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Racing Chat - Saturday Jan 4th


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Not many runners at Sandown but the last race looks a tricky handicap and worth closer inspection.

335 Sandown

 

READ NICO DE BOINVILLE'S UNIBET BLOG HANDICAP HURDLE (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-145) Winner £15,640 11 runners 1m7f216y Soft ITV4

Previous Winners

Screen Shot 2020-01-03 at 12.21.30.png

Trends

10/10 Had a run this season
9/10 had won a race before
8/10 6yo or younger
8/10 Rated less than 140
8/10 Carried 11st 3lbs or less
7/10 First 3 last time out
7/10 Had no more than 2 starts this season

 

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335 Sandown
10/10 Had a run this season
we lose Eldorado Allen, Remiluc, Ainchea

9/10 had won a race before
8/10 6yo or younger
We lose Blue Cavalier, Totterdown, Mill Green, Distingo, John Constable, Ruacana, Gunnery

8/10 Rated less than 140
8/10 Carried 11st 3lbs or less

Selection
Smarty Wild
(A 6yo, 
carries 11st, has won a race, ran 28 days ago and is rated 133)

1pt win 6/1 bet365

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Only the one race caught my eye 215 ling 

Agueroo   226 +3

Alicia Darcy 224+1 

Something lucky 223+1

Venture 220 +1 

I'm getting a bit frustrated with Alicia Darcy....I'll persist once more before losing interest ...Agueroo is 16/1 as opposed to something lucky 5..and venture 4 so just looks way better value so he's on the team 

Agueroo 5pts ew 16/1 bet365

Alicia Darcy 5pts ew 7/1 willh

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335 sand 

Gunnery  231 +5 +

Distingo 229 +3 

Smarty wild 226 +1 

Hard to know how gunnery will be feeling today after winning by 12 lengths on the bit 6 days ago ....showed he is ahead of the hcaaper but is 6 days enough to recover from a 2 mile race ??...debatable ...I think if he flounders then most likely distingo or smarty wild will benefit with preference for distingo who is a big price and took a big step forward last time ...I'll try win bets top 2 

Gunnery 5pts win 7/2 888

Distingo 2pts win 18.0. Betfair 

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19 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

Only the one race caught my eye 215 ling 

Agueroo   226 +3

Alicia Darcy 224+1 

Something lucky 223+1

Venture 220 +1 

I'm getting a bit frustrated with Alicia Darcy....I'll persist once more before losing interest ...Agueroo is 16/1 as opposed to something lucky 5..and venture 4 so just looks way better value so he's on the team 

Agueroo 5pts ew 16/1 bet365

Alicia Darcy 5pts ew 7/1 willh

The same race is the only one catching my eye today where I think Boom the Groom looks a fair e/w bet

My top 4 are Boom the Groom, Venture, Something lucky and Alicia Darcy.

Aguerooo would be top or 2nd top if on form but I have my doubts at present

 

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19 minutes ago, Snert said:

The same race is the only one catching my eye today where I think Boom the Groom looks a fair e/w bet

My top 4 are Boom the Groom, Venture, Something lucky and Alicia Darcy.

Aguerooo would be top or 2nd top if on form but I have my doubts at present

 

It's a very interesting race on a quiet day ...you can make a case for about 5 of these so it will very interesting to see where they finish ...good luck ....if it had been 5f I'd have gone for something lucky ...but I'm not so sure has as good over 6f so he's been downgraded on my ratings but I could be wrong lol

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Systemights T.V selections..

Happy New Year all......

1.50 Sandown ..JOHNBB WIN @ 6/4 Betfred

2.05 Wincanton..SANTEMILLION WIN  @11/4 888Bet

2.25 Sandown  FIDDLERONTHEROOF WIN @ 9/4 Skybet

2.40 Wincanton  NIFTY AT FIFTY LAY (Max 4.0) and MAYPOLE CLASS LAY (Max 3.75)

3.00 Sandown  JEPECK WIN @ 10/3 Sportingbet

3.15 Wincanton  AS DE MEE  LAY (Max 2.74) and VALDEZ LAY (Max 3.25)

3.35 Sandown  GUNNERY WIN @ 3/1 Sporting bet

 

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