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2018 Doncaster Class 2 Sprint - Tips & Trends


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The 3.25 at Doncaster on Saturday is the big betting handicap this weekend

We also have the first big handicap over fences at Cheltenham.
 

3:25 sunracing.co.uk Handicap (Class 2) £45,000 added

Previous Winners
Screen Shot 2018-10-23 at 10.37.34.png

Trends:
9/10 Carried below 9st 6lbs
9/10 Ran within 35 days
8/10 Aged 5 or under
8/10 Rated below 98
7/10 Drawn 7 or higher
15/20 Ran at least 8 times this season (6 won last time out)
16/20 Won at 5f previously
 

2.00 The ‘Matchbook Betting Exchange’ Handicap Steeple Chase (Class 2) 3m 1f , Chase

Previous Winners
Screen Shot 2018-10-23 at 11.13.06.png
 
Trends
10/10 Aged 7 or above
9/10 Making seasonal debut
9/10 Rated between 133 and 140
10/11 Favourites beaten
8/10 Carried 10st 11lbs or more
9/11 Started at 8/1 or less
8/11 Had won over further than 3m.
6/11 Finished first 4 last time
 
 
 
 
 
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Sunracing. Co.uk.handicap

Copper knight  312

Duke of firenze   309

Evergate     308

Camacho chief   302 

Top 3 seem to be well clear of the fav Camacho chief ....hard to rate because none of these are particuly jumping out ....or well handicapped and duke of firenze is 9 so we'll outside age limit so ordinarily I'd scrub him but he's a talented horse on his day and he showed a glimmer that he still retains ability last time and hccapper has released his grip slightly making him look fairly hccapped now .only boosting factor is all 3 are coming back after 7 days and there arex2 in the trends that fit that profile ...top 3 just look amazing value at 14 ....20....25 ....so I'll play 

Copper knight 5ptsxew 14/1 b365

Duke of firenze 5pts ew 20/1 b365

Evergate  5pts ew 25/1 lads 

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2.00 matchbook 

Pickamix   322

Relentless dreamer  318

Braquer dor  317 

Thesez3 are a bit clear of next horse.....can't back with any degree of confidence as wide open and first time up but we at current 16...16...20 looks very decent

Pickamix 5pts ew 20/1 pp

Braque dor 5ptsxew 16/1 pp

Relentless dancer 5pts ew 16/1 bet365

And 1pt win doubles with other race 

 

 

 

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Trends Selection

Trends:
9/10 Carried below 9st 6lbs
We lose Tarboosh


9/10 Ran within 35 days
We lose Sir Robert Cheval


8/10 Aged 5 or under
We lose Line Of Reason, Foolaad, Rapid Applause, Duke Of Firenze


7/10 Drawn 7 or higher
We lose Copper Knight, Dakota Gold, Abel Handy, Holmeswood, Excessable


15/20 Ran at least 8 times this season (6 won last time out)
We lose Diamond Dougal, Ornate, Camacho Chief, Mayleaf Shine, Just Glamorous, Lord Riddiford

5 left: Evergate, Equimou, Quick Look, Erissimus Maximus, East Street Revue

Tie-Break: Only Erissimus Maximus won last time out

Selection:

1pt Erissimus Maximus 11/1 Coral

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Trends Selection


10/10 Aged 7 or above
We lose Callet Mad


9/10 Making seasonal debut
We lose Laurium, Dall Arca, Captain Chais, Relentless Dreamer,
Rightdownthemiddle, Above Board, Swingbridge


9/10 Rated between 133 and 140
We lose Minella Rocco, Perfect Candidate, Shantou Village, West Approach, For Good Measure


6/11 Finished first 4 last time
We lose Domesday Book, Braquer D'Or, Cogry

Selection
1pt EW Doing Fine 16/1 Paddy Power first 5

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2.00 Chelt

Looking at 

7/8 year olds

Distance winners

leaves me with 3 runners. I'm dumping Captain Chaos as he finished last on his handicap debut last time and looks like he might have paid the price for a good novice season and found himself too high in the weights to start handicapping

two left 

Larium 12/1

Above Board 16/1

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2.00 CH- I cant go past the 3 JP McManus runners win bet on For good Measure best pticed 71-Minella Rocco 12s e/w 6 places  1/5  odds &  Above board 16/1 5 places 1/5 odds..

 

3.25 Donny- 3 e/w Sir robert Chevail 20/1  Line of Reason 28/1 &  Just Glamorous 40/1 all very well in at the weights.

 

 

Good luck all

 

 

Edited by Tedthewolf
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3.25 – sunracing.co.uk Handicap Cl2 (3yo+) 5f 
14/14 – Ran 5 or more times that season   (6)
13/14 – Had won over 5f before   
13/14 – Aged 5 or younger   (3,5,15,18)
9/14 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old   (7,10,11,20)
9/14 – Carried 8-10 or less   (1,2,4,8,9,12)
9/14 – Had run at Doncaster before (4 won)   (21)
5/14 – Ran at Pontefract (3) or Ayr (2) last time out   - All the other horses failed on this
5/14 – Won last time out   (13,14,16,17,19,22)

Erissimus Maximus 2 Pts EW @ 12\1 WHill

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2.00 – ‘Matchbook’ Exchange Handicap Chase Cl2 3m1f 

NR :1

10/11 – Won over at least 3m previously   (5) - probably more than this, so instead of going through all the horses, completed stat 2 and 3 and then came back to it.  
9/11 – First run of the season   (3,4,6,7,8,13,14,15,16)
8/11 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight   (9,10,11 12,17)

Perfect Candidate 1 Pt EW @ 33\1 Bet365

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On 24/10/2018 at 10:14 AM, richard-westwood said:

2.00 matchbook 

Pickamix   322

Relentless dreamer  318

Braquer dor  317 

Thesez3 are a bit clear of next horse.....can't back with any degree of confidence as wide open and first time up but we at current 16...16...20 looks very decent

Pickamix 5pts ew 20/1 pp

Braque dor 5ptsxew 16/1 pp

Relentless dancer 5pts ew 16/1 bet365

And 1pt win doubles with other race 

 

 

 

Relentless dreamer just wins ...close lol...110pts returned 

Edited by richard-westwood
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On 24/10/2018 at 9:28 AM, richard-westwood said:

Sunracing. Co.uk.handicap

Copper knight  312

Duke of firenze   309

Evergate     308

Camacho chief   302 

Top 3 seem to be well clear of the fav Camacho chief ....hard to rate because none of these are particuly jumping out ....or well handicapped and duke of firenze is 9 so we'll outside age limit so ordinarily I'd scrub him but he's a talented horse on his day and he showed a glimmer that he still retains ability last time and hccapper has released his grip slightly making him look fairly hccapped now .only boosting factor is all 3 are coming back after 7 days and there arex2 in the trends that fit that profile ...top 3 just look amazing value at 14 ....20....25 ....so I'll play 

Copper knight 5ptsxew 14/1 b365

Duke of firenze 5pts ew 20/1 b365

Evergate  5pts ew 25/1 lads 

Copper knight 4th .....18/1 ....Bit more ew return 

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