the best early price that won't have a Rule 4 deduction, which would give a place price of 1.55, compared to a lay price of 1.28 on Betfair. The Betfair win price is 4.20. I have no idea what will happen to the price, but I'll guess to take SP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 18, 2006 Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Stan James has Creme Brulee @4 but with a NR, fixed odds might be bit risky Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 18, 2006 Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Stan James has Creme Brulee @4 but with a NR' date=' fixed odds might be bit risky[/quote'] Ignore this message. I thought that the price is not adjusted by the NR...sorry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 18, 2006 Author Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 4.25 Wincanton Vinando (8/1 Blue Square) 10 points EW. Each way system. An odds on favourite. We're getting 2.60 for the place, compared to a lay price of 2.22 on Betfair, and the win price on Betfair is the same, 9.00. This is as low as 6/1 in places, so I'll take the price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 18, 2006 Author Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Ignore this message. I thought that the price is not adjusted by the NR...sorry. I'm actually not sure whether Stan James have formed a new market (in which case the 3/1 would stand). Often bookmakers don't make this clear on their sites, though you can phone them to check. I assumed earlier that they hadn't yet formed a new market, as they didn't seem to have made any adjustments following the NR, but it's been a while now and they still haven't adjusted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 18, 2006 Author Share Posted February 18, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 Vinando was placed and the other two lost. That's a 34 point loss. Starting Bank: 1000 Current Bank: 1449.07 Total Staked: 1700 W/P/L: 12/28/45 Profit/Loss: +449.07 (Win +192.33, Place +256.74) Yield: +26.42% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 19, 2006 Share Posted February 19, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 I'm actually not sure whether Stan James have formed a new market (in which case the 3/1 would stand). Often bookmakers don't make this clear on their sites, though you can phone them to check. I assumed earlier that they hadn't yet formed a new market, as they didn't seem to have made any adjustments following the NR, but it's been a while now and they still haven't adjusted. Interesting. When I was placing my bet NR the horse was listed as a NR so I would expect that the price was already adjusted. New lesson for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapdash Posted February 19, 2006 Author Share Posted February 19, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 I'm away for the next week, and probably won't be able to post selections here until Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLH Posted February 19, 2006 Share Posted February 19, 2006 Re: Slapdash systems 2006 I'm away for the next week, and probably won't be able to post selections here until Saturday. Good to know this. Have fun! Whatever you are going to do:cow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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