skylark2009 Posted April 12, 2011 Author Share Posted April 12, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 15, 2011 Author Share Posted April 15, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +919.45pts Three bets for today, (after a quiet last two days). NB I think the Noble Storm bet may be better as an E/W bet, (but is win only for this GH) #279 4.55 Newbury: Noble Storm - all stakes 32.3pts @ 7/1 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #280 7.10 Brighton: Bahia Emerald - all stakes 36.7pts @ 5/2 Paddy Power (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #281 7.25 Chepstow: Oca De Thaix - all stakes 41.5pts @ 11/8 Paddy Power (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 15, 2011 Author Share Posted April 15, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 16, 2011 Author Share Posted April 16, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1067.35pts Five bets today. #282 3.10 Newbury: Frankel - all stakes 62.5pts @ 4/11 Paddy Power (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #283 5.10 Doncaster: One Kool Dude - all stakes 41pts @ 5/2 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #284 5.30 Haydock: Piano - all stakes 45.8pts @ 15/8 Coral - assessed probability 33% to 50% #285 6.15 Doncaster: St Moritz - all stakes 42.6pts @ 2/1 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #286 7.35 Haydock: Hits Only Jude - all stakes 36.5pts @ 5/1 Stan James - assessed probability 25% to 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 17, 2011 Author Share Posted April 17, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 17, 2011 Author Share Posted April 17, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1051.97pts Two bets today. #287 5.45 Wetherby: Red Merlin - all stakes 62.3pts @ 4/11 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #288 6.15 Wetherby: Waldvogel - all stakes 45.4pts @ 11/8 Paddy Power (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 18, 2011 Author Share Posted April 18, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1051.97pts I'll update yesterdays results later today along with todays three bets. #289 3.50 Redcar: Buzz Law - all stakes 40.4pts @ 9/4 Paddy Power (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #290 4.10 Towcester: Lifestyle - all stakes 62.4pts @ 2/9 VCbet (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #291 5.50 Windsor: Pretty Diamond - all stakes 45.3pts @ 1/1 VCbet (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted April 18, 2011 Share Posted April 18, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1051.97pts Gl today :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 19, 2011 Author Share Posted April 19, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 19, 2011 Author Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1101.42pts Two bets today. #292 5.10 Pontefract: McBirney - all stakes 37pts @ 8/1 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #293 6.45 Wolverhampton: Bonnie Prince Blue - all stakes 41.8pts @ 2/1 Coral - assessed probability 25% to 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 20, 2011 Author Share Posted April 20, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1101.42pts Four bets today. Results including yesterdays later on (hopefully). #293 4.50 Epsom: Greenflash - all stakes 39.5pts @ 4/1 Stan James - assessed probability 33% to 50% #294 5.05 Newcastle: Hamza - all stakes 51.5pts @ 6/4 Stan James - assessed probability 50%+ #295 7.35 Newcastle: Pitkin - all stakes 36.1pts @ 11/2 Paddy Power (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #296 8.50 Kempton: Gower Rules - all stakes 36.1pts @ 8/1 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 20, 2011 Author Share Posted April 20, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 23, 2011 Author Share Posted April 23, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +947.92pts Six bets today. #296 1.30 Sandown: Sanctuarie - all stakes 42.3pts @ 6/5 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #297 3.20 Carlisle: Montoya's Son - all stakes 58.9pts @ 4/9 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #298 3.45 Sandown: Dick Turpin - all stakes 58.9pts @ 4/5 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #299 4.15 Musselburgh: Hamish McGonagal - all stakes 47.9pts @ 5/4 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #300 7.45 Kelso: Whispering Death - all stakes 34.8pts @ 4/1 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #301 8.00 Nottingham: Amistress - all stakes 39.1pts @ 9/4 Paddy Power (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 23, 2011 Author Share Posted April 23, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1102.03pts Eight bets today including two that are dutched. NB I put some of these bets on over an hour prior to this posting, (price for Sicilian Secret is now around 1/1, for Realt Dubh, 4/1 is now available) #302 1.50 Fairyhouse: Sicilian Secret - all stakes 46.3pts @ 6/5 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #304 3.00 Plumpton: Lava Lamp - all stakes 66.8pts @ 1/2 Stan James - assessed probability 50%+ #303 2.35 Plumpton: Health Is Wealth - all stakes 59pts @ 5/6 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #305 3.10 Plumpton: Alla Svelta - all stakes 66.8pts @ 1/6 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #306 3.50 Sandown: Dordogne - all stakes 39.2pts @ 7/2 Stan James - assessed probability 25% to 33% #308 4.05 Fairyhouse: Noble Prince - all stakes 54pts @ 7/4 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% - dutched with bet #309 #309 4.05 Fairyhouse: Realt Dubh - all stakes 31.5pts @ 7/2 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% - dutched with bet #308 #310 5.10 Musselburgh: Vetvey - all stakes 41.4pts @ 2/1 VCbet (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1102.03pts Eight bets today including two that are dutched. NB I put some of these bets on over an hour prior to this posting, (price for Sicilian Secret is now around 1/1, for Realt Dubh, 4/1 is now available) #302 1.50 Fairyhouse: Sicilian Secret - all stakes 46.3pts @ 6/5 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #303 2.00 Plumpton: Lava Lamp - all stakes 66.8pts @ 1/2 Stan James - assessed probability 50%+ #304 2.35 Plumpton: Health Is Wealth - all stakes 59pts @ 5/6 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #305 3.10 Plumpton: Alla Svelta - all stakes 66.8pts @ 1/6 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #306 3.50 Sandown: Dordogne - all stakes 39.2pts @ 7/2 Stan James - assessed probability 25% to 33% #307 4.05 Fairyhouse: Noble Prince - all stakes 54pts @ 7/4 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% - dutched with bet #308 #308 4.05 Fairyhouse: Realt Dubh - all stakes 31.5pts @ 7/2 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% - dutched with bet #307 #309 5.10 Musselburgh: Vetvey - all stakes 41.4pts @ 2/1 VCbet (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% Couple of typo's in the previous post - now corrected above. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1102.03pts Good luck today, could be a biggie :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spooner Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1258.44pts Really good going skylark! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 25, 2011 Author Share Posted April 25, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1258.44pts As I'm off out today, it's Bet365 day as most of the bets have been placed with Bet365 (probably not at the best odds achievable though with most markets being the first show). A total of eight bets again today, with two being dutched again. #310 2.10 Ffos Las: Timesawastin - all stakes 68.2pts @ 1/4 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #311 2.15 Huntingdon: The Strawberry One - all stakes 49.4pts @ 15/8 Stan James - assessed probability 25% to 33% - dutched with bet #312 #312 2.15 Huntingdon: Laudatory - all stakes 31.9pts @ 3/1 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% - dutched with bet #311 #313 2.50 Huntingdon: Maurisca - all stakes 45.7pts @ 6/4 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #314 3.00 Warwick: Van Go Go - all stakes 45.7pts @ 11/8 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #315 4.10 Fakenham: Isle Of Inishmore - all stakes 45.7pts @ 5/4 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #316 4.40 Plumpton: Hi Ho Silvia - all stakes 45.7pts @ 6/5 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #317 4.45 Fakenham: Kadount - all stakes 39.1pts @ 9/4 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted April 25, 2011 Share Posted April 25, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1258.44pts Brilliant yesterday, more for the same today :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 26, 2011 Author Share Posted April 26, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +1088.41pts Two bets today. #318 2.00 Ascot: Magic City - all stakes 59pts @ 2/7 Coral - assessed probability 50%+ #319 2.30 Ascot: Hezmah - all stakes 35.8pts @ 2/1 Stan James - assessed probability 33% to 50% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 30, 2011 Author Share Posted April 30, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +933.61pts I've updated thread title to show the current profit for this GH after Wednesday's two losers and will post results later today. Eight bets in total today (and one no-bet). While I have rated Frankel today as a 25% to 33% chance today, the horse fails to qualify as a bet for this GH because of his current odds (less than 1/1). Using the variable stakes table in previous posts, it can be seen when I assess a horse as a 25% to 33% chance and its odds are less than 1/1 then no points will be awarded making such qualifiers no-bets. If Frankel had happened to be 1/1 or bigger then it would have been dutched with Roderic O'Connor who is also a 25% to 33% chance. #320 2.30 Newmarket: Laaheb - all stakes 32.3pts @ 9/4 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #321 2.45 Longchamp: Planteur - all stakes 41.5pts @ 7/4 Paddy Power (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #322 3.10 Newmarket: Roderic O'Connor - all stakes 25.9pts @ 10/1 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #323 4.25 Uttoxeter: Nicky Tam - all stakes 30.6pts @ 5/2 Skybet - assessed probability 25% to 33% #324 5.00 Uttoxeter: Red Jester - all stakes 35.6pts @ 6/4 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #325 5.15 Thirsk: March On Beetroot- all stakes 34.9pts @ 15/8 VCbet (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #327 5.30 Uttoxeter: Monty's Moon - all stakes 29.3pts @ 4/1 Stan James - assessed probability 33% to 50% #328 5.35 Doncaster: Sharakti - all stakes 25.9pts @ 6/1 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted April 30, 2011 Author Share Posted April 30, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted May 1, 2011 Author Share Posted May 1, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +886.63pts Two bets today. #327 2.55 Salisbury: Cockney Fire - all stakes 46.3pts @ 10/11 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 50%+ #328 3.15 Newmarket: Moonlight Cloud - all stakes 20.1pts @ 11/2 Betfred (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted May 1, 2011 Author Share Posted May 1, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +908.62pts Three bets today. #329 2.10 Down Royal: Doux Douce - all stakes 41.1pts @ 5/6 VCbet (BOG) - assessed probability 33% to 50% #330 2.55 Windsor: Norville - all stakes 22.2pts @ 9/2 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #331 3.45 Chepstow: Novabridge - all stakes 20.3pts @ 5/1 Bet365 (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skylark2009 Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 Re: Four banks - four staking strategies: +958.22pts Eight bets tomorrow. As I'm back in work on earlies, I'll post these now. I've already put four bets on, but the other four will be placed tomorrow when I'm able to and prices become available. Bets #334 and #335 are dutched. #332 2.30 Bath: Signifier - all stakes 30.5pts @ sp or best odds achievable - assessed probability 33% to 50% - expected price of around 1/1 #333 4.20 Punchestown: Hidden Universe - all stakes 22.4pts @ 4/1 Coral - assessed probability 25% to 33% #334 5.30 Punchestown: Big Zeb - all stakes 25.3pts @ 2/1 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% - dutched with bet #335 #335 5.30 Punchestown: Sizing Europe - all stakes 25.3pts @ 2/1 William Hill (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% - dutched with bet #334 #336 6.30 Catterick: Relative Strength - all stakes 30.5pts @ SP or best achievable odds - assessed probability 33% ot 50% - expected price of around 1/1 #337 6.40 Punchestown: Quito De La Roque - all stakes 23.2pts @ 3/1 Boylesports (BOG) - assessed probability 25% to 33% #338 8.20 Exeter: Bahira - all stakes 41.3pts @ SP or best odds achievable - assessed probability 33% to 50% - expected price of less than 1/1 #339 8.30 Catterick: Mandurah - all stakes 27.1pts @ SP or best odds achievable - assessed probability 33% to 50% - expected price of around 2/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.