black rabbit Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 (edited) Forest Of Dean 3 20 Stwl/ 1/40th of a pt ew 33/1 Alaphilippe 3 08Chp/ 1/40th of a pt ew 20/1 Howth 4 30 Sth/ 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1 First Emperor 5 05 Sth/ 1/40th of a pt ew 28/1 - 3rd Edited February 24 by black rabbit N/R yossa6133, The Brigadier, LEE-GRAYS and 11 others 13 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 Kempton 1.15 ITV’s eight race coverage starts with a competitive fifteen runner 2M 5F class 3 handicap hurdle. It has an open look about it and it may pay to be with last year’s winner Mark Of Gold. Gary Moore’s seven year old ran out a comfortable 14L winner from a mark 7lb lower than he races off of today. That victory was gained on good ground but he does also have winning form on soft so the underfoot conditions shouldn’t hinder him. He fell in the Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle prior to last year’s win and the same fate befell him last month in prep for this contest. At a decent price he’s worth an each way play with additional places in a a wide open handicap under Caoilin Quinn who continues to impress and can still claim 3lb.Bottom weight Sea Invasion is the one I fear most against the selection. MARK OF GOLD 1 point each way @ 16/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Kempton 1.50 The first Grade race of the day is the Grade 2 Coral Adonis Juvenile Hurdle run over 2M with six juvenile hurdlers facing the judge. The race is likely to be run at a blistering pace wit impressive front running last time out winners Captain Marvellous and Givemefive sure to set searching fractions. Both may be playing for place money mind as the Paul Nicholls trained Kalif Du Berlais is a confident selection. He has to shoulder a 5lb penalty here for his victory at Compiegne in France last October, which seems harsh considering that was a newcomers race. He made a scintillating British debut when running away with a class 2 juvenile hurdle over course and distance last month. The 3rd and 5th have won since to give the form a solid look and although chasing will no doubt be his game as his part owner John Hales is in print stating that he was bought to win a Gold Cup he can retain his unbeaten record today. KALIF DU BERLAIS 2 points win @ 10/11 bet365 Newcastle 2.08 A stamina sapping contest is in store here with the 4M 1F 56 yard Betting.Bet Eider Handicap Chase run on heavy ground which has attracted a field of thirteen. We’re going to need a thorough stayer here and with the likes of improvers Anglers Crag and Fenland Tiger yet to race beyond 3M 2F it may be worth taking a chance on Sandy Thomson’s grey mare Flower Of Scotland. Shes proved her ability to stay and handle very testing ground when winning the Borders National at Kelso back in December 2022 in easy style off of a handicap mark 6lb lower than today’s. Lightly raced since and with the trainer in excellent form, winning with four of his last 13 runners, at time of writing, she could represent each way value with Sean Quinlan taking over for the first time. FLOWER OF SCOTLAND 1 point each way @ 6/1 William Hill 1/5th 12345 Kempton 2.27 A small but select field of six novice chasers line up for this Grade 2 Coral Pendil Novices’ Chase run over 2M 4F 110 yards.Bar outsider Soul Icon there’s only 4lb between the remaining quintet and it may pay to be with the five year old mare Arclight who receives a earthy 11lb allowance for age and sex. She’s unbeaten in three starts over fences here, Exeter and Wincanton. It’s the victory at the latter that gives her a big chance here. She beat Thursday’s Irish listed winner Marsh Wren by a coupe of lengths that day and with plenty in her favour can beat the likes of Tahmuras, who looks the biggest danger as his trainer Paul Nicholls has an excellent record in the race. ARCLIGHT 1 point win @ 5/1 bet365 Southwell 2.45 A field of eleven turn up for this 5F listed BetUK Hever Sprint Stakes. There is a stand out bet in the race in the shape of the Robert Cowell trained Clarendon House who is officially 7lb and upwards the best here. He seems to have stepped his game up since being gelded last August, winning at Wolverhampton and over course and distance when he broke the 5F track record. Not disgraced in fourth in a Group 2 in Dubai last month he stands out here with his main danger Diligent Harry possibly better at 6F. CLARENDON COURT 2 points win @ 11/10 bet365 Kempton 3.00 We have eight novice hurdles lining up here for the Grade 2 Coral Dovecote Novices’ Hurdle, run over 2M. Sam Thomas’s Lump Sun came from some way back to push the favourite Jeriko Du Reponet in the Grade 2 Rossington Main Novices’ Hurdle at Doncaster last month with one of today’s rivals Fiercely Proud just 3/4L behind at the line when finishing runner up and giving a real scare to favourite backers. Dai Walters’s six year old had previously won in maiden/novice company at Ffos Las and Wincanton and looks the one they all have to beat today under Sam Twiston-Davies. LUMP SUN 1 point win @ 15/8 William Hill Southwell 3.20 The track host their first running of the BetUK Winter Derby having been transferred from Lingfield. The race features six runners for this £56,710 first prize and is run over 1M 3F which is a a furlong further than last year. That extra furlong may well be against last years one - two Lord North and Tyrrhenian Sea and with the former being aimed at a remarkable fourth win of the Dubai Turf next month may have to play second fiddle to Charlie Appleby’s Military Order who was only just denied in the Winter Derby trial here 30 days ago over course and distance. Appleby is running at 50% wins to runs at present and he can out stay his rivals here under Danny Tudhope who was on board last time when going down by a neck to Enemy. MILITARY ORDER 1 point win @ 9/4 Betfred Kempton 3.37 The feature handicap on the Kempton card is the 3M Coral Trophy Handicap Chase which has a field of twelve. The race has an open look about it with last year’s runner up Flegmatik likely to be high on anyones list. Dan Skelton’s chestnut only went down by neck to Our Power last year and although he is 5lb higher today comes into the race on the back of a cosy 2L win over course and distance last month from Cheltenham hopeful Chianti Classico bringing his course record to three wins from 6 runs. Another horse who appears to like this track is the Nicky Henderson trained Tweed Skirt who is two from three here and can also run well although very soft ground may be a bit of an issue. FLEGMATIK 1 point each way @ 5/1 William Hill 1/5th 1234 tonythepaint, Gary66, black rabbit and 10 others 12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted February 23 Share Posted February 23 (edited) Givemefive 1:50 Kempton (4/1 Bet365 boost). I'll probably regret taking on The Brigadier's 2pt selection 😁 but this one was hugely impressive at Warwick and I was expecting it to be long odds on next time out. The form hasn't really worked out with the 2nd and 3rd running only ok next time but for me he was even more visually impressive than the fav. Gets a handy 5lb from the fav here, clearly loves the soft, was slick over the hurdles and just looked pretty relentless. 1pt win Bet365 (4/1 on boost). No complaints, just not as good as the winner. P/L: +0.1pt Edited February 24 by yossa6133 black rabbit, tonythepaint, richard-westwood and 7 others 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Coral trophy Flegmatik. 8.9 7/1 4 places Tweed skirt 8.7 15/2 5 places These two are a little clear of rest so I'll try 5 PT Ew both 😁 anaconda69, yossa6133, azzybear and 8 others 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Six stats to help you beat the bookies on Saturday - Newcastle Danny McMenamin has been riding at the top of his game in the past two weeks, enjoying five winners from 18 rides (28 per cent). He has two rides at Newcastle, where he has had five winners from 26 rides this season. His best chance of the day is the Nicky Richards-trained Marown in the 2m4f handicap chase (3.27). The ten-year-old has not won since March 2021 but he has posted some decent efforts at Ayr in recent starts. McMenamin also rides Prince Des Fichaux in the feature, the 4m1½f Eider Chase (2.08) Kempton Christian Williams is operating at a massive 19 per cent strike-rate in 3m+ handicap chases since 2017, having won 47 times with 252 runners, at a profit of +78.98 to a £1 level stake. In today's £150,000 Coral Trophy (3.37) he sends out Cap Du Nord who needs to find his form again having not won for nine starts. He has plummeted down the handicap as a result and runs here out of the handicap off 126, 8lb higher than his current mark, but it is worth remembering he went off 7-2 favourite for this race last season off a mark of 132 so he is not without a chance. Chepstow Stuart Edmunds is the most in-form trainer in Britain right now, operating at a strike-rate of 80 per cent, having sent out four winners from his last five runners. He has two runners on the seven-race card, including the consistent Bubble Dai, who has finished third or better in seven of his 11 career starts. The seven-year-old bids for a second win in the 2m handicap hurdle (1.58). Edmunds also sends out Gentleman At Arms, who attempts to cause an upset in the 2m7½f handicap hurdle (3.08). The field also includes Walking On Air and Grade 1 winner Monmiral. Fairyhouse Grand National-winning trainer Emmet Mullins is no stranger to success at this venue. He has sent out four winners from seven runners here this campaign and is operating at a 57 per cent strike-rate. Mullins' sole runner of the day comes in the 2m handicap hurdle (2.03), with Toll Stone bidding to add to his course-and-distance success last time out. The four-year-old has showed massive progress since joining the yard by improving his Racing Post Rating on each of his first three starts. Donagh Meyler takes the ride and the pair have a big chance. Southwell John and Thady Gosden are operating at a 21 per cent strike-rate at the Nottinghamshire track in the past five seasons, with seven winners from 33 runners in that period. Group 1 winner Lord North makes his long-awaited return in the Group 3 BetUK Winter Derby (3.20), a race he won last year, and he provides the yard with their best chance of a winner. Robert Havlin takes the ride and he has won twice in three starts (67 per cent) when teaming up with the joint-trainers this year. Forest Of Dean, winner of this race in 2021, also represents the Gosdens in this contest. Chelmsford Trainer Amy Murphy has enjoyed most of her success this year at the Essex track, sending out three winners from seven runners and operating at a 43 per cent strike-rate. Her sole runner of the day is Tremblant in the 7f handicap (7.20). The four-year-old is making his fourth start for the yard and made significant improvement when fifth at Newcastle last time out. The son of Shamardal will once again be equipped with a tongue-tie, and the addition of cheekpieces should help him settle more quickly and get into a rhythm. MCLARKE, Brahmin, anaconda69 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Tommie Beau 14/1 Coral - 14:08 Newcastle - 4 places Sam Brown 16/1 bet 365 - 15:37 Kempton - 4 places 2 x singles - each way double azzybear, tonythepaint, richard-westwood and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonythepaint Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 Running total -£2 Bet 2 yossa6133, azzybear, richard-westwood and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 AW selection Chelmsford 6.20 KING CABO azzybear, black rabbit, anaconda69 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 What's happening at Kempton ...... 7 non runners in the first race 👀 black rabbit and MCLARKE 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brahmin Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 (edited) Hi all, Off to nice start at Newcastle with Moon Chime 8/11 WON Kemp 1.15 Joker de Mai 11/4 Mark of Gold 9/2 WON ( thanks to @Brigadier selection 👌 ) New 1.38 Netywell 4/5 WON Kemp 1.50 Kalif Du Berlais 4/5 WON 10/11 Givemefive 7/2 plus a R/Fcast 11/8 WON Kem 2.27 Blow your Wad 13/8 WON ( late bet so went with the money & Meg Nicholls tip ) Kemp 3.00 Panjari top 3 finish @ EVS ( betfair P Nicholls boost ) South 3.20 Lord North 7/4 ( Daily Nap ) Kem 3.37 Blackjack Magic 9/2 Forward Plan 9/1 EW WON 4 places 7 WINS 🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆 for very nice profitable afternoon......7th win made it over 250pts profit 👌 💷 Edited February 24 by Brahmin anaconda69 and The Brigadier 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 horn cape 4.00 The Equaliser and anaconda69 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 pepe le moko 4.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 twilight glory 4.18 anaconda69 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 cello 4.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 star zink 6.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGC Posted February 24 Share Posted February 24 720 C Tremblant 7/1 ew Amy Murphy 2 from 3 here this season +39 lsp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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