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March 7 - March 13

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Djere - Jaziri 2.25 Pinnacle

 

Jaziri played 3 5-set matches between Friday and Sunday in Davis cup clash Bosnia vs Tunisia. He lost two of them. Adding to that he is in very bad shape this year. Jaziri must travel from Europe to Mexico. He will play on Tuesday, but still will not have much time to make the time difference. Djere is in very good form, even he is coming from African clay court features. The Serbian is showing good qualities on indoor and will cause a lot of trouble to tired Jaziri. Beautiful odds here.

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Back Elias Ymer to beat Aleksandr Nedovyesov for a 7/10 stake at 1.72 with Paddy Power

Back Markus Eriksson to beat Jan-Lennard Struff for a 3/10 stake at 8.50 with Bet365

There's a bit of a break now given that Indian Wells is still a few days away, so this is what I'll be going for to kick off the week. Nedovyesov should be tired - both physically and mentally - after the epic Davis Cup clash, while I also fancy Eriksson at odds this massive. Could end in a disaster, of course, but worth a shot at 8.50 imo, as Struff hasn't been too impressive recently.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/jonkoping-challenger-day-one-tips-a-short-break-follows-the-davis-cup-ties-2016030605

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Linzer - Silva Dutra 3.54 Pinnacle

 

They played twice with one of the game ended earlier because of Linzer's injury. The other was nice win for Linzer in two sets. So far Silva Dutra isn't impressive during the season. He is favorite because of his rankings, but in those kind of challengers he was beaten very often in the first round by outsiders. Linzer is coming from a final at clay future so he must be in nice form.

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4pts S.Vickery to beat K.Pliskova 9/4 Bet365
Pliskova is a hard courter. She played here in 2013 and lost in round 1 to 187th Grace Min. Vickery is a clay courter and this is her favourite tournament of the year. She played here last year and went out in the second round. She beat Kudryavtseva before going to Lepchenko (31st ranking). They have played together twice and both were won by Pliskova, but both were in three sets and more importantly, both were on the hardcourt. Most recent was the Australian Open where Pliskova won 7-5 in a final set. Vickery though, as mentioned is more of a clay courter so I expect her to go close here. She is only 20 and yet she has strength and power. Her recent form is a worry but I would expect this time of year would be when she really steps up her game. 

* I've made an error on this. I've been researching the French Open and got mixed up with which surface this is on and it's on the hard. I'm still taking the bet but I thought Id mention that as I've previewed it as a clay encounter. I would still rate this as a 1.50-2.50 match-up but obviously it being on the hard lowers the chance of success. 

Edited by Fader

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WTA INDIAN WELLS QUAL.: BONDARENKO-KANIA 2:0 SETS @ 1.67 on bet365/paddypower(1.58 willhill,coral also OK)

Bondarenko looks svery confident this year and she likes playing on fast US hard courts while Kania really prefers clay.

 

ATP CHALLENGER PUEBLA: BECKER-CACHIN 2:0 SETS @ 1.4 on sbobet (1.3 paddypower, betfair also OK)

First ever hard court match for Cachin on ATP/Challengers level, Becker will have much more power and serve for him.

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Karatancheva - Sasnovich 2.41 Pinnacle

 

Both didn't impress so far this season, but the Bulgarian was very close to score an win over Sevastova, who in her next match almost beat in form Bouchard. On the other hand Sasnovich's only valuable win this season is against Rodina (1/6 in 2016). Karatancheva has a lot of points to defend in IW. She reached the second round in 2015 with nice wins over Buykakcay, Parmentier and Pironkova. Easy bet here for me with some wrong odds by the bookies.

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Back Tristan Lamasine to beat Radu Albot for a 7/10 stake at 2.10 with Paddy Power

Back Gastao Elias to beat Norbert Gombos for a 7/10 stake at 2.00 with Paddy Power

Taking two more over in Sweden at odds against. Lamasine seems to have improved a lot while Albot was hardly convincing in the Davis Cup and even before that, so the Frenchman should have a very decent chance. Meanwhile, Elias has been tremendous since the start of the season and he looks set to break into the top 100 in this season, so I can't have him as the underdog against Gombos, who hasn't played since injuring himself during the Aussie Open qualifiers.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/jonkoping-challenger-day-two-tips-the-action-continues-over-in-sweden-2016030705

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Alexia Castillo - Aleksandrina Naydenova 12.5 Pinnacle

It's a pretty long shot, but Naydenova is a player who often lose from big outsiders. This is an indoor tournament and she didn't like such a surface. In 2015 she was beaten by 18-year old girl with no ranking on indoor. Last year Naydenova lost 4 matches against outsiders with 4.00 plus odds and won 12 against opponents with 4.00 plus odds. In her last tournament she lost a set against another player, who is far behind her in the ranks.

 

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Wozniak - Bertens 3.39 Pinnacle

 

Wozniak showed some prominent results in the warm up of IW. She won many matches at future level, which will give her some self confidence. The most important is that she started very strongly in the first round qualifiers beating extremely easy talented Ana Konjuh. The Canadian had some good memories from the tournament. Two years ago she reached the fourth round.

Bertens is unpredictable and she needed to come back from behind to beat Duan. The odds must be around 2.5/2.75 for Wozniak so I am taking the chance. 

 

 

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3 PICKS FOR INDIAN WELLS:

ATP INDIAN WELLS QUAL.: SMYCZEK-MMOH @ 1.32 on pinnaclesports
Veteran Smyczek always plays well in US, and still a level above Mmoh.

ATP INDIAN WELLS QUAL.: SUGITA-REID @ 1.25 on pinnaclesports
Good recent form for Sugita, definetely better from the baseline than Reid.

WTA INDIAN WELLS WATSON-VOSKOBOEVA 2:0 SETS @ 1.33 on pinnaclesports
Voskoboeva was out of game for 2 years (!). Watson won a tournament just last week.

 

 

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6pts K.Bondarenko to beat Lino 2-0 4/6 Boylesports
Not a fan of betting on odds on but I like the look of this one. Bondarenko is in good form getting to the last 32 of her last couple of tournaments including the Australian Open. She's ranked over 30 places high and Lino is now 34 years old and in decline. She's lost 5 of her last 7 matches including losses to players ranked as low as 461st and getting double bagled by Cibulkova.  

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After one of my worst ever prediction in the match of Silva Dutra and Linzer here is one prediction for Men qualifications at IW:

 

Mmoh - Smyczek 4.19 Pinnacle

 

Mmoh showed very nice skills in Memphis beating in qualifiers Fratanjelo and Novikov. The guy has a talent and was stopped by Fitz. This is his next competition after Memphis so I am sure he will come fully prepared to make some more impact. Smyczek is in great form this season, but he is vulnerable against first/second round outsiders. I think here it will be a battle of serving. Mmoh is not a typical ace guy, but he is directing very well and has high percent of 1st serve's winning points. 

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Back Nao Hibino to beat Lauren Davis for a 7/10 stake at 2.80 with 10Bet

Back Serena Williams to win Indian Wells for a 7/10 stake at 3.50 with Unibet

Back Who Will Go the Furthest? - Agnieszka Radwanska (vs. Angelique Kerber) for a 7/10 stake at 1.83 with Bet365

Back Who Will Go the Furthest? - Carla Suarez-Navarro (vs. Ana Ivanovic) for a 7/10 stake at 1.57 with Bet365

Leaving Jonkoping alone with a guaranteed profit (Lamasine and Elias!), as the Indian Wells event is finally here! Hibino looks like the value pick to me in the first round, Davis could be the ideal match-up for her really. I'll also be taking Williams on the outright at odds this big, especially given her affair with the Indian Wells tournament, while I also fancy Radwanska and Suarez-Navarro to go further than Kerber and Ivanovic.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/wta-indian-wells-tips-serena-williams-returns-to-action-2016030804

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Awful day. Mmoh is fighting like a tiger, hope he will do it. One last from tonigh's qualifiers

 

Escobedo - Roger-Vassilen 4.23 Pinnacle

 

Escobedo is typical hard court player. He stunned some better ranked guys on challenger tournaments and now this is his chance to make a big move to masters event. Roger-Vassilen is a quality veteran, but his season he already was stunned several times. He is with two losses in a row and didn't play as well as we used to see him. Nice odds for Escobedo. I am pretty sure it will not be so easy for Roger-Vassilen.

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Back The Field (vs. Novak Djokovic) for a 7/10 stake at 2.00 with Paddy Power

Back John Isner to win the 2nd quarter for a 3/10 stake at 10.00 with Paddy Power

Back Stanislas Wawrinka to win the 3rd quarter for a 7/10 stake at 2.25 with Paddy Power

Back Lukas Rosol to beat Adrian Mannarino for a 7/10 stake at 1.75 with BetVictor

Djokovic wasn't good at all in the Davis Cup, so I'm quite happy to go against him at odds against in the outright betting, I wouldn't have him odds-on to win really given what we've seen from him in recent weeks. I'll also be backing Isner and Wawrinka to win their quarters, both could come in without much luck needed - Wawrinka has a fairly soft quarter given his quality, while Isner has always done well in Indian Wells. As far as the match betting is concerned, I'll be backing Rosol against Mannarino - not only because of the 3-1 record the Czech has in the match-up, but also because his Davis Cup exploits should serve him well confidence-wise.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/indian-wells-day-one-tips-can-novak-djokovic-confirm-his-dominance-yet-again--2016030903

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17 hours ago, ogii55 said:

Awful day. Mmoh is fighting like a tiger, hope he will do it. One last from tonigh's qualifiers

 

Escobedo - Roger-Vassilen 4.23 Pinnacle

 

Escobedo is typical hard court player. He stunned some better ranked guys on challenger tournaments and now this is his chance to make a big move to masters event. Roger-Vassilen is a quality veteran, but his season he already was stunned several times. He is with two losses in a row and didn't play as well as we used to see him. Nice odds for Escobedo. I am pretty sure it will not be so easy for Roger-Vassilen.

Unlucky with both, but both were good picks at those odds imo!

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4pts S.Peng to beat Putinseva 5/2 Bet365
Taking a little punt on Peng here. Primarily a hard courter against Putinseva who you'd say is more a clay courter. Peng has beaten big names on the hard such as Bencic, Pav, Vince and Safarova and I think the odds offered are alittle too high despite her absense. Putinseva apart from Wozniacki in the Aus Open hasn't beaten anyone recently you'd be suprised about

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Hank - Novak 4.04 Pinnacle

 

Not to much time before the start of this one, but I considered it since yesterday, just waited the price to go a little bit up. Hank is a local guy, who already scored a win in the hall on doubles. The surface is very specific, not so fast with some sort of flies dropping on the court. Novak don't like to play on indoor and he is often beaten by big outsiders. He traveled from Europe so the time difference will be a minor factor. Novak's game depends very much on his serve, so if the things didn't start well, he is in trouble. Sweet odds.

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Back Vincent Millot (-3.5) to beat Mackenzie McDonald for a 7/10 stake at 1.83 with Paddy Power

Back Mikhail Youzhny to beat Aljaz Bedene for a 7/10 stake at 2.00 with Unibet

Fancy both Millot and Youzhny tomorrow in Indian Wells. The former is much better than McDonald, who's yet to really get going in this season and who should find it tough to play against a very solid guy. As for Youzhny - he's done much more than Bedene in this season and the Jaziri result looked like a fluke to me, so I'd actually have him - not Bedene - as the slight favourite.

Full preview here: https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/tennis/indian-wells-day-two-tips-a-few-big-names-return-to-action-on-friday-2016031010

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4pts A.Zverev to beat I.Dodig 2-0 7/4 Betway
He beat Dodig 2-0 last year in the US Open on the hard and I reckon Zverev will do the same here. He seems to have stepped his game up in the last 6-12 months where as Dodig, at 31 is in decline. 

 

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Matwe Middelkoop - Elias Ymer 4.67 Pinnacle

 

The Dutch doubles specialist is doing great so far in the tournament. It wasn't expected for him to reach such level, but he is playing better and better in each match. Despite being a clay court specialist during all his career he did it very well on indoor taking the doubles title in ATP 250 Sofia this year. Ymer is great talent, but as every young kid on the tour he is vulnerable to be beaten by outsiders. I am not impressed by him so far this season. Adding the fact that his weapons are better suited on clay maybe we've git a nice value here.

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3 hours ago, ogii55 said:

Matwe Middelkoop - Elias Ymer 4.67 Pinnacle

 

The Dutch doubles specialist is doing great so far in the tournament. It wasn't expected for him to reach such level, but he is playing better and better in each match. Despite being a clay court specialist during all his career he did it very well on indoor taking the doubles title in ATP 250 Sofia this year. Ymer is great talent, but as every young kid on the tour he is vulnerable to be beaten by outsiders. I am not impressed by him so far this season. Adding the fact that his weapons are better suited on clay maybe we've git a nice value here.

Finally you got it I think! With 4-0 up in third I don't think Middelkoop will drop the match.

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Coco Vandeweghe to beat Svetlana Kuznetsova for a 7/10 stake at 1.72 with Paddypower

Vandeweghe has been playing some great stuff and the opposite is to be said about Kuznetsova who's been playing dreadful. They met in San Diego 6 years ago and then Svetlana won 7-5 6-2 but it could easily be the other way around this time. Vandeweghe was only 18 at that time and now she's playing mutch better tennis. Completely different conditions now so a win for Vandeweghe is not out of the question. 

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