harry_rag Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 One game and one bet today. Oyonnax v Angouleme: Sell Oyonnax hotshots for 1 point at 41 (Fall, Millet, Sanday, Callandret) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Yesterday's sell made up at 25 for a 16 point profit. Three today. Gloucester v Bristol: Sell Bristol hotshots for 1 pont at 37 (Charles Piutau, Luke Morahan, Piers O'Conor, Henry Purdy) Toulouse v Pau: Sell Toulouse hotshots for 1 point at 38 (Cheslin Kolbe, Yoann Huget, Sofiane Guitoune, Matthis Lebel) Sale v Bath: Sell Sale hotshots for 1 point at 35 (Simon Hammersley, Byron McGuigan, Connor Doherty, Tom Roebuck) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 13, 2021 Author Share Posted February 13, 2021 2-1 and a 60 point profit yesterday (1st and last made up at 0, middle one at 50). 5 bets for today. Bordeaux v Stade Francais: Sell Bordeaux hotshots for 1 point at 37 (Romain Buros, Bautista Delguy, Pierre Mignot, Ben Lam) England v Italy: Sell England hotshots for 1 point at 73 (Elliot Daly, Anthony Watson, Henry Slade, Jonny May) Harlequins v Leicester: Sell Harlequins hotshots for 1 point at 36 (Mike Brown, Louis Lynagh, Joe Marchant, Aaron Morris) Racing 92 v Lyon: Sell Racing 92 hotshots for 1 point at 36 (Simon Zebo, Donovan Taofifenua, Henry Chavancy, Louis Dupichoit) Exeter v London Irish: Sell Exeter hotshots for 1 point at 42 (Alex Cuthbert, Tom Hendrickson, Tom O'Flaherty, Sam Simmonds) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Labrador Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 (edited) On 2/6/2021 at 11:28 AM, harry_rag said: Added 43 points on >1.5 total tournament red cards at 23/20 with Lads. That's priced as a coin toss with most firms and I tend to agree with that view. Easy peasy . Very heavy rain forecast for Worcester area tomorrow to coincide with Worcester v Wasps game. Neither side going great guns although no relegation should relax the home side more than usual. Nevertheless could be a scrappy, tight game worthy of selling match multis at 488 (SPIN). Edited February 13, 2021 by Labrador addition harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 Good luck @Labrador I've sold Wasps hotshots at 36 and their sub try minutes at 48 so, hopefully, any tries there are come from elsewhere. The hotshots are Matteo Minozzi, Zach Kibirige, Malakai Fekitoa and Josh Bassett and were 31 to buy elsewhere (up to 32 now) so a significant difference of opinion. 32 closer to the true value for me so happy enough that any value is on the sell side. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 19 hours ago, Labrador said: Nevertheless could be a scrappy, tight game worthy of selling match multis at 488 (SPIN). Made up at 221 (17 x 13) for a 267 point profit, well done. No hotshots or subs tries so an 84 point profit for me from those sells. Ireland beating France would be a decent result for the no Grand Slam bet. Labrador 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 11:28 AM, harry_rag said: Had a look at the France v Italy game and think Ollivon is a decent price to score a try. 20 points at 5/2 with Hills. Scores against Ireland at 7/1! Was in my thoughts to have a look at him again but I completely forgot so can't say I'd have definitely backed him this week. May well have done at that price. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 Super Rugby returns tomorrow, a couple of sells in the opening game. Reds v Waratahs: Sell Reds hotshots for 1 point at 38 (Campbell, Petaia, Paisami and Daugunu) and their subs try minutes for 1 point at 48. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 No joy last night, hotshots made up at 75 points for a 37 point loss and sub try minutes made up at 80 for a 32 point loss. 80th minute sub tries are an occupational hazard for selling in the subs market. They happen more often than I'd like but not as often as you'd think. Dragons v Leinster: Sell Leinster hotshots for 1 point at 50 (Max O'Reilly, Cian Kelleher, Dave Kearney, Scott Penny) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 Added a sell of Leinster sub try minutes for 1 point at 44 and a sell of Racing 92 hotshots (v Castres) for 1 point at 44 (Simon Zebo, Donovan Taofifenua, Olivier Klemenczak, Emiliano Boffelli). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 20, 2021 Author Share Posted February 20, 2021 2 from 3 and +23 points from yesterday's bets, both hotshots made up at 25 but the subs came in at 63. 4 bets for today. Harlequins v Sale: Sell Harlequins hotshots for 1 point at 37 (Louis Lynagh, Joe Marchant, Aaron Morris, Alex Dombrandt) La Rochelle v Stade Francais: Sell La Rochelle hotshots for 1 point at 39 (Jeremy Sinzelle, Jules Favre, Raymond Rhule, Pierre Boudehent) Scarlets v Treviso: Sell Scarlets hotshots for 1 point at 35 (Johnny McNicholl, Ryan Conbeer, Steff Evans, Dane Blacker) Ospreys v Zebre: Sell Ospreys hotshots for 1 point at 39 (Dan Evans, Mat Protheroe, Luke Morgan, Rhys Webb) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 21, 2021 Author Share Posted February 21, 2021 3-1 and a net 25 point profit yesterday, with make ups of 75, 0 and 25 twice. 2 bets today. London Irish v Bristol: Sell Bristol hotshots for 1 point at 36 (Charles Piutau, Luke Morahan, Piers O'Conor, Siva Naulago) and their sub try minutes for 1 point at 39. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 26, 2021 Author Share Posted February 26, 2021 Four for tonight. Bennetton v Connacht: Sell Connacht hotshots for 1 point at 48 (Peter Sullivan, Bundee Aki, Alex Wootton, Kieran Marmion) and their sub try minutes for 1 point at 43 Toulon V Bayonne: Sell Toulon hotshots for 1 point at 35 (Gervais Cordin, Ramiro Moyano, Maa Nonu, Federick Du Plessis) Ulster v Ospreys: Sell Ulster hotshots for 1 point at 46 (Rob Lyttle, Jacob Stockdale, John Cooney, John Andrew) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 27, 2021 Author Share Posted February 27, 2021 3 out of 4 for a 97 point profit last night. 11 bets today, all to 1 point. Bristol v Leicester: Sell Bristol hotshots at 48 (Charles Piutau, Luke Morahan, Piers O'Conor, Siva Naulago) and their sub try minutes at 48 Agen v Clermont: Sell Clermont hotshots at 77 (Kotato Matsushima, Peter Betham, JP Barraque, Aliverti Raka) and their sub try minutes at 52 Italy v Ireland: Sell Ireland hotshots at 54 (Hugo Keenan, Jordan Larmour, Garry Ringrose, James Lowe) and their sub try minutes at 67 Newcastle v Harlequins: Sell Harlequins sub try minutes at 41 Wasps v London Irish: Sell Wasps hotshots at 42 (Zach Kibirige, Josh Bassett, Gabriel Oghre, Tom Willis) Gloucester v Worcester: Sell Gloucester hotshots at 41 (Kyle Moyle, Santiago Carreras, Henry Trinder, Ollie Thorley) Zebre v Dragons: Sell each team's sub try minutes at 35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 27, 2021 Author Share Posted February 27, 2021 Wales v England: 10 points on >4 tries to be scored at 7/2 with Hills (like Man City at evens earlier, these are "flash odds" that are too big to pass up) Buy Wales hotshots for 2 points at 20 with SPIN (Liam Williams, Louis Rees-Zammit, George North, Josh Adams) I'm normally a seller in this market though not at a price as low as this. Feels like a solid bet to me where even a single try by any of the 4 named players makes for a small profit. I strongly fancy Rees-Zammit and considered buying his try minutes at 12 but have decided to have all four of them on my side and not be worried about one player scoring "too early". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 28, 2021 Author Share Posted February 28, 2021 9 wins from the 11 sells yesterday for +260 points, both bets in the Wales/England game won for +95 points. 2 today. Leinster v Glasgow: Sell Leinster hotshots for 1 point at 55 (Cian Kelleher, Dave Kearney, Sean Cronin, Scott Penny) and their sub try minutes for 1 point at 53. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 4, 2021 Author Share Posted March 4, 2021 Plus 33 from the last 2 bets (hotshots 75 but no sub tries). One for tonight from the French second tier. Vannes v Mont-de-Marsan: Sell Vannes hotshots for 1 point at 56 (Duplenne, Symons, Gratien, Troin) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 4, 2021 Author Share Posted March 4, 2021 One for before breakfast tomorrow. Chiefs v Highlanders: Sell Chiefs sub try minutes for 1 point at 37. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 5, 2021 Author Share Posted March 5, 2021 +6 and +37 from the last 2 bets, just the one for today so far (waiting on prices in a couple of games). Sale v Newcastle: Sell Sale hotshots for 1 point at 36 (Luke James, Byron McGuigan, Sam James, Marland Yarde) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 5, 2021 Author Share Posted March 5, 2021 One from the early game tomorrow. Brumbies v Rebels: Sell Brumbies hotshots for 1 point at 39 (Tom Banks, Andy Muirhead, Len Ikitau, Mack Hansen) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 6, 2021 Author Share Posted March 6, 2021 Broke even on the last 2 games with an 11 point profit followed by an 11 point loss. 8 for today. Zebre v Glasgow: Sell Glasgow sub try minutes for 1 point at 40 Toulouse v Brive: Sell Toulouse hotshots for 1 point at 56 (Cheslin Kobe, Yoann Huget, Matthis Lebel, Romain Ntamack) Bath v Exeter: Sell Exeter hotshots for 1 point at 45 (Stuart Hogg, Facundo Cordero, Tom O'Flaherty, Sam Simmonds) and their sub try minutes for 1 point at 40 Wasps v Gloucester: Sell Wasps hotshots for 1 point at 40 (Zach Kibirige, Malakai Fekitoa, Josh Bassett, Tom Willis) Bayonne v Lyon: Sell Lyon hotshots for 1 point at 35 (Clement Laporte, Xavier Mignot, Josua Tuisova, Noa Nakaitaci) Bordeaux v Pau: Sell Bordeaux hotshots for 1 point at 39 (Matthieu Jalibert, Nathanael Hulleu, JB Dubie, Ben Lam) Worcester v Bristol: Sell Bristol hotshots for 1 point at 39 (Henry Purdy, Niyi Adeolokun, Piers O'Conor, Siva Naulago) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 7, 2021 Author Share Posted March 7, 2021 5-3 yesterday for +36 points. Just one bet today. Harlequins v Northampton: Sell Harlequins hotshots for 1 point at 38 (Mike Brown, Aaron Morris, Joe Marchant, Tyrone Green) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bFunk Posted March 11, 2021 Share Posted March 11, 2021 I'm a casual fan of international rugby and just placed my first sports bet ever today on Bovada. I put $100 on Scotland. The moneyline is +120. Like I said, I'm a casual fan, but isn't it strange that Ireland are favorites? Scotland convincingly beat England just a few weeks ago, and really should have beat Wales (they didn't, which is a mark against them, but they didn't play terrible). Ireland have not looked good, and I think you can discount their performance against Italy because Italy's so far below everyone else. Overall it just seems like Scotland is in way better form than Ireland, and it's a home game for them (though who knows how much that means with no crowds). Interested to hear anybody's thoughts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 12, 2021 Author Share Posted March 12, 2021 Three bets tonight. Zebre v Leinster: Sell Leinster hotshots for 1 point at 66 (Cian Kelleher, Dave Kearney, Dan Sheehan, Scott Penny) and their sub try minutes for 1 point at 56 Glasgow v Ospreys: Sell Ospreys sub try minutes for 1 point at 37 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 12, 2021 Author Share Posted March 12, 2021 From tomorrow's early action. Crusaders v Chiefs: Sell Crusaders hotshots for 1 point at 55 (Will Jordan, Sevu Reece, Jack Goodhue, Leicester Fainga'anuku) and their sub try minutes for 1 point at 37 Brumbies v Reds: Sell Brumbies sub try minutes for 1 point at 40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 13, 2021 Author Share Posted March 13, 2021 3 out of 6 and -50 points from those bets. 3 for today. Italy v Wales: Sell Wales hotshots for 1 point at 72 (Liam Williams, Louis Rees-Zammit, George North, Josh Adams) and their sub try minutes for 1 point at 57 Dragons v Ulster: Sell Ulster sub try minutes for 1 point at 35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 13, 2021 Author Share Posted March 13, 2021 England v France: 10 points on May to score a try at 3/1 with Hills and 10 points on May or Watson to score a 1st half try at 3/1 with Lads A couple of flash odds/super boosts that look worth taking to the allowed stakes. May available at a similar price on the exchange so might top up a bit on that (requested another 10 points at 4.1). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 13, 2021 Author Share Posted March 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, harry_rag said: May available at a similar price on the exchange so might top up a bit on that (requested another 10 points at 4.1). Matched. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 14, 2021 Author Share Posted March 14, 2021 1st half Watson try enough for a small profit yesterday. Three that look decent for an interest in today's game between Scotland and Ireland. 15 points on Hogg to score a try at 4.54 on BF 10 points on Lowe or Earls to score a try in the first half at 4/1 with Lads 20 points on Ringrose to score a try at 19/4 with Lads Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 A few sells in this evening's games. Munster v Treviso: Sell Munster hotshots for 1 point at 42 (Jake Flannery, Andrew Conway, Alex McHenry, Liam Coombes) Leinster v Osperys: Sell Leinster hotshots for 1 point at 62 (Max O'Reilly, Rory O'Loughlin, Dave Kearney, Scott Penny) Ulster v Zebre: Sell Ulster hotshots for 1 point at 64 (Ethan McIlroy, Robert Baloucoune, Rob Lyttle, John Cooney) and their sub try minutes for 1 point at 64 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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