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Premier League Predictions > Jan 30th & 31st


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The next round of Premier League games are coming up fast this weekend. It's worth remembering that there are more midweek games coming our way next week as well so keep an eye on the starting line-ups. Check out the odds and ratings above then give us your thoughts on the matches scheduled. :ok

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Everton vs Newcastle

The Premier League has no time to rest this week after a midweek schedule that saw some surprise results. The action starts again at 12:30pm GMT on Saturday afternoon when Everton look to keep up their decent recent form against a free falling Newcastle side at Goodison Park. All signs point to a solid home win but is there any chance of a shock victory for the visitors?

Everton started the season so well and after a little bumpy patch during the end of October and start of November it now looks like Carlo Ancelotti's side are finding their feet again. The Toffees are currently in 7th place but only 4 points off the Champions League qualification spots with up to two games in hand on the clubs around them. They come into this game with a number of absentees still unable to return to action including Allan, Fabian Delph, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, and Niels Nkounkou. It's now just 1 loss in their last 8 league games for the team. The defence has started to tighten up a bit. Even though the clean sheets aren't quite coming as frequently as they'd like they've now not conceded more than 1 goal in each of their last 9 league games. If you want a cheeky anytime scorer bet then Dominic Calvert-Lewin has bagged 5 goals in his last 4 matches against Newcastle.

Newcastle are once again in a dire position. It seems to be almost a traditional situation. The Magpies find themselves down in 16th place and only 6 points above the relegation zone with 18th placed Fulham also boasting a game in hand on them. It's now 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 9 league games. Manager Steve Bruce comes into this game facing a decision about whether he feels Allan Saint-Maximin is fit enough to start. The team has now lost 5 away league matches in a row and have failed to score in 5 of their last 7 league games so they need to find some creativity and goals from somewhere. Unfortunately, Bruce has an awful record against Everton as a manager. The former Aston Villa and Sheffield United man has failed to win any of his 11 away games against the Merseyside club.

As if the basic facts weren't depressing enough for Newcastle fans to read, they'll see their pessimism given even more weight by knowing that Everton have only lost 1 of the last 16 home games against the Tyneside team. I can't see anything other than a convincing win for the home team and it wouldn't surprise if their improved defensive displays continue with a clean sheet here.

Everton to Win to Nil @ 2.55 with BetVictor

Anytime Scorer: Dominic Calvert-Lewin @ 2.10 with SpreadEx

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Arsenal vs Manchester United

 

 

Arsenal

Doubtful: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (17/5 f, 2nd top scorer, personal issue), Thomas Partey (8/0 m), Kieran Tierney (17/1 d), Emile Smith Rowe (6/0 m)

Out (injuries/other): Pablo Mari (3/0 d), Dani Ceballos (16/0 m)

Suspended: -

 

Manchester United

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Brandon Williams (1/0 d), Facundo Pellistri (0/0 m), Phil Jones (0/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more then 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics
Manchester United scored at least one goal in 90% of away games.
Manchester United scored at least two goals in 80% of away games.
Manchester United scored in both halves in 60% of away games.
65% chance that both Arsenal and Manchester United will score in this game.
60% chance that both team will score and goal count will be over 2.5 goals.
70% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game.
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sheff utd will be in great confidence after win against man utd. they could keep man city out in first half. leeds to beat leicester who will be without vardy is another interesting proposition especially since they will want to redeem themselves from trashing against them earlier this season. tottenham is crap and mourinho has made them so bad. they are playing too deep and kane unlikely to feature makes brighton interesting bet. liverpool showed their capabilities against man utd but west ham could hold them to a draw

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Arsenal vs Manchester United

After a period that led Arsenal slumping to 15th position, the hosts improved their game significantly. A 3:0 victory against Chelsea changed everything, and the Gunners haven’t lost in the Premier League since then. In the past six rounds, Mikel Arteta’s side failed to win only once. This excellent streak launched them to the 9th spot, and Arsenal is a candidate for a place in continental competitions. Although they were trailing 1:0 after just 3 minutes in the game against Southampton on Tuesday, Nicolas Pepe and the lads celebrated a 3:1 win. The home side improved its defense this season as they conceded 20 goals. On the other hand, they should have been more productive in the front. Arsenal hasn’t been confident at Emirates Stadium so far. Nevertheless, they managed to tie four matches without losing at the home ground. If they continue their unbeatable run, the host can keep challenging the Europa League spot.

Manchester United failed to a first defeat in the last 13 Premier League fixtures. Although it seemed that the comeback kings could turn around the result once again this season, that didn’t happen. A loss against Sheffield United is a kick in the Red Devils’ teeth, who want to continue their title battle. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side is now one point behind the top-placed Manchester City, with their rivals having a game in hand. Almost a perfect record on the road can encourage the United fans. Their team failed to win only twice when playing away from home. Marcus Rashford and the lads need to get back to the winning track, and they are looking for revenge for the 1:0 defeat at Old Trafford earlier this season. With perfect City and Leicester and Liverpool right behind them, the Red Devils don’t have the right to make a mistake.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction

Arsenal has been on the rise lately, while United wants to keep up the pace in the title race. Although it is going to be a tight clash, we believe the visitors will show their character and get back home with important three points.

Goals Market Prediction

Their head-to-head clashes haven’t been too efficient lately, but we expect a great battle this time. Both sides are very capable of scoring, and we don’t think the nets will remain still.

Manchester United to win @ 2.50

BTTS Yes @ 1.65

Correct score 1:2 @ 10.00

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Crystal Palace vs Wolves

The first our previews for the 3pm GMT kick-offs on Saturday afternoon covers Crystal Palace versus Wolves at Selhurst Park. These two teams might not yet be threatened by the prospect of a relegation dog fight but they'll still both feel they're battling at the wrong end of the league table. A win would go down very well for both sides but does either team have what it takes to grab the win?

Crystal Palace are on a dour run of form with just 1 win from their last 9 league games. It's a torrid spell that has seen the team drop to 14th in the table. The Eagles are still 10 points clear of the drop zone and, in all truth, they're not likely to go down this season with the others teams experiencing poor form this season but nothing is guaranteed. Roy Hodgson is hoping to have new signing Jean-Philippe Mateta available to boost his squad. He is still unable to call on the likes of James Tomkins, Nathan Ferguson, Mamadou Sakho, and Jeffrey Schlupp though. Defensive solidity is a big concern for Palace right now having conceded at least 3 goals in each of their last 4 league defeats. The 36 goals they've conceded in the league this season is the second worst record in the division behind West Brom's 48 goals conceded.

Wolves have been hit hard by the absence of talisman striker Raul Jimenez with the team only winning 1 of the 10 league games they've played since that match against Arsenal when the Mexican striker suffered a fractured skull in a collision with David Luiz and without a win in their last 7 league games. Nuno Espirito Santo has moved to address the issue with Willian Jose being signed on loan with a view to a permanent deal from Real Sociedad. He looked decent when he came on against Chelsea in midweek. Could Santo resort to a 4-4-2 with Rayan Ait-Nouri, Marcal, and Jonny all out injured? Away form remains a problem for Santo's side with Wanderers failing to win any of their last 5 away matches. On the plus side, they have only lost 2 of their 14 visits to London clubs in the league since they earned promotion back to the Premier League.

These two sides met earlier this month with Wolves prevailing victorious in the FA Cup 3rd Round at home with a 1-0 win. It was also Wolves who came out as winners by a 2-0 score in the reverse fixture in the league this season. Crystal Palace come into this game knowing they haven't scored against Wolves in over 5 hours and 14 minutes of football. I'm not sure I can call a winner here. I'm tempted to back Wolves to do it but I think the draw offers slightly better value with more likelihood of that being the outcome.

Draw @ 3.10 with Betfred

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.61 with SportNation

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Manchester City vs Sheffield United

The second preview for the 3pm GMT kick-offs on Saturday afternoon is between Manchester City and Sheffield United at the Etihad Stadium. It sees one of the Premier League title contenders hosting the side that is rooted to the bottom of the league table but is it a simple case of the home side earning a straightforward win or will the visitors be a thorn in their side?

Manchester City are fast becoming a lot of people's favourites to regain the Premier League title this season and it's easy to see why. Pep Guardiola's men are now unbeaten in 18 games across all competitions and will be looking to win a 12th game in a row in all competitions for the first time in their history. The Citizens are top of the table and will move 4 points clear at the summit with a win. The team will remain without star striker Sergio Aguero due to him self-isolating after testing positive for covid-19 but they're hardly missing him right now. Home form has been a reliable source of points for City with the club going unbeaten in 32 league games against teams that start the day in the relegation zone. Undoubtedly, the most impressive statistic has been the team conceding just 1 goal from their 10 league games when Ruben Dias and John Stones have started at centre back together.

Sheffield United won a landmark victory against former league leaders Manchester United away in midweek. The 2-1 win might have been a shock for most but it's a win that has been a long time coming for the Yorkshire club. Chris Wilder's men have now won 2 of their last 3 league matches with 4 wins from their last 5 games in all competitions and even though they're still bottom of the table, 3 points adrift of 19th placed West Brom and 10 points off safety there's a feeling that confidence is building for the Blades. However, this is arguably the worst game they could have asked for to follow up such a result. If, somehow, United get a win here then it'll be the first time since 1973/74 that they would have won away at both Manchester clubs in the same top flight league season.

OK, so as improved as Sheffield United are looking at the moment this is another level. Manchester City are impossible to bet against right now and this could be a brutal bounce back to earth for the visitors. There's no doubt they'll remain organised and resilient so I'd be surprised if City turned them over by a huge score-line. City are unbeaten in their last 11 home league games against United and haven't conceded against United in their last 8 home league games. 15 of the last 18 meetings have seen under 2.5 goals scored too. I expect a business-like 2-0 win for the home side here.

Manchester City to Win to Nil @ 1.73 with BetVictor

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.75 with Novibet

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West Brom vs Fulham

The final of the three previews for the 3pm GMT kick-offs on Saturday afternoon is a relegation six-pointer between West Brom and Fulham that's scheduled to be played at the Hawthorns. The situation is becoming dire for both of these clubs as the trap door back to the Championship begins to open but is there still time for them to save their own fate? Hmmm.

West Brom took the controversial decision to sack Slaven Bilic and replace him with renowned relegation survivor Sam Allardyce. Has the move paid off or is it showing signs of working? Well, the Baggies are still in 19th place and 7 points adrift of safety. It's just 1 win in 8 league games for the new man with 4 losses from their last 5 league games. It's like I said a few weeks back. It's almost as if the game has moved on from the age of Allardyce punt ball working! Home form remains an issue with the club losing 5 home league games in a row by an aggregate score of 22-1.

Fulham have at least showed signs of fight but are still in 18th place and 5 points adrift of safety. The Cottagers haven't won in 9 league games now and unless they start picking up victories they are not looking in a good place. Just 4 goals scored in those 9 league matches shows where the real problem lies. Having striker Aleksandar Mitrovic back fit hasn't appeared to aid their attacking prowess either. Does Scott Parker punt on a January signing? It's a hard sell for a club facing a return to the second tier. The optimistic Fulham fans will see that their team are unbeaten against sides in the bottom five this season.

It was Fulham who came out on top against West Brom in the reverse fixture this season. The Midlands club haven't tasted victory against the London club in their last 10 meetings in the league. On the flip side, West Brom have only lost 1 of their last 9 home league games with Fulham. I am struggling to see past a draw for this one with both teams suffering from dropping more points yet again.

Draw @ 3.25 with Unibet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.70 with SBK

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Arsenal vs Manchester United

The big game this weekend in the Premier League is the 5:30pm GMT kick-off on Saturday evening between Arsenal and Manchester United at the Emirates Stadium. This fixture comes with a lot of history over the past couple of decades but the clubs are less fierce rivals these days. It's still set to be an intriguing game between two sides looking to push on and qualify for the Champions League.

Arsenal are really showing a more positive side to their performances in the top flight over recent weeks. Mikel Arteta's men are in 9th place but have won 5 and drawn 1 of their last 6 league matches. It's a stark turnaround for a Gunners team that were looking to be in an awful predicament earlier in the season. New loan signing from Real Madrid, Martin Odegaard, could be in line for a start but it's not looking likely that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang will be available to start. Arsenal can be proud of their recent results having scored 14 goals in their last 6 league games and having now kept three consecutive clean sheets at home in all competitions.

Manchester United were rolling back the years over recent weeks as they rose to the top of the Premier League at this stage of the season for the first time since the Sir Alex Ferguson era. Unfortunately, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's men took their eye off the ball and suffered a shock 2-1 loss at home to bottom club Sheffield United in midweek. How do they react to such a result? The Red Devils go on the road for this next game and they remain the only top flight club to remain unbeaten on their travels in the league this season. The team is currently on a record-equalling run of 17 league games away without defeat.

This could be an exciting game. Arsenal have become a bit of a bogey side for Solskjaer with the London club undefeated against Manchester United in their last four league encounters. United have only scored 1 goal during those 4 meetings with none of them seeing more than 2.5 goals scored. I think we'll see two sides that are evenly matched in this one and I wouldn't be surprised to see this end in a score draw in a game that's packed with thrills and spills.

Draw @ 3.55 with Novibet

BTTS @ 1.69 with SBK

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Southampton vs Aston Villa

The last game to be played on Saturday is coming up at 8pm GMT and it's the clash of Southampton versus Aston Villa from St Mary's Stadium. If there was ever a game to be played between two mid-table mediocrity teams that have let their form slip over recent weeks then it's these two. Both teams could really do with the victory here and another loss could add more pressure to their campaigns.

Southampton were looking so good earlier this season but the club is now down in 11th place after a run of just 1 win from their last 7 league games. Ralph Hasenhuttl has seen his team struggled to score goals recently with the team only scoring 2 goals in their last 6 league matches. The fact top scorer Danny Ings has only bagged 1 goal in the league since 7th December due to a mixture of injury, self-isolation, and mis-firing hasn't helped. The Saints will welcome back the trio of Ryan Bertrand, Oriol Romeu, and Moussa Djenepo. Southampton fans will be keen to see both Ings and Shane Long get some game time today. Ings has scored 5 goals in the top flight against Villa and Long has scored 9 goals against Villa over the course of his career so both will be confident heading into this one.

Aston Villa are now down in 10th place which is disappointing given how they were at the summit of the table earlier in the season. Dean Smith's men have now only had 1 win from their last 5 league games. Due to the two postponed matches due to the covid-19 outbreak, the Villains have now only experienced one win in the league since Boxing Day. The 3-2 loss away to Burnley in midweek was gut-wrenching given Villa relinquished a 2-1 lead with just 15 minutes left. It's becoming apparent that Villa's form seems to rest entirely on how disciplined their defence is. The fact it's now 1 clean sheet from their last 5 league games when they had kept 4 clean sheets in a row prior to that run sums it up. It's now 4 away league games without a win. Can the signing of Morgan Sanson from Marseille address any issues?

There is the opportunity here for Southampton to win 5 league games in a row against Aston Villa. These two sides are very evenly matched and on relatively similar patterns of form. Villa haven't tasted victory in 9 matches at Southampton and given their away form at the moment I wouldn't be surprised if that run continues. The outcome of this match all depends on if Southampton can take their chances. I just feel a draw is the better option here with both teams not exactly brimming with confidence and self-belief.

Draw @ 3.80 with SpreadEx

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.70 with Betfair

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Chelsea vs Burnley

The first game of the day in the Premier League on Sunday is a midday GMT kick-off between Chelsea and Burnley at Stamford Bridge. This will be Thomas Tuchel's second game in charge at the London club and I'm fairly certain he'll not have faced a team like the visiting side or their manager during his career as a manager. It's going to be interesting to see how he sets up against them.

Chelsea started the Tuchel era with a bore draw at home to Wolves. It wasn't exactly an inspirational performance but it's early days for the former Borussia Dortmund and PSG gaffer. The Blues are down in 8th place now and 7 points off the Champions League spots. It's now 1 win in their last 6 league games and Tuchel will continue to get a feel for his best starting eleven here. Home form is a particular worry for the Londoners with just 3 wins from their last 8 home games. For all of the criticism that was aimed at Frank Lampard over recent weeks, he's certainly left Tuchel with a team that is potentially defensive tight having kept 14 clean sheets already this season. The big challenge for the German manager now is whether he can end Timo Werner's goal drought of 11 league matches.

Burnley continue their revival and move up the Premier League table after beating Aston Villa 3-2 in midweek. Sean Dyche's men are now in 15th place and 8 points clear of relegation having won 5 of their last 9 league games. It's 3 wins in a row for the Clarets over the past 10 days and that includes two clean sheets. Just 2 defeats from their last 6 away matches in all competitions shows how effective they are becoming on the road. The only issue is that they've only managed to score 2 goals in their last 8 away league games. The fact they have kept 5 clean sheets away from home in the league shows that even though they are having trouble scoring away they are also capable of shutting teams out.

I'm not entirely convinced this game will be an attractive one. Chelsea are going to take some time to get used to Tuchel's approach and philosophy that is certain to be quite different to that of Lampard's. The draw with Wolves was dour but it was only after one Tuchel-led training session. We are sure to see more visible changes and, potentially, improvements in the Blues team here. I'm concerned Burnley could stifle this Chelsea side in transition and hold them to a draw. I feel Tuchel needs just a bit more time with his players and they will need to work hard to get the win here.

Burnley AH +1.5 @ 1.97 with Bet365

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.25 with SBK

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16 minutes ago, Labrador said:

It was in the 7-goal reverse fixture v Southampton virtually 3 months ago that Tyrone Mings last scored. He has only 2 goals all season but does get forward for most set pieces and is overdue another one. Sporting Index have Mings at 18/1 to score this evening. Worth a play in my book at that price.

I have to agree with your call on Burnley being value but I'm not entirely convinced this one will be a bet to follow. How many goals have Southampton conceded from set-pieces? They are without Jannik Vestergaard so could be lacking in the aerial prowess department.

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Leicester vs Leeds

Two attacking sides packed with flair go head-to-head in the Premier League on Sunday at 2pm GMT when Champions League chasing Leicester take on mid-table newly promoted Leeds at the King Power Stadium. It's a battle between two teams that are feeling the woes of injury problems so anything more than a draw will be a huge boost to their spirits.

Leicester continue to thrive under Brendan Rodgers with the club currently in 3rd place and only 5 points off the title pace. The Foxes face a period without star striker Jamie Vardy with Ayoze Perez deputising for the midweek 1-1 draw away to Everton. Vardy played a key role when Leicester hammered Leeds in the reverse fixture back in November that ended in a 4-1 win for Leicester. It's now 9 matches without defeat in all competitions for the home team. 7 of those results have come in league action with only league leaders Manchester City boasting a longer unbeaten run.

Leeds are lacking a bit of consistency this season but they are still just about doing enough to stay in mid-table so far. Marcelo Bielsa's men are in 12th place and still closer in terms of points to the Champions League places than the relegation spots. The Whites beat Newcastle away by a 2-1 scoreline in midweek and that win put an abrupt end to the spell of back-to-back defeats in the league. It also made it 2 wins from their last 3 away league matches. One concern will be top scorer Patrick Bamford failing to score in his last 4 league matches.

Head-to-head statistics suggest this one is Leicester's to lose with the 2015/16 Premier League champions unbeaten in their last 5 meetings with Leeds with Leeds only winning 2 of the last 16 encounters. If Vardy was fit then I'd be backing Leicester to pull off another demolition job. It could be a tighter affair this time but I still think the home side have got enough about them to get the win.

Leicester to Win @ 1.86 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.61 with SportNation

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33 minutes ago, StevieDay1983 said:

I have to agree with your call on Burnley being value but I'm not entirely convinced this one will be a bet to follow. How many goals have Southampton conceded from set-pieces? They are without Jannik Vestergaard so could be lacking in the aerial prowess department.

They have been without Vestergaard since before Christmas.

Value is subjective - 18/1 does it for me? .

I'll also be looking out for team news to see who is right back for Southampton (perhaps a card awaits).

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West Ham vs Liverpool

The penultimate game of the weekend in the Premier League gives us West Ham versus Liverpool in a 4:30pm GMT kick-off from the London Stadium. The reigning champions looked a lot like their old selves in the midweek win over Tottenham but they face a very stern opponent in the host side who are on the cusp of one of their best run of results in the club's history.

West Ham are in the form of their lives right now. It's 6 games won on the bounce for the Hammers and it's a spree of victories that has moved them up to 5th in the table and into the 5th Round of the FA Cup. Life hasn't been this good for West Ham fans in decades. David Moyes is showing how good a manager he can be when he gets the players and system working in a way he wants. If West Ham win this game then they will equal the club record of 5 straight Premier League wins which was last achieved 15 years ago. The club's points tally of 35 points is their highest total in the top flight after 20 league matches since 1985/86. Unfortunately, Moyes has a poor record against Jurgen Klopp failing to manage to win a single game against the German in 6 attempts in the league.

Liverpool showed how they're not out of the title running quite yet with that convincing 3-1 win over Tottenham on Thursday night. Klopp's side are now up to 4th in the table and 7 points off league leaders Manchester City. The win over Tottenham ended a winless run in the league of 5 matches so that'll be a relief to their fans. It was a result that also ended a four game run without scoring a goal. Interestingly, every away win Liverpool have earned this season have come in London against Chelsea, Crystal Palace, and Tottenham. One concern continues to be top scorer Mohamed Salah firing blanks. It's now 6 league games without a goal for the Egyptian attacker.

This will be a massive test to see where these two clubs stand right now. West Ham are up there and competing against all the odds. Moyes has turned them into a very difficult side to beat and they're playing like Moyes got his old Everton team playing. Liverpool dominate the head-to-head record with an unbeaten run in this fixture that stretches 9 league games. Liverpool haven't tasted defeat at the London Stadium yet and I think that could continue here. It'll be a fascinating encounter but I have to back the Reds to get the win.

Liverpool to Win & BTTS @ 3.65 with SBK

Liverpool HT/FT @ 2.80 with BetVictor

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Brighton vs Tottenham

The last game of the weekend in the Premier League comes from the Amex Stadium on Sunday at 7:15pm GMT where relegation strugglers Brighton host Champions League qualification hopefuls Tottenham. This is a game between two teams that will be desperate for a win for two different reasons at two opposite ends of the table. Can either team get the breakthrough?

Brighton are starting to actually turn their encouraging performances into points over recent weeks. Just 1 loss from their last 6 competitive matches has seen the Seagulls maintain their 4 point gap over the relegation spots. Back-to-back clean sheets in the league have also been great to see for Graham Potter's men and the club also has a mouth-watering FA Cup 5th Round tie with Leicester awaiting them. Home form is still a menace for the club though with them being the only team in the top four divisions of English football yet to taste victory on their own turf. The winless streak at home has now stretched to 14 league games from last season. The last team to suffer such a run in the top flight was the infamous Derby side of 2007/08 who went without a home league win for 16 matches.

Tottenham face a difficult period without top scorer Harry Kane. The England striker damaged his ankle in the 3-1 loss at home to Liverpool. Jose Mourinho also has to worry about injuries to Dele Alli, Giovani Lo Celso, and Sergio Reguilon. The defeat to Liverpool has left Spurs down in 6th place and 11 points off the title pace now but it is still just 1 loss in their last 7 matches in all competitions and the team has only lost 1 of their last 12 away league matches. Tottenham haven't suffered defeat in their last 12 matches against teams that have started the match day in the bottom four of the table. However, Mourinho won't have fond memories of the Amex Stadium having suffered defeat on both of his visits to the stadium before.

I'm not sure how to call this one. Brighton have played better than their position suggests this season but they won their first home game of the season in the FA Cup 4th Round last week when they beat League One Blackpool 2-1 but they face a Tottenham side that are imperious away from home. That is a Tottenham side that has had Kane to boost their attacking powers. If Mourinho's side can adapt to life without Kane then I can see them winning but I'm not convinced they'll manage without him straight away. I just still think Brighton have issues at home that eclipse Tottenham's potential issues without Kane so a narrow Spurs win seems like the sensible bet.

Tottenham to Win & Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 5.20 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Son Heung-min @ 3.00 with Sporting Index

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