Charon84 Posted September 13, 2021 Share Posted September 13, 2021 Week 2 matches that can qualify in my system (favorites with spread 3.0 or less) at the moment: Saints (-3.0) at Panthers Bengals at Bears (-3.0) Bills (-3.0) at Dolphins Cowboys at Chargers (-3.0) Chiefs (-3.0) at Ravens Going to analyze coming days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charon84 Posted September 14, 2021 Author Share Posted September 14, 2021 Going tot adjust my system to favs under or equal to 6.0. Otherwise there arent much Bets available in the coming weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teodore Posted September 14, 2021 Share Posted September 14, 2021 Any reasoning ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charon84 Posted September 15, 2021 Author Share Posted September 15, 2021 21 hours ago, Teodore said: Any reasoning ? Not yet it's only the matches that qualify spread wise. But with the change of spread all matches qualify except Browns - Texans, Buccs - Falcons and Packers - Lions. For tomorrow I have a strong lean towards WFT. I know it's Heinicke as QB and he isn't great, but he fits the system. Giants QB Jones will have big trouble with pass rush / D-line WFT. It will cause some interceptions, fumbles or inaccurate passing. WFT should win with touchdown or more. harry_rag and PercyP 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PercyP Posted September 15, 2021 Share Posted September 15, 2021 Punters always over react to what happens in week one. Buffalo Bills were unlucky against the Steelers (blocked punt). Hopefully they will return to winning ways at Miami. Bills -3.5 @ 10/11 New England had a tough game against Miami, the jets looked poor. New England -5.5 @ 20/21 The 49 Ers made short work of Detroit for much of the game. They could be really good. 49 Ers -3.5 v’s the Eagles @ 10/11 The Packers and Aaron Rodgers will not play as bad at home against a poor Detroit team. Packers -11 @ 10/11 I like this LA Rams team -4 @ 20/21 Normal bet 1 point Canadian, 4 point roll up Record Week 1 W2 D1 L2 loss - 18.47 (pre-season bets - 31 points). Thats my thoughts. Teodore and harry_rag 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 I'd forgotten how quickly the weeks seem to fly by once the NFL starts, Thursday again already! NY Giants at Washington: 22 points on Thomas to score a TD at 12/5 with Hills, 15 on Shepard at 16/5 with PP and 4 on Toney at 15 on BF. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charon84 Posted September 16, 2021 Author Share Posted September 16, 2021 I took WFT -3.0 @1.91. I just don't see Giants winning. WFT better on both sides. PercyP 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PercyP Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 Charon84 I was all over Washington till I found this stat. Daniel Jones has a career record of 8-19, He's 4-0 against Washington and 4-19 against everyone else. Every time these two teams play, Jones somehow turns into Tom Brady and the Giants somehow win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 17, 2021 Share Posted September 17, 2021 0 from 3 so far for the week and -41 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charon84 Posted September 18, 2021 Author Share Posted September 18, 2021 On 9/16/2021 at 7:41 PM, PercyP said: Charon84 I was all over Washington till I found this stat. Daniel Jones has a career record of 8-19, He's 4-0 against Washington and 4-19 against everyone else. Every time these two teams play, Jones somehow turns into Tom Brady and the Giants somehow win. I did know that stat, but I simply ignored it cuz in my opinion trend-stats are bullshit. Different teams at that time, different situation and standings and it's just history. Just like roulette. If the ball lands 5 times on 0, doesn't change the probability the 6th time. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charon84 Posted September 19, 2021 Author Share Posted September 19, 2021 Have to touch the Rams -3.5 @1.94. Too tempting (and a little bit bias from my side). harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 San Francisco at Philadelphia: 24 points on Devonta Smith to score at TD at 11/5 and 20 on Dallas Goedert at 14/5, both with Hills Goedert price looks most appealing but Smith still ok at bigger than 2/1. PP next best place to go, offering 11/4 instead of 14/5 and matching the 11/5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 Dallas at LA Chargers: 20 points on Jared Cook to score at TD at 13/5 and 15 on Dak Prescott at 18/5, both with Hills Also tempted/suckered in by a couple of boosted specials; 5 points on Prescott and Herbert each to throw 3+ TD at 10/1 Lads and 6 points on Chargers to win/both Ekeler and Lamb to score at TD at 9/1 Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 And finally for today. Kansas at Baltimore: 25 points on Ty'son Williams to score at TD at 15/8 with Hills Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ipswich45 Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 watching RedZone as per normal for a sunday and honestly dont think in the first half Saints have been in the red zone against the Panthers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teodore Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 On 9/15/2021 at 8:13 PM, PercyP said: Punters always over react to what happens in week one. Buffalo Bills were unlucky against the Steelers (blocked punt). Hopefully they will return to winning ways at Miami. Bills -3.5 @ 10/11 New England had a tough game against Miami, the jets looked poor. New England -5.5 @ 20/21 The 49 Ers made short work of Detroit for much of the game. They could be really good. 49 Ers -3.5 v’s the Eagles @ 10/11 The Packers and Aaron Rodgers will not play as bad at home against a poor Detroit team. Packers -11 @ 10/11 I like this LA Rams team -4 @ 20/21 Normal bet 1 point Canadian, 4 point roll up Record Week 1 W2 D1 L2 loss - 18.47 (pre-season bets - 31 points). Thats my thoughts. Amazing job! PercyP 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 0 from 7 last night for -115 points, 0 from 10 for the week for -156 points. Very much the famine after last week's feast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 2 for tonight's game to hopefully finish the weekend with a winner! Detroit at Green Bay: 15 points on Dillon to score a TD at 10/3 365 and 24 points on Hockenson at 9/4 PP or Boyles Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 Hockenson spares me the blushes of a wipeout week so it ends up 1 from 12 for a 117 points loss with an ROI of -72.92%. A bit of a contrast to last week's 6 from 10 haul! 7 winners from 22 bets overall for a profit of 123.5 points with an ROI of 34.08%. Level stakes return would be +5.3 points with an ROI of 25.25%. Hopefully next week's results are a bit closer to week 1 than week 2! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PercyP Posted September 21, 2021 Share Posted September 21, 2021 On 9/15/2021 at 7:13 PM, PercyP said: Punters always over react to what happens in week one. Buffalo Bills were unlucky against the Steelers (blocked punt). Hopefully they will return to winning ways at Miami. Bills -3.5 @ 10/11 New England had a tough game against Miami, the jets looked poor. New England -5.5 @ 20/21 The 49 Ers made short work of Detroit for much of the game. They could be really good. 49 Ers -3.5 v’s the Eagles @ 10/11 The Packers and Aaron Rodgers will not play as bad at home against a poor Detroit team. Packers -11 @ 10/11 I like this LA Rams team -4 @ 20/21 Normal bet 1 point Canadian, 4 point roll up Record Week 1 W2 D1 L2 loss - 18.47 (pre-season bets - 31 points). Thats my thoughts. Only a horrendous mistake by the Rams punt team prevented a full house in week two. Still a profit was returned. The Bills and Patriots had comfortable wins and the 49Ers and Packer both came good in the second half of their games. The Rams were cruising by eleven until the punt team gave away eight points. Rams won by 3 but the spread was -4. Week 2 record (ATS) W4 D0 L1 Return 64.01 for a profit of 34.01 YTD Record (ATS) W6 D1 L3 Profit +15.54 points (pre-season bets -31 points). harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charon84 Posted October 10, 2021 Author Share Posted October 10, 2021 (edited) (-) Edited October 10, 2021 by Charon84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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