Jump to content

Dodging Bullets Whilst Watching Paint Dry...


harry_rag

Recommended Posts

@Skittle Well it happened without me realising but I believe I've knocked you off the summit with last night's results. :loon

I've decided to knock the 5 sub 1.01 bets off the tally as, while they were legal at the time, it was such a long time ago, so I'll call the running total 443 not out, Profit is a whopping £37.08!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It would appear so. 👍

I am struggling to find these bets for myself. On Betfair I assume the market is "Match shots on target". I had a look at every CL game last night and the best I could come up with was '3 or more' for a 1.01 price. Is there a better time for the bet, do I have the wrong bookie or am I just missing something somewhere along the line?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Skittle said:

It would appear so. 👍

I am struggling to find these bets for myself. On Betfair I assume the market is "Match shots on target". I had a look at every CL game last night and the best I could come up with was '3 or more' for a 1.01 price. Is there a better time for the bet, do I have the wrong bookie or am I just missing something somewhere along the line?

No, you're spot on, that's the market. Basically I look out for it going up in the day or 2 before the game and get my request in at the front of the queue. Given that, more often than not, I'm only partially matched it seems safe to assume I'm the only punter who has managed to get the bet on. Early birds and all that. If you look closer to kick of then it's unlikely you'll get on at the 1+ or 2+ lines but you'll usually have a shot at getting 1.01 or better on the 3+ market. I have no real feel for framing true odds on this market but I suspect there could still be some value to be had by playing the 3+ line. I'm reluctant to stray beyond 2+ though without doing further study.

I'm at the front of the queue for all 8 of today's games. I'll post the screenshots of what gets matched just to illustrate it is possible!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Skittle said:

Timing is the key then. 

I wouldn't venture into the 3+ area. I'm not even sure I would be doing the 2+..............

I'm only about 230 odd behind you on my current run though, so look out.

Yeah, usually involves looking about 4 times in the run up to the games to see when the market has been added. Every now and again I've missed the window on one or both lines. When I do get in at the front of the queue I get part matched most of the time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

44 minutes ago, Skittle said:

Timing............needless to say I didn't get matched on the two early CL games.

Yeah, as I say, rare for me to get fully matched, in which case no else has had anything taken.

Bets 448 to 457 are exactly the same again in 5 of the 6 8:00 CL games. Nothing matched in the Crvena Zvezda game as yet.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...