BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November

[Aidymac]

Blue Maisey - Nottingham 3:05 I think this horse has a good chance of making the frame tomorrow. ery good run last time out at Bath when 2nd to Carinya and the slight step back in trip should be in its favour. Won at Windsor over 1m back in July and this is Peter Makins only runner tomorrow. E/W @ 11/2 Bet365 BOG

[Petersson1984]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 15:05 Nottingham Smart Step Win (3,50) Ladbrokes After a slow first year, the young filly won her first race back in september. Since then, she been in amazing form, winning 3 of the last 4 runs. The gound have been in her favor, as she performes better on a soft or heavy going. Smart Step´s two recent wins gets her 6lb up the weights but she previous beat the handicappers, and i cant see why she will fail to do that again. Smart Step recent form. 5-1-0-1-1 The jockey De Sousa gets his 3rd race in a row on Smart Step. He too are in great form winning 16,67 % of his runs whitin the last 14 days. He got a ban comming up, so if he wants to beat Hanagan, then he´ll need to bring his best.

[LJD]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Veroon - Kempton 7.10 Veroon won last time out over course and distance and should have a decent chance of at least making the frame again if it can reproduce it's performance. Paul Hanagan ( the soon to be Champion Jockey for the 2nd year running) is onboard as he was last time. E/W @ 15/2 Hills

[andyjkmak]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 1.15 Chepstow The Hobbs stable had no luck yesterday with to late URs costing them one of which looked a certain winner and the other that would have went really close. Better luck today will see him land the first at Chepstow on Nutin Fancy. Quite an expensive purchase he has two wins in Ireland under his belt and could have too many guns for these.Much better value than his two nearest rivals and if he stays on his feet should go very close. 1 Pt win 6/1 Bet365

[corky]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 1840 kempton spensley 1 pt win 8/1 stan james big step up in class,but spensley has a great record at kempton ,unbeaten in handicaps and 4 times course winner ,winner last time out over 11 furlongs,but is better suited to todays trip of 12 furlongs

[chris34]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 6.10 Kempton Bareback has shown no promise on 2 starts to date, Meet Joe Black has again shown nothing in 3 starts, Lady Gibraltar looks as though she may have gone over the top as clearly hasnt gone aswell last 2 start. Princess Maya will also need to step up on latest effort to figure here. Nicholascopernicus comes from a yard that recently landed a gamble on a 2yr old at Newmarket last week so would be of interest should money comes for him, but bred to want further than this. Intuition ran a good race on debut but didnt build on that next time out but ground could be a reason for that and may improve. For me Poker Hospital should be hard to beat if repeating latest nursery effort off a mark of 74, clearly running right upto that mark which sets her clear on official figures of the 3 that have OR. That effort came in first time cheek pieces and they are retained tonight and of course need to work the oracle again but De Sousa booked and hungry for winners and should run a solid race from a good draw. Now the curve ball! Graylyn Valentino comes from yard that is renowned for 2yr old winners infact only had 1 2yr old runner in the past 5 years, on breeding makes little appeal out of a very poor flat and jump maiden. But yard have never been in such hot form 2 winners from 9 runners and only 1 horse out of the 9 not finishing in the places and that is because it fell, will perhaps need 1 or 2 to underperform but if getting a soft time up front could snatch a place at a price fingers crossed we get the 8 runners! 1pt win Poker Hospital 7/4 bet365

[BillyHills]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 4.00 Chepstow: Oscar Gogo EW 7/1 (VcBet) Tight little handicap here and I think Oscar Gogo is overpriced, the going is heavy here and you will need to act and i can see many bieng pulled up all day long. The selection has won here in heavy and was second over fences at Hereford in similar conditions and off this mark. His first run of the season was a lot better than it suggests, he made a terrible mistake at the wrong time and ran on when out of contention, he will strip fitter for that run out and with conditions ideal he should be therabouts.

[Trotter]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Nott 3.05 - Smart Step - win at 9/4 bog PP Improving handicapper from the Johnston yard, has won 3 handicaps over the last couple of months, all on soft ground Up another 6 lbs today but this doesn't look a very good race with several out of form and others who might not handle the going Good chance of a hat-trick

[beaker1]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 3-40 nottingham carragold - win now carragold takes a drop in class here and he should find things a bit easier than when finishing 4th in the consolation cambridgeshire,a race that as worked out well with a few behind him that day going on to win since.carragold also as a good draw here and as won both its starts on soft going which he as again today,as we all know the form book usually goes out the window at this time of the year but with conditions to suit and the drop in class he will do for me good luck all

[fintron]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 3.40 nottingham Focal Maith - improving sort that advertised his well being when winning last time out. Could have more improvement to offer over the trip and looks a fair price as he is weighted to win more races. 8/1 blue square, 1 pt win

[Monterosso]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 5:40 Kempton - Cut The Cackle - 1pt @ 7/2 (Bet365) It's usually not a great sign when the best bet one can find is in a Class 6 sprint at Kempton but that's exactly the case here. Richard Guest didn't have his yard in great form for a few months but everything's going well for him again and he looks to have a lively chance of adding to the 5 winners (from 30 runners) that he's had in the past fortnight. Cut The Cackle is the horse in question and if this 5-year-old mare can put it all in, she's potentially thrown in here off a mark of 54. Her last career win came at this track (7f) in July of 2010 when she defied a mark of 70 in an Apprentice Handicap with relative ease. That was achieved when trained by Peter Winkworth and she left his yard after that. Her form took a dramatic turn for the worse over the next year but she showed up exceptionally well last time out (3 weeks ago) when racing off a 2lb lower mark over this C&D. That was just her fifth outing for Richard Guest and the way she was steadily staying on from the rear of the field adds plenty of cause for optimism here. I also don't think she was given a great ride on that occasion and to see the very talented Martin Harley take over in the saddle has to be seen as another plus, especially given how well he does when riding for this yard (8 wins from 37 rides; 22% strike-rate). They will go a good clip up front, which will suit, and this contest shouldn't take a whole lot of winning if Guest's charge is on form. 4/1 is a great price in my opinion and I'll play medium win stakes in the hope that she builds on that recent outing.

[wafer]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 1:30 Curly Come Home @ Nottingham - Finished 8th of 13 on racing debut at Newmarket last month.Good jockey booked in Chris Catlin who has a good record when riding 2 year olds for trainer Chris Wall with a profit of +11.00.This trainer was in good form last month finishing with a profit of +17.50 and this horse can add to that at a huge price 0.5 pt E/W @ 66/1 VCBet

[wizzkid walter]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 2:45 Warwick - Tatispout - Back Has a monumental chance here. Won last time, and despite the fact he was left out in front that day when the main rival fell, he looked like he would have won anyway and has a great chance of going in again here. Only 4 runners here but only 1 runner looks capable of making this a race and that is Schumpters Lad but he tends to disappoint and seems to like finding one or two too good 1pt win @ 1/3 Hills BOG

[Lars]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 17:40 Kempton YOUNG SIMON looked in need of a break when running below-par over the spring and although he’s only ever ran “fresh” once and that was only an average performance, he’s a value selection to what looks a fairly competitive race for the grade. The four year-old hasn’t really lived up to expectations and has only got in front once in his 23 race career, that coming over this C&D off this mark back in January. It didn’t seem a fluke either as he followed it up with another solid effort when racing too close to the pace in a Wolverhampton Amateur Riders’ contest off a mark of 59. That effort needed upgrading a tad and shows that if he puts it altogether on the day, he can probably race up to a rating of about 60. Since then however, his form tailed off with only one effort of any note (poorly placed in a race here back in March, although still running OK). He was often not a huge price in the betting either, so it seems that he was running far below what connections expected him to. A break of 134 days could well help him get back on track, as he did shape as though a busy winter campaign had taken its toll. With the poor performances his mark fell as a result and has now dropped to his last winning mark of 53. With the assistance of a talented 3lb claimer Kieran O’Neill, a mark of 50 should be well within range to post a decent effort as I still feel there’s a performance equating to a mark of 60 in the locker somewhere. It may be that he’ll never show it or that he’ll need the outing today off this absence but George Margarson has his string in really decent form with two winners and three places from his last seven runners, so today is probably a decent time to catch Young Simon. He’s overpriced at 20/1 as he should be more like 12/1 in my view and he’s worthy of a small each-way investment. YOUNG SIMON; EW @ 20/1 Bet365 (bog)

[Falbrav]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November SALBERTO 1.15 Chepstow. 0.5 points each way. Debutant and so hard to know what to expect, but bred to go on this heavy ground (Alberto Giacometti (IRE) — Ipsala (FR) (Quart De Vin (FR )) and is expected to make up into a useful horse. Been doing fine enough at home and so with the ground being a question to answer for most, and us being massive odds on the exchange (110+ available), I think we're worth a nibble. 66/1 Stan James.

[switzerland]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Grey Mirage 1:30 Nottingham 1pt Win 4/1 SJ Ran in a what I thought looked a good maiden last time out when coming home in 5th. He went off favourite that day so he's obviously well thought off by Marco Botti as lots of big stables were represented. He wasn't knocked about when his chance was gone and he should come on for the run. He's by Azamour so the ground may not be ideal but he might still be good enough to take this maiden.

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 1.50 Chepstow - 1pt win Capdalight @ 10/1 (Bet365) - 1/4 odds Richard Johnson is an eyecatching jockey booking for this horse, and I feel 10/1 represents excellent each-way value for a horse who has shown plenty of promise in his hurdling runs to date. He has thrived since Paul Henderson took control of him, finishing 2nd, 4th, 1st and 4th in 4 runs during the summer for his new yard. He did have excuses for his defeats - finishing 2nd to a well handicapped horse, too keen over 3f further than today's trip, and being hampered/trip being a little bit too short last time out. His win came impressively over today's trip at Ffos Las by 8l. He's got some of the most solid form in the field, and so long as he settles fairly well, is fit after a little break, and handles the ground, has a huge chance.

[Verisimilitude]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Galletto 1.30 Nottingham. 0.5 points each way. Will need a few races before showing anything like what's expected, but on this soft ground, which should suit well, he could go much closer than expected, without being finely tuned up. The trip's suitable for a debut on this ground, so at big odds would be a play for me at big odds. 28/1 Victor Chandler (bog)

[wistful]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Chuckery 1 point win at 4/1 vc.bet. 3.20 Warwick. Trainer in form and has won with 2 of his 6 hurdler runners at this course.

[cpo]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 3.20 Warwick Chuckery win @ 4/1 Bet 365 Stable going very well and this stamina test should suit this horse much more on his hurdle debut. Jockey takes off a handy 7lbs and he will have no problem with the quick ground.

[Jimmy2shoes]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Something was not right last time out for trainer M.Easterby's 7yr old gelding, he won his last two starts before that last run and it would be no surprise to see him bounce back today. He was a course winner back on the 28th of Sep over 1m 2f and he's back over that today, am not sure he'l be allowed today to make all the running but they might just give it another try. Both Trainer and Jockey make the trip for this sole runner / ride. Nottingham 4:10 - Desert Vision. 0.5 e/w bet 16/1 Hills. Ah just Grand son just Grand.

[Monterosso]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November

Chuckery 1 point win at 4/1 vc.bet. 3.20 Warwick. Trainer in form and has won with 2 of his 6 hurdler runners at this course.

Welcome to the forum Wistful. :beer In future, if you want the bets to be counted in this competition, you're going to have to give us more than just half of a line. It'll be okay this time but add to the reasoning in future please. :ok

[south_eastern_ram]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 4.10 Nottingham - Count Ceprano - 28/1 VC E/W Drift is alarming but at too bigger price to ignore now imo. Has been progressive over this trip and the soft ground shouldnt be a problem. Race not run to suit lto and Chris Catlin on board today ahead of the apprentices. Short break another concern but a likely strong pace means race should be run to suit.

[south_eastern_ram]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November

4.10 Nottingham - Count Ceprano - 28/1 VC E/W Drift is alarming but at too bigger price to ignore now imo. Has been progressive over this trip and the soft ground shouldnt be a problem. Race not run to suit lto and Chris Catlin on board today ahead of the apprentices. Short break another concern but a likely strong pace means race should be run to suit.

Price changed so will take 25/1 Bet365

[cc75]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November 4.40 Kempton: Compton Rainbow 1pt win @ 10/1 Boylesports BOG Has a decent chance here having shown quite a bit of ability on last couple of starts. The latter effort was given a boost when the two horses in front finished first and second next time up in maiden company. May prove to be quite well handicapped here and very interesting that the in-form trainer has slapped a first time hood on as well as stepping the horse up in trip. Decent chance here IMO in an open looking race.

[Haystacks]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Doc Hill - 5.10 Kem (0.5ew LAD 25-1 BOG) Seems to have improved since switched to A-W two runs ago. Runner-up on only handicap run to date, and also ran creditably in a maiden last time out. Upped to 8f for the first time today and could well outrun odds of 25-1 off a lowly mark of 53.

[BillyHills]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Evening bets yet to settle;

Veroon - Kempton 7.10 Veroon won last time out over course and distance and should have a decent chance of at least making the frame again if it can reproduce it's performance. Paul Hanagan ( the soon to be Champion Jockey for the 2nd year running) is onboard as he was last time. E/W @ 15/2 Hills

1840 kempton spensley 1 pt win 8/1 stan james big step up in class,but spensley has a great record at kempton ,unbeaten in handicaps and 4 times course winner ,winner last time out over 11 furlongs,but is better suited to todays trip of 12 furlongs

6.10 Kempton Bareback has shown no promise on 2 starts to date, Meet Joe Black has again shown nothing in 3 starts, Lady Gibraltar looks as though she may have gone over the top as clearly hasnt gone aswell last 2 start. Princess Maya will also need to step up on latest effort to figure here. Nicholascopernicus comes from a yard that recently landed a gamble on a 2yr old at Newmarket last week so would be of interest should money comes for him, but bred to want further than this. Intuition ran a good race on debut but didnt build on that next time out but ground could be a reason for that and may improve. For me Poker Hospital should be hard to beat if repeating latest nursery effort off a mark of 74, clearly running right upto that mark which sets her clear on official figures of the 3 that have OR. That effort came in first time cheek pieces and they are retained tonight and of course need to work the oracle again but De Sousa booked and hungry for winners and should run a solid race from a good draw. Now the curve ball! Graylyn Valentino comes from yard that is renowned for 2yr old winners infact only had 1 2yr old runner in the past 5 years, on breeding makes little appeal out of a very poor flat and jump maiden. But yard have never been in such hot form 2 winners from 9 runners and only 1 horse out of the 9 not finishing in the places and that is because it fell, will perhaps need 1 or 2 to underperform but if getting a soft time up front could snatch a place at a price fingers crossed we get the 8 runners! 1pt win Poker Hospital 7/4 bet365

5:40 Kempton - Cut The Cackle - 1pt @ 7/2 (Bet365) It's usually not a great sign when the best bet one can find is in a Class 6 sprint at Kempton but that's exactly the case here. Richard Guest didn't have his yard in great form for a few months but everything's going well for him again and he looks to have a lively chance of adding to the 5 winners (from 30 runners) that he's had in the past fortnight. Cut The Cackle is the horse in question and if this 5-year-old mare can put it all in, she's potentially thrown in here off a mark of 54. Her last career win came at this track (7f) in July of 2010 when she defied a mark of 70 in an Apprentice Handicap with relative ease. That was achieved when trained by Peter Winkworth and she left his yard after that. Her form took a dramatic turn for the worse over the next year but she showed up exceptionally well last time out (3 weeks ago) when racing off a 2lb lower mark over this C&D. That was just her fifth outing for Richard Guest and the way she was steadily staying on from the rear of the field adds plenty of cause for optimism here. I also don't think she was given a great ride on that occasion and to see the very talented Martin Harley take over in the saddle has to be seen as another plus, especially given how well he does when riding for this yard (8 wins from 37 rides; 22% strike-rate). They will go a good clip up front, which will suit, and this contest shouldn't take a whole lot of winning if Guest's charge is on form. 4/1 is a great price in my opinion and I'll play medium win stakes in the hope that she builds on that recent outing.

17:40 Kempton YOUNG SIMON looked in need of a break when running below-par over the spring and although he’s only ever ran “fresh” once and that was only an average performance, he’s a value selection to what looks a fairly competitive race for the grade. The four year-old hasn’t really lived up to expectations and has only got in front once in his 23 race career, that coming over this C&D off this mark back in January. It didn’t seem a fluke either as he followed it up with another solid effort when racing too close to the pace in a Wolverhampton Amateur Riders’ contest off a mark of 59. That effort needed upgrading a tad and shows that if he puts it altogether on the day, he can probably race up to a rating of about 60. Since then however, his form tailed off with only one effort of any note (poorly placed in a race here back in March, although still running OK). He was often not a huge price in the betting either, so it seems that he was running far below what connections expected him to. A break of 134 days could well help him get back on track, as he did shape as though a busy winter campaign had taken its toll. With the poor performances his mark fell as a result and has now dropped to his last winning mark of 53. With the assistance of a talented 3lb claimer Kieran O’Neill, a mark of 50 should be well within range to post a decent effort as I still feel there’s a performance equating to a mark of 60 in the locker somewhere. It may be that he’ll never show it or that he’ll need the outing today off this absence but George Margarson has his string in really decent form with two winners and three places from his last seven runners, so today is probably a decent time to catch Young Simon. He’s overpriced at 20/1 as he should be more like 12/1 in my view and he’s worthy of a small each-way investment. YOUNG SIMON; EW @ 20/1 Bet365 (bog)

Doc Hill - 5.10 Kem (0.5ew LAD 25-1 BOG) Seems to have improved since switched to A-W two runs ago. Runner-up on only handicap run to date, and also ran creditably in a maiden last time out. Upped to 8f for the first time today and could well outrun odds of 25-1 off a lowly mark of 53.

[Monterosso]

Re: BBOTD Wednesday 2nd of November Mine's a non-runner. Hate that when I was actually looking forward to the race. :sad