ipredict - Football statistical predictions

[allen29]

Bankroll

Latest selections: -2.76 pts from 41 bets

Overall: +46.52 pts from 900 bets (+5.17% yield)

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp
2/14/2017 19:45	E3	Morecambe vs Barnet	home	3.20	2.78	0.15	Marathon	2/4/2017 10:33
2/14/2017 19:45	E3	Carlisle vs Doncaster	home	3.16	2.91	0.09	Pinnacle	2/4/2017 10:33
2/14/2017 19:45	E3	Notts County vs Exeter	home	3.64	3.20	0.14	Pinnacle	2/4/2017 10:33
2/14/2017 19:45	E2	Bristol Rovers vs Sheffield United	home or draw	2.03	1.85	0.10	Pinnacle	2/4/2017 10:33
2/14/2017 19:45	E3	Crewe vs Wycombe	home	3.34	2.89	0.16	Marathon	2/4/2017 10:33
2/14/2017 19:45	E3	Mansfield vs Accrington	away	4.25	3.87	0.10	Marathon	2/4/2017 10:33
2/14/2017 19:45	E3	Newport vs Grimsby	away	3.06	2.60	0.18	Pinnacle	2/4/2017 10:33
2/17/2017 8:50	AUS	Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets	home	2.40	1.99	0.21	Pinnacle	2/4/2017 10:33
2/17/2017 17:00	DEN	FC Nordsjaelland vs Lyngby	away	3.50	3.14	0.11	Pinnacle	2/4/2017 10:33
2/17/2017 19:00	F2	AJ Auxerre vs AC Ajaccio	away	3.72	3.22	0.16	Marathon	2/4/2017 10:33
2/17/2017 19:00	NED	Roda JC vs Go Ahead Eagles	away	4.25	3.88	0.09	bet365	2/4/2017 10:33
2/17/2017 19:00	F2	Troyes vs Nimes	away	4.25	3.53	0.20	bet365	2/4/2017 10:33

Update: I was worried a bit worried about recent performance, so I decided to look look a bit deeper into my models, in which leagues I tend to do better and have a prediction advantage, in which leagues I'm doing poorly. 

I've also changed the bet selection strategy. Until now, I was averaging the output from different models to come up with a prediction, Now, I don't do this anymore. Instead, I take a majority vote from multiple predictions. If >50% of the models agree that there is value on  this bet, it goes. From my backtesting, this should improve yield, but lower a bit the number of bets...which is really fine because I felt like I had to many disagreements with the bookies. 

I'm also working on a new staking plan that will take into account prediction advantage on that league (stake higher where I'm confident I do better than bookmakers), overround (reduce the stake if the overround is to big). 

I've been asked by some people about performance across leagues and I did not have a clear answer. Now I can say I have some preliminary conclusions. These come from backtesting and evaluating the accuracy o the models compared to the bookmaker's closing odds and average yield achieved in a particular league. I can not yet draw conclusions about a lot of leagues where I have few games.

-I tend to do well in: E2, E3, SC0, SC1, SC2, NED, D1, TUR

-I tend to do poorly in: MLS (probably the most unpredictable league, even for the bookies),  F2, E1, SP2, I1, SP1 (good accuracy but low yield)

You have to keep in mind that I use closing odds which should be more accurate. So, I think that if I bet in the leagues I did poorly in backtesting a few days in advance where there is less information available, I could still find some good prices and do well in the long run...except MLS...there seems to be a totally different story about MLS. I will also try to personally look at injuries and suspensions...that was the initial plan, but lately I did not have time to go through dozens of games individually and I preferred a more automated approach.

 

[vikki37]

Good luck on your new strategy. It's great to find where you went wrong and improving. 

[allen29]

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp
2/17/2017 16:00	TUR	Kayserispor vs Bursaspor	away or draw	1.78	1.65	0.08	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/17/2017 17:30	D2	TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Erzgebirge Aue	draw or away	2.38	2.18	0.09	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/17/2017 19:45	F1	Bastia vs AS Monaco	home AH +1	2.05	1.74	0.18	Marathon	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 6:35	AUS	Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC	away	2.30	2.13	0.08	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 8:50	AUS	Western Sydney Wanderers vs Sydney FC	home or draw	1.90	1.72	0.10	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	SC2	Airdrieonians vs Livingston	home	4.75	3.54	0.34	Marathon	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	SC2	Albion Rovers vs Stenhousemuir	away	4.60	3.46	0.33	Marathon	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	SC3	Cowdenbeath vs Annan Athletic	home	2.55	2.24	0.14	Marathon	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	SC3	Berwick vs Forfar Athletic	home	4.00	3.51	0.14	Marathon	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	E2	Swindon vs Oldham	home	2.91	2.67	0.09	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	SC0	Ross County vs St. Johnstone	home	2.95	2.70	0.09	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	E3	Wycombe vs Carlisle	away	3.05	2.73	0.12	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	SC1	Morton vs Falkirk	away	3.03	2.76	0.10	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	SC0	Partick Thistle vs Hamilton	draw or away	2.13	1.84	0.16	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	E3	Crawley Town vs Morecambe	away	3.61	3.33	0.08	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	E2	Southend vs Northampton	away	4.10	3.30	0.24	Marathon	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	E2	Walsall vs Peterborough	away	2.79	2.47	0.13	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	E3	Exeter vs Stevenage	draw or away	2.16	1.96	0.10	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	E3	Blackpool vs Crewe	draw or away	2.28	1.99	0.15	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 15:00	SC0	Heart of Midlothian vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle	draw or away	2.71	2.42	0.12	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 16:00	F1	Marseille vs Stade Rennes	draw or away	2.25	2.04	0.10	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 17:30	D1	Hamburg SV vs SC Freiburg	draw or away	1.87	1.64	0.14	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 17:30	NED	FC Twente vs sc Heerenveen	away	3.40	3.07	0.11	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/18/2017 19:45	SP1	Sevilla vs Eibar	away AH+1	2.10	1.78	0.18	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/19/2017 1:00	MXC	Morelia vs Toluca	away	3.00	2.66	0.13	Marathon	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/19/2017 11:00	SP1	Real Sociedad vs Villarreal	away	4.50	3.90	0.15	Marathon	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/19/2017 13:00	SC0	Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen	home AH +1	2.12	1.89	0.12	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/19/2017 14:30	D1	Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig	home	2.69	2.44	0.10	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/19/2017 15:00	SP2	Cadiz vs Reus Deportiu	draw or away	1.93	1.75	0.10	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/19/2017 15:15	SC0	Dundee vs Rangers	home or draw	2.34	1.99	0.18	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/20/2017 17:00	TUR	Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor	draw or away	2.44	2.14	0.14	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM

 

[allen29]

Bankroll

Latest selections: +13.51 pts from 42 bets

Overall: +60.03 pts from 942 bets (+6.37 % yield)

Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor still ongoing

Next selections tonight or tomorrow.

[allen29]

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp
2/20/2017 17:00	TUR	Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor	draw or away	2.44	2.14	0.14	Pinnacle	2/16/2017 13:33:08 PM
2/21/2017 19:45	E2	Peterborough vs Southend	home	2.64	2.22	0.19	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/22/2017 20:00	E1	Bristol City vs Fulham	home	3.20	2.86	0.12	bet365	2/20/2017 18:13
2/24/2017 8:50	AUS	Melbourne City FC vs Sydney FC	home	2.90	2.51	0.16	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/24/2017 19:00	NED	ADO Den Haag vs FC Twente	home or draw	1.87	1.67	0.12	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/24/2017 19:45	SC0	Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Rangers	home or draw	2.03	1.86	0.09	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 8:50	AUS	Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United	away +1.5	1.76	1.56	0.13	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 14:30	D1	RB Leipzig vs FC Cologne	draw or away	2.25	2.02	0.11	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	SC2	Stranraer vs Brechin	home	2.30	1.95	0.18	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	E3	Leyton Orient vs Cheltenham	home	3.40	2.82	0.21	bet365	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	SC3	Stirling vs Edinburgh City	home	2.30	1.99	0.16	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	SC3	Berwick vs Elgin City	home or draw	2.38	2.05	0.16	bet365	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	E3	Carlisle vs Portsmouth	home	3.75	3.17	0.18	bet365	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	E2	Gillingham vs Southend	home	3.25	2.66	0.22	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	E3	Crewe vs Stevenage	home	2.90	2.64	0.10	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	E0	Hull vs Burnley	draw or away	1.80	1.67	0.08	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	SC3	Annan Athletic vs Clyde	away	3.30	3.06	0.08	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	SC1	Ayr United vs St. Mirren	away	3.13	2.75	0.14	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	SC3	Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath	draw or away	3.00	2.23	0.35	bet365	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	SC0	St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock	draw or away	2.60	2.19	0.19	bet365	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:00	SC3	Forfar Athletic vs Montrose	draw or away	2.80	2.43	0.15	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 15:15	SP1	Real Betis vs Sevilla	home or draw	1.92	1.74	0.10	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 16:00	F1	Guingamp vs AS Monaco	home or draw	2.18	2.03	0.07	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 17:00	SP2	Elche vs Huesca	away	4.20	3.56	0.18	bet365	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 17:00	SP2	Mallorca vs Tenerife	draw or away	1.84	1.74	0.06	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 17:30	D1	Hertha Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt	away	4.24	3.62	0.17	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 17:30	OST	Austria Wien vs SCR Altach	draw or away	2.23	1.96	0.14	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 19:00	SP2	Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano	away	4.60	3.87	0.19	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/25/2017 23:00	MXC	Queretaro vs Pumas UNAM	away	3.36	2.89	0.16	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/26/2017 11:00	SP2	Numancia vs Cadiz	home	2.19	1.96	0.12	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/26/2017 14:00	I1	Sassuolo vs AC Milan	home	3.28	2.69	0.22	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/26/2017 14:30	D1	FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Borussia Monchengladbach	away	2.95	2.64	0.12	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/26/2017 15:00	SP2	Almeria vs UCAM Murcia	away	4.60	3.68	0.25	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13
2/26/2017 19:45	I1	Internazionale vs AS Roma	home	2.65	2.38	0.12	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/26/2017 20:00	F1	Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain	home or draw	2.36	2.17	0.09	Pinnacle	2/20/2017 18:13
2/26/2017 23:00	MXC	Chiapas vs Guadalajara Chivas	away	2.65	2.18	0.21	Marathon	2/20/2017 18:13

Edited February 20, 2017 by allen29

[allen29]

Few more selections....no sexy pictures this time

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp
2/25/2017 15:00	SC2	Albion Rovers vs Queen's Park	home	2.75	2.4	0.15	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/25/2017 15:00	E2	Peterborough vs Rochdale	home	2.74	2.42	0.13	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/25/2017 15:00	SC2	Peterhead vs East Fife	away	3.65	3.11	0.17	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/25/2017 16:00	TUR	Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor	home	3.02	2.73	0.11	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/25/2017 17:30	NED	FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht	home	2.88	2.59	0.11	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/25/2017 18:45	NED	NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam	home	2.54	2.27	0.12	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/26/2017 16:00	TUR	Gaziantepspor vs Fenerbahce	away	1.8	1.61	0.12	bet365	2/23/2017 16:30
2/26/2017 19:00	SP2	Real Zaragoza vs Gimnastic de Tarragona	draw or away	2.02	1.92	0.05	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/27/2017 19:15	D2	St Pauli vs Karlsruher SC	away	4.31	3.69	0.17	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/27/2017 20:00	E0	Leicester City vs Liverpool	home or draw	2.54	2.27	0.12	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30
2/28/2017 19:45	E0	Cowdenbeath vs Edinburgh City	home	2.49	2.07	0.20	Pinnacle	2/23/2017 16:30

[allen29]

Some selections for tonight and the next 2 days. More selections and bank update coming later tonight.

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp	Stake
2/28/2017 19:45	SC3	Stirling vs Elgin City	home or draw	2.02	1.87	0.08	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
2/28/2017 19:45	E3	Cheltenham vs Carlisle	away	2.91	2.55	0.14	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
2/28/2017 19:45	E2	Bury vs Coventry	away	3.60	3.21	0.12	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
2/28/2017 19:45	E2	Swindon vs Gillingham	away	3.65	2.95	0.24	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
2/28/2017 19:45	E3	Stevenage vs Leyton Orient	away	4.60	3.84	0.20	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
2/28/2017 19:45	E2	Rochdale vs Port Vale	draw or away	2.46	2.19	0.12	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/1/2017 18:00	F1	Bastia vs Nantes	home	3.30	2.82	0.17	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/1/2017 19:45	SC0	Dundee vs Partick Thistle	home	2.97	2.52	0.18	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/1/2017 19:45	SC0	Rangers vs St. Johnstone	draw or away	2.51	2.17	0.16	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/2/2017 19:45	SP1	Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid	home or draw	2.30	2.06	0.12	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1

[allen29]

Bankroll

Latest selections: +0.2 pts from 45 bets

Cowdenbeath vs Edinburgh City still to play from the latest selections.

Overall: +60.23 pts from 987 bets (+6.10 % yield)

Next selections:

As I was uploading photos to imgur, the service stopped working. I will edit the table with all the image links when the service will work again.

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp	Stake
3/3/2017 17:00	RUS	CSKA Moscow vs Zenit St Petersburg	home	3.06	2.71	0.13	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/3/2017 17:00	DEN	Esbjerg vs Viborg FF	away	3.18	2.73	0.16	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/3/2017 19:00	F2	Sochaux vs Le Havre AC	away	4.04	3.60	0.12	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/3/2017 19:00	F2	Bourg Peronnas vs Nimes	away	3.16	2.77	0.14	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/3/2017 19:00	F2	AJ Auxerre vs Stade de Reims	away	3.13	2.69	0.16	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/3/2017 19:45	E1	Birmingham vs Leeds	home	3.31	2.93	0.13	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 14:00	I1	AS Roma vs Napoli	away	3.52	3.12	0.13	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	SC3	Elgin City vs Arbroath	home	2.38	1.94	0.23	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	SC3	Clyde vs Forfar Athletic	home or draw	1.83	1.56	0.17	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	E0	Swansea vs Burnley	away	4.35	3.71	0.17	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	E2	Shrewsbury vs Coventry	away	3.60	3.19	0.13	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	SC2	Stenhousemuir vs Peterhead	away	2.75	2.45	0.12	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	SC2	Airdrieonians vs Stranraer	away	3.90	2.74	0.42	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	E1	Reading vs Wolves	away	3.45	2.96	0.16	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	E1	Rotherham vs Aston Villa	home or draw	2.13	1.89	0.13	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	E1	Nottingham Forest vs Brighton and Hove Albion	home	4.49	3.48	0.29	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	E2	Bradford vs Peterborough	draw or away	2.20	1.99	0.10	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 15:00	E2	Southend vs Port Vale	draw or away	2.71	2.47	0.10	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 16:00	TUR	Besiktas vs Caykur Rizespor	home	1.45	1.30	0.11	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 17:00	RUS	Anzhi Makhachkala vs Rubin Kazan	home	3.90	2.95	0.32	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 17:00	RUS	FK Krasnodar vs Spartak Moscow	home	2.61	2.13	0.22	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 17:30	OST	RZ Pellets WAC vs Admira Wacker	away	3.59	3.21	0.12	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 17:30	E0	Liverpool vs Arsenal	away	3.97	3.15	0.26	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 19:45	I1	AC Milan vs Chievo Verona	draw or away	2.47	2.31	0.07	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/4/2017 23:00	MXC	Cruz Azul vs Chiapas	home	1.83	1.65	0.11	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 3:06	MXC	Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca	home	2.25	2.05	0.10	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 6:00	AUS	Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne City FC	away	1.85	1.65	0.12	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 12:30	D2	FC Heidenheim 1846 vs SV Sandhausen	home	2.41	2.11	0.14	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 14:00	F1	Lorient vs Marseille	home	3.24	2.89	0.12	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 14:00	I1	Empoli vs Genoa	away	2.99	2.57	0.17	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 14:00	I1	Cagliari vs Internazionale	home or draw	2.56	2.34	0.09	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 15:45	NED	NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles	home	2.50	2.29	0.09	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 16:00	TUR	Kayserispor vs Kasimpasa S.K.	away	3.79	3.02	0.25	Pinnacle	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 17:00	DEN	Brondby IF vs FC Nordsjaelland	home	1.79	1.49	0.20	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 18:00	MXC	Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna	home	2.40	1.99	0.21	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 21:00	ARG	Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's Old Boys	home	3.13	2.19	0.43	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 21:00	ARG	Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento de Junin	home	2.36	1.96	0.21	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1
3/5/2017 21:00	ARG	Gimnasia La Plata vs Quilmes	draw or away	2.06	1.82	0.13	Marathon	2/28/2017 16:59	1

 

[allen29]

Over 1000 bets now for the system now!

Bankroll

Latest selections: +4.55 pts from 45 bets

Overall: +64.78 pts from 1032 bets (+6.28 % yield)

The following selections were postponed and removed.

Rochdale vs Port Vale

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's Old Boys

Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento de Junin

Gimnasia La Plata vs Quilmes

Next selections coming soon.

 

Edited March 7, 2017 by allen29

[allen29]

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp	Stake
3/10/2017 19:15	DEN	FC Nordsjaelland vs Silkeborg	draw or away	1.95	1.74	0.12	bet365	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/10/2017 19:45	F1	Marseille vs Angers	draw or away	2.31	2.01	0.15	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 12:00	SP1	Valencia vs Sporting Gijon	away AH +1	2.22	1.93	0.15	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 13:00	TUR	Osmanlispor vs Bursaspor	draw or away	2.38	2.16	0.10	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	E3	Leyton Orient vs Grimsby	home	3.54	2.81	0.26	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	SC2	Stranraer vs Queen's Park	home	2.20	1.90	0.16	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	E1	Preston vs Reading	home	2.35	2.15	0.09	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	E2	Gillingham vs Scunthorpe	home	3.64	2.87	0.27	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	E2	Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury	home	3.03	2.69	0.13	Matchbook	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	E2	Port Vale vs Swindon	home	3.36	3.06	0.10	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	SC3	Arbroath vs Clyde	away	4.80	3.80	0.26	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	SC3	Berwick vs Cowdenbeath	away	3.80	2.92	0.30	bet365	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	SC0	St. Johnstone vs Dundee	away	4.46	3.91	0.14	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	SC0	Ross County vs Kilmarnock	away	4.33	3.67	0.18	bet365	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	E3	Mansfield vs Plymouth	away	3.42	3.08	0.11	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 15:00	DEN	Lyngby vs Viborg FF	away	4.00	3.44	0.16	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 16:00	TUR	Gaziantepspor vs Kasimpasa S.K.	away	3.14	2.53	0.24	Matchbook	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 17:00	SP2	Mirandes vs UCAM Murcia	away	3.50	3.11	0.13	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 17:15	SC1	Morton vs Queen of the South	away	3.40	3.02	0.13	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 17:30	OST	SCR Altach vs SV Mattersburg	home	1.94	1.69	0.15	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 17:30	D1	FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Cologne	away	3.19	2.90	0.10	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 18:45	NED	Heracles vs FC Utrecht	home	3.45	3.09	0.12	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 19:00	F1	Guingamp vs Bastia	draw or away	2.17	1.93	0.13	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 19:45	I1	Genoa vs Sampdoria	home	2.67	2.35	0.14	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/11/2017 20:00	ARG	Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's Old Boys	home	2.96	2.20	0.34	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 1:00	MXC	U.A.N.L vs Guadalajara Chivas	draw or away	2.06	1.83	0.13	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 1:06	MXC	Pachuca vs Morelia	home	1.91	1.62	0.18	bet365	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 3:00	MXC	America vs Necaxa	home	2.12	1.85	0.15	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 12:30	D2	Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld	home	2.19	1.98	0.11	Matchbook	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 12:30	D2	SV Sandhausen vs SpVgg Greuther Furth	away	3.82	3.48	0.10	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 13:00	TUR	Konyaspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir	home	3.69	3.37	0.10	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 13:30	NED	Roda JC vs FC Groningen	home	3.18	2.74	0.16	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 13:30	NED	Feyenoord vs AZ	away AH +1	2.32	2.02	0.15	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 14:00	I1	Chievo Verona vs Empoli	home	2.08	1.89	0.10	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 16:30	D1	Hamburg SV vs Borussia Monchengladbach	away	2.63	2.37	0.11	Pinnacle	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 17:30	SP1	Celta Vigo vs Villarreal	home	2.90	2.57	0.13	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 23:00	MXC	Chiapas vs Leon	away	3.08	2.55	0.21	Marathonbet	3/9/2017 11:36	1
3/12/2017 23:00	MXC	Santos Laguna vs Monterrey	away	2.90	2.47	0.18	bet365	3/9/2017 11:36	1

[allen29]

Another great weekend!

Bankroll

Latest selections: +11.44 pts from 33 bets

Overall: +76.22 pts from 1065 bets (+7.16 % yield)

All the games in Mexico were postponed (this seems like business as usual for south american leagues) and removed from the selections!

[allen29]

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp	Stake
3/14/2017 19:45	E2	AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons	home	2.86	2.63	0.09	Pinnacle	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/14/2017 19:45	E2	Coventry vs Southend	home	3.46	3.02	0.15	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/14/2017 19:45	E1	Fulham vs Blackburn	draw or away	2.66	2.47	0.08	Pinnacle	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/14/2017 19:45	E3	Portsmouth vs Grimsby	draw or away	3.05	2.51	0.22	Betfair	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/15/2017 19:45	SC3	Edinburgh City vs Berwick	away	3.45	3.08	0.12	Pinnacle	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/17/2017 18:00	F1	Metz vs Bastia	away	4.26	3.64	0.17	Pinnacle	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/17/2017 19:00	F2	Brest vs Laval	draw or away	2.00	1.86	0.07	bet365	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 12:00	D2	SpVgg Greuther Furth vs VfB Stuttgart	home or draw	1.88	1.72	0.09	Pinnacle	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 13:30	RUS	Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow	home or draw	1.70	1.45	0.17	bet365	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC3	Berwick vs Arbroath	home or draw	2.25	1.81	0.24	bet365	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC3	Clyde vs Edinburgh City	home	2.50	2.00	0.25	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC3	Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic	home	2.38	2.12	0.12	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC2	Stranraer vs Livingston	home or draw	2.25	1.80	0.25	bet365	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC3	Cowdenbeath vs Montrose	home	2.50	2.23	0.12	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC0	Kilmarnock vs Partick Thistle	home	3.75	3.14	0.19	Matchbook	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC0	Inverness Caledonian Thistle vs Ross County	home	2.66	2.41	0.11	Matchbook	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC2	Albion Rovers vs Peterhead	away	2.88	2.53	0.14	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC1	Queen of the South vs St. Mirren	away	4.75	4.00	0.19	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC2	Airdrieonians vs Stenhousemuir	away	4.60	3.66	0.26	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	SC1	Dunfermline vs Ayr United	draw or away	2.38	2.12	0.12	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 15:00	E1	Fulham vs Wolves	draw or away	2.39	2.15	0.11	Pinnacle	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 17:00	I1	Torino vs Internazionale	home or draw	1.94	1.71	0.13	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 17:30	D1	Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV	home	2.36	2.13	0.11	Pinnacle	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 18:45	NED	NEC Nijmegen vs FC Utrecht	home	3.76	3.19	0.18	Matchbook	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 19:00	F1	Angers vs Guingamp	home	2.35	2.09	0.12	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 19:00	F1	Toulouse vs Stade Rennes	away	4.15	3.65	0.14	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 23:00	MXC	Cruz Azul vs U.A.N.L	home or draw	1.65	1.39	0.19	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/18/2017 23:00	MXC	Queretaro vs Pachuca	away	2.75	2.44	0.13	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/19/2017 3:06	MXC	Guadalajara Chivas vs Veracruz	home	1.61	1.41	0.14	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/19/2017 6:00	AUS	Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar	home or draw	1.78	1.60	0.11	Pinnacle	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/19/2017 11:00	RUS	Krylia Sovetov Samara vs FC Rostov	home	3.85	3.45	0.12	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/19/2017 16:00	DEN	FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland	home	1.90	1.71	0.11	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1
3/19/2017 18:00	MXC	Pumas UNAM vs America	home	2.60	2.34	0.11	Marathonbet	3/14/2017 11:02	1

[allen29]

Bankroll

Latest selections: -2.55 pts from 33 bets

Overall: +73.67 pts from 1098 bets (+6.71 % yield)

Next selections will be up tonight or tomorrow. 

[allen29]

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp
3/21/2017 19:45	SC2	Albion Rovers vs East Fife	home	3.36	2.85	0.18	Pinnacle	3/21/2017 8:43
3/21/2017 19:45	E3	Newport vs Luton	home	4.20	3.59	0.17	bet365	3/21/2017 8:43
3/22/2017 0:15	ARG	Lanus vs River Plate	home	2.50	2.19	0.14	bet365	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 6:35	AUS	Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United	away	2.60	2.26	0.15	Marathonbet	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 8:50	AUS	Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory	away	3.12	2.82	0.11	Matchbook	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	E2	Bury vs Fleetwood	home	3.25	2.88	0.13	Marathonbet	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	E2	AFC Wimbledon vs Southend	home	3.01	2.63	0.15	Pinnacle	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	SC3	Clyde vs Stirling	home	2.30	2.09	0.10	Marathonbet	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	SC3	Annan Athletic vs Cowdenbeath	away	4.60	3.34	0.38	Marathonbet	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	E3	Carlisle vs Crewe	away	3.50	3.01	0.16	bet365	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	E3	Accrington vs Grimsby	away	4.40	3.49	0.26	Marathonbet	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	SC2	Peterhead vs Stranraer	away	3.50	2.98	0.17	Marathonbet	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	E3	Crawley Town vs Leyton Orient	draw or away	2.16	1.68	0.29	Pinnacle	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	E3	Portsmouth vs Newport	away +1.5	1.75	1.58	0.11	Pinnacle	3/21/2017 8:43
3/25/2017 15:00	E3	Exeter vs Yeovil	draw or away	2.32	2.04	0.14	Pinnacle	3/21/2017 8:43
3/26/2017 7:00	AUS	Wellington Phoenix FC vs Newcastle Jets	home	2.70	2.27	0.19	Matchbook	3/21/2017 8:43
3/26/2017 12:30	E2	Scunthorpe vs Bradford	away	2.90	2.57	0.13	Pinnacle	3/21/2017 8:43

[allen29]

Bankroll

Latest selections: -0.77 pts from 17 bets (Albion Rovers vs East Fife was delayed and played 1 week later)

Overall: +72.9 pts from 1115 bets (+6.54 % yield)

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp	Stake
3/29/2017 19:45	SC1	Hibernian vs Morton	draw or away	3.27	2.80	0.17	Betfair	3/29/2017 12:03	1
3/31/2017 19:00	F2	Amiens AC vs Clermont	draw or away	1.92	1.77	0.09	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
3/31/2017 19:00	F2	Tours vs Red Star	draw or away	2.12	1.89	0.12	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
3/31/2017 19:15	DEN	FC Nordsjaelland vs Lyngby	away	3.78	3.32	0.14	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
3/31/2017 19:45	SP1	Espanyol vs Real Betis	home	2.22	1.98	0.12	Matchbook	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 1:00	ARG	Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia La Plata	home	2.54	2.15	0.18	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 4:00	MXC	Veracruz vs Cruz Azul	away	2.35	2.07	0.14	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 9:50	AUS	Sydney FC vs Melbourne City FC	draw or away	2.27	2.12	0.07	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 12:00	D2	SV Sandhausen vs VfL Bochum	away	3.75	3.28	0.14	bet365	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 13:00	E3	Grimsby vs Doncaster	home	4.46	3.76	0.19	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 14:00	TUR	Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa S.K.	away	3.50	3.13	0.12	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 14:30	D1	Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne	away	3.40	3.08	0.10	Matchbook	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:00	SC3	Annan Athletic vs Arbroath	home	3.20	2.85	0.12	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:00	SC1	Queen of the South vs Dundee United	home	3.36	2.92	0.15	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:00	SC3	Stirling vs Forfar Athletic	home	3.60	3.20	0.13	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:00	E3	Leyton Orient vs Wycombe	home	4.75	3.85	0.23	bet365	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:00	E3	Stevenage vs Barnet	away	3.79	3.39	0.12	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:00	E3	Cheltenham vs Morecambe	away	4.67	3.88	0.20	Matchbook	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:00	E0	Hull vs West Ham	away	3.09	2.52	0.23	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:00	SC1	St. Mirren vs Ayr United	draw or away	2.11	1.93	0.09	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 15:30	RUS	Arsenal Tula vs Tom Tomsk	away +1.5	2.17	1.63	0.33	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 17:00	TUR	Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor	home	2.47	2.04	0.21	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 17:00	TUR	Kardemir Karabuk vs Fenerbahce	away	2.34	1.92	0.22	Matchbook	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 18:00	F1	Bastia vs Lille	home	3.48	3.10	0.12	Matchbook	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 22:00	ARG	Quilmes vs Racing Club	away	3.20	2.44	0.31	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/1/2017 23:15	ARG	Belgrano de Cordoba vs Colon de Santa Fe	home	2.66	2.37	0.12	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 0:00	ARG	Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia	draw or away	2.84	2.27	0.25	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 2:00	MXC	Morelia vs Guadalajara Chivas	away	2.70	2.39	0.13	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 4:00	MXC	America vs Monterrey	away	3.22	2.61	0.23	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 13:30	E0	Swansea vs Middlesbrough	away	4.34	3.75	0.16	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 14:00	I1	Genoa vs Atalanta	home	3.84	3.13	0.23	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 14:00	F1	Stade Rennes vs Lyon	home	4.50	3.32	0.36	bet365	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 14:30	D1	FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Mainz	away	3.70	3.07	0.20	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 16:00	E0	Arsenal vs Manchester City	home	3.15	2.84	0.11	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 16:00	F1	Nantes vs Angers	away	4.10	3.64	0.13	Matchbook	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 20:00	F1	Nice vs Bordeaux	home	2.32	2.10	0.11	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/2/2017 22:15	ARG	Tigre vs San Lorenzo	home	3.32	2.64	0.26	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/3/2017 0:00	MXC	Santos Laguna vs Queretaro	home	2.25	1.98	0.13	bet365	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/3/2017 19:00	SP2	Sevilla B vs Numancia	away	3.80	3.40	0.12	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/4/2017 20:30	SP1	Real Betis vs Villarreal	home	3.06	2.76	0.11	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/4/2017 20:30	SP1	Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad	draw or away	3.20	2.76	0.16	bet365	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/5/2017 19:00	D1	Mainz vs RB Leipzig	home	3.36	2.99	0.12	Marathonbet	3/29/2017 12:03	1
4/5/2017 19:45	E0	Hull vs Middlesbrough	away	3.78	3.38	0.12	Pinnacle	3/29/2017 12:03	1

Edited March 29, 2017 by allen29
removed amkar vs terek and changed type for espanyol vs betis

[Dumyat]

3/31/2017 19:45

SP1

Espanyol vs Real Betis

home or draw

2.22

1.98

0.12

Matchbook

3/29/2017 12:03

1

I think that's just a home selection.

***

4/2/2017 11:30

RUS

Amkar Perm vs Terek Grozny

home or draw

1.88

1.52

0.24

Marathonbet

3/29/2017 12:03

1

Currently about 1.37. Wonder if that's one of these palpable errors.

Edit: Or more likely it is Grozny (Away?) + Draw

Edited March 29, 2017 by Dumyat

[allen29]

2 hours ago, Dumyat said:

3/31/2017 19:45

SP1

Espanyol vs Real Betis

home or draw

2.22

1.98

0.12

Matchbook

3/29/2017 12:03

1

I think that's just a home selection.

***

4/2/2017 11:30

RUS

Amkar Perm vs Terek Grozny

home or draw

1.88

1.52

0.24

Marathonbet

3/29/2017 12:03

1

Currently about 1.37. Wonder if that's one of these palpable errors.

Edit: Or more likely it is Grozny (Away?) + Draw

You are right about Espanyol vs Betis, it was my mistake, I edited it now. Thanks for pointing that out.

About Amkar vs Terek, it was also my mistake. I was looking at the game from the youth league. I removed it now.  http://imgur.com/qVbzqHZ

Edited March 29, 2017 by allen29

[Dumyat]

Must be tough trying to keep track of all these different leagues. It's an excellent thread and gives some useful ideas for bets. 

[Dumyat]

https://www.theguardian.com/football/2017/mar/30/expected-goals-big-football-data-leicester-city-norwich

http://statsbomb.com/category/football/

 

[Matthew]

.

Edited April 6, 2017 by Matthew
Didn't scroll up far enough.... :-)

[allen29]

Bankroll Terrible restults.

Latest selections: -12.33  pts from 39 bets

Overall: +60.57 pts from 1154 bets (+5.25 % yield)

It was a very busy week, I will post some selections for the weekend and the upcoming games very soon!

 

Edited April 8, 2017 by allen29

[allen29]

Upcoming selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp	Stake
4/8/2017 10:50	AUS	Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory	away	3.58	2.98	0.20	Matchbook	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 12:00	AUS	Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar	away	2.89	2.53	0.14	Marathonbet	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 12:00	SP1	Espanyol vs Alaves	home	2.26	2.03	0.11	Matchbook	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	SC3	Clyde vs Annan Athletic	home	2.46	2.14	0.15	Marathonbet	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	E3	Crawley Town vs Plymouth	home	4.00	3.56	0.12	bet365	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	SC1	Ayr United vs Queen of the South	home	4.31	3.53	0.22	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	E2	Charlton vs Southend	home	3.02	2.62	0.15	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	E3	Colchester vs Stevenage	home	2.94	2.55	0.15	Marathonbet	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	SC2	Albion Rovers vs Stranraer	home	3.72	2.93	0.27	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	E1	Blackburn vs Barnsley	away	3.82	3.40	0.12	Matchbook	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	E3	Accrington vs Crewe	away	4.20	3.82	0.10	bet365	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	SC1	Dundee United vs Falkirk	away	3.65	3.21	0.14	Marathonbet	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	SC2	Livingston vs Alloa	draw or away	2.37	2.08	0.14	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	SC0	Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee	draw or away	2.46	2.24	0.10	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	E3	Blackpool vs Grimsby	draw or away	2.21	1.97	0.12	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	E1	Fulham vs Ipswich	draw or away	2.72	2.38	0.14	Betfair	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 14:00	E1	Wigan vs Rotherham	draw or away	2.75	2.46	0.12	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 16:00	TUR	Trabzonspor vs Besiktas	away	2.61	2.21	0.18	Matchbook	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 16:00	SP2	Getafe vs Levante	away	3.70	3.32	0.11	Matchbook	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 16:00	SP2	Cadiz vs Lugo	draw or away	2.05	1.84	0.11	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 17:45	NED	ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen	home	3.14	2.86	0.10	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 18:00	F1	Dijon FCO vs Bastia	draw or away	2.09	1.86	0.12	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 18:00	F1	Bordeaux vs Metz	draw or away	3.22	2.66	0.21	Betfair	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 20:15	ARG	Atletico Rafaela vs Huracan	away	4.31	3.72	0.16	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/8/2017 22:30	ARG	Talleres Cordoba vs Lanus	away	3.42	3.02	0.13	Marathonbet	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/9/2017 2:00	MXC	Necaxa vs U.A.N.L	home	3.75	3.07	0.22	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/9/2017 13:00	TUR	Kayserispor vs Osmanlispor	away	3.20	2.70	0.19	bet365	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/9/2017 15:30	D1	FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Darmstadt 98	draw or away	2.67	2.35	0.14	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/9/2017 18:45	I1	Lazio vs Napoli	home	2.89	2.59	0.12	Matchbook	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/9/2017 20:00	ARG	San Martin de San Juan vs Union de Santa Fe	home	3.25	2.89	0.12	bet365	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/9/2017 21:00	COL	Patriotas vs Tolima	home	2.44	2.09	0.17	Marathonbet	4/8/2017 9:21	1
4/10/2017 14:30	RUS	FC Ural vs Gazovik Orenburg	home	2.84	2.22	0.28	Pinnacle	4/8/2017 9:21	1

[allen29]

Bankroll

Latest selections: +6.8  pts from 32 bets

Overall: +67.37 pts from 1186 bets (+5.68 % yield)

[allen29]

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp	Stake
4/10/2017 22:00	ARG	Defensa y Justicia vs Olimpo de Bahia Blanca	draw or away	2.36	2.16	0.09	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/11/2017 0:15	ARG	Gimnasia La Plata vs Temperley	draw or away	2.23	1.97	0.13	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/12/2017 4:00	MXC	U.A.N.L vs Guadalajara Chivas	draw or away	1.84	1.72	0.07	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/12/2017 16:30	TUR	Gaziantepspor vs Genclerbirligi	home	3.16	2.79	0.13	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/13/2017 4:30	MXC	Atlas vs Pumas UNAM	away	3.20	2.84	0.13	bet365	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/13/2017 20:45	E1	Wigan vs Barnsley	away	3.97	3.35	0.19	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/13/2017 20:45	E2	Bury vs Rochdale	away	2.61	2.39	0.09	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 4:00	MXC	Toluca vs Cruz Azul	away	3.85	3.26	0.18	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 16:00	E1	Rotherham vs Birmingham	home or draw	1.93	1.73	0.12	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 16:00	E3	Grimsby vs Cambridge Utd	home	3.50	3.10	0.13	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 16:00	E1	Brentford vs Derby	home	2.82	2.47	0.14	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 16:00	E2	Peterborough vs Fleetwood	home	2.66	2.36	0.13	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 16:00	E2	MK Dons vs Scunthorpe	home	2.59	2.04	0.27	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 16:00	E2	Swindon vs AFC Wimbledon	away	3.54	2.95	0.20	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 16:00	E1	Bristol City vs QPR	away	4.33	3.83	0.13	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 18:45	SP1	Athletic Bilbao vs Las Palmas	draw or away	2.85	2.37	0.20	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 20:00	F2	Tours vs Sochaux	away	4.33	3.49	0.24	bet365	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 20:00	F2	Troyes vs Red Star	draw or away	2.38	2.21	0.08	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/14/2017 20:45	SC0	Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian	home	4.20	3.76	0.12	bet365	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 9:00	RUS	Amkar Perm vs FC Ufa	home	2.57	2.06	0.25	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 10:30	I1	Internazionale vs AC Milan	home	2.28	1.91	0.19	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 13:00	D2	Nurnberg vs Erzgebirge Aue	home	2.42	2.05	0.18	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 13:00	I1	AS Roma vs Atalanta	draw or away	2.85	2.52	0.13	Betfair	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 14:00	E0	Watford vs Swansea	home	2.53	2.12	0.19	Matchbook	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 14:00	E0	Crystal Palace vs Leicester City	away	4.17	3.28	0.27	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 14:15	SP1	Sporting Gijon vs Real Madrid	away	1.43	1.29	0.11	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:00	SC2	Stranraer vs Airdrieonians	home	2.45	2.17	0.13	bet365	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:00	SC1	Raith Rovers vs Morton	home	3.30	2.96	0.12	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:00	SC3	Stirling vs Cowdenbeath	away	3.60	2.88	0.25	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:00	SC1	Dumbarton vs Dunfermline	away	2.75	2.39	0.15	bet365	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:00	SC0	Dundee vs Hamilton	away	3.88	3.53	0.10	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:00	SC2	Stenhousemuir vs Livingston	away	2.05	1.66	0.24	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:00	SP2	Elche vs Numancia	away	4.25	3.83	0.11	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:00	I1	Sassuolo vs Sampdoria	draw or away	1.80	1.66	0.09	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 16:30	E0	Southampton vs Manchester City	home or draw	2.17	1.91	0.14	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 19:45	NED	Excelsior vs Vitesse	away	2.18	1.97	0.11	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/15/2017 20:30	SP2	Huesca vs Cadiz	home	2.30	2.00	0.15	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/16/2017 11:00	AUS	Perth Glory vs Melbourne City FC	away	3.00	2.47	0.21	bet365	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/16/2017 12:00	RUS	FC Ural vs Tom Tomsk	draw or away	4.82	2.58	0.87	Marathonbet	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/16/2017 13:30	D1	Werder Bremen vs Hamburg SV	home	2.37	2.13	0.11	Matchbook	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/16/2017 15:00	E0	Manchester Utd vs Chelsea	home	2.82	2.40	0.17	Matchbook	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/16/2017 19:00	F1	Marseille vs St Etienne	draw or away	2.08	1.88	0.11	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/17/2017 18:00	DEN	Aalborg BK vs AGF Aarhus	away	3.70	3.37	0.10	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1

[Matthew]

On 10/04/2017, 19:42:23, allen29 said:

Bankroll

Latest selections: +6.8  pts from 32 bets

Overall: +67.37 pts from 1186 bets (+5.68 % yield)

Ticking along nicely...........even volume per country/division to see it split out? Or by 1X2, 1X, X2, 12 perhaps?

[allen29]

Bankroll

What a great roll! 

Latest selections: +14  pts from 42 bets

Aalborg vs Aarhus still to be plated. Will be added to the next selections which will come tomorrow.

Overall: +81.37 pts from 1228 bets (+6.63 % yield)

Here's the breakdown by league:

 

League	bets_no	profit	yield
ARG	42	-1.06	-2.52%
AUS	31	-1.58	-5.10%
BRA	32	2.28	7.13%
CHI	4	1.42	35.50%
CN	12	10.29	85.75%
COL	14	7.70	55.00%
D1	36	-5.19	-14.42%
D2	22	3.94	17.91%
DEN	11	-1.78	-16.15%
E0	79	-10.22	-12.94%
E1	83	5.06	6.10%
E2	105	6.60	6.29%
E3	126	29.46	23.38%
E4	36	0.02	0.06%
F1	55	-24.56	-44.65%
F2	37	12.56	33.95%
I1	56	-2.09	-3.73%
MLS	38	7.73	20.35%
MXC	33	-4.70	-14.24%
NED	33	0.38	1.15%
NOR	18	1.92	10.67%
OST	11	1.14	10.36%
RUS	19	4.51	23.74%
SC0	59	15.06	25.53%
SC1	40	2.86	7.15%
SC2	43	15.23	35.42%
SC3	45	-5.20	-11.56%
SP1	46	-0.85	-1.85%
SP2	29	0.86	2.97%
TUR	33	10.05	30.45%

 

And by type of bet:

Side	bets_no	profit	yield
Away	490	29.79	6.08%
Away +1	8	2.62	32.75%
Away +1.5	18	-1.04	-5.78%
Draw or Away	173	32.69	18.89%
Home	467	18.44	3.95%
Home +1	2	1.05	52.50%
Home +1.5	2	-0.08	-4.00%
Home or Draw	68	-1.62	-2.38%

 

Interesting to notice that I'm not profitable in the biggest 5 leagues: E0, SP1, D1, I1, F1. My theory is that these leagues have more efficient prices because the news on teams are more available and there is big coverage on them

[allen29]

Next selections:

Date	League	Match	Side	Bmk.odds	My.odds	Value	Bookmaker	Timestamp	Stake
4/17/2017 18:00	DEN	Aalborg BK vs AGF Aarhus	away	3.70	3.37	0.10	Pinnacle	4/10/2017 20:52	1
4/17/2017 12:00	E3	Cheltenham vs Grimsby	away	3.98	3.33	0.20	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/17/2017 13:45	E1	Fulham vs Aston Villa	draw or away	2.29	2.04	0.12	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/17/2017 14:00	E3	Leyton Orient vs Hartlepool	home or draw	1.85	1.42	0.30	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/17/2017 14:00	E1	Cardiff vs Nottingham Forest	home	2.33	1.97	0.18	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/17/2017 14:00	E2	Southend vs MK Dons	draw or away	2.13	1.80	0.18	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/17/2017 14:00	E1	Leeds vs Wolves	away	3.98	3.16	0.26	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/17/2017 20:15	D2	Arminia Bielefeld vs VfB Stuttgart	home or draw	1.84	1.65	0.12	Betfair	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/18/2017 0:15	ARG	Gimnasia La Plata vs Aldosivi	draw or away	2.07	1.76	0.17	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/19/2017 0:45	COL	Junior vs Patriotas	draw or away	2.38	2.14	0.12	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/21/2017 18:30	D1	FC Cologne vs TSG Hoffenheim	home	3.39	2.82	0.20	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/21/2017 18:45	F1	AS Nancy Lorraine vs Marseille	home or draw	1.84	1.68	0.10	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 13:00	TUR	Alanyaspor vs Osmanlispor	away	3.20	2.80	0.14	bet365	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 14:00	SC3	Cowdenbeath vs Arbroath	home or draw	2.10	1.72	0.22	bet365	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 14:00	SC2	Livingston vs Queen's Park	home	2.00	1.71	0.17	bet365	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 14:00	E0	Bournemouth vs Middlesbrough	draw or away	2.12	1.92	0.11	Betfair	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 14:00	OST	Sturm Graz vs SV Mattersburg	draw or away	2.67	2.46	0.08	bet365	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 16:00	TUR	Antalyaspor vs Trabzonspor	home	3.25	2.48	0.31	bet365	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 16:30	OST	SV Josko Ried vs RZ Pellets WAC	home	2.60	2.28	0.14	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 16:30	SP1	Osasuna vs Sporting Gijon	home	2.73	2.32	0.18	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/22/2017 20:00	MLS	Portland Timbers vs Vancouver Whitecaps	home	1.82	1.61	0.13	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/23/2017 0:00	MXC	Monterrey vs U.A.N.L	home	2.50	2.06	0.21	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/23/2017 9:00	AUS	Melbourne City FC vs Perth Glory	home	2.15	1.84	0.17	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/23/2017 10:30	TUR	Akhisar Belediyespor vs Bursaspor	draw or away	1.87	1.70	0.10	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/23/2017 11:30	D2	TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs VfL Bochum	draw or away	2.60	1.97	0.32	bet365	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/23/2017 13:30	D1	SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen	home	3.66	3.24	0.13	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/23/2017 15:30	D1	Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig	home	2.93	2.56	0.15	Pinnacle	4/17/2017 8:43	1
4/23/2017 17:00	MXC	Pumas UNAM vs Veracruz	home	1.78	1.61	0.11	Marathonbet	4/17/2017 8:43	1

Edited April 22, 2017 by allen29
Wrong bet type Pumas UNAM vs Veracruz

[Dumyat]

4/23/2017 17:00

MXC

Pumas UNAM vs Veracruz

home or draw

1.78

1.61

0.11

Marathonbet

4/17/2017 8:43

1

I think this one is just a straight Home since Home +0.5 is currently 1.18

Home is currently 1.65 Marathon. 

[Dumyat]

Would it be possible to make available an excel download of all the selections since the start of the thread containing all the above columns but also with the final score or bet result. All the selections are there but that's a lot of work trailing through all these matches to find historic result data. 

Or simply add the results to the thread display once each set completed.

[allen29]

@Dumyat Yes, you are right. Thanks for the correction, I modified that now. Initial recommendation from my system was home or draw, but I couldn't find the odds specified anymore, so I just took home, but forgot to modify the side. 

Yes, that is possible. I will post it at my next update.

Edited April 22, 2017 by allen29