Premier League Predictions > Sep 16th - 18th

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

The Premier League is back next weekend with a full schedule. The Brighton versus Crystal Palace game has been postponed due to the anticipated rail strikes but all other games currently go ahead. Take a look at the odds and ratings above then tell us your predictions for this week's matches! 

[Mrsha]

Fulham dnb @1.93
Min price to bet: dnb @1.83 or -1/4 @2.18
Model +value: yes, strong
Significant team news: first choice lb Robinson doubtful for Fulham (wng Wilson still out); cb Niakhate still out for Nottingham
Note: Nottingham Forest were the big spenders this summer, with 20+ new signings and >200m gbp spent on new players, they have basically a completely new squad, save for a few players, and while this is still a big club and big name, the return to EPL won't be easy despite all the money spent. Fulham are another newly promoted side, but they have shown so much more on the pitch in first 6 EPL games, not only that they have collected 4 points more, despite arguably more difficult schedule, but in terms of general play they have looked like a mid-table EPL side, while Forest played on ECH level so far. With current large base of quality players the hosts should improve over time, but at the moment we see the visitors as touch bigger favs than market suggest, 42.5-43% aw in our est, suggesting that price on Fulham should be lower. This one is probably worth a watch for neutrals, the atmosphere in stadium should be fantastic. No real opinion on price movement tomorrow, the performances so far are one thing, however Forest do have their backers, they are the bigger 'name' and fancy pick to do well due to all the investment made.

[malabgd]

Aston Villa vs Southampton

2022-09-16T21:00+02:00

 

Aston Villa

Doubtful: Emi Martínez (6/0 first goalkeeper), Robin Olsen (0/0 g), Ollie Watkins (6/1 f, illness)

Out (injuries/other): Matty Cash (6/0 d), Jan Bednarek (0/0 d, loan from Southampton), Diego Carlos (2/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Southampton

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Romeo Lavia (5/1 m), Tino Livramento (0/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Overall Stats
Aston Villa 3 home games	Southampton 3 away games

1.0	Goals scored per game	1.0
1.0	Goals conceded per game	2.0
0%	Clean sheets	0%
67%	Team scored	67%
33%	Team scored twice	33%
33%	Scored in both halves	0%
33%	Goal in both halves	33%

[StefanBB]

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham

Nottingham Forest won't want a repeat of their last result here after the 3-2 Premier League defeat in their previous game at the hands of Bournemouth. Although they had a 2-0 lead at halftime, the hosts spilled their effort in the second part of the match and ended it empty-handed. In their preceding six fixtures, Steve Cooper's Nottingham Forest have hit the target a combined total of seven times which gives them an average number of goals scored per match of 1.17. They signed a bunch of players this summer to help them avoid relegation, but the hosts should start winning more points. There's just the sole fitness concern for the Nottingham Forest manager Steve Cooper to be concerned with due to a largely intact set of players. Moussa Niakhaté (Hamstring Injury) is sidelined.

Since being defeated in their last game at the hands of Tottenham Hotspur in Premier League competition, Fulham will be hoping to turn things around here. Looking at their form, Fulham has been scored against in 5 of their last six matches, conceding nine goals in total. Defensively, the Cottagers have not been doing too well. On the other hand, the coach can count on the Serb Mitrovic. Indispensable last year in the Championship (43 goals), he has also displayed formidable efficiency this season in the Premier League (6 goals in 6 games). Fulham manager Marco Silva has multiple availability issues to deal with. Antonee Robinson (Ankle Injury), Harry Wilson (Knee Injury), and Manor Solomon (Knee Surgery) will miss out on this game.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It is going to be a tight clash in which both teams have a chance to win points. Therefore, we think the fairest outcome of this encounter should be a draw.

Goals Market Prediction

Neither side has been tight in defense, while they have been solid in the final third. It should be an entertaining encounter in which both teams should be able to find the back of the rival's net.

Draw @ 3.50

BTTS Yes @ 1.75

Correct score 1:1 @ 6.50

[StevieDay1983]

Aston Villa vs Southampton

The Premier League weekend begins with a double header on Friday evening and the first of those I'm looking at is the clash between Aston Villa and Southampton in an 8pm BST start from Villa Park. The alarm bells will be ringing for the home team if they don't pick up a win here against a visiting side that aren't much higher placed in the table and haven't exactly thrived on their travels lately.

Aston Villa have endured a disappointing start to their league campaign with Steve Gerrard's men picking up just 4 points from their opening 6 league matches leaving the team down in 17th position in the table. The Villans have now won just 1 of their last 10 league games stretching back to last season. The club were relegated in each of the last three seasons when they lost 5 of their opening 7 league games to a top flight season so no pressure here! Defensive frailties are still a concern for Gerrard with the team failing to keep a clean sheet in their previous 11 league games. Issues are present at both ends of the pitch mind with the team scoring more than 1 goal in a league game on just a single occasion so far this season.

Southampton are living up to their reputation of being the most unpredictable side in the top flight. Ralph Hasenhuttl's players have earned 7 points from 6 league matches with the team currently in 12th place in the league table. The Saints have followed each win with a loss but have also picked up points in the game following any defeat they suffered. Their last league outing saw an underwhelming 1-0 defeat away to Wolves so there is a certain expectation that they should pick up at least a draw here. Interestingly, every single point the team have picked up this season has been clawed back from a losing position. Definite slow starters in games but you can't fault their character and fight. It's also a fascinating stat that Southampton have earned 13 points from a possible 15 points from their last 5 league games played on a Friday night. The 12 league games without a clean sheet is a worry though.

I'm fully expecting the goals here with both teams enduring long runs without keeping a clean sheet. Aston Villa just don't seem to be kicking on under Gerrard like many anticipated and it's beginning to feel like the start of the end unless there's a major turn around in performances and form. Southampton are doing what Southampton do. Teasing a rise up the table only to be their own worst enemy. I wouldn't be surprised to see Southampton snatch a win here though. Villa just don't seem right at the moment.

Southampton Draw No Bet @ 2.60 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.76 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Nottingham Forest vs Fulham

The second preview I'm covering from the Friday night double header in the Premier League is the 8pm BST kick-off between newly promoted teams Nottingham Forest and Fulham from the City Ground. The home team will be hoping to end their current winless run against an opponent that has shown the qualities required to stay up this season. Can either team get a win to boost their confidence levels?

Nottingham Forest took a big risk this off-season spending vast sums of money on bringing new players in for their first Premier League campaign since 1999. The Tricky Trees have shown moments of that gamble paying off but it remains just 4 points earned from their 6 league matches with a goal difference of -10 and the team down in 19th position. Steve Cooper will have been disappointed with the last two league results of a 6-0 loss away to Manchester City followed by a 3-2 defeat at home to Bournemouth. The three league defeats in a row is Forest's worst losing streak in the top division since 1992. The team have conceded a division-high 100 shots on goal this season which not only suggests frailties at the back but holes in the defensive set-up of their midfield. 

Fulham are undoubtedly looking the best-placed out of the newly promoted sides to stay up this season. Marco Silva's men have taken 8 points from their 6 league matches thus far with the team currently situated in 10th place. Home form has been key to that with the Cottagers unbeaten on home surface but it's a contrasting story on their travels with the team yet to pick up a victory on the road in the league this season. It's now no win in 7 away matches across all competitions for the West London club. Being able to convert their chances is making a huge difference for Fulham with their average goals scored per game this season of 1.50 over double that of their last Premier League campaign which was just 0.70. Striker Aleksandar Mitrovic could make history by becoming the first Fulham player to score in 5 consecutive league games for the club.

This will be the first top flight league meeting between these two teams since a 1-1 draw at this venue back in 1968. Fulham have won on each of their last three league visits to Nottingham Forest's ground and given how both teams have been playing recently you'd have to feel they are worth backing here. It'll be interesting to see how the week off has allowed Forest to prepare for bouncing back from the demoralising loss to Bournemouth. I still feel they are a tricky team to beat at home. I just think it's all too much change in one go for Forest and Fulham's more familiar and cohesive set up should see them get the win.

Fulham to Win @ 2.62 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Aleksandar Mitrovic @ 2.38 with Betfred

[yossa6133]

I'd make us favourites against Fulham. The Bournemouth result was very disappointing but we've shown enough glimpses of what we can do to give fans some hope! It was always going to take a while to integrate so many new players. The break since the last game will have done us the world of good and given Cooper the chance to work his magic on the training ground.

[StevieDay1983]

Wolves vs Manchester City

The Premier League may have a slightly reduced fixture schedule this weekend but the 12:30pm BST kick-off on Saturday afternoon between Wolves and Manchester City at Molineux remains unaffected. The home team are starting to pick up points after a slow start but they face their toughest challenge yet in a visiting side that are the reigning champions and looking like strong favourites to retain their league title.

Wolves had to wait 6 league games for their first league win of the season but not only has that single victory lifted the team up to 14th position in the table but it now means they are unbeaten in their last 3 league matches. It was also the club's first win in 13 league games stretching back to last season. The club also announced the free transfer signing of experienced striker Diego Costa this week in an effort to bolster their attacking strengths. Wanderers have only managed to score 3 goals from their 6 league games so far so it's a much-needed acquisition with Raul Jimenez and Sasa Kalajdzic both out injured. The positive news is that Bruno Lage's side boast the best defensive record in the top flight having conceded just 4 goals in their 6 league matches so far.

Manchester City continue to look every bit the reigning champions. Pep Guardiola's side are in 2nd place and just 1 point off the top of the table having won 4 and drawn 2 of their first 6 league matches. The Citizens have dropped points in each of their last two league games on the road so this is far from a done deal. It is a club record 21 away league games without loss for City though. Erling Haaland is proving to be quite the summer signing and the Norwegian front man has scored 10 league goals which is more than 13 teams in the Premier League have scored. Haaland has a chance to make history here by becoming the first player in Premier League history to score a goal in each of his first 4 away league matches played at this level.

This is a battle between the team with the lowest shots to goal conversion rate in Wolves (4%) and the team with the highest shots to goal conversion rate in Manchester City (19.6%). There was a brief period recently under Nuno Santo where Wolves had the better of City but in recent times it's been City who have dominated winning each of the last four meetings by a 13-3 aggregate score. I can see City taking another solid win here with Wolves still struggling to score. I'm not sure Costa is the answer to their problems. Especially in a game like this.

Manchester City HT/FT @ 1.95 with Sporting Index

Anytime Scorer: Erling Haaland @ 1.72 with Bet365

[StevieDay1983]

Newcastle vs Bournemouth

The Premier League only offers a single 3pm BST kick-off on Saturday afternoon due to the postponed encounter between Brighton and Crystal Palace. The one going ahead is between Newcastle and Bournemouth from St James' Park. It's the two teams sitting furthest apart from each other geographically with the home team coming into this as firm favourites against an away side that are showing signs of some fight now.

Newcastle are experiencing an interesting start to the season with the team only suffering 1 loss from their opening 6 league games but now without a victory in their previous 5 league matches. The Magpies are in 11th place having drawing 4 of their 6 league encounters so far. The absence of Bruno Guimaraes and Callum Wilson has certainly impacted the progress of the team but with those two and Allan Saint Maximin all potential doubts for this game there's not necessarily an end to their injury woes yet. Eddie Howe has seen his team lose just 1 of their last 13 home league matches under his management. The team are also undefeated in all 6 of their league games against newly promoted teams under Howe. In Nick Pope, Newcastle boast one of the best shot stoppers in the league with the former Burnley man saving 82.4% of the shots he has faced.

Bournemouth come into this game off the back of a morale-boosting 3-2 away win against fellow newly promoted side Nottingham Forest. Caretaker manager Gary O'Neil has picked up 4 points from his 2 league games in charge since the sacking of Scott Parker leaving the club in 13th position. The Cherries have conceded a staggering 18 goals in their 6 league games so far although 50% of those came in the 9-0 loss away to Liverpool. If they concede 4 goals or more here then they'll break the Premier League record for most goals conceded after 7 league games which currently stands as 21 goals by Bolton back in 2011. Strangely, Bournemouth actually have a decent win ratio in the Premier League in September of 47% which makes it their best month for victories in the top flight.

It's not nice reading for Bournemouth to see that Newcastle have only suffered 2 losses from the last 8 league meetings in this fixture. Both of those defeats did come at this ground though. I just feel Newcastle are in a much healthier position right now. Bournemouth might be enjoying the new manager bounce but the gap in matches came at the wrong time and any momentum they built in those last two league games will have been stunted. A solid home win is on the cards for me here.

Newcastle -1 @ 2.25 with Betfair

Newcastle to Win to Nil @ 2.38 with SpreadEx

[StefanBB]

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leicester City

Tottenham Hotspur will want a better result here after a 2-0 Champions League losing effort in their last game against Sporting Lisbon. On the other hand, they sit in 3rd place in the Premier League, being leveled with the second-placed Manchester City. Under three goals per match were scored during 5 of the past six meetings where Tottenham Hotspur has been involved. Regarding the goal split in that period, their opponents scored a total of four while Tottenham Hotspur managed a tally of eight. There aren’t many selection issues, with just a single fitness concern for the Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte to contend with due to a largely intact group. Lucas Moura (Calf Injury) is sidelined.

Following on from suffering a loss in their previous game against Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League competition, Leicester City and their fans will hope to get a better result this time. The Foxes cannot be happy with their start of the season since they picked up just one point in the first six rounds. Demonstrating their involvement in action-packed encounters, goals have been seen as many as 20 times in the previous six matches in which Leicester City has taken to the field, yielding an average of 3.33 goals each clash. Opposing teams have got 14 of those goals. Leicester City boss Brendan Rodgers has to contend with a number of unavailable players. Ryan Bertrand (Knee Surgery) and Ricardo Pereira (Achilles tendon rupture) won’t be making appearances.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

The Foxes have been in an abysmal streak of five straight defeats, while the Spurs are in a much better momentum. Tottenham should continue with good displays in the Premier League and celebrate another victory.

Goals Market Prediction

Nine of their last 11 head-to-head clashes went over a 2.5 margin, and we expect the tradition of high-scoring matches to continue. Therefore, we should see these two sides producing at least three goals in total.

Tottenham Hotspur to Win @ 1.50

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.65

Correct score 3:1 @ 12.00

[StevieDay1983]

Tottenham vs Leicester

The final game of the day in the Premier League on Saturday is the 5:30pm BST kick-off between Tottenham and Leicester from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. These two teams have experienced contrasting starts to the season with the home side looking like firm Champions League qualification contenders already but the away team are at risk of going into the September international break bottom of the top flight and without a win to their name.

Tottenham look very solid on the domestic front under Antonio Conte but they did suffer a setback in the Champions League in midweek with that late 2-0 defeat away to Sporting CP. Spurs are still in 3rd position in the league and only 1 point off the summit. It's been 4 wins and 2 draws from their 6 league games so far and the team have won each of their 3 home league matches played and have now won 6 home league games in a row including last season. My immediate bet that lights up is Harry Kane for anytime scorer. The England striker has bagged 19 goals, including 17 goals in the league, against Leicester. Conte also loves playing against Leicester having gone unbeaten, including earning 7 victories, in 8 encounters against the Foxes.

Leicester come into this game propping up the top flight league table. Brendan Rodgers is coming under pressure to start picking up wins with the team losing 5 of their 6 league games and not earning a point since their opening weekend 2-2 draw with Brentford at home. The club couldn't even manage to beat Stockport in the EFL Cup 2nd Round over 90 minutes needing a 3-1 win on pens to progress. 16 goals conceded in their 6 league games so far emphasises where the problem is but it's also clear that previously their attacking qualities have bailed them out when they've been weak at the back. That's not happening now. Jamie Vardy, Kelechi Iheanacho, and Patson Daka have scored 2 league goals between them this season.

I think it's clear that Tottenham are the heavy favourites for this one but the big question is whether they can keep a clean sheet or not. I'm confident Conte will get a reaction from his team after that defeat out in Portugal in midweek. Kane also has a stunning scoring record against Leicester at the best of times so with their defensive performances so fragile at the minute I can see him getting a goal or two. Leicester's misery is set to continue and you have to wonder at what point the owners start feeling that action to rectify the situation is necessary?

Tottenham HT/FT @ 2.32 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Harry Kane @ 1.90 with Bet365

[alexcaruso808]

3 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

Tottenham vs Leicester

The final game of the day in the Premier League on Saturday is the 5:30pm BST kick-off between Tottenham and Leicester from the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. These two teams have experienced contrasting starts to the season with the home side looking like firm Champions League qualification contenders already but the away team are at risk of going into the September international break bottom of the top flight and without a win to their name.

Tottenham look very solid on the domestic front under Antonio Conte but they did suffer a setback in the Champions League in midweek with that late 2-0 defeat away to Sporting CP. Spurs are still in 3rd position in the league and only 1 point off the summit. It's been 4 wins and 2 draws from their 6 league games so far and the team have won each of their 3 home league matches played and have now won 6 home league games in a row including last season. My immediate bet that lights up is Harry Kane for anytime scorer. The England striker has bagged 19 goals, including 17 goals in the league, against Leicester. Conte also loves playing against Leicester having gone unbeaten, including earning 7 victories, in 8 encounters against the Foxes.

Leicester come into this game propping up the top flight league table. Brendan Rodgers is coming under pressure to start picking up wins with the team losing 5 of their 6 league games and not earning a point since their opening weekend 2-2 draw with Brentford at home. The club couldn't even manage to beat Stockport in the EFL Cup 2nd Round over 90 minutes needing a 3-1 win on pens to progress. 16 goals conceded in their 6 league games so far emphasises where the problem is but it's also clear that previously their attacking qualities have bailed them out when they've been weak at the back. That's not happening now. Jamie Vardy, Kelechi Iheanacho, and Patson Daka have scored 2 league goals between them this season.

I think it's clear that Tottenham are the heavy favourites for this one but the big question is whether they can keep a clean sheet or not. I'm confident Conte will get a reaction from his team after that defeat out in Portugal in midweek. Kane also has a stunning scoring record against Leicester at the best of times so with their defensive performances so fragile at the minute I can see him getting a goal or two. Leicester's misery is set to continue and you have to wonder at what point the owners start feeling that action to rectify the situation is necessary?

Tottenham HT/FT @ 2.32 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Harry Kane @ 1.90 with Bet365

Stevie, as I've said to you on here before, in Kane we trust ?

[StevieDay1983]

Brentford vs Arsenal

The Premier League games are working at a reduced schedule on Sunday due to postponements because of policing issues but there are still two games going ahead with the first kicking off at 12pm BST when rivals Brentford and Arsenal go toe-to-toe at the Brentford Community Stadium. Both teams are enjoying positive starts to the season and were involved in two memorable encounters last season so will we see another epic battle here?

Brentford appear to have proved that they are now an established top flight club with Thomas Frank's side currently in 9th place with just 1 loss from their opening 6 league matches. The combination of a disciplined defence, fluid midfield, and Ivan Toney still banging in the goals at this level (congratulations to him on his overdue England call-up!) has led to the Bees silencing any individuals that suspected second season syndrome could set in. The team have only lost 1 of their last 17 home league London derby matches. Interestingly, only Manchester City have scored more league goals than Brentford this season with their 2.5 goals scored per game far better than the 1.3 goals scored per game of last season. Crazy to think that they appear to be creating more chances since Christian Eriksen left the club!

Arsenal may have been knocked off the top of the league table after the wins earned by Manchester City and Tottenham but Mikel Arteta's men can return to the summit with a victory here. The Gunners have won 5 of their opening 6 league games and they can be confident heading into this fixture having won 5 of their last 8 away league games against teams from London. There is an opportunity for the team to win three consecutive London derbies for the first time since 2015. It's also intriguing to see that each of the club's last 10 league goals scored have been scored with the left foot of a player. It is going to be interesting to see how Arsenal react after that disappointing 3-1 loss away to Manchester United. Yes, it was a gut-wrenching result but it was far from a bad performance.

I've said it all season but it feels like Arsenal are stepping it up a level this season and even though they suffered a first league defeat of the season last time out it was just one of those games that can happen to teams. Brentford are free-flowing this season but they have dropped points in 4 of their 6 league games. Admittedly, they look class at home and we all know what happened here in this fixture just over a year ago. I think this Arsenal team is stronger but in terms of quality and mentality now though and anything less than a win will feel like an under-performance.

Arsenal to Win & BTTS @ 3.40 with Bet365

Anytime Scorer: Gabriel Martinelli @ 3.10 with Bet365

[StevieDay1983]

Everton vs West Ham

The second and final game in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon will see two poorly performing teams in Everton and West Ham come to blows in a 2:15pm BST kick-off at Goodison Park. It's fair to say that neither team will be happy with where they are currently placed in the league table but at least one of these teams will be dropping points in another game here and that could set the alarm bells ringing. Which team will that be? Or will they cancel each other out?

Everton are pretty much living up (or is that down!) to expectations set for them this season. Despite Frank Lampard seemingly doing some decent work in the transfer market this summer the team continue to struggle down in 17th place with no wins from their 6 league matches played so far. The Toffees have made themselves difficult to beat having taken 4 draws from their 6 league games but having scored just 4 league goals this season they don't exactly look likely to beat teams at the moment. Star striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin could be back in the fold this week though and that's a boost. If Everton fail to win here it'll be the first time they've failed to win any of their opening 7 league games to a season since the 1994/95 season. It doesn't bode well that Lampard himself has lost 3 of his 4 league games managed against West Ham. 

West Ham will be desperately disappointed with their current league position of 18th having only managed to pick up 1 win from their opening 6 league matches. The Hammers haven't had the easiest of fixtures to start and they have been free-flowing in the Europa Conference League with wins over Viborg, FCSB and Silkeborg whilst scoring 3 goals in each of their 4 matches in that competition. David Moyes will have been pleased to see his team take 4 points from their last 3 league games against tricky opposition so it's something to build on. Unfortunately, away form is a constant bugbear for West Ham with the team losing 8 of their 12 away league games this calendar year. It is also a concern that the team have only scored 3 league goals so far this season. On Saturday, we saw Son Heung-min end his goal drought for Tottenham. Will we see the same happen for Jarrod Bowen in this game? It could be worth a cheeky punt!

This season is seeing a lot of established teams enduring slow starts and these two are examples of that. Everton are unsurprisingly down here and it'll be interesting to see how much longer the owners tolerate Lampard. West Ham are showing encouraging signs so there's little chance of Moyes being given relief from his duties. I'm not sure either team has the scoring prowess to take the win here. 7 goals between them in their first 6 league games is shocking so a low-scoring draw seems like the best value bet.

Draw @ 3.40 with QuinnBet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.88 with SBK