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Racing Chat - Tuesday 4th July


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Stratford 7.10 

Cracking Destiny 9.39 5/1 won 10/1

Admiral Sunset 9.27 5/1

Romanor 9.17 6/1

Sea Prince 9.1 10/3 

Sau 9.04  5/1

8 horse race with the top 5 tightly group together . The ratings aren’t giving much away and neither are the bookies. Cracking Destiny might be on the decline but he’s been running respectably and continues to drop down the weights. Third run after wind op and watching his previous two races after a break there is enough to like to think he can win this . 
 

5 points win 5/1 bog 

Edited by Villa Chris
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Stradford.

Single.

5.40. Thoroeness          9/2   unpl

stk 5.00      rtn  27.50'

 

Patent'

2.15. Ham. Midnight Lir           11/10     unpl

2.47. Ham. Hale Ena                   3/1       unpl

7.30. Passing Time                      5/2      1st 

stk 3.50.      rtn.  32.28.

Good luck all.

 

Edited by kensland
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12 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

Stratford 7.10 

Cracking Destiny 9.39 5/1

Admiral Sunset 9.27 5/1

Romanor 9.17 6/1

Sea Prince 9.1 10/3 

Sau 9.04  5/1

8 horse race with the top 5 tightly group together . The ratings aren’t giving much away and neither are the bookies. Cracking Destiny might be on the decline but he’s been running respectably and continues to drop down the weights. Third run after wind op and watching his previous two races after a break there is enough to like to think he can win this . 
 

5 points win 5/1 bog 

Might give Sao another chance at 6/1, on a great mark now. Tricky to win with as he's a lunatic. Jumped well and looked like getting the job done at Perth last time (1/5 in running) but had got very hot and sweaty pre-race and that probably cost him.

 

Giving up on that one, jumped and travelled well but didn't find much. Props to Villa Chris 10/1 winner :clap 

Edited by yossa6133
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Roscommon

5.50  Emorcee

6.20  Hell Left Loose

6.50  Ikigal Star

7.20 Saraquel

7.50 Angels Wrath/ Sionnache  Eile

Tipperary

1.35  Lodestar

3.05 Lake Chad

3.35  Benz/ Look don't Touch

4.35 Hard Rain

5.10 Dreamsrmadeofthis

Brighton

3.27  Letter of the law

5.02 Kondratriev 

Hamilton Wave

 4.17 Prospect/ Ramon Di Loria

4.52 Acongagua Mountain/ James Watt

Flos Las

7.30  Change of Fortune

8.30 Fast steps

9.00 Jerseys Gift 

Stratford- on - Avon

8.40 Plaisir  Des Flos

 

All E/W 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Libby48
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Beginners chase Tipperary 1.35

I've picked the bones out of this one.

Gordon Elliott has a runner here while

Rosey's hollow is now long odds on as finest evermore has defected. The trip would have been too sharp anyway.

The Elliott horse could get involved here as a winner close to the trip and the yard have the inside track on the favourite as lieutenant highway beat her. But at the price that runner too is left due to a potentially patchy chase record.

 

Rosey's has been placed in a decent chase but the bookies are going very mean on even the winning distance. There have been a few problems with Rosey's though including a tip up very early recently. Odds on backers may be in for a shock 😲.

This company should not hold any fears for Rosey's but I'm going to have a couple of small win bets on two of the outside runners, youngsters with little weight to carry. If they lose as expected, you lose very little. 

What should happen here is

return to base scraps this out with both Rosey's hollow and the corner house.

The blazing Queen

The corner house

Both win.

 

Edited by sporting sam
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Roscioli 2:25 Brighton (6/1).  Seemed to appreciate return to turf when winning a match over this course and distance last month.  Given RPR of 73 for that and runs off same mark of 65 again today. Seems well drawn in 3.

Sporting Sam and MCCLARKE have gone for a different selection each in this, so between the three of us we should have a chance 😝

 

Got the lead but looked a sitting duck for the fav....chalk another one up to Sporting Sam 👌

Edited by yossa6133
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First Time - In a Chase Handicap Midnight It Is.

Tipperary 3.05

Top weight

Shanroe Al C

Each way

Has seen good money here.

Midnight it is

Win

Chase handicap debut

Rated 121 over hurdles starts here off 104 so work out theoretically how well In he could be yourselves.

Gavin Cromwell has two runners here and is always hard to second guess.

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Very very wrong with the Brighton selection.

You must check every horse.

 

Rosscommon 5.20

Eternal silence and Betty blue eyes give a huge form line to 

Gypsy woman

Win

Here. Eternal silence was a short head ahead of the selection and raced in the guineas. Gypsy woman's rating has gone up to 87 and watching eternal silence's demolition job the other day suggests if on song gypsy woman will be losing the maiden tag here.

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Roscommon 7.50

Espionage looks a very strong hope for Aidan O'Brien here. His record is not good in this race though.

Ryan Moore is over for the ride and although he looks a very smart prospect I'll pass..

 

 

Jackfinbar debuts for Willie Mullins has a stall 5 draw. Billy Lee rides. 1708 days since a win at Longchamp. Group three winner.

Angel's wrath runs for the form trainer johnny murtagh.

Jackfinbar.         

Angel's wrath

Both each way 

 

Jackfinbar returns at 18/1 sp

in from a massive 40/1 earlier.

 

 

Edited by sporting sam
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Roscommon 7.20

Knocklane Lass

Persian Queen

Both each way

Draw data suggests the lightly raced kl has a chance from stall 6 and bottom weight.

A whole host of the top weights are Galway bound and may be too good for the selections.

Edited by sporting sam
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12 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

Stratford 7.10 

Cracking Destiny 9.39 5/1 won 10/1

Admiral Sunset 9.27 5/1

Romanor 9.17 6/1

Sea Prince 9.1 10/3 

Sau 9.04  5/1

8 horse race with the top 5 tightly group together . The ratings aren’t giving much away and neither are the bookies. Cracking Destiny might be on the decline but he’s been running respectably and continues to drop down the weights. Third run after wind op and watching his previous two races after a break there is enough to like to think he can win this . 
 

5 points win 5/1 bog 

Won at 10/1 50 points profit 

P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +145.19

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Fos las

9pm

Ocean reach

Ew

King Charles

Win

*********************************

two winners after the Lord mayor's show yesterday.

Darvel was given a winning ride by billy Loughnane on first run in a class six.

Gypsy woman made every post a winning one.

Walnut Beach 7/1- 6/1 (E/W) just held by IA Connect thanks to a super ride by Kennedy. His first winner back from injury.

Jackfinbar returned placed at 18/1 from 40s on debut for Willie Mullins.

Not the usual level but had a tricast attempt today.

Edited by sporting sam
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On 7/4/2023 at 6:28 AM, Villa Chris said:

Stratford 7.10 

Cracking Destiny 9.39 5/1 won 10/1

Admiral Sunset 9.27 5/1

Romanor 9.17 6/1

Sea Prince 9.1 10/3 

Sau 9.04  5/1

8 horse race with the top 5 tightly group together . The ratings aren’t giving much away and neither are the bookies. Cracking Destiny might be on the decline but he’s been running respectably and continues to drop down the weights. Third run after wind op and watching his previous two races after a break there is enough to like to think he can win this . 
 

5 points win 5/1 bog 

Nice winner, I was on very early, it had dropped 18lbs in the weights and the small stable had sent just 1 runner on a 536 mile round trip. 🤑

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