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Premier League Predictions > May 7th - 13th


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It's a bumper week in the Premier League coming up with a number of midweek matches after the weekend's packed schedule. I will be covering a range of matches over the entire week so it won't be the usual coverage of every weekend game in an effort to spread coverage across each game day. I'll look to give my thoughts on each game at least anyway. Get involved in the chat and tell us your predictions for these games! :ok

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Leicester City vs Newcastle United

 

 

Leicester City

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Wes Morgan (3/0 d, captain), Harvey Barnes (25/9 m), James Justin (23/2 d)

Suspended: -

 

Newcastle United

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Isaac Hayden (24/0 m), Karl Darlow (25/0 first goalkeeper), Jamaal Lascelles (19/2 d, captain), Ryan Fraser (18/0 m)

Suspended: Fabian Schar (17/0 d)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Over/Under Goals
Leicester City
17 home games
Newcastle United
17 away games
88% Over 1.5 goals 88%
65% Over 2.5 goals 29%
35% Over 3.5 goals 12%
12% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
12% Under 1.5 goals 12%
35% Under 2.5 goals 71%
82% Over 0.5 goals at half-time 59%
53% Over 1.5 goals at half-time 24%
18% Over 2.5 goals at half-time 0%
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Leicester City vs Newcastle United

The hosts managed to get back on the winning track after suffering two straight defeats that kept them away from the 2nd spot. Brendan Rodgers’s side picked up seven points from the previous three rounds, and they are four points behind Manchester United, who has one game in hand. Leicester City still hasn’t finished the job around securing a Champions League spot, although they are very close to accomplishing that goal. Therefore, the Foxes won’t take this match for granted as the fifth-placed West Ham is only five points behind. Jamie Vardy and the lads could have done much better at King Power Stadium, where they lost on seven occasions. However, Leicester City improved its home performances, winning three times in the last four games. They want to keep up with good performances and clinch the top-four spot.

On the other hand, this has been a disappointing campaign for Newcastle United. The Magpies are only one spot ahead of the red line, but Fulham is nine points behind. Steve Bruce’s side put several good displays lately that dragged them away from the danger zone. Newcastle picked up eight points on the previous five occasions, but Arsenal broke their unbeatable streak last weekend. Ciaran Clark and the lads haven’t been tight enough in the back, allowing a total of 56 goals this season. Newcastle United is among the worst visiting teams, managing to get back home with a win only four times from 17 outings. The away side needs to set a good foundation for the next campaign, otherwise, they will be in big trouble.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Leicester City is a firm favorite in this match, and the hosts look forward to securing their Champions League ticket. We believe they will meet the expectations and pick up all three points from this encounter.

Goals Market Prediction

Head-to-head clashes between these two sides have usually been pretty efficient, and since both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches lately, we think the tradition might continue. Therefore, we should see at least three goals in this match.

Leicester City to win @ 1.45

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.75

Correct score 3:1 @ 13.00

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Leicester City

They get a four-match unbeaten run in recent games. It is a pity that they just take one point from Southampton in last game even if The Saints have been sent off one person. Now they are sitting in the third place in the table of the League.

 

Newcastle United

They lose to Arsenal at 0-2 in last game. What’s worse, Fabian Schar get a red card. His absence  has an effect on their playing. Luckily they rank the seventeenth in the table of the League, with 9 points away from relegation zone.

 

Verdict:

There is a big gap between Leicester City and Newcastle United. Leicester City are the third in League table while Newcastle United are the seventeenth. And Leicester City get a three-match winning streak from Newcastle United in the past. So Leicester City will possibly win.   

 

Prediction: 2-0, 2-1

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Saturday Matches

As I mentioned earlier this week, due to the midweek games in the Premier League, I'm going to do what I can to cover my thoughts on all the games as best as possible with the limited time I have to do so. @StefanBB has done a comprehensive preview of the Leicester versus Newcastle game tonight so I'll move straight on to the Saturday matches that cover Leeds versus Tottenham (12:30pm BST), Sheffield United versus Crystal Palace (3pm BST), Manchester City versus Chelsea (5:30pm BST), and Liverpool vs Southampton (8:15pm BST).

Leeds taking on Tottenham will be a fascinating clash between the experienced Marcelo Bielsa and the inexperienced interim head coach Ryan Mason. The home side are without a win in any of their 9 home league games against teams placed higher than them in the table but all five of their home league games against the "established top six" have ended in draws. A win would keep Leeds in the hunt for European qualification but they face a Tottenham side who have won back-to-back league games under Mason. Spurs have also scored in 11 consecutive league games so the fragile Leeds defence might struggle here.

Tottenham to Win @ 2.08 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.62 with SportNation

 

Sheffield United will aim to end their season on a high against Crystal Palace. It's bottom versus 13th and you have to say that, realistically, the Eagles are safe. The Blades are still only on 17 points and have lost 6 of their last 7 league games. Interim head coach Paul Heckingbottom did his team win 1-0 against an out-of-form Brighton but I've not seen enough to make me think they can get something here. Yes, Roy Hodgson's men have only won 1 of their last 8 league games but it's been a tough fixture list and I can see them getting out of the doldrums in this one.

Crystal Palace Draw No Bet @ 1.80 with William Hill

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.67 with Boylesports

 

The big one is at 4:30pm BST on Saturday when Manchester City could secure their Premier League title with a win at home against Chelsea. It's a dress rehearsal for the Champions League Final after both sides secured their places in midweek. Pep Guardiola's side have won 20 of their last 22 league matches and a victory would seal the title for them no matter what happens elsewhere. Thomas Tuchel's men are set for quite a season if they can confirm qualification for the Champions League, win this season's Champions League, and win the FA Cup. It's all to play for so I expect them to be well up for this one with the club currently in 4th place and 3 points inside the top four. I'm not sure I can separate these two teams at the moment though so will go for a draw and the City celebrations put on ice.

Draw @ 3.60 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.71 with SportNation

 

In the final game of the day on Saturday we see Liverpool take on Southampton. The Reds are still somehow in the chase for top four and qualification for the Champions League but that task could be a lot harder by the time kick-off arrives if Chelsea beat Manchester City. The Saints seem to be in holiday mode with the club in 15th place and 10 points clear of relegation. Head coach Ralph Hasenhuttl will want his team to improve their current form of just 2 wins from their last 16 league games. Can they do it here? I think Jurgen Klopp's men might not be anywhere near their best but they'll still have enough to navigate past this challenge with relative ease.

Liverpool -1 @ 1.86 with RedZone

Liverpool HT/FT @ 1.91 with Novibet

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Sunday Matches

The Premier League has four matches being played this Sunday with the schedule offering Wolves versus Brighton (12pm BST), Aston Villa versus Manchester United (2:05pm BST), West Ham versus Everton (4:30pm BST), and Arsenal versus West Brom (7pm BST). What will the outcomes of these games be and will they affect issues at either end of the table?

Wolves will be looking to end their season on a high after an inconsistent campaign. The team is in 12th place and can neither go up nor down. Nuno Espirito Santo has been linked with a number of job vacancies so you get the feeling he won't long be for the Wolves job. It's just 1 defeat from their last 4 league games but performances in their past 2 games have been lacking somewhat. Brighton are realistically safe in 14th place and 10 points clear of relegation with 4 league games to play. They can confirm it here with win and if they can repeat the display against Leeds then they could be worth the backing. I do feel Graham Potter's men will get at least a draw here. The last 4 encounters have ended in draws so it can't happen again... surely?!

Brighton to Win @ 2.34 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.64 with SportNation

 

Aston Villa had been in danger of seeing their season flicker out into darkness but performances in their past two league games have been improved. Dean Smith's side are in 10th and only 6 points behind the Europa Conference League qualification spot with a game in hand. The draw at home to West Brom and the win away to Everton has given the team a renewed confidence. However, they face a Manchester United team that boast an unbeaten record away in the league and have just sealed their place in the Europa League Final with an anticipated Champions League qualification finish heading their way. I think the money has to go with Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's team. Especially because it's now 17 games undefeated in this fixture for the Red Devils.

Manchester United to Win @ 1.84 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.76 with SportNation

 

The penultimate game on the Sunday will give two European chasing teams the chance to give their aspirations a massive boost. West Ham are aiming to close the gap on the top four to remain in the hunt for a coveted Champions League spot and Everton will be looking to claw their way back into Europa League contention. The 2-1 win away to Burnley was greatly needed for David Moyes and his men. However, Carlo Ancelotti has seen his team win just 1 of their last 7 league games but could still prove to be tricky opposition here having only lost 1 of their previous 4 league games. I anticipate a draw could be a solid bet here.

Draw @ 3.55 with Unibet

BTTS @ 1.80 with SportNation

 

In the final game on Sunday in the top flight of English football we see mid-table Arsenal take on a seemingly relegation-bound West Brom. If there is one game this weekend where the mood around the place could be described as depressing then it will be at the Emirates Stadium. Mikel Arteta is under fire once again for the team being in 9th place and being eliminated in the Europa League Semi-Finals by an Unai Emery-led Villarreal. European competition next season now looks against the odds for the Gunners. West Brom are on the brink of relegation down in 19th place and 10 points adrift with just 4 league games to play. Part of me anticipates a really dour 0-0 draw but I do think Arsenal should have enough to sneak this and confirm West Brom's return to the Championship.

Arsenal HT/FT @ 2.35 with SportNation

Arsenal -1 @ 2.55 with RedZone

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Manchester City vs Chelsea

The hosts head to this game after booking a place in their first-ever Champions League finals. They managed to beat PSG in the second leg clash as well, and with a 4:1 aggregate win, book an encounter in the all-English finals against their upcoming rivals. Pep Guardiola’s side has been pretty dominant in the semi-finals tie, remaining in control of the game at Etihad Stadium. Phil Foden and the lads are very disciplined, as the Citizens conceded just once in the previous four games in all competitions. Manchester City is 13 points ahead of their local rivals United, and with potential three points from this match, they may secure the title. The hosts are full of confidence, and they want to continue their positive streak.

Chelsea was also successful in the Champions League semi-finals, beating Real Madrid with a 3:1 aggregate win. After a 1:1 draw in Spain, Thomas Tuchel’s side secured a 2:0 home win last Wednesday. After the German head coach took over the bench, the Blues play much more disciplined, although they haven’t been very clinical in front of the oppositions’ net. Chelsea sits in 4th place, and the away side wants to secure another Champions League ticket, regardless of the result in this edition’s finals. They are three points ahead of West Ham United, and the visitors missed the chance to win just once in the previous four Premier League rounds. They have been excellent on the road lately, and their unbeatable streak at the away grounds stretches to the last 11 games. Chelsea needs to fight for a positive result at Etihad Stadium to remain in the top four after this weekend.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Both sides head to this game full of confidence after their continental successes. We believe the visitors might remain undefeated, as this game is much more significant to them. Therefore, we will back Chelsea to pick up at least a point from this encounter.

Goals Market Prediction

Although both sides have been pretty tight in the back recently, we might see a bit more open clash this time. It means that both sides should be able to find the back of the net at least once in the game. The odds are pretty generous, so it’s worth a try.

Chelsea AH +0.5 @ 1.95

BTTS Yes @ 2.00

Correct score 2:2 @ 19.00

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West Ham United vs Everton

After two straight defeats, the home side managed to get back on the winning track thanks to a 2:1 away win over Burnley. This victory kept the Hammers in the battle for the Champions League ticket, as they remained three points behind Chelsea. David Moyes’s side has been fairly productive this season with 55 goals scored, but their defense could have been tighter. Aaron Cresswell and the lads failed to keep their net intact on the previous seven occasions. However, West Ham has been excellent at the home ground, as they booked nine victories in 17 matches. The continental qualification seems to be a reality for the hosts, but they want to secure a place in the most famous competition – the Champions League.

Everton still hopes to snatch one of the Europa League spots, but the latest defeat against Aston Villa at home kept them in 8th place. The Toffees are two points behind their arch-rivals Liverpool but have one game in hand over most of the other contenders. However, Carlo Ancelotti’s side hasn’t performed well lately, as they celebrated just once in the previous five rounds. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and the lads have been doing well in front of the oppositions’ net, but their defense allowed more goals than expected. Everton lost too many vital points at the home ground, but they have been excellent on the road. The visitors managed to get back home with a win from ten outings, and Everton is among the best away sides in the Premier League. The visitors need to improve their performances to stay in the race for the Europa League spot.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

It is going to be a tight clash, but West Ham United should be a bit closer to the victory. We believe the hosts will continue with excellent home displays and win crucial three points from this game.

Goals Market Prediction

West Ham has been involved in many high-scoring matches lately, and we believe they will continue in the same fashion. Everton will also search for a positive result in this encounter, and we might enjoy at least three goals in total in this match.

West Ham United to win @ 2.20

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.90

Correct score 2:1 @ 10.00

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Michel Arteta will try to galvanize his players and return from the Europa League exclusion with a victory on Sunday to keep Arsenal's delicate hopes for European tickets alive. West Brom will be forced to relegate with a defeat, but we believe it could be exposed defensively, allowing the Cannonballs to secure all three points.

ARSENAL vs WEST BROMWICH ALBION @@ ARSENAL, odds 1.50

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I was on the draw in the recent Leeds-ManU match and it finished 0-0. Unposted: It is a fact that when I post, I lose. Anyway, this is the sweet spot for ManU draws going back the dozen years I've been keeping track, 40% draws. This season they're 9-7-0 away, drawing against the top sides but also some of the likes of Palace and West Brom. There's undefeated and then there's winning roughly half your away matches. 3.97 is a good price, too.

Edited by allthethings
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Fulham vs Burnley

Two of the relegation spots have now been confirmed in the Premier League with Sheffield United and West Brom set to return to the Championship next season but will we see the third and final drop zone place sealed here? It's Fulham versus Burnley at 8pm BST from Craven Cottage in a massive relegation dogfight where the home team need to avoid defeat to keep their hopes alive against an away team who are the team they must catch.

Fulham are in 18th place and 9 points adrift of safety with 4 league games to play. Scott Parker's team will be ruing their recent form having failed to win any of their last 6 league matches in a run that includes 5 defeats. Had they won just 2 of those then they'd still be right in the hunt for survival. Unfortunately, you feel even if they win here that it's just delaying the inevitable. A loss will confirm relegation and a draw will put them even more on the brink than they already are now. Defeat here would set an unwanted club record of 12 home league losses in a single season. Scoring goals has been a major problem for the Cottagers all season with the club only managing to hit the opposition net 9 times in their 17 home league games. The hope for Fulham fans is that the club are unbeaten against teams that start the round of games in the bottom 7 positions in the league table.

Burnley have a chance to end their relegation woes once and for all. It's generally been a disappointing campaign for Sean Dyche's team but they'll simply be happy to retain their status in the top flight. The job is nearly done but not quite. A loss here would make the final few league games of the season a little bit more nerve-wracking than they should be. The Clarets have lost 4 of their last 5 league games but their last away trip saw the 4-0 win over Wolves. Chris Wood is the man of the moment right now having been directly involved in 10 of the last 12 Burnley goals scored including scoring 7. Burnley have started scoring well on their travels banging in 12 goals in their last 6 away league matches. They have only won 1 of their 10 league games against teams that start the round of matches in the bottom 7 places.

I'm swaying towards a draw for this but I just can't help but feel that Fulham are shot. Even a win will just delay what we all think is coming anyway. Burnley have looked a bit livelier in recent weeks even if their results haven't matched the enthusiasm and effort. They have an in-form striker in Wood and when it comes to games like this that can make all the difference. Especially against a team that struggles to score at home. I think a Burnley draw no bet punt is the best option. Fulham may not be relegated tonight but they will be relegated.

Burnley Draw No Bet @ 2.46 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Chris Wood @ 2.82 with SBK

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5 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

Anytime Scorer: Chris Wood @ 2.82 with SBK

May be on him myself but awaiting confirmed line ups. I think Burnley may seal Fulham's fate tonight and, if it's clear they're going to lose then there heads could drop. The bet that has appealed to me is buy Burnley's goal rush for 2.5 points at 13 with SPIN (0 for no goal then 10, 20, 33, 50, 70 and 100 up to 6+).

If they score exactly 2 I may regret not taking just over 2/1 for >1.5 goals but I'll take the spread route just in case my faint vision of Burnley scoring 4 or more comes to pass!

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Manchester United vs Leicester City

The comeback kings did it again, and after trailing 1:0 in Birmingham against Aston Villa, Bruno Fernandes and the lads managed to book a 3:1 victory. Combined with Manchester City’s defeat against Chelsea, that one delayed the crowning of new Premier League champions. Manchester United is ten points behind their local rivals, having one game in hand. Although City still hasn’t theoretically secured the title, they are just one win away from it. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side eyes the Europa League trophy, and it will be challenging to keep the players fresh due to the tight schedule in May. The home side missed the chance to win just once in the previous seven Premier League rounds, and they want to continue the positive record. However, since the title chances are very slim, the hosts might make some changes in the standard line-up since winning the Europa League is the top priority.

After snatching just a point from the previous two rounds, Leicester City slipped to 4th place, being five points ahead of West Ham. Luckily for Brendan Rodgers’s side, the Hammers haven’t been too convincing lately, as they lost three times in the last four matches. Jamie Vardy and the lads want to keep the Champions League ticket in their hands, and they shouldn’t continue to spill points in the remaining three rounds. The Foxes have been excellent on the road this season, losing just two times on the away grounds. However, they managed to get back home with a win only twice from the last five outings. Leicester needs a much better display than the one against Newcastle United, who packed four goals in the Foxes’ net.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Although Manchester United is in a much better momentum, punters should be cautious with the idea of backing the hosts. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will most likely rotate, and combined with the importance of this game for the away side, Leicester might get away from Old Trafford with a point in their pockets.

Goals Market Prediction

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches lately, and they might continue in the same fashion. The Red Devils conceded five times in the last three games, while Leicester allowed one goal more. Therefore, we don’t think either side will keep the clean sheet in this encounter.

Draw @ 3.40

BTTS Yes @ 1.75

Correct score 2:2 @ 15.00

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