Valiant Thor Posted May 18, 2022 Share Posted May 18, 2022 As stated several times on this board I am not a lover of Jumps racing or Hcp's. (flat or Jumps) But as most (70% ish) of racing are Hcps that's a lot of untapped water under the bridge as they say. I have my Auto Bets bot thats been running my algorithm on BF now full time since 2016 , It updates the data every evening, it does its stuff and backs accordingly in non Hcp races without any of the should I / shouldn't I back it from myself, which is why I built it in the first place to eradicate the human element. To cut a long story short I am going to try and replicate my Auto Bet bot for Hcps So heres Version 1 ? Lets see how it goes Wildgarden, vikki37, alexcaruso808 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 18, 2022 Author Share Posted May 18, 2022 I wouldn't pay too much attention from the Ex_Odds as there algorithm is derived from Nhcp racing , I expect the ?odds to get better as it learns . The ex_odds which are fairly close to the B365 odds (@ time of posting) are the ones I'd be looking @ at the moment. Wildgarden and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 18, 2022 Author Share Posted May 18, 2022 Better than expected for starters 3 from 9 33% sr 3.5pts profit from 9pts staked 38.8% yield from B365 odds available @ time of posting. Xtc12, richard-westwood, alexcaruso808 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 19, 2022 Author Share Posted May 19, 2022 (edited) Todays selections looks like about 3 or 4 needed for a profit/break even~ All prices/runners correct @ time of collected data (Timestamped) Edited May 19, 2022 by Valiant Thor sort data into timed order Wildgarden, BBBC, alexcaruso808 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 19, 2022 Author Share Posted May 19, 2022 (edited) 2.20 @ Wolv Giewont Backed all day down to 3/1 (10/1 @ 8.04 this morning when put up That will do me Just discovered a problem with the concatenated data with this race , ignore the above ( Im a self taught programmer so sh*t happens sometimes,well a lot of the time actually ) Seems the odds/runners have got reversed on this runner EP was 8 and runners was 10 so something got mixed up in the sorting somewhere along the lines ☹️ Will have to have a look at that after racing ' Will count Giewont @ sp 3/1 for this race . Geiwonts ep odds at closing 18/05/2022 was 8.00 up till 9.00 where it started to get backed Edited May 19, 2022 by Valiant Thor correct data download error found alexcaruso808 and richard-westwood 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justanotherpunter Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 Going great guns so far with Rozalia winning at 9/2. Keep up the good work - excellent tipping so far Wildgarden, kensland and alexcaruso808 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wildgarden Posted May 19, 2022 Share Posted May 19, 2022 (edited) On 5/18/2022 at 2:09 PM, Valiant Thor said: As stated several times on this board I am not a lover of Jumps racing or Hcp's. (flat or Jumps) But as most (70% ish) of racing are Hcps that's a lot of untapped water under the bridge as they say. I have my Auto Bets bot thats been running my algorithm on BF now full time since 2016 , It updates the data every evening, it does its stuff and backs accordingly in non Hcp races without any of the should I / shouldn't I back it from myself, which is why I built it in the first place to eradicate the human element. To cut a long story short I am going to try and replicate my Auto Bet bot for Hcps So heres Version 1 ? Lets see how it goes what sort of things does bot look at seems promising. Edited May 19, 2022 by Wildgarden Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 19, 2022 Author Share Posted May 19, 2022 (edited) 51 minutes ago, Wildgarden said: what sort of things does bot look at seems promising. I use the same as everyone else does ,horse, jockey,trainer , runners , course etc etc . a bot just reads the output data for the race & puts the bet on without me having to do anything its the algorithm that sorts the data from the database that does the work. What Im trying to do atm is build an algorithm to price up Hcp races and select a horse that fits the bill within a reasonable tolerence +/-, but its hard due to the nature of Hcp races thats why Ive stayed away from them. but im bored so thought Id have another crack at it , keeps me busy. The problem is in handicaps most are inconsistent lower grade garbage , where some are 'not really trying' to get the hcp mark down, ,most runners are usually ridden by lower class jocks, apprentices or Luke Morris ? etc. They aim them for gambles rather than racing to form due to crap prize money, Where as top grade races (nonHcp) are running for prestige not to make a few quid . Edited May 19, 2022 by Valiant Thor Wildgarden and alexcaruso808 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 19, 2022 Author Share Posted May 19, 2022 1 pt loss on the day from 14 bets , with a 21% sr, A few close calls especially Dors Toyboy but if only's don't make a profit ☹️ If the correct odds for Geiwont would have been posted instead of taking sp , we'd be looking @ at 3 pts profit but hey ho MCLARKE and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 20, 2022 Author Share Posted May 20, 2022 (edited) Had a tinker last night & were with the new slimline view today. The date is in the top left corner rather than before every horse along with time data is collected, not bothering with runners as they constantly change due to withdrawals and pretty useless anyway and only for an estimation of race size. B365 should be correct @ time stated in top left. 11 to go @ today Lets see what happens . Edited May 20, 2022 by Valiant Thor MCLARKE, Wildgarden, LEE-GRAYS and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 20, 2022 Author Share Posted May 20, 2022 (edited) Nearly a profit to early prices already Still 8 to go 20/05/2022 13:52:19 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit 0 13.10 Bath Papas Girl 9-4 5.77 8.00 l 9.0 -1.00 -1.0 1 13.20 Haydock Ziggy 9-7 4.06 3.75 w 2.5 2.75 1.5 2 13.35 Goodwood Lawful Command 9-6 4.17 8.00 w 5.5 7.00 4.5 Edited May 20, 2022 by Valiant Thor Wildgarden, alexcaruso808 and justanotherpunter 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 20, 2022 Author Share Posted May 20, 2022 Oh no its going downhill 20/05/2022 15:01:40 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit cum_ep cum_sp 0 13.10 Bath Papas Girl 9-4 5.77 8.00 l 9.0 -1.00 -1.0 -1.00 -1.0 1 13.20 Haydock Ziggy 9-7 4.06 3.75 w 2.5 2.75 1.5 1.75 0.5 2 13.35 Goodwood Lawful Command 9-6 4.17 8.00 w 5.5 7.00 4.5 8.75 5.0 3 13.45 Bath Quarter Blue 9-2 4.11 5.00 l 8.0 -1.00 -1.0 7.75 4.0 4 14.55 Bath Sarah's Verse 9-6 5.12 6.00 l 4.0 -1.00 -1.0 6.75 3.0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 20, 2022 Author Share Posted May 20, 2022 After a good start could do with @ least 1 of these dropping in ? 20/05/2022 17:31:04 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 8 18.28 Catterick Hellenista 9-1 5.61 6.5 9 19.03 Catterick John Kirkup 9-8 3.04 10.0 10 20.43 Catterick Mr Trevor 8-9 3.04 7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 20, 2022 Author Share Posted May 20, 2022 0/05/2022 21:07:05 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit cum_ep cum_sp 0 13.10 Bath Papas Girl 9-4 5.77 8.00 l 9.0 -1.00 -1.0 -1.00 -1.0 1 13.20 Haydock Ziggy 9-7 4.06 3.75 w 2.5 2.75 1.5 1.75 0.5 2 13.35 Goodwood Lawful Command 9-6 4.17 8.00 w 5.5 7.00 4.5 8.75 5.0 3 13.45 Bath Quarter Blue 9-2 4.11 5.00 l 8.0 -1.00 -1.0 7.75 4.0 4 14.55 Bath Sarah's Verse 9-6 5.12 6.00 l 4.0 -1.00 -1.0 6.75 3.0 5 15.30 Bath Coronation Cottage 9-4 4.79 13.00 l 15.0 -1.00 -1.0 5.75 2.0 6 16.30 Goodwood Diamond Bay 9-9 8.00 7.50 l 16.0 -1.00 -1.0 4.75 1.0 7 17.10 Bath Local Bay 9-8 7.83 5.50 l 19.0 -1.00 -1.0 3.75 0.0 8 18.28 Catterick Hellenista 9-1 5.61 6.50 l 9.0 -1.00 -1.0 2.75 -1.0 9 19.03 Catterick John Kirkup 9-8 3.04 10.00 l 8.0 -1.00 -1.0 1.75 -2.0 10 20.43 Catterick Mr Trevor 8-9 3.04 7.50 l 7.5 -1.00 -1.0 0.75 -3.0 After a promising start the wheels came off ☹️ Close calls with Sarahs Verse 3/1, Coronation Cottage 14/1 & Hellenista 8/1 but no cigar. Have to settle for 0.75pts profit on the day ? MCLARKE and LEE-GRAYS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 20, 2022 Author Share Posted May 20, 2022 The story so far Returns 20/05/2022 21:42:17 date selections winners strikerate return cum_ret yield cum_yield 0 2022-05-18 9 3 0.33 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 1 2022-05-19 14 3 0.21 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.18 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 Wildgarden and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 20, 2022 Author Share Posted May 20, 2022 Putting tomorrows up now as Im out early doors and for most of the day tomorrrow Lucky 13 selections 20/05/2022 23:38:58 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.40 York Northern Express 9-2 6.04 6.00 1 14.00 Haydock Haveyoumissedme 8-9 6.90 12.00 2 14.28 Musselburgh Uccello 8-9 3.21 5.00 3 14.50 Goodwood Secret Shadow 8-4 5.54 5.50 4 14.55 York Look Out Louis 8-13 5.55 6.50 5 15.38 Musselburgh Vindobala 8-13 5.32 4.33 6 16.20 Haydock Justcallmepete 9-11 6.39 3.50 7 16.35 Goodwood Sir Henry Cotton 9-2 6.04 5.50 8 16.48 Musselburgh Aquamas 9-9 9.83 3.00 9 16.55 Haydock Uncle Jumbo 8-13 4.95 23.00 10 17.15 York Tamaska 9-4 9.89 5.50 11 17.23 Musselburgh The Gloaming 9-10 4.28 4.50 12 19.15 Lingfield Latent Heat 10-3 6.08 11.00 richard-westwood, MCLARKE and Wildgarden 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 21, 2022 Author Share Posted May 21, 2022 Well today went down like a lead balloon ☹️ 12 runners 12 losers 1 nr 21/05/2022 20:38:40 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit cum_ep cum_sp 0 13.40 York Northern Express 9-2 6.04 6.00 l 4.33 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 14.00 Haydock Haveyoumissedme 8-9 6.90 12.00 l 6.5 -1 -1 -2 -2 2 14.28 Musselburgh Uccello 8-9 3.21 5.00 l 7.5 -1 -1 -3 -3 3 14.50 Goodwood Secret Shadow 8-4 5.54 5.50 l 5.5 -1 -1 -4 -4 4 14.55 York Look Out Louis 8-13 5.55 6.50 l 5.5 -1 -1 -5 -5 5 15.38 Musselburgh Vindobala 8-13 5.32 4.33 l 3 -1 -1 -6 -6 6 16.20 Haydock Justcallmepete 9-11 6.39 3.50 nr nr 0 0 0 0 7 16.35 Goodwood Sir Henry Cotton 9-2 6.04 5.50 l 4.33 -1 -1 -1 -7 8 16.48 Musselburgh Aquamas 9-9 9.83 3.00 l 3.25 -1 -1 -2 -8 9 16.55 Haydock Uncle Jumbo 8-13 4.95 23.00 l 15 -1 -1 -3 -9 10 17.15 York Tamaska 9-4 9.89 5.50 l 4.33 -1 -1 -4 -10 11 17.23 Musselburgh The Gloaming 9-10 4.28 4.50 l 3.75 -1 -1 -5 -11 12 19.15 Lingfield Latent Heat 10-3 6.08 11.00 l 17 -1 -1 -6 -12 P&L Update 21/05/2022 20:41:00 date selections winners strikerate return cum_ret yield cum_yield 0 2022-05-18 9 3 0.33 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 1 2022-05-19 14 3 0.21 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.18 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 3 2022-05-21 12 0 0.00 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 Wildgarden and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 22, 2022 Author Share Posted May 22, 2022 Ran a couple of tests this morning to see if I could suss why it performed so badly yesterday I noticed that when I dropped Runners to clean up the printout I also dropped it from being evaluated from the main dataset as well Running a tests through both Dabl & LazyPredict showed I should run it through different models if dropping Runners from the dataset so Ive turned it back on in the dataset and see how it goes. ( a bit trial & error atm but has to be done) lets see how today's fare (at least there's only 6 that can lose today) 22/05/2022 11:15:15 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 14.30 Nottingham Dark Shift 9-0 4.06 2.87 1 15.40 Nottingham Four Adaay 9-3 5.58 3.00 2 16.10 Nottingham Hackberry 8-9 3.82 8.00 3 17.05 York Mostawaa 9-0 8.88 21.00 4 17.35 York Hyperfocus 8-10 10.38 23.00 5 18.05 York Evaluation 9-5 9.04 8.50 Nigwilliam, justanotherpunter and Wildgarden 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted May 22, 2022 Share Posted May 22, 2022 Do you test this on previous year's data ? I wouldn't be too concerned about 1 day's poor resuts, just randomness of numbers. Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 22, 2022 Author Share Posted May 22, 2022 (edited) 14 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: Do you test this on previous year's data ? I wouldn't be too concerned about 1 day's poor resuts, just randomness of numbers. Its tested on 10yrs data Yes, 1 days poor results can be put down to statistical variance , but only if derived from the same model, ATM I dont know if it was variance or due to dropping Runners from the model. Its not the point about 1 days data its that I made a change in the way the data was read ,making any change can effect the output when modelling ,when I ran it through LazyPredict it gave different models for with and without Runners which points toward that being a possible problem. How LazyPredict selects the model to use Edited May 22, 2022 by Valiant Thor Formatting Wildgarden, MCLARKE and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 22, 2022 Author Share Posted May 22, 2022 22/05/2022 18:26:11 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit cum_ep cum_sp 0 14.30 Nottingham Dark Shift 9-0 4.06 2.87 w 4.00 1.87 3.00 1.87 3.00 1 15.40 Nottingham Four Adaay 9-3 5.58 3.00 w 2.88 2.00 1.88 3.87 4.88 2 16.10 Nottingham Hackberry 8-9 3.82 8.00 nr 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.87 4.88 3 17.05 York Mostawaa 9-0 8.88 21.00 l 26.00 -1.00 -1.00 2.87 3.88 4 17.35 York Hyperfocus 8-10 10.38 23.00 l 21.00 -1.00 -1.00 1.87 2.88 5 18.05 York Evaluation 9-5 9.04 8.50 w 8.50 7.50 7.50 9.37 10.38 got some of yesterdays debacle back Wildgarden, MCLARKE, Nigwilliam and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 22, 2022 Author Share Posted May 22, 2022 Update 22/05/2022 18:45:33 date selections winners strikerate return cum_ret yield cum_yield 0 2022-05-18 9 3 0.33 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 1 2022-05-19 14 3 0.21 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.18 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 3 2022-05-21 12 0 0.00 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 4 2022-05-22 5 3 0.60 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 23, 2022 Author Share Posted May 23, 2022 (edited) 7 to look @ today 23/05/2022 08:46:24 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 14.10 Wolverhampton Plansina 9-6 4.54 6.5 1 15.10 Wolverhampton Autonomy 9-2 2.63 4.0 2 15.40 Wolverhampton Arzaak 9-1 5.06 10.0 3 14.50 Leicester Sucellus 9-6 5.94 12.0 4 19.10 Windsor Sweet Reward 9-8 5.79 5.0 5 19.40 Windsor Uncle Dick 9-4 6.75 6.0 6 20.15 Windsor No Such Luck 9-9 5.18 8.0 Sorted runners by time 23/05/2022 10:06:07 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 14.10 Wolverhampton Plansina 9-6 4.54 6.5 1 14.50 Leicester Sucellus 9-6 5.94 12.0 2 15.10 Wolverhampton Autonomy 9-2 2.63 4.0 3 15.40 Wolverhampton Arzaak 9-1 5.06 10.0 4 19.10 Windsor Sweet Reward 9-8 5.79 5.0 5 19.40 Windsor Uncle Dick 9-4 6.75 6.0 6 20.15 Windsor No Such Luck 9-9 5.18 8.0 Edited May 23, 2022 by Valiant Thor Races sorted by time richard-westwood, MCLARKE, Wildgarden and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 23, 2022 Author Share Posted May 23, 2022 1 winner couple of placed and a nr ? 23/05/2022 19:56:11 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit sp_Profit cum_ep cum_sp 0 14.10 Wolverhampton Plansina 9-6 4.54 6.5 l 4.50 -1 -1.00 -1 -1.00 1 14.50 Leicester Sucellus 9-6 5.94 12.0 l 7.50 -1 -1.00 -2 -2.00 2 15.10 Wolverhampton Autonomy 9-2 2.63 4.0 w 2.88 3 1.88 1 -0.12 3 15.40 Wolverhampton Arzaak 9-1 5.06 10.0 l 15.00 -1 -1.00 0 -1.12 4 19.10 Windsor Sweet Reward 9-8 5.79 5.0 l 4.50 -1 -1.00 -1 -2.12 5 19.40 Windsor Uncle Dick 9-4 6.75 6.0 l 4.33 -1 -1.00 -2 -3.12 6 20.15 Windsor No Such Luck 9-9 5.18 8.0 nr 0.00 0 0.00 -2 -3.12 -2 pts today ☹️ update date selections winners strikerate return cum_ret yield cum_yield 0 2022-05-18 9 3 0.33 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 1 2022-05-19 14 3 0.21 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.18 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 3 2022-05-21 12 0 0.00 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 4 2022-05-22 5 3 0.60 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 5 2022-05-23 6 1 0.17 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 Wildgarden, richard-westwood and justanotherpunter 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 24, 2022 Author Share Posted May 24, 2022 8 victims for today 24/05/2022 07:56:26 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.15 Bath Bobby Kennedy 9-7 4.25 3.75 1 14.20 Bath Vape 10-2 3.95 5.50 2 15.50 Bath Magical Dragon 9-5 5.81 9.00 3 16.35 Lingfield Sundayinmay 8-10 3.79 5.50 4 16.55 Bath Owen Little 9-6 5.14 3.50 5 17.00 Newcastle Stand Free 9-9 6.05 4.00 6 17.30 Newcastle Sagauteur 9-9 4.19 4.00 7 19.00 Newcastle Scottish Summit 9-9 4.04 7.00 justanotherpunter, Wildgarden, alexcaruso808 and 1 other 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 24, 2022 Author Share Posted May 24, 2022 Back in profit 24/05/2022 19:34:54 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit cum_ep sp_Profit 0 13.15 Bath Bobby Kennedy 9-7 4.25 3.75 l 4.33 -1.0 -1.0 -1.00 1 14.20 Bath Vape 10-2 3.95 5.50 l 5.50 -1.0 -2.0 -1.00 2 15.50 Bath Magical Dragon 9-5 5.81 9.00 l 6.00 -1.0 -3.0 -1.00 3 16.35 Lingfield Sundayinmay 8-10 3.79 3.50 w 3.50 2.5 -0.5 2.50 4 16.55 Bath Owen Little 9-6 5.14 3.50 l 3.00 -1.0 -1.5 -1.00 5 17.00 Newcastle Stand Free 9-9 6.05 4.00 l 3.20 -1.0 -2.5 -1.00 6 17.30 Newcastle Sagauteur 9-9 4.19 4.00 w 4.33 3.0 0.5 3.33 7 19.00 Newcastle Scottish Summit 9-9 4.04 7.00 w 10.00 6.0 6.5 9.00 Update date selections winners return cum_ret yield cum_yield st_rate cum_st_rate 0 2022-05-18 9 3 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 1 2022-05-19 14 3 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 0.21 0.26 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.18 0.24 3 2022-05-21 12 0 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 0.00 0.17 4 2022-05-22 5 3 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 0.60 0.22 5 2022-05-23 6 1 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 0.17 0.21 6 2022-05-24 8 3 6.50 3.25 0.81 0.05 0.38 0.23 Took sp for Ep on Sundayinmay as prices on some sites said there were only 2 runners including B365 odds so they were all over the place. alexcaruso808, Wildgarden, MCLARKE and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 25, 2022 Author Share Posted May 25, 2022 A few to look @ today (12) Hope its not an off day as there's quite a diverse range of horses in there by the look of the expected odds & early odds 25/05/2022 09:11:41 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.40 Beverley Newgate Angel 9-10 4.25 5.00 1 13.50 Hamilton Tantastic 9-12 11.25 6.50 2 14.50 Hamilton Rose Bandit 9-2 4.18 11.00 3 15.10 Beverley Ron O 8-10 3.72 10.00 4 15.20 Hamilton Arrange 9-9 3.25 4.00 5 15.50 Hamilton Perfect Swiss 9-11 2.88 7.50 6 16.15 Beverley Crown Princess 9-7 5.17 4.00 7 16.25 Hamilton Shine On Brendan 9-6 4.28 2.25 8 16.48 Beverley Motarajel 9-11 7.12 10.00 9 17.20 Beverley Martin's Brig 9-8 3.54 7.00 10 18.25 Ripon Young Tiger 8-9 3.39 6.50 11 20.30 Ripon Mokaman 9-9 5.19 12.00 Wildgarden and justanotherpunter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 25, 2022 Author Share Posted May 25, 2022 Beverley was abandoned so 9 selections ran with a loss of 6.75pts ? 25/05/2022 20:51:29 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit cum_ep sp_Profit cum_sp 0 13.40 Beverley Newgate Angel 9-10 4.25 5.00 l 8.0 -1.00 -1.00 -1 -1 1 13.50 Hamilton Tantastic 9-12 11.25 6.50 l 9.0 -1.00 -2.00 -1 -2 2 14.50 Hamilton Rose Bandit 9-2 4.18 11.00 l 15.0 -1.00 -3.00 -1 -3 3 15.10 Beverley Ron O 8-10 3.72 10.00 l 5.5 -1.00 -4.00 -1 -4 4 15.20 Hamilton Arrange 9-9 3.25 4.00 l 5.0 -1.00 -5.00 -1 -5 5 15.50 Hamilton Perfect Swiss 9-11 2.88 7.50 l 17.0 -1.00 -6.00 -1 -6 6 16.25 Hamilton Shine On Brendan 9-6 4.28 2.25 w 2.0 1.25 -4.75 1 -5 7 18.25 Ripon Young Tiger 8-9 3.39 6.50 l 12.0 -1.00 -5.75 -1 -6 8 20.30 Ripon Mokaman 9-9 5.19 12.00 l 17.0 -1.00 -6.75 -1 -7 Update date selections winners return cum_ret yield cum_yield st_rate cum_st_rate 0 2022-05-18 9 3 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 1 2022-05-19 14 3 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 0.21 0.26 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.18 0.24 3 2022-05-21 12 0 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 0.00 0.17 4 2022-05-22 5 3 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 0.60 0.22 5 2022-05-23 6 1 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 0.17 0.21 6 2022-05-24 8 3 6.50 3.25 0.81 0.05 0.38 0.23 7 2022-05-25 9 1 -6.75 -3.50 -0.75 -0.05 0.11 0.22 Wildgarden 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 26, 2022 Author Share Posted May 26, 2022 11 For today 26/05/2022 10:22:59 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 0 13.10 Haydock Dogged 9-10 5.50 5.00 1 13.50 Ripon El Jad 9-5 4.25 13.00 2 14.20 Ripon Shake A Leg 9-7 3.79 6.00 3 14.50 Ripon Forest Falcon 9-9 3.95 4.33 4 15.00 Yarmouth Flower Of Thunder 9-10 2.00 3.00 5 15.10 Haydock Sound Reason 9-5 5.09 3.75 6 16.05 Yarmouth Anglo Saxson 8-13 3.27 3.75 7 16.25 Ripon Birkenhead 9-9 2.20 1.53 8 19.35 Carlisle Detective 9-4 3.85 1.83 9 20.00 Sandown Inigo Jones 9-9 6.33 3.00 10 20.10 Carlisle Iolani 9-2 4.05 5.00 Its gone for a few Favs/2nd fave today Hopefully claw back the 3.5pts deficit ? Nigwilliam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted May 26, 2022 Author Share Posted May 26, 2022 2 winners & 5 seconds today (sigh) for a loss of 1.25 pts from 11 selections 26/05/2022 20:36:32 Time Meeting Horse Ex_Odds B365 Result sp ep_Profit cum_ep sp_Profit cum_sp 0 13.10 Haydock Dogged 9-10 5.50 5.00 l 3.50 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -1.00 1 13.50 Ripon El Jad 9-5 4.25 13.00 l 17.00 -1.00 -2.00 -1.00 -2.00 2 14.20 Ripon Shake A Leg 9-7 3.79 6.00 w 5.00 5.00 3.00 4.00 2.00 3 14.50 Ripon Forest Falcon 9-9 3.95 4.33 l 4.00 -1.00 2.00 -1.00 1.00 4 15.00 Yarmouth Flower Of Thunder 9-10 2.00 3.00 l 2.38 -1.00 1.00 -1.00 0.00 5 15.10 Haydock Sound Reason 9-5 5.09 3.75 w 2.63 2.75 3.75 1.63 1.63 6 16.05 Yarmouth Anglo Saxson 8-13 3.27 3.75 l 3.25 -1.00 2.75 -1.00 0.63 7 16.25 Ripon Birkenhead 9-9 2.20 1.53 l 15.00 -1.00 1.75 -1.00 -0.37 8 19.35 Carlisle Detective 9-4 3.85 1.83 l 2.25 -1.00 0.75 -1.00 -1.37 9 20.00 Sandown Inigo Jones 9-9 6.33 3.00 l 3.25 -1.00 -0.25 -1.00 -2.37 10 20.10 Carlisle Iolani 9-2 4.05 5.00 l 4.50 -1.00 -1.25 -1.00 -3.37 Update date selections winners return cum_ret yield cum_yield st_rate cum_st_rate 0 2022-05-18 9 3 3.50 3.50 0.39 0.39 0.33 0.33 1 2022-05-19 14 3 -1.00 2.50 -0.07 0.11 0.21 0.26 2 2022-05-20 11 2 0.75 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.18 0.24 3 2022-05-21 12 0 -12.00 -8.75 -1.00 -0.19 0.00 0.17 4 2022-05-22 5 3 7.50 -1.25 1.50 -0.02 0.60 0.22 5 2022-05-23 6 1 -2.00 -3.25 -0.33 -0.06 0.17 0.21 6 2022-05-24 8 3 6.50 3.25 0.81 0.05 0.38 0.23 7 2022-05-25 9 1 -6.75 -3.50 -0.75 -0.05 0.11 0.22 8 2022-05-26 11 2 -1.25 -4.75 -0.11 -0.06 0.18 0.21 richard-westwood and Wildgarden 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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