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Charon84

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  1. Getafe DNB @1.96 is a gift at the moment: Ajax will most likely play with second goalie Varela (Onana is suspended). If that's the case....well....just try to find videomaterial from the Utrecht (Y) - Ajax (Y) match yesterday (7-2, 3 big mistakes Varela). This guy can't be trusted. Ajax willl most likely miss important players like Veltman, Promes and Neres. Maybe Ziyech/Babel isn't also fit, but for now Ajax thinks they will be ready at time. Labyad also injured at this moment, but he isn't "important". In recent matches the injuries of Promes and Ziyech were truly felt. Far less danger from attacks. Getafe at home is very strong. They've lost just 5 in 35 matches (! 2x Barcelona, Basel, Real Madrid and Leganes). Getafe strong performance last week with 3-0 win over Valencia. Recent form also good. Maybe Ajax will get a point here, but it's far more likely they'll will go home with 0 points.
  2. Can't make up my mind. For sure I forfeit the Southampton +XXAH bets. Liverpool too strong, Southampton odds too low. And doubting about the Over also. My mind is going the other way now. Liverpool controls matches. And can Ings, one player, make the difference in this match against Gomez, Van Dijk and Alisson? Maybe the Under 3.00 and 3.25 and 3.5 is a better bet.
  3. Tempted with Southampton +2 (@1.61) or +1.75AH (@1.83). Southampton in good form after the break, no important injuries, good scoring averages. I think Liverpool will have a much more difficult game then the WHU match. In the end I suspect them to win, but with a 1 or 2 goal margin (my lean to 1). Will think about this one. And the Over 2.50 (@1.57), 2.75 (@1.69) and 3.00 (@1.90) look promising too. Liverpool shows vulnerability in every match, but time after time the opponent strikers don't punish it. Ings won't be that guy.
  4. I don't understand. Your text suggests that Liverpool will win, but in the end you bet +1.5AH WHU? Typo? And the odds also don't look right because odds are around 1.95-2.00 for the -/+ 1.5AH.
  5. WHU - Liverpool Under 3.00 @2.02 sounds good to me. I simply don't expect many goals here. WHU will start defensively and try to punish mistakes from defensive side Liverpool. But I really doubt they are capable of putting the pressure on Liverpool in a way they'll force Liverpool to make those mistakes. And even then they'll still have to punish them for making those mistakes and that's not guaranteed with those strikers. 1.17 goals Average in PL this season is all the prove you need (while Liverpool concedes 0.65 Average in PL this season). So goals WHU? Probably 0, mabye 1. Liverpool on the other hand will score some goals. But two important factors tell me that it won't be more then 2 or 3. Mane is out (11 goals, 20%) and Liverpool will meet next team, Southampton (better team then WHU), within 3 days from this match. So when there is a 0-2 lead, they won't do anything else then speed down the match and sit out. Most likely outcome 0-2 and maybe 0-3. For that reason I didn't take Over 2.50.
  6. I'm relieved I didn't touch this match in the end (with the main reasoning that in Cup matches everything is possible and we never can't be sure with B-team players).... In Over/Under market I wanted to go for Under 3.00. That wouldn't work out as well.
  7. Odds dropped significantly. Bit too late to make any Liverpool move right now. Maybe some value in Over/Under markets.
  8. Liverpool already 1.47 for FA Cup. I know they will put in some 'B'-players but even then...they are playing against relegation candidate League One who certainly isn't in form. -1AH @1.77...very tempting. Wouldn't touch the Over 2.50 @1.68 though. If Pool takes 0-2 lead, we can't be sure they score the third goal. Will wait for some news who plays.
  9. Changed my mind too Over 2.50 @1.97. Wolves are scoring most of the time at home and Liverpool, eventhough they didn't concede in last 7 premier league matches, still looks vulnerable at times. Combined with fact that Liverpool looked tired last 15 minutes in Devils game, I think goals are coming in from Wolves side. And if Liverpool is a little more efficient they can also easily score 2 goals. 1-2 or 2-2 most likely outcomes.
  10. In my opinion not much alteration is needed, but the odds movement suggests the odds will rise further, so that's why I wait.
  11. Dubbing about Liverpool. Yes Wolves are good (decent?) at home, but are they that good? We are talking about Liverpool! Recent Wolves matches aren't that great, so how is the form really? If they start against Liverpool the same way as they did against Southampton it is curtains. Yes they did win from City, but City played 80 minutes with 10 players. All in all; I think Wolves are massively overrated and I'm just waiting for the odds to be better.
  12. Latest info suggests Rashford won't play. And because he's such an important Manu player at the moment, this means disaster for the Devils. I pull the trigger on Liverpool -1 AH @1.80 then. At home in this form no English team will stop them and certainly not Manu without Rashford. 2-0 or 3-0 most likely outcome in my opinion.
  13. ManUtd +1.5 or BTTS....do we have solid information that Rashford plays?
  14. I hope odds on Devils (+AH) rise. At the moment they are a bit short imo.