Announcements
*** New Last Man Standing Competition - Win up to £1500 Annually - See Competitions Forum ***
*** July Competition Winners: Well done to Pete1971 (NAPS), Barnsley Chop (KO Cup), bluemal (Goodwood) & Rivrd (Poker) ***
BillyHills

£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

Recommended Posts

10 hours ago, Valiant Thor said:

Gone for 4 today

0 winners Bread and water for tea :eyes

1 winner for around 18% loss :$

2 winners required for around  a 62% profit :)

3 winners required for around  a 143% profit :cigar

4 winners chicken dinner time :loon  :clap

Capture.PNG.a85a0972dedbb9307816f0ee74dd4009.PNG

Woe is me  :sad

2 seconds and 2 nowhere's

Absolute disaster, empty pockets and off to bed with no tea for me tonight :cry

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bank 767.69

Chep 3.35 - Poetic Rhythm - £20 win at 10/3

Back in the 80s this was always the first Jumps meeting to be televised each season and was a sign that the jumpers were getting going

A few decent races on the card and my horse runs in the Listed novice chase. He has the form in the book having win Grade 2, and Grade 1 novice hurdles last season and he's won twice at Chepstow (a tricky track ?). He seems to be at his best in the fist few months of the season then tails off after Christmas so this could be a good time to catch him

Paul Nicholls runner, Master Tommytucker, is favourite but his runners haven't been winning first time out so far …. they nearly all finish 2nd

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lost - Bank 747.69

Can't seem to pick a winner over the Jumps so I think I'll leave that for another week or two and stick with the two year old races on the flat for a bit longer …… should still have plenty of 2yo races on the AW even when the Turf racing finishes 

Going for one at Goodwood tomorrow in the novice auction race. Getting plenty of weight under the race conditions and ran OK last time for a yard who's horses tend to come on for racing. This is her 3rd outing.

Good 2.35 - Foxy Femme - £10 EW at 22/1 bog wm hill

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

510 Chepstow

Cracking handicap here with 11 runners at the moment. The rain is coming down so by off time this could be soft ground. I respect Baron Alco but on this occasion I think he will need the run and it should be between the top four in the weights.

Top rated is Charbel, he stepped up this sort of trip last time at Perth and seemed to get it ok, if anything he looked short of match fitness so should be spot on here. Both the Nicholls and Hobbs horses seem to be running well, some first time out so a bit of a guessing game as to which are race ready. Art Mauresque probably wants further and definitely no more rain while Garde La Victoire is the opposite.
I like Barney Dwan, he was a good 4th at the Festival over 2m5f, he will be aimed at longer trips later but could go well here off this mark.

50p F/C Comb 1,2,3,4 
£3.98 Charbel 15/2
£5.20 Barney Dwan 11/2
£4.83 Garde La Victoire 6/1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 hours ago, Trotter said:

Lost - Bank 747.69

Can't seem to pick a winner over the Jumps so I think I'll leave that for another week or two and stick with the two year old races on the flat for a bit longer …… should still have plenty of 2yo races on the AW even when the Turf racing finishes 

Going for one at Goodwood tomorrow in the novice auction race. Getting plenty of weight under the race conditions and ran OK last time for a yard who's horses tend to come on for racing. This is her 3rd outing.

Good 2.35 - Foxy Femme - £10 EW at 22/1 bog wm hill

Non Runner

I'll go with an EW double instead

Good 3.45 Alramz 11/1

Good 4.55 The Daley Express 12/1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bank 727.69

Had a look at the 7f handicaps at Musselburgh. I like 7f races because it's a bit of a specialist trip. With it being a dog leg track the lower draws have advantage …… so I've looked for lower drawn horses that have won over 7f and discounted the older more exposed types ……… and have plumped for -

Muss 2.20 - Smugglers Creek 8/1

Muss 2.50 - Supauletter 8/1

£10 EW double

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

420 Wetherby:
Just one race at Wetherby worth looking at, just 8 runners due to the ground.
Top rated horse is the Skelton 7yo Notnow Seamus, a remarkable improvement over the summer has seen his mark go up from 105 to 140, a 12lb rise from his last run and you just have to think he's reached his limit just in time before the better horses come out. 
Monbeg Theatre is the obvious one who himself has gone up a stone since the turn of the year, ho looks more scopey to me and just gets the vote today. Brian Hughes as plumped for Jacks Last Hope over Dubai Angel while Nautical Nitwit and Becky The Thatcher look in need of some help from the handicapper.
Lough Derg Farmer has his first run for Sue Smith since leaving N.Henderson and you have to think he will need it so that leaves the bottom one Lough Salt for the combo f/c.

£8 Monbeg Theatre 7/2 Betvic
£2 Com F/C 2,4,8
 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

505 Wincanton

This doesn't look that competitive to me with the Marble Moon form from Newton Abbot looking well ahead of anything else. This brings the 3rd that day Silver Sea who was 5l ahead of Glanvilles Guest, they meet on similar terms and there shouldn't be too much between them here although Silver Sea is progressing nicely with experience.
Benbecula goes well here and will surely come on for his debut run last time and could make the frame so is one for the forecast. Nachi Falls used to be half decent but has tumbled down the weights after some poor efforts, he's a had a wind op and could be dangerous if anything near his best.

£12 Silver Sea 7/4 PP
£2 Glanvilles Guest 12/1 bet365

£1 Comb F/C 4,7,11

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Bank 687.69

Having a poor run on the thread at the moment so I'm going to try something different which hopefully will provide a better strike at the expense of a lower return but fewer losers ! Betting two horses in a race …… as long as they're both odds against you win if either of them win

4.55 Sedge

10 to win on Sonic at 11/8

10 to win on Spectator at 3/1

It's a good 'shape' race for betting two horses because only three are fancied and I'm taking a view that Iolani won't win being 2 grades up in class and 10lbs up in the weights since his last time out victory

Obviously backing two horses you're never going to win big because of them will always lose but you hope for a good strike rate and that the bigger priced ones win sometimes !

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.